Platinum: High trending test. Don't miss the opportunityPlatinum is approaching important crossroads on 1M. Trading on a long term 1M Channel Down (RSI = 50.828, MACD = -31.030, Highs/Lows = 27.2071), the very bullish 1W leg is closing in on the Lower High of the 1M Channel Down on overbought 1D action (RSI = 73.845). Technically we should be expecting a rejection towards the 1M Support Zone. But since this Support Zone has been holding since October - December 2008, and only recently tested (August 2018 - Feb 2019) for the second time in 10 years, it is not unreasonable to expect that at some point a strong break out from the bearish trend will happen. So if 940.50 breaks, we will be going long with TP = 1,000.
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Pl1
DXY XAU - Relationship - SeasonalityI was using these charts to explain to a friend where the price of gold could be heading depending on USD course of action. Maybe someone will appreciate them. :)
I'm considering 1282.XX, today's low to be the bottom unless DXY breaks above the long term descending trendline. Started buying in around this price.
XPTUSD I bought at $836 along the same theory.
XAGUSD I'm holding out a little longer to $14.90 - $15.00 range.
Platinum: Strong 1W Resistance. Sell opportunity.XPTUSD is approaching the strong 1W Resistance Zone (873.80 - 878.10). In the past 15 months this level has provided a pivot point 4 times. When tested as a Resistance it rejects the price downwards. In addition to that 1D has heavily entered into overbought territory (RSI = 77.235, STOCH = 80.786, STOCHRSI = 100.00, Williams = -3.226, Ultimate Oscillator = 76.165) issuing a sell signal. We are taking this short TP = 831.60.
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Platinum / Palladium Price Ratio - Long PlatinumThese charts deserve a closer look. :)
Platinum / Palladium ratio just touched an all time low. You can see the explosive move up, following the last time the price ratio of these two metals touched this level.
Considering the platinum chart on its own... Price recently found support from a ten year old support level... $750. Since then price has mostly consolidated with a couple failed breakouts dropping price back to support. However, although it doesn't look like much on the long term weekly chart, platinum is up $65 from the February low and has broken above $830, previous resistance.
There's a couple interesting things looking at the Palladium chart also. Price is at a measured move above the midpoint from the lows, which also looks to be significant support / resistance. I'm not jumping all in calling a top in Palladium, but $1500 does sort of portray a psychological milestone in and of itself. And although the fundamental argument could be made that price still has a long way to run, I'm sure people were saying the same thing about Platinum in May 2008 before it dropped from $2200 down to $750 in the course of six months.
And often technicals are all that's needed to trigger a sharp reversal in price... Looking at the selloff in crude October 2018....
All things said Platinum looks like a good buy and hold Risk / Reward ratio, supported by the strength across the other precious metals. I'm going to wait and see how Palladium reacts to the $1500 level...
XPTUSD: Approaching the Buy Zone.Platinum is close to completing the current bearish leg started this month with 4H touching oversold levels (RSI = 25.857, STOCH = 28.684, STOCHRSI = 26.493). On 1D terms (RSI = 37.592, MACD = -0.910, Highs/Lows = 15.9250, BBP = -19.6820) the price is approaching the 775.55 - 785.20 medium term Buy Zone, presenting an optimal long opportunity. The target can be any value within or close to the 823.75 - 832.50 Sell Zone.
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Platinum: Symmetrical pattern recognition for a lower buy.Platinum is on its way to complete a Head and Shoulders pattern on positive gradient, a pattern that was previously identified from late September - November. The similarities are strong and leads us to expect that a similar candle sequence will be followed. This suggest that the price should rebound close to 786.85 and seek a upper neckline of the RS between the 0.500 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels at 811.60. We will use this as the TP.
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Platinum ready to break higher?Platinum hit a 15 year low in August 2018. Since then price has been consolidating. Platinum historically has been more expensive than gold. Price has possibly broken above the bearish trendline and looks ready to break out.
Seasonality supports the break higher. charts.equityclock.com
On the downside, there seems to be strong support around $780.
XPTUSD: Pull back completed. Resuming the bearish trend.Platinum has nearly completed a 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (860.500) on the 1W chart (1029 Top - 756.500 Bottom) and the price should be technically ready to reverse again lower and follow the long term bearish trend. 4H has already developed a Channel Down (RSI = 43.280, Highs/Lows = -0.2893, B/BP = -3.7820) which may spread to 1D (also on Highs/Lows = -1.3214, B/BP = -2.800). 807.070 is the 1D support that needs to be crossed. Also watch for the Higher Low supporting lines (indicated in red). Short, TP = 792.940 and 756.550 in extension.
Targets hit. New bearish pattern in development. Short.Both TP 878.128 and 852.737 in extension have been hit as the previous Channel Down on 1D even crossed our estimated 793.519 bottom. This break-out maintains our sentiment on a bearish path for Platinum as a new Channel Down is being developed on 1D (RSI = 41.648, MACD = -12.930, Highs/Lows = -6.5407, B/BP = -19.9240) seeking 740.000 as its next Lower Low. Only if 846.20 gets crossed, can we consider the probability of a trend reversal, as it will break the Lower High on the 1W Channel Down. Unless that happens, we will stay short on XPTUSD with new TP = 756.538 and 740.857 in extension.
Standard Channel Down and new Lower HighPlatinum is trading on a long term 1W Channel Down (Highs/Lows = -12.1143, B/BP = -36.7780, MACD = -13.210) that started off in late January and has just priced the latest Lower High near 915. With 4H neutral (RSI = 50.443, Williams = -46.789) around the blue line, we expect the decline to a new Lower Low to start soon. The TP is at least the previous Lower Low at 877.90 but more risk averse traders can book the profit earlier ay 893.40.
King of the MetalsI have published previously on the silver/gold ratio. Silver is bound to outperform gold over time. The question is whether platinum will outperform silver and gold, or underperform both metals. Watch the dotted line for a breakout. If anyone has interesting research on platinum please post in comments below or pm me (fundamental or historical is preferred).
954 is technical resistance in platinum. Watch current level.
Platinum about to lift off? These two markets look interesting together because of the similar price action. Notice how rice was in a descending triangle followed by a breakout. These are typically bearish patterns, but not always, clearly. I believe platinum is in the same consolidation phase before it breaks out. Notice it took rice approximately two years to break out from its established support. Platinum seems like it's on the verge of doing the same. I've seen some traders present shorting opportunities in platinum. I think that's a big mistake.
Other than that, what does platinum have to do with rice? I'd say nothing. There is no inverse or positive correlation whatsoever. Perhaps there is something more between the two, but that is not the point of the analysis.