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Platinum

Platinum Bullish Flag Set to Become a 5-wave CorrectionThe bearish price action in TVC:PLATINUM that started since Feb 2021 has the hallmarks of a bullish flag: Overlapping waves WXYXZ No significant price movement compared to the bullish impulse from Mar 2020 to Feb 2021. It has taken more than 2x the time to retrace 61.8% of the previous impulse move. Forecast: Platinum breaking below the previous low ($825), potentially hitting the $700 area near the bottom trendline of the channel Platinum bottoming at the Z wave The price bouncing back targeting the upper trendline as the first target and the previous high ($1336) as the second target.
TVC:PLATINUMLong
by DavoodWadi
1
Wide turbulent ranges for the ZARReferring back to my long-term idea posted in January (linked below “1H2023 USD/ZAR weekly timeframe”) I believe that the pair has started its 5th impulse wave higher towards the 2020 high around the 19.30’s after the failed break below the critical support rate of 16.80. The rand has depreciated for five consecutive weeks since mid-January which has seen the local unit slide roughly 7.65%. The economic calendar for this week is a heavy one with a host of local and international events and data prints which is expected to throw the pair into a wide trading range. Locally, SA’s finance minister will present the updated budget tomorrow. The main point of discussion that investors will look out for is Eskom and it is anticipated that the government will advance their plans to take on a sizeable amount of debt from the ailing power utility. The rand also faces a potential grey listing by the FATF this week. Honestly, don’t expect any local factors that will be rand positive anytime soon. Internationally, Wednesday’s FOMC meeting results will be released which will probably just support the Fed’s recent hawkish sentiment. To wrap up the week, US GDP results for 4Q2022 will be released and on Friday the US PCE price index will be updated, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. It’s difficult to make a call how these data prints will influence investor sentiment. Despite all the above factors that are undoubtedly rand negative, the rand could pull the pair lower towards the 61.8% Fibo rate of 17.84 if risk-on sentiments flow into the markets following the FOMC minutes, US GDP and PCE data prints. The rand tends to pullback aggressively after an uptrend, it overshoots like a rubber band to the top and bottom side. If this pullback materializes, buying at rates around 17.80 may be favourable. The support levels currently sit on the psychological rate of 18.00, 23.6% Fibo at 17.95 and then the critical support at 17.83 which coincides with the neckline of the broken parallel channel. I’m personally looking to leave buy limit orders between 17.75 and 17.85. A break above 18.28/18.30 will invalidate the expected pullback. Technically the daily MACD seems to be rolling over and could cross to a sell signal while the RSI is sitting in overbought zones at 67.85 which supports this expected pullback. Two factors that also support this USD/ZAR pullback is my expected pullback in the DXY and the fact that Platinum is finding support around $920 per oz (ideas linked below).
Short
by Goose96
3
Plat finding supportThe price of platinum has since January 2023 nose-dived by roughly 16% which has seen the metal fall below its 200-day MA price of $947.60 to touch lows around $910 in Feb. The metal is however finding some support on the green 61.8% Fibo retracement level of $922.85 and the longer-term blue 23.6% Fibo. Technical indicators are supporting a move higher for the metal with a re-test of the 200-day MA looking likely over the near-term. A break above the 200-day MA price will allow the metal to claw its way higher towards the 50-day MA price currently at $1012.03 in my view. The heavily oversold daily RSI and the rolling over of the MACD indicator supports this price action, but for now we need $922.85 to hold its ground. (I’m not too familiar with the fundamentals regarding precious metal prices, some references or pointers would be greatly appreciated. I mainly watch the price of plat to support my USDZAR views)
TVC:PLATINUM
by Goose96
1
Platinum long scenario Oke guys, I'm going to watch this for potential long if price give us second touch of the ATL, it showed good rejection at first touch and now I'm looking for a pullback to POI and if it comes to the marked zone, I will wait for 4H rejection candles and after that I'll consider buys. Confluences are: 1. Daily 50EMA touch 2. Nice break and retest of S/R zone 3. Bullish trend on 4H, D, W 4. 61.8% fibs 5. initially it showed rejection at the first touch of daily 50EMA Technically its looking good, but remember that we jump in longs only if we see a good 4H rejection candles at marked zone
PLong
by JivkoXristov
Platinum could rise to 1200 zoneSince the late September low and strong support from 850, Platinum has had a nice rise of around 30%. On the last trading day of 2022, the price also broke above 1050 resistance and, after confirming this break as a genuine one last week, Friday's candle is a bullish engulfing. All these are suggesting up continuation and the 1200 zone could be next for Platinum. Buy dips in the 1070-1080 zone could be a good strategy that also offers 1:2.5 R: R
EASYMARKETS:XPTUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold May Reach New All-Time Highs Early In Q3:2023My research suggests Gold may continue to rally above $2079 in early July 2023. I believe the current US/Global market crisis event is very unique - something many people fail to understand. Many professional analysts have gotten married to the 2008 market collapse scenario. I'm watching dozens of posts on social media and other sites where everyone is uber short. I don't understand why it seems so many people fail to understand the real context of the global markets right now. In my opinion, this is 2003-05 all over again - mixed with a bit of 1993~1997. Few people really understand what I'm talking about. Let's see if you can tell me what you see in the markets right now. The biggest opportunity of your life is about to unfold. Get ready for a big WAVE-5 Rally.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
3
Platinum is the one to buy and hold for yearsI've been bullish platinum for a long time now, but breakouts from such long-term ranges take time. We've seen similar shapes in crude oil and in copper, both of which have broken out. I started discussing the upcoming crude oil breakout on Twitter in 2019 already, and I've been doing the same for platinum. In time, we will surpass the all-time highs, which isn't strange considering that platinum can be used as an industrial metal to support the electrification trend. Don't expect this to breakout tomorrow. It could take until 2024, but I'm very confident that it will be a matter of time. In the short term, I am looking for a drop by possibly as much as 3-5%, which is when I will start adding to my existing position. A critical level is $1,040 and it seems likely that we will see a test of that level before we head back to the current levels. On a side note: platinum looks like it will be outperforming gold in the coming years. The gold/platinum chart is an interesting one to look at. PS: Please disregard the RSI indicator here, it wasn't supposed to be shown.
TVC:PLATINUMLong
by Birdseye88
1
Greenwashing Can Only Take You So FarSibanye-Stillwater follows a number of broader correlations. Platinum, palladium, gold, gold miners, the SA40. But until now nobody has mentioned that--because of its earnings misses lately-- perhaps the market is pricing in SSW's overextended battery metals M&A strategy. Will they ever make money on their new lithium acquisitions? Is SSW even making money in its catalytic converter recycling segment? It is the largest such company in the world, so it's worth asking. In the short term macro, global electric vehicle production is going to slow; I don't see how SSW will profit from this in the near term. Now to the technicals of my bearish bet. Breakdown from a Rising Wedge has formed into a Head & Shoulders with the second shoulder rejecting back under the 200 Exponential Moving Average after a notable increase in selling volume. Panning out on the longer term, this is a rejection from previous support of the topping structure. I do not believe that this is a breakout from an Inverse H&S nor a base breakout + retest move. I believe SSW has topped and will continue to move lower.
JSE:SSWShort
by sdeutsch95
1
Silver Breaking Out (upward). Gold/Platinum should followGold/Silver bugs - are you ready for what a lot of us have been saying for the past 5+ years. The base/bottom in metals back in 2015 was the critical base for the next big move. This upward price swing should be the next accumulation phase which will drive a speculative phase in about 3~4+ years. That speculative phase will be MASSIVE (should happen near 2027~2029). You gotta love when the world sits and waits for metals to move - then ignores the 40% rally in metals/miners in the early phase - right? Here we go.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by BradMatheny
IMplats long after a extended sideways move Target R259.69Cup and Handle has formed on Implats. The price has broken out and is meandering sideways before the next move up. Platinum companies as well as the precious metal is setting itself for great upside as investors and instiutions are piling their funds into the metal as a form of safe haven... We are going old school right now where the old ways work better than investing in unstable Cryptos... More bullish signs 7 > 21 > 200 Target R259.69 Bullish
JSE:IMPLong
by Timonrosso
Gold is targeting $1860 & $1899 - Beyond $2300 in 2023Gold is doing what Gold always does in a Deprecionary Cycle Phase - sets up a momentum base, then start to build a momentum rally. Current base level is near $1670 to $1710. Normal rally results in a $400 to $475 rally phase before exhausting. My initial targets, $1860 & $1899, are just the first stage of the rally trend. Upside targets for exhaustion should be near $2150 to $2225. Remember, this is just the start of this rally (just like in 2003~05). The real rally in Gold will start in 2027~2030. Follow my research.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny