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SSEE Framework for successful Trading I want to present you to the 'SSEE' framework today, . This framework is intended for all users, from novices just beginning their journey to seasoned experts seeking to improve their tactics. Three basic steps are involved: ,Self-awareness, Story, Analyze , execute, and Emotional Control. Let's examine each component in turn: self-awareness: Self awareness is very important just link finding a trading style that fits your personality, risk tolerance, and financial objectives is the first step towards becoming a successful trader. This encompasses your emotional ease in taking chances, your degree of patience, and the amount of time you dedicate to trading. Analyzing possible strategies comes next after determining your trading style. Regardless of your preference for technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or a mix of the two, you need to be well-versed in the tactics you choose to use. Lastly, assess both yourself and the tactics you have selected to develop a solid trading plan. What you trade, when you enter and exit transactions, and the standards you use to make decisions should all be part of your trading plan. Recall that following a plan rather than making exact forecasts is the aim. Look for Story : Trends : Identify whether the stock is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement. Trends can indicate investor sentiment and potential future movements. Support and Resistance : Look for levels where the stock has historically reversed direction (support) or faced selling pressure (resistance). These can signify psychological barriers for investors. Volume : Analyze trading volume in conjunction with price movements. Rising prices on increasing volume might suggest strong buying interest, while price increases on low volume could indicate a lack of conviction. Chart Patterns: Recognize common patterns like head and shoulders, triangles, or flags. Each pattern can suggest potential future movements based on historical behavior. Indicators: Use technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD) to assess momentum, overbought or oversold conditions, and potential reversals. Time Frames: Consider different time frames (daily, weekly, monthly) to get a broader context of the stock’s performance. Events and Catalysts: Look for spikes or drops in price that coincide with news events or earnings reports. These can help explain the "story" behind sudden movements. By synthesizing these elements, you can create a narrative that explains the stock's historical performance and potential future directions. Plan: Define Your Goals Investment Horizon: Decide if you're investing for the short term, medium term, or long term. Risk Tolerance: Assess how much risk you’re willing to take. This will influence your stock selection. 2. Conduct Research Fundamental Analysis: Look at company financials, earnings reports, industry trends, and economic indicators. Technical Analysis: Analyze charts, trends, and indicators to identify entry and exit points. 3. Develop a Strategy Stock Selection: Based on your research, choose stocks that align with your goals and risk tolerance. Diversification: Spread your investments across different sectors to mitigate risk. 4. Create a Buy/Sell Plan Entry Points: Determine your buying price and criteria for entry based on technical signals or fundamental reasons. Exit Points: Set profit targets and stop-loss levels to protect your investment and lock in gains. 5. Execute the Trades Use a brokerage platform to buy your selected stocks at your planned entry points. Monitor the trades and overall market conditions. 6. Monitor and Adjust Regularly review your portfolio’s performance and market conditions. Be ready to adjust your strategy if new information or trends emerge. 7. Stay Disciplined Stick to your plan and avoid emotional trading decisions. Reassess your goals periodically and make necessary adjustments to your strategy. 8. Educate Yourself Continuously learn about the market, new strategies, and economic developments. By following this structured approach, you can execute a well-thought-out plan in the stock market. Would you like more details on any specific step? E xecute : Step-by-Step Execution Set Up Your Trading Account Choose a reputable brokerage platform that aligns with your trading style and needs (e.g., commissions, tools, research). Ensure your account is funded. Finalize Your Research Review your selected stocks, confirming they meet your criteria based on both fundamental and technical analysis. Check for any recent news or events that could impact stock performance. Create a Watchlist Compile a list of stocks you are interested in, along with your entry points and target prices. Place Orders Market Orders: Buy stocks at the current market price. Use this for quicker executions but be aware of price fluctuations. Limit Orders: Set a specific price at which you want to buy or sell. This helps control the price you pay but may not execute if the price doesn’t reach your limit. Implement Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders Set stop-loss orders to automatically sell if the stock price falls to a certain level, protecting your investment. Set take-profit orders to secure gains at predefined price targets. Monitor Your Investments Regularly check the performance of your stocks and overall market conditions. Stay informed about news that may affect your investments. Adjust Your Strategy as Needed If a stock isn’t performing as expected, reassess your reasons for holding it. Be ready to sell or adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels based on market conditions. Review and Reflect After a set period, review the performance of your trades. Analyze what worked and what didn’t. Use these insights to refine your strategy for future trades. Stay Disciplined Stick to your plan and avoid making impulsive decisions based on market noise. Keep emotions in check and follow your predetermined strategy. Emotional Control: Set Clear Goals Define your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon. Having clear goals can help you stay focused and reduce anxiety. 2. Develop a Trading Plan Create a structured trading plan that includes entry and exit strategies, risk management, and criteria for buying and selling. Stick to this plan to avoid emotional decisions. 3. Practice Mindfulness Use techniques like meditation or deep breathing to stay calm and centered. Mindfulness can help you recognize emotional triggers and respond more thoughtfully. 4. Limit Exposure to Market Noise Reduce the amount of news and social media you consume related to the stock market. Constant updates can heighten anxiety and lead to impulsive decisions. 5. Keep a Trading Journal Document your trades, including your thought process and emotions at the time. Reflecting on your experiences can help you identify patterns and improve future decision-making. 6. Manage Risk Use stop-loss orders and diversify your portfolio to minimize potential losses. Knowing you have a plan in place can alleviate stress and help you stay composed. 7. Accept Losses Understand that losses are a natural part of trading. Accepting this can help reduce the fear of losing and prevent you from making desperate trades. 8. Stay Disciplined Commit to your trading plan and avoid deviating from it due to emotions. Stick to your strategy, even during market volatility. 9. Take Breaks Step away from the screens when feeling overwhelmed or overly emotional. Taking breaks can provide perspective and help clear your mind. 10. Seek Support Consider discussing your experiences with other traders or joining a community. Sharing your thoughts and challenges can provide valuable insights and emotional relief. 11. Focus on the Process, Not Just Outcomes Concentrate on following your plan rather than fixating on short-term gains or losses. This shift in focus can help reduce emotional strain.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by limitissky77
Plan Your Trade 6-25-24 - Base Rally DayThis video continues my series on planning your trade around my SPY Cycle Patterns. Today is a Base Rally pattern. I suspect the price will attempt to climb above $544 and may attempt to rally above $550 over the next few days. This is an excellent opportunity for traders to swing for the fences with long trades. Time your entry. If the price fails to rally above $544 in early trading, we may see a strong rally later this afternoon. Tomorrow is a Breakaway pattern in counter-trend mode. I suspect we'll see a bit of a downward price swing tomorrow after today's strong rally. Then, another push to try to rally above $550 on Thursday. Plan your trade. Learn how I can help you stay ahead of these bigger price swings.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
1. Crafting a Trading Plan: Your Compass in the Market StormAs discussed in our previous post, a well-defined trading plan is your invaluable compass, navigating you through the ever-shifting tides of the financial markets. It's not a rigid set of rules, but a dynamic roadmap that evolves with changing market conditions. Defining Your Trading Goals Your trading plan begins by clearly defining your trading goals. What do you aspire to achieve through trading? Is it generating consistent income, building wealth, or simply enjoying the thrill of the market? Having clear goals provides direction and motivation, keeping you focused on the long-term. Think “business goals”! Identifying Your Trading Style Next, identify your trading style. Are you a day trader, seeking quick profits by capitalising on short-term market movements? Or are you a swing trader, looking for larger gains by holding trades for days or even weeks? Understanding your trading style helps you choose the right strategies and instruments. This will also depends on your current “life” circumstances, private and professional, i.e. how can you “fit” trading into your day-to-day routine. Establishing Entry and Exit Criteria Your trading plan should clearly outline your entry and exit criteria. What conditions trigger you to enter a trade? What signals indicate when to exit? These criteria should be based on sound technical analysis and risk management principles. Managing Risk and Reward Risk management is paramount in trading. Your plan should outline your risk tolerance and maximum loss per trade. Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Additionally, consider using stop-loss orders to limit your potential losses. This will be further discussed soon through this media too! Review and Adapt Your trading plan is not a static document; it should evolve as you gain experience and market conditions change. Regularly review your plan, assess its effectiveness, and make adjustments as needed. Remember, trading is a continuous learning process. Remember, your trading plan is your personal roadmap to success. By carefully crafting and adhering to it, you can navigate the complexities of the financial markets with greater confidence and achieve your trading goals. In our next post, we will expand on the 2nd key aspect of our initial post which will be about “ Unveiling Market Secrets ”.
Education
by financialflagship
Gold trade plan Mar13,2023www.tradingview.com On March 13, 2024, the price of gold might go down because it dropped from its recent high of 2195 to around 2150-2155 on Tuesday, and the candlestick closed in red, suggesting it might continue to decrease. So, it's a good idea to sell. Sell: Sell when the price reaches 2165-2166, aiming to close at 2153. Alternatively, sell at 2176-2178 with a target of 2166. Buy: If the price drops to 2152-2155, consider buying and aim to sell at 2161. Or, if it falls further to 2143-2140, buy and target to sell at 2155. Make sure to be careful when opening positions and use stop-loss to control risks. Adjust your trading plan based on market conditions.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Tammy-trader
Nobody sees this BTC move comingOverall Analysis BINANCE:BTCUSDT The $43.5k-$44k has been a key level which Bitcoin has been rejecting from, and I shared this in our last video. It had several attempts at trying to break it until we fell to the downside. There are a few levels of support which we will be monitoring. I think one of the biggest support levels is going to be around the $41-42k. We saw it act as a large support from the 12th-19th before it broke down and flipped into resistance. It then took over a week to finally break above the level again and now for it to hopefully flip back into support. Overall, this level has been respected 10+ times. There is a potential if we hold this level now that we could form an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern which would be very bullish. Liquidity We have been having a large build-up of liquidity around the FWB:41K as well as a lot of short liquidity up around the $43.7k level. These levels are likely going to determine which direction our next move heads to. There is also a large amount of liquidity sitting around the $39-40k level. Plan Waiting for a clear signal, still seeing a possible scenario where we lose this current support level and liquidate the build-up we have to then go and challenge the lower $39.5k liquidity build-up. However, the flip side of this is if we hold onto the current level and push up to the $43k level, we will be confirming the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern which we would then hope for a flip and pushing to new highs!
by CryptoSeaTV
3
Predict the clarity of the price, not it's direction☝️The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌 ☝️ALL videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by Yelli_trades
1
EURUSD : BUY or SELL ? Hello EURUSD traders, how do you feel about EURUSD going forward? -About the trend for this currency pair: currently EURUSD does not have many major fluctuations and is quite stable around 1.093. This is confirmed when the Bollinger Band indicator is narrowing to prepare for the next breakthrough move. -Talking about the breakout: EURUSD is limited below the 1.096 resistance level and receiving support from the 1.090 level. The market is now focusing on the latest consumer inflation figures from the United States (US) on Thursday for some meaningful directional momentum. After the news is announced, this pair will be able to make a breakout with two cases as mentioned: increase when breaking resistance and decrease when bears break support. Regarding Karina's opinion, I'm waiting for EURUSD to decrease, what about you? Leave your comments below in the comments!
