PLUG monster rally seems to be reversingThis is another request from a follower. I am not in PLUG and am not getting in unless it sees a nice fat retracement. PLUG rallied a whopping 1900% since June (vertical line). For those who got in early, congratulations! I contemplated jumping in about two months ago but thought it was too expensive (and still think it was) but there you have it. I missed out on this one.
It seems though that it finally peaked after a sharp exhaustion move that created a couple of exhaustion gaps. Additionally, we have two spinning tops followed by a red candle, which most likely confirms the reversal of the trend.
I am inclