COPPER, THE MUSICAL.. ERR I MEAN, GUIDE. (Cu, Copper)COPPER, What's the deal with this shiny brown stuff that I hear everyone steals?
Should I steal copper or is there a better way?
What do I need to know?
What is the fast summary to catch me up?
First, let's talk about the technicals.
Some massive trends, all strong.
price targets labeled
there are numbers that go pretty high, but it seems a retracement might be needed to get there.
Potential to buy under 3.
Potential to sell over 4.
idk where it heads first.
Copper: A Comprehensive Overview
Introduction Copper , denoted by the symbol Cu on the periodic table, is a versatile metal with a wide range of applications. It is renowned for its excellent electrical and thermal conductivity, corrosion resistance, and malleability. These properties make it a valuable resource in various industries.
Uses of Copper Copper is extensively used in the electrical industry due to its superior conductivity. It forms a crucial component in electrical equipment such as wiring and motors. In the construction industry, copper is used for roofing and plumbing, thanks to its durability and resistance to corrosion. Interestingly, copper’s antimicrobial properties are leveraged in healthcare settings to reduce the number of patients who acquire infections in hospitals.
How and Where Copper is Found Copper is typically found in nature in association with sulfur. The extraction process involves mining and concentrating low-grade ores containing copper sulfide minerals. This is followed by smelting and electrolytic refining to produce pure copper. Copper deposits are found in various locations worldwide, including South America, South Central Asia, Indochina, and North America. It is found as a primary mineral in basaltic lavas and also as reduced from copper compounds.
History of Copper Use Copper has a rich history of use by humans. It was one of the first metals ever extracted and used by humans, first appearing in coins and ornaments around 8000 B.C. The advent of copper tools around 5500 B.C. helped civilization emerge from the Stone Age.
Copper in the Periodic Table In the periodic table, copper is a transition metal located in Group 11, along with silver and gold. These metals share similar electron structures, which result in many shared characteristics.
Comparable Metals and Alloys Copper is often compared to other “red metals” like brass and bronze. While copper is a pure metal, brass and bronze are copper alloys. Brass is a combination of copper and zinc, while bronze is a combination of copper and tin. Copper is also alloyed with other metals like nickel, aluminum, and beryllium to enhance its properties.
Costs and Difficulties of Working with Copper Despite its importance, the extraction and use of copper come with significant challenges. Mining copper can lead to environmental hazards, affecting water access, air quality, and Indigenous cultural sites. Moreover, the cost of copper has been rising due to increasing demand and supply constraints.
Future Potential of Copper The future of copper looks promising, especially considering its role in the energy transition. Copper is critical for renewable energy systems, including solar and wind power, and electric vehicles. However, the potential for a copper shortage is drawing concerns about how to sustainably meet future demand.
Conclusion Copper is an incredibly versatile and important metal with a rich history and a promising future. As we continue to innovate and move towards a more sustainable future, the role of copper is likely to become even more significant.
Platinum
Platinum- Can it Bridge the Gap with Gold?For the past 10 months, OANDA:XPTUSD has been trading within a range between approximately 850 to 1000.
However, upon closer examination of this range, it appears to resemble a rounded bottom formation and also after dipping below 900 at the beginning of March, Platinum has been establishing higher lows, suggesting that the price is ready for a strong rise.
Conservative traders may want to consider waiting for a break above 1000.
In such an instance, the price could potentially accelerate and reach 1300 in the medium term.
On the other hand, more aggressive traders could opt to buy dips near 950.
With a stop loss set below 850 and a target of 1300, this strategy could potentially yield a risk-to-reward ratio of more than 1:3.
PLatinum Quick Video Idea - -2024.04.08EASYMARKETS:XPTUSD
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Anglo American Plats rare metal and rare formation showing upsidBroadening Formation (Vuvuzela) and W Formation is forming on AngloPlats.
We are seeing synergy with the upside with the platinum price and platinum stocks.
I guess no suprise knowing they work in tandem with each other.
Also, there is a good chanc eof upside with the price above both:
Price>20 and Price>200
Wait for break above the necklines and we could get a Target of R1,001
Moving onto the fundamentals:
The increase in Anglo American Platinum's stock price in 2024 can be connected to the broader market dynamics affecting platinum prices.
Factors like a global supply deficit, driven by production challenges and rising demand from sectors such as automotive and green technologies, contribute to the metal's price increase.
As Anglo American Platinum is a major producer of platinum, these market conditions likely positively impact the company's stock price by enhancing profitability prospects due to higher platinum prices.
PLatinum shaping up for a ton of upside to $1,132 tech and fundsBox Formation and W Formation is showing on the Daily chart of PLatinum.
We do need the price to close above the neckline of both patterns to really confirm upside to come.
So far the MAs are also confirming a bullish inclination along with the rising uptrend.
Price >20 and crossing 200MA
Bullish bias
Target $1,132
Let's drill into the fundamentals for the rising PLatinum price
One of the significant reasons for the price increase is the deepening supply deficit that was observed in 2023, which is expected to continue into 2024.
The World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) had revised its expectations for the platinum deficit in 2023 to nearly twice its initial estimate, highlighting a considerable shortfall in supply against demand (INN).
This deficit is largely due to decreased supply, with production challenges in major platinum-producing countries like South Africa, where mines have faced electricity issues leading to production deficits.
Despite some improvements in production, the overall global output of platinum decreased year-on-year, while demand, particularly from the automotive sector and for investment purposes, has seen a notable increase (INN).
Also, the demand for platinum in the production of green hydrogen, which uses platinum-group metals (PGMs) as catalysts, is also contributing to the increased demand.
The green hydrogen sector, which focuses on producing hydrogen from renewable sources, has seen significant investment, further boosting platinum demand (INN).
The auto sector, a major consumer of platinum due to its use in catalytic converters, has begun to return to pre-pandemic production levels, further straining the available platinum supply (INN).
And investment demand for platinum is expected to rise, with projections indicating an increase in platinum bar and coin demand to a three-year high, as manufacturers in North America and Europe allocate more capacity to platinum due to weaker demand for gold and silver (The future of trading).
All giving great buying signs for the precious metal.
XPTUSD broke above the 1D MA200 and is ready to rally.Platinum (XPTUSD) broke above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), and being on 1D RSI Higher Lows, we may be having a strong rally in its early stages. At least this is what the very same Higher Lows RSI pattern has led to when Platinum made the very same 1D MA200 break-out on October 26 2022.
The result was a +28.50% instant rally from the bottom and then a finaly blow-out just below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are bullish on Platinum targeting a minimum at 1060 (sub 1.382 Fib), even though it may very well reach the upper (red) Resistance Zone.
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Trade Idea: Go Long Up To 1100$Rationale:
COT sentiment
The last COT report shows that Commercials' net short positions have been decreasing, which could indicate a shift in sentiment towards the bullish side.
The COT report can be used as a tool to gauge the market sentiment of traders. When Commercials' net short positions decrease, it could signal a potential shift in sentiment towards the bullish side. This could be due to factors such as improving economic conditions, increased demand for platinum, or geopolitical events that could impact the price of platinum.
Option Sentiment
There has been a significant increase in insider option activity, with a notable number of calls being purchased at 100$ strike price. This bullish sentiment has been further corroborated by the options open interest, which has also increased.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Platinum breakthroug range.
Platinum Trade Idea: Go Long with a Price Target of $1,100Rationale:
COT sentiment
The last COT report shows that Commercials' net short positions have been decreasing, which could indicate a shift in sentiment towards the bullish side.
The COT report can be used as a tool to gauge the market sentiment of traders. When Commercials' net short positions decrease, it could signal a potential shift in sentiment towards the bullish side. This could be due to factors such as improving economic conditions, increased demand for platinum, or geopolitical events that could impact the price of platinum.
Option Sentiment
There has been a significant increase in insider option activity, with a notable number of calls being purchased at 100$ strike price. This bullish sentiment has been further corroborated by the options open interest, which has also increased.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Platinum breakthroug range.
Platinum: Not yet done 📉We currently locate the platinum price in the green wave (b). As soon as this low has been placed little further down the chart, we expect another major detour with green waves X and Y before we can consider the important low of the blue wave (b) to be completed. Please note our alternative: If the price falls directly below the support at $843.10 (40% likely), we assume that the alternative wave alt. (b) will be completed directly.
Platinum. Insider activityA curious spread has opened on Platinum with a volume of 1000 contracts. If you are familiar with the subject, you will realize that an Insider has entered the market. Such deals only appear once or twice a year. Don't miss it!
Spread Expiration - Oct 18, 2024.
!!!!!!Get a Better Trade Ideas with Us!!!!!!
Bullion Ballet: Trading the Gold Platinum RatioGold is the favoured precious metal. Its demand reflects consumer consumption of jewellery, investment demand, and monetary policy conditions. In a previous paper , Mint Finance highlighted these factors in detail.
Platinum is also a precious metal, used to create jewellery and to a small extent as a form of investment. Crucially, unlike gold (6% industrial demand), platinum (73% industrial demand) is used more extensively for industrial applications.
As gold and platinum share the source of jewellery demand, their performance is generally positively correlated.
However, due to the distinct sources of demand as well as the extent to which each precious metal is used for each application, the correlation can break. These periods can offer tactical trading opportunities to benefit from the relative performance of CME Group’s precious metals suite. Particularly in a key ratio called the Gold to Platinum Ratio (“GPR”) which measures the price of gold relative to platinum.
WHAT DRIVES THE GOLD-PLATINUM-RATIO
The GPR is affected by monetary policy. Though the ratio does not show a distinct impact upon the first-rate cuts by Fed, rapid rate cuts in response to economic crises such as recessions can cause it to rally.
The GPR increases during recessions due to investor preference for gold during times of crisis.
Interestingly, the ratio has been rising since 2008 as gold price reaches new record highs, while platinum currently faces a cyclical downturn.
RECESSION MAY BE UNLIKELY
While the GPR faces the potential to increase during a potential recession, there are signs that a recession may be unlikely in the US. US spending remains resilient and has contributed to faster than expected GDP growth in 2023. While growth slowed heading into Q4 2023, it is still expected to expand at a strong 2% in the quarter.
Moreover, the January BLS nonfarm payrolls report showed a massive 353k new jobs added. Wage growth was strong at 0.6% MoM, double the analyst estimate. Strong labour market and consumer spending in the US point to a healthier than expected economy.
INDUSTRIAL SLOWDOWN WILL STILL HAMPER PLATINUM DEMAND
In 2023, 33% of platinum’s demand came from industrial sources according to data from the World Platinum Investment Council . Platinum is used as a catalyst for several crucial industrial chemical processes. In addition, automotive demand represents a further 40% of total platinum demand.
In the automotive industry, platinum is used in catalytic converters to reduce emissions. This has been a recent driver of platinum demand due to rising emissions standards and the so-called platinum-for-palladium substitution.
In short, palladium is a Platinum Group Metal (PGM) which can be used interchangeably in automotive applications. The surge in palladium prices prompted many automakers to replace it with platinum. These changes will be in place for the lifetime of a car’s production so this trend will benefit platinum for an extended period.
While platinum is a standout among the so-called Platinum Group Metals (PGM), the industry has been facing a downturn over the past 2 years with prices sharply lower. Ample above-ground inventories as well as low investment demand has hampered platinum performance.
This downturn may not be permanent. Higher automotive demand and growth in hydrogen vehicles are expected to be long-term growth drivers for platinum.
For 2024, the World Platinum Investment Council forecasts a smaller supply deficit than 2023. This is largely due to lower industrial and investment demand as well as improved supply.
Anglo American, one of the largest producers of refined platinum stated that it expects PGM production to improve, which means ample supply.
During 2023, production was hampered in South Africa. Going forward, PGM’s are meant to be a major driver for the mining giant, so efforts to improve production are under way and management also expects prices to recover. However, continued cost pressures may force miners to scale back production.
Overall, the slowdown in chemical and petroleum demand as well as ample supply will limit Platinum’s performance in 2024, though price does face upside potential in the medium-to-long term.
BENEFITS OF TRADING THE RATIO
Platinum faces a mixed outlook in 2024, while there are several long-term demand growth drivers pushing price up, it faces uncertain but bearish production and demand outlooks for 2024.
Similarly, gold is benefiting from heightened geo-political risk and strong central bank demand but faces resistance as prices reaches new record highs and a recession looks unlikely. Mint Finance covered some of these factors in detail in a previous post .
While the outlook for both precious metals alone is uncertain, a trade on the back of the GPR favours gold.
Not only has the ratio been on an uptrend for the past decade, it has outperformed both gold and platinum prices.
Moreover, the ratio is not prone to overly large corrections. The largest drawdown in the ratio was smaller than the largest drawdown in gold and platinum prices.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
To express a position on GPR, investors can opt to use CME Group’s suite of precious metals future. Margin offset of 50% is available for a trade consisting of 1 gold (GC) contract and 2 platinum (PL) contracts. Executing a trade on the May futures contracts (GCK2024 and PLK2024), requires margin of:
(Margin for Gold Leg + 2 x Margin for Platinum Leg) = (USD 8,300 + 2 x USD 2,800) = USD 13,900 – margin offset of 50% = USD 6,950.
CME options on gold and platinum point to a bullish outlook for both but gold positioning is more bullish than platinum. As of 5/Feb, Gold options have a put/call ratio of 0.48 while platinum options have a put/call ratio of 0.75.
Consider the following hypothetical trade setup:
Entry: 2.275
Target: 2.530
Stop Loss: 2.100
Profit at Target: USD 23,013
Loss at Stop: USD 15,803
Reward to Risk: 1.46x
This position benefits when:
• Gold price rises faster than platinum.
• Gold price falls slower than platinum.
The position loses when:
• Gold price rises slower than platinum.
• Gold price falls faster than platinum.
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Has Platinum Found Temporary Bottom @880?Two daily rejections at 880 is likely what Platinum needed to commence a bullish trend towards the descending trendline above 990. A price close above 917.441 is what is left for the metal now.
N.B!
- XPTUSD price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#xptusd
#platinum
PLATINUM, WHAT IS IT AND WHY THE HECK WOULD I WANT THIS METALWhat is Platinum?
Platinum is a chemical element with the symbol Pt and atomic number 78. It belongs to the noble metals group, which also includes palladium, rhodium, iridium, osmium, and ruthenium. Platinum is characterized by its high density, malleability, ductility, and resistance to corrosion. These unique properties make it an invaluable material for various industrial applications.
Where is Platinum Found?
While platinum is relatively scarce, it is not as rare as some other precious metals. The majority of the world's platinum supply comes from two main sources: primary production and recycling. South Africa is the leading producer of platinum, contributing significantly to the global supply. Russia, Zimbabwe, and Canada also have substantial platinum deposits.
Platinum is often found alongside other minerals, such as nickel and copper, in ore deposits known as platinum group elements (PGE). Extracting platinum from these ores involves complex processes that require advanced mining and refining technologies.
Why Would You Want Platinum?
Jewelry and Luxury Goods:
Platinum's brilliant white sheen and resistance to tarnish make it a popular choice for crafting high-end jewelry. Platinum jewelry is not only exquisite but also durable, making it an ideal choice for engagement rings, wedding bands, and other fine accessories.
Catalytic Converters:
The automotive industry extensively uses platinum in catalytic converters, where it plays a crucial role in reducing harmful emissions from vehicles. Its catalytic properties make it an essential component in promoting cleaner air and environmental sustainability.
Electronics and Industry:
Platinum is a key player in various industrial applications, including electronics, due to its excellent conductivity and resistance to corrosion. It is used in the production of electrical contacts, laboratory equipment, and in the manufacturing of glass.
Investment and Financial Markets:
Platinum, like gold and silver, is considered a precious metal and is actively traded in financial markets. Some investors choose to include platinum in their portfolios as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainties.
Platinum mining is a challenging and complex process. Extracting platinum from the Earth involves several intricate steps, and the scarcity of platinum deposits adds to the difficulty of mining this precious metal. Here is an overview of the key challenges associated with platinum mining:
Ore Extraction:
Platinum is often found in combination with other metals, forming platinum group elements (PGE) deposits. Extracting platinum from these ores requires advanced mining techniques. The ores are typically low in concentration, making the extraction process more intricate than that of more abundant metals.
Depth of Deposits:
Many platinum deposits are located deep underground, which adds to the complexity and cost of mining. Deep-level mining requires specialized equipment and poses safety challenges for miners. In some cases, mines may extend kilometers below the Earth's surface.
Energy Intensity:
The extraction and refining of platinum involve energy-intensive processes. The high temperatures required for smelting and refining contribute to the overall energy consumption of platinum mining operations.
Environmental Impact:
Mining operations, especially in ecologically sensitive areas, can have significant environmental impacts. Platinum mining may result in habitat disruption, soil erosion, and water pollution. Sustainable mining practices and environmental regulations are essential to mitigate these effects.
Labor Intensity:
Mining platinum is a labor-intensive process that requires skilled workers. The complexity of the operations, coupled with safety considerations in deep-level mining, makes it essential to have trained personnel.
Market Volatility:
The platinum market is subject to price fluctuations, influenced by factors such as supply and demand dynamics, economic conditions, and geopolitical events. This volatility can impact the profitability of mining operations and investment decisions in the platinum industry.
Technological Challenges:
The extraction and processing of platinum ores require advanced technologies. Developing and implementing efficient and environmentally responsible mining technologies is an ongoing challenge for the industry.
Despite these challenges, the demand for platinum in various industries, such as jewelry, automotive, and electronics, continues to drive the exploration and extraction of new platinum sources. Innovations in mining technologies and sustainable practices are being explored to address the difficulties associated with platinum mining and ensure its responsible and ethical extraction.
THE TECHNICALS
Sharp downtrend, weak, although down, it is a support trend.
Two strong (one stronger than the other) support trends, IF UNDER, THEN BUY is probably the rule for those.
It looks like there is some downside to come, which has been showing.
The ideal price targets are thicker, and basically mean, under perfect conditions, I'd exit and enter at these levels, however, nothing is ever perfect.
AS far as what the technicals say for price, I'd say there is a good chance it can maintain $800, however, there is a possible dip showing, which takes price down to $700. Again, these are both under or at major trends, and we can say that if price gets to these levels, I have a better than average chance at profit. AND if I'm wrong, I'm backed up by multiple support lines, which means less time in the red.
Other scenario is where the bullish momentum keeps moving up at we head up to 1200 or so before hitting that huge dip. However, I tend to see this as the less likely option.
RSI is showing the dip, along with various other indicators as coming in the short term and being backed up with support and buying in the longer term, this doesn't include a black swan event, which would theoretically take the price way down, and rocket to all time highs, as platinum will likely hold value.
Good luck!!
Personal opinion, I'm bullish long term from a fundamental side and technical side.
The growth of gold, the expansion of platinumHello!
I am a big fan of the Elliott wave principle, which I find very interesting and useful for market analysis. I have developed my analytical approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and considering various scenarios that could occur in the market.
While I would like to share my analysis with you, please note that I am not providing a buy or sell signal. My primary intention is to share my unbiased analysis so that you can utilize it as a guide to make an informed decision.
To build your confidence in my analysis, I always share my previous analysis from the same market so that you can compare and see the progress. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, which should make it easy for you to understand.
I hope that my analysis is useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best.
I am looking forward to hearing from you. Lastly, I would like to mention that like-mindedness and support, comments, and likes are the most important pillars of progress, just like support points in the financial markets. They give me the energy to continue and share more ideas with you.
Sincerely
Platinum welcomes Bull Market since April 2023SInce April, we've seen the price on a strong decline from $1,143 down to $843.
It then reached a low and has consolidated around forming a Triple Bottom.
The price has broken above the downtrend along with the neckline of the pattern.
This means, we are ina bull market.
But hold up. There are two ways this can go.
EIther the market continues to consolidate and move sideways which will be a drag holding onto platinum longs. Or the bulls will do what they can to push up and take us to the target.
With the Santa Claus Rally on the way and the positive sentiment reverberating world-side, I can only hope for the latter.
My first target will be $1,094.00.
UPDATE: Impala Platinum ready to break out of bear channel?Implats has been on a downtrend for years.
Recently it's formed a falling Wedge. But it looks like the support level remains to be very strong for the bulls.
The price is back to the top of the channel and now we need a strong breakout.
The PLatinum market is looking bullish and if it follows through it will send many companies up. But we need that confirmation and stronger signals of upside to come before we take action.
Then first target for Implats will be at R120.00
XPTUSD About to test the 1D MA200. Strong buy above it.Platinum (XPTUSD) is going quite well since our October 25 buy call (see chart below) as we caught the bottom and the price is now rebounding:
The long term pattern is a Channel Up. At the moment the price is supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) buy restrained below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) where it got rejected on November 28. Even though the bottom of the Channel Up was made and the 1D RSI patterns between the two sequences are similar, we need confirmation for upward extension by a break above the 1D MA200.
If you didn't buy lower, you can wait until that level breaks, and then target the +28.55% range at $1100.
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Is Platinum Ready To Break Out?Looking at the technical picture of EASYMARKETS:XPTUSD on our daily chart, after reversing higher in mid-November, the commodity started forming higher lows. That said, it is struggling to build up higher highs, at the moment. However, that might change, if the price overshoots its key resistance area, roughly between the 944 and 952 levels. Until then, we will take a cautiously bullish stance.
A break above the aforementioned resistance area would confirm a forthcoming higher high, potentially clearing the path towards higher hurdles, as more buyers might see this as a good opportunity to step in. We will then target the 989 and the 995 levels, which mark the highest points of August and July respectively.
Alternatively, a break below a short-term tentative upside support line, drawn from the lowest point of November, could result in a further price drop, as it might spook some bulls from the field. Our next possible target could be the 890 zone, which is the current lowest point of December.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
The impact of gold growth on other metalsGreetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week.
I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further.
I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you.
I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market.
However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time.
If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes.
It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is.
No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get.
We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities.
Let's mention a few opinions and ideas!
Based on mathematics.
I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future.
Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success.
Best regards,
Mr. Nobody
Keep trying and never give up.
Good luck!
Platinum: A few more strokes🖌️The platinum price is currently in the final phase of its blue wave (ii). It has not yet been able to overcome the resistance at $947.10 and has bounced off it. In the further course, however, this should be left behind as we do not expect the end of the movement until the blue Target Zone between $966.60 and $992.20. From here, a descent should then begin and the price should fall to around $750.
Decoding Market Trends: Platinum's Dance with AI-Predicted ShiftDear Esteemed TV Members,
P latinum has been swaying within a bearish trend. However, insights from Support Vector Machines (SVMs) applied to daily candles suggest a potential weakening of this bearish momentum. This predictive analysis, coupled with a possible rising channel pattern on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicates that the bearish trend might be approaching its conclusion, paving the way for a potential shift towards a bullish scenario.
S VMs, a formidable machine learning algorithm, serve a dual purpose in classification and regression tasks. In market analysis, SVMs are invaluable for identifying candlestick patterns, forecasting price momentum, and pinpointing crucial support and resistance levels. As per my SVMs, Platinum's price seems to be on the verge of entering a support zone, marked by the blue rectangle on the chart. This support zone could act as a catalyst, drawing in sufficient demand to instigate a reversal of the trend into a bullish trajectory.
V isualizing this potential scenario, I've outlined it with blue arrows and proposed a long position in the chart. However, a word of caution: Should Platinum experience a downturn below the outlined demand zone (as indicated by the purple forecast), it would be prudent to steer clear of the long position. In such a scenario, an alternative bullish outlook may emerge, capitalizing on Platinum's oversold conditions—a phenomenon observed previously on March 19, 2020, and a possibility hinted at in the alternative blue forecast.
Happy Trading!
A crucial disclaimer accompanies this insight: This is not investment advice, and the responsibility for trading decisions rests solely with the individual. It's imperative to conduct thorough research, exercise caution, and embrace effective risk management strategies.
Best regards,
Ely
Implats support in check and ready to break up to R128.76Impala Platinum has clearly been moving in a down channel.
It's failed to break the support level at R72.29.
This means, we could be getting some buying momentum and demand, which will drive the price up.
I would wait for a solid breakout above the channel, which will signal a more promising buy.
Then my next target will be R128.76
Gold - Fade a The Short Squeeze RallyThe marketing team behind gold and silver are always telling dumb and dead money that they should "hedge" against a "collapsing US Petrodollar" during times of global instability by being long on metals.
The trade rarely works out. Gold and silver not only routinely follow the equities markets straight to Hell, but tend to get dumped during the start of new index impulse swings.
This rally while the SPX gave up its 5% rally is actually a significant anomaly.
But if the propaganda never, ever worked out, the propaganda would stop working and the marketing team would be out of a job.
And that more or less sums up a 10% monthly rally on gold that's killed short sellers who wanted to comfortably ride a trend down.
You can see on the monthly that this price action is just more ranging, more wick plays, and there's a notable unbalanced gap under $1,800.
It's really important to keep a cool head as a goldbug, especially under the condition where the establishment media is reporting that Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party is long several hundred tonnes worth of gold.
The CCP is collapsing and everything that is going on in the world has to do with the various members of the CCP around the world, who are not of the Chinese race, scrambling to bury their skeletons while also trying to ensure they can take control of the country when the regime falls.
And because of that, there's no reason to believe that a CCP that is desperately selling US Treasuries (see: Santiago Capital) for USD is going to be allowed to go plussy plus greeny green on its deeply deep goldy gold position.
What hangs over the head of everyone on this planet is the Party's 24-year persecution of Falun Dafa's 100 million students and Disciples, a sin committed by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, that has even had the audacity to commit the unprecedented crime of live organ harvesting.
Keep your distance from and wash your hands from anything related to the CCP, including the western factions that have become a particle of the Party swearing Marxist vows in Shanghai.
So, here's the trade.
Doesn't matter if gold takes $2,015. It's not the right overall timing for a new rally to $2,200.
Instead, either go short, or wait for gold to trade under $1,800 again.
There's no reason to believe gold is a new bull market until longs have been ruthlessly violated. There's no reason to believe metals are going to rally as a hedge during an international war or a major equity sell off, or a major equity rally lol.