by Karina_Bella
What Trading and Business Have in Common 📊💼Hello TradingView Family, Lately, I've been contemplating the fascinating parallels between trading and running a business. 🤔 It's intriguing how both these worlds share common ground, and I wanted to share my thoughts with you. 📜 Trading Plan as the Blueprint: In the business of trading, a well-crafted trading plan serves as the blueprint for success. Just as a business plan outlines goals, strategies, and tactics, a trading plan details entry and exit points, risk tolerance, and overall market approach, providing a structured path to success. 🌐 Risk Management: Just as in business, where risks are inherent, traders need to manage risks effectively. Both environments demand a keen understanding of risk-reward ratios and the ability to make informed decisions to protect assets and investments. 🔄 Adaptability: Businesses must adapt to market changes and evolving customer needs, while traders navigate the dynamic landscape of financial markets. Flexibility and the ability to pivot are critical for success in both arenas. 🔍 Continuous Innovation: Businesses thrive on innovation to stay competitive, and traders constantly seek new strategies and tools to gain an edge in the market. The pursuit of improvement and staying ahead of the curve is a shared ethos. 📊 Performance Evaluation: Both traders and business leaders regularly assess their performance. Whether it's analyzing financial reports or evaluating trading strategies, the commitment to ongoing improvement is a common thread. 📉 Weathering Losses and Low Seasons: Every business faces downtimes, and traders experience losses. The ability to weather these storms, learn from setbacks, and maintain composure during low seasons is a shared challenge. Resilience and a long-term perspective are key to overcoming temporary setbacks. 🌱 Long-Term Sustainability: Just as businesses aim for long-term sustainability, traders seek lasting success in the market. Both require a focus on building a solid foundation, adapting to changes, and navigating challenges with resilience. Reflecting on these similarities, it's clear that trading and business are two sides of the same coin, each requiring strategic thinking, adaptability, and a commitment to continuous improvement. What are your thoughts on this intriguing comparison? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
15
A BTC Bullrun plan for rookiesThis can be viewed as a prediction, but ultimately is a simple plan for emotional traders and investors, whos patience is sometimes a little bad. This chart can help you holding your coins easier by removing the Low timeframe noise and makes you focus on the coming 2 years. Small alterations can or should be made depending on High Timeframe price action. The system stays the same, on the prices would differ. A look at it once a week and you are set for 2025!
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TheTweet2909
New week, new opportunities!I’m expecting the week to start and take all of the liquidity above those highs (red dots). The volume of that move higher will be very important to take into consideration. The issue is, the week needs to make a new low and that fact alone will probably give bears an advantage from my POV. To make a significant low on the weekly, price will probably have to break H4 structure and if it does, the next demand that I’ll be paying attention is around 1.075. As traders, we need to take into consideration different scenarios and how to act upon them. So here’s how I’ll trade next week. If price starts breaking bellow Fridays low, I’ll start looking for shorts aggressively and considering the possibility that it will reach 1.075. When it does, I’ll look for longs, because price should take liquidity from above, before continuing with bearish momentum if that’s the case. Also important to notice that level is inside weekly demand and if it breaks, the bearish momentum would be very aggressive. I don’t consider that as likely to happen, unless there’s some catalyst from high impact news. The other scenario that I’ll be looking for, is price holding Fridays low and continue higher to take the liquidity as mentioned above. In that case, I’ll consider shorts from around 1.097 BUT since price is coming from daily demand it will depend on how it gets there and even if I take positions, I’ll manage my expectations about the results. Monday and Tuesday don’t have any high impact news, which is perfect for price to grind higher, which is my main expectation for the beginning of the week. Wednesday there’ll be PMI data on EU and US, should be very volatile. Thursday, unemployment claims from the US and Friday consumer sentiment and Powell speech after. The goal is to remain truthful to the plan and enjoy trading for what it is!
Long
by CirculoForex
7 Expert Risk Management Techniques for TradingRisk management refers to the techniques used to identify, evaluate, and mitigate the potential risks associated with trading and investing. Whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or scalper, effective risk management can help you minimize losses and protect your hard earned money all while maximizing potential profits. Let's take a look at the top 7 risk management techniques for trading! 👌 Have a Trading Plan Many traders jump into the market without a thorough understanding of how it works and what it takes to be successful. You should have a detailed trading plan in place before making any trades. A well-designed trading plan is an essential tool for effective risk management. A trading plan acts as a roadmap, laying out a set of guidelines/rules that can help traders avoid impulsive decisions. It is crucial because it requires you to think deeply about your approach before you begin risking real money. Having a plan can help you stay calm under stress as your plan will have specific steps to take for anything the market throws at you. It is essential to clearly define your trading goals and objectives. Are you aiming for short-term gains or long-term wealth generation? Are you focused on a specific asset class or trading strategy? Setting specific and measurable goals helps you stay focused and evaluate your progress. Another important part is to describe the trading strategy you will employ to enter and exit trades. This includes the types of analysis you will employ (technical, fundamental, or a combination), indicators or patterns you will rely on, and any specific rules for trade execution. Determine your risk tolerance, set appropriate position sizing rules, and establish stop-loss levels to limit potential losses. The Risk/reward ratio When you are planning to open a trade, you should analyze beforehand how much money you are risking in that particular trade and what the expected positive outcome is. Here is a useful chart with some examples to understand this concept: As you can see from the data above, a trader with a higher RR (risk-reward ratio) and a low win rate can still be profitable. Let’s examine this a little more by looking at a profitable example with a 20% success rate, a RR ratio of 1:5, and capital of $500. In this example, you would have 1 winning trade with a profit of $500. The losses on the other 4 trades would be a total of $400. So the profit would be $100. An unprofitable RR ratio would be to risk, for example, $500 with a success rate of 20% and a risk/reward ratio of 1:1. That is, only 1 out of 5 trades would be successful. So you would make $100 in 1 winning trade but in the other 4 you would have lost a total of -$400. As a trader, you need to find the perfect balance between how much money you’re willing to risk, the profits you’ll attempt to make, and the losses you’ll accept. This is not an easy task, but it is the foundation of risk management and the Long & Short Position Tools are essential. You can use our 'Long Position' and 'Short Position' drawing tools in the Forecasting and measurement tools to determine this ratio. Stop Loss/Take Profit orders Stop Loss and Take Profit work differently depending on whether you are a day trader, swing trader or long term trader and the type of asset. The most important thing is not to deviate from your strategy as long as you have a good trading strategy. For example, one of the biggest mistakes here is to change your stop loss thinking that the losses will recover... and often they never do. The same thing happens with take profits, you may see that the asset is "going to the moon" and you decide to modify your take profit, but the thing about markets is that there are moments of overvaluation and then the price moves sharply against the last trend. There is an alternative strategy to this, which is to use exit partials, that is closing half of your position in order to reduce the risk of your losses, or to take some profits during an outstanding run. Also remember that each asset has a different volatility, so while a stop loss of -3% is normal for a swing trading move in one asset, in other more volatile assets the stop loss would be -10%. You do not want to get caught in the middle of a regular price movement. Finally, you can use a trailing stop, which essentially secures some profits while still having the potential to capture better performance. Trade with TP, SL and Trailing Stop Selection of Assets and Time intervals Choosing the right assets involves careful consideration of various factors such as accessibility, liquidity, volatility, correlation, and your preference in terms of time zones and expertise. Each asset possesses distinct characteristics and behaviors, and understanding these nuances is vital. It is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis to identify assets that align with your trading strategy and risk appetite. Equally important is selecting the appropriate time intervals for your trading. Time intervals refer to the duration of your trades, which can span from short-term intraday trades to long-term investments. Each time interval has its own advantages and disadvantages, depending on your trading style and objectives. Shorter time intervals, such as minutes or hours, are often associated with more frequent trades and higher volatility. Traders who prefer these intervals are typically looking to capitalize on short-term price fluctuations and execute quick trades. Conversely, longer time intervals, such as days, weeks, or months, prove more suitable for investors and swing traders aiming to capture broader market trends and significant price movements. Take into account factors such as your time availability for trading, risk tolerance, and preferred analysis methods. Technical traders often utilize shorter time intervals, focusing on charts, indicators, and patterns, while fundamental investors may opt for longer intervals to account for macroeconomic trends and company fundamentals. For example, If you are a swing trader with a low knack for volatility, then you can trade in assets such as stocks or Gold and ditch highly volatile assets such as crypto. Remember that there is no one-size-fits-all approach, and your choices should align with your trading style, goals, and risk management strategy. Here is a chart of Tesla from the perspective of a day trader, a swing trader, and an investor: Backtesting Backtesting plays a crucial role in risk management by enabling traders to assess the effectiveness of their trading strategies using historical market data. It involves the application of predefined rules and indicators to past price data, allowing traders to simulate how their trading strategies would have performed in the past. During the backtesting process, traders analyze various performance metrics of their strategies, such as profitability, risk-adjusted returns, drawdowns, and win rates. This analysis helps identify the strengths and weaknesses of the strategies, allowing traders to refine them and make necessary adjustments based on the insights gained from the backtesting results. The primary objective of backtesting is to evaluate the profitability and feasibility of a trading strategy before implementing it in live market conditions. By utilizing historical data, traders can gain valuable insights into the potential risks and rewards associated with their strategies, enabling them to manage their risk accordingly. However, it's important to note the limitations of backtesting. While historical data provides valuable information, it cannot guarantee future performance, as market conditions are subject to change. Market dynamics, liquidity, and unforeseen events can significantly impact the actual performance of a strategy. There are plenty of ways to backtest a strategy. You can run a manual test using Bar Replay to trade historical market events or Paper Trading to trade real examples. Those with coding skills can create a strategy using Pine Script and run automated tests on TradingView. Here is an example of the Moving Averages Crossover strategy using Pine Script: Margin allocation We are not fortune tellers, so we cannot predict how assets will be affected by sudden major events. If the worst happens to us and we have all of our capital in a particular trade, the game is over. There are classic rules such as the maximum allocation percentage of 1% per trade (e.g. in a $20,000 portfolio this means that it cannot be risked +$200 per trade). This can vary depending on your trading strategy, but it will definitely help you manage the risk in your portfolio. Diversification and hedging It is very important not to put all your eggs in one basket. Something you learn over the years in the financial markets is that the unexpected can always happen. Yes, you can make +1000% in one particular trade, but then you can lose everything in the next trade. One way to avoid the cold sweats of panic is to diversify and hedge. Some stock traders buy commodities that are negatively correlated with stocks, others have a portfolio of +30 stocks from different sectors with bonds and hedge their stocks during downtrends, others buy an ETF of the S&P 500 and the top 10 market cap cryptos... There are unlimited possible combinations when diversifying your portfolio. At the end of the day, the most important thing to understand is that you need to protect your capital and using the assets available to you a trader can hedge and/or diversify to avoid letting one trade ruin an entire portfolio. Thank you for reading this idea on risk management! We hope it helps new traders plan and prepare for the long run. If you're an expert trader, we hope this was a reminder about the basics. Join the conversation and leave your comments below with your favorite risk management technique! 🙌 - TradingView Team
Education
by TradingView
64
[ PMI ] Red Folder News Scenario's 🔥/ Eurusd For PMI data I'm favoring a continued push up throughout NY Session. If this does not happen then i anticipate the volatility to create the High of the day then slowly faded off the highs back to support at 1.08743. It is Monday and the market is setting up for the rest of the week so beware of that. On My last publishing I detail a potential fakeout on the Daily timeframe after the Friday candle Closed back inside the range last week above 1.0892 which is now our weekly support level. I'm looking for price to return to 1.096 daily resistance this week with the fakeout market structure. The Daily candle was bearish all day today and has only just recently flipped back bullish as we coincide with PMI data in 7 minutes. I took a buy and just TP with majoirty of my position., holding on to some during news with SL at B.E. Update : Price shot into profit and my runner position I took Profit at +25 Pips
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Momentum from last week ↘️ // Eurusd what's cooking? 👨‍🍳We have a fair share of news events this week to shake things up. These news events will be a catlayst for a coniuation of momentum or the cause for a reversal in the short term here. Now the Monthly candle is closing at the end of this week and we must keep in mind that it is closing bullish. I don't anticipate this weekly candle to drop 222 pips but it's not impossible. The Weekly candle from last week closed bearish rejecting Daily Resistance Zone 1.098 and Weekly resistance zone 1.1024. The top wick rejection was larger than the body of the candle denoting a good amount of sell pressure on Eurusd. The Friday daily candle closed bearish taking out all the lows from earlier in the week. Ideally for this week we would like to see the previous weekly candle's bottom wick (Approximately 48 pips ) be filled with momentum carried over from the prior week. 1.09160 is a Daily and 4hr S/R Level and may act as an area for price to distribute and take us to lower prices. If price gets a close above there we have clean traffic back up to 1.09564 4hr resistance zone. Otherwise if price can get a solid candle close below 1.08845 4hr Support zone then we have a nice 30 pip clean traffic range to decrease back to the low of last week at 1.0848 4hr Zone. Downside target for week is 1.081 4Hr Support zone If wrong, then expecting a range and possible eventual increase back to highs at 1.09875 Daily Resistance Zone.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
💭 Daily Tf Key Level plays Important Role ( 1.0918 )This week 1.0918 Daily Support/Resistance Zone will likely play an important role in the direction of this week's price behavior. This was a Major Support during last week's price action may very well act as a resistance level for the new week's price action. The new weekly candle gapped up but at the end of New York trading we can observe a hold of 1.0918 Daily S/R Zone. We are currently in a tight range to begin the week between this mentioned level and the 4hr support zone 1.0886. If Sellers fail to hold below 1.09180 then entry upon break and retest above it with targets at 1.0958 4hr Zone and the previous week's high at daily resistance zone 1.0986. Otherwise with Sells here we may continue to anticpate momentum to return to the downside. Our weekly target for sells remains at 1.081. More Analysis : Started off the week taking Sells from our Daily S/R Zone 1.0918 . Earned +.5% on the account about after commissions. It turned out to be the high of the day. Being pro-active with your trading plays an important role in profitability. Trade where it is most uncomfortable and you will likely see your results improve. Not Financial advice this has been and will always be education.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Eurusd Shaking out Weak hands?Trading is not complicated once you have a good understanding of whatever your technical approach is to the markets. After that good understanding is achieved you will have reasonable expectations about where price can go and will rarely be surprised. However, trading can become difficult when you throw trading psychology in the mix. Positive trading psychology is the sum of your mindset, discipline, and patience. This is why it's the most fragile and significant portion of your bottom line. Listening to the great traders and reading about their stories it's often mentioned as the most important piece of the puzzle when it comes to long term & consistent returns. It requires inner reflection and a good amount of attention from time to time. I have run into one of these occasions as I have strayed from my bread and butter. I have nonetheless created a rule on my trading plan to save me from any future occasions.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Risk/Reward Bitcoin Setup ⛲Risk/Reward is the name of the game. In my scalping this morning I've taken 10 trades. I have gone on a losing streak of 10 trades in a row. After reading the books I've become aware that this is not unsual for a profitable system in the markets. I like the analogy of pulling marbles out of a hat. If you have an edge in the market then over the long term the marbles you pull out of the Hat will net you a positive R. However, in the short term you may pull out 10 marbles consecutively that do not net you anything. This is where trust in your experience and system will serve us as traders for a long time to come. Technicals : Price has arrived at our monhtly supply zone 29,305$. Price is up 9ish percent over 2 days. The Market is not random and I'm aware of that. 8 4hr candles in a row is not common and that is a fact. Combining these confluences..
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
This is Forex.. (Timing is Key) Correction with London 📻 Currently Sitting at 4Hr Supply Zone ( 1.09945 ) Looking for lower prices as price has touched into a 4hr Supply zone and we have an upcoming london session. What we may observe is a quick spike then a hard retreat back down to 1.098 or even 1.0945 ( Both of which are daily S/R Levels) . You can observe this behavior on Eurusd from last week. I will include a snapshot. A Brief description being as price was creating Higher Highs and Higher Lows on the daily timeframe EU was stairstepping it's way up by doing a retest at Daily S/R Zones. The wednesday Daily candle did a retest at 1.07817 Daily S/R Zone/. The Thursday daily candle did a retest at the 1.08126 Daily S/R Level. It's a recurring theme and is something we may anticipate as price continues to makes it's ascent. You may trade the pullback to the downside or wait for better Risk/Reward Long price areas. More attractive long prices area's being the 1.098 and 1.0945 Daily S/R Zones previously mentioned. Sometimes it's more about understanding the psychology of market participants and using this to your advantage. Price is High as we approach the 2nd to last london session of the week. But with london we will expect more volume and why not a pullback with this volume. We are sitting at a supply zone anyways. There is alot of liquitiy in forex and so you will not see insane 10% increases in 2 days like you can observe in crypto.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
News Speeches Stir the pot 🕊️// Eurusd We would like to see the Daily candle close above 1.0945 as this will confirm a breakout to the upside. The candle at that point will close above the daily resistance zone created by last friday's daily candle. The idea is that we have momentum leftover from last week and will see the curretn weekly candle push deeper into the Daily/Weekly zones above. Wild trading day for me but besides that Eurusd has seen a resurgence of bullish volume that we were anticipating after last weeks Weekly candle closure. We were anticipating a continuation of momentum this week and I mentnioned in my previous Eurusd publishing that we may pullback and conolisdate early in the week as the markets sets up. The market needs time to gather liquidity before it makes significant moves. It does that by causing alot of volatility and commotion in the short term in order to get traders on tilt and stir up the pot. Moving forward I'm looking towards a retest of the extreme 1Hr Zone 1.096 and eventually an increase to the next daily resistance level 1.0982 during the next london session.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Post-Interest Rates... 🏁--> Momentum Push? USD Interest rates helped to pull EURUSD back for better prices. Euro interest rates was the catalyst for a +1% increase in the EURUSD currency pair. The WeekIy candle can push a bit more to end off the week. We usually have a bunch of liquid just past extreme highs and that is what I am explaining on the chart. This is a price action concept. took buys at the beginning of the move and took my humble 14 pips. Anticipating a continuation of price to the upside with consumer sentiment tomorrow. It is expected to improve over the prior data point two weeks ago for the USD. Given the massive buy volume it is difficult for me to visualize that the current daily candle will not attempt at lease so some of push towards the next daily level 1.098 Daily Resistance Level.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
The Roller Coaster is always a Bumpy ride 🎢The Market can feed everyone but it's not not the market's duty. The market's duty is to provide a playground for a fair auction to take place. The conditions and the rules at the playgorund change from time to time but principles never cease to exist. The market needs liquidity to trend and it's the losing trader's emotion that fuels that. The market will achieve it's own goals just as mother nature and the dragon of time will eat us all. The market is a neutral entity and not one of us as participants are immune to it's wrath. Respect the market as it can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. Pay close attention to money management and/or Position sizing because it will help you attain your goals. With all that said I have outlined my favorite level's on the chart. There are traders buying the high and the market will not make it easy on them. Or maybe the market breaks everything like the night king in Game of thrones. All you should do is take good risk/reward ideas. Create a system suited towards your personalities and inclinations. Orient yourself to what is most comfortable but be pro-active with your entries. Cut your losses short and let you profits run. Don't cut your winners just because you want to be right about the direction. Pay yourself for the time you spend in front of the screen. I have other obligations but the way I would go about trading interest rates would be to wait 1Hr after the news. Once the market has decided the direction, I lower my position size and follow my system's entry technique for trading with momentum. Additionally, If the market reacts off one of my level's I will anticipate a double top/double bottom. Safe Trading.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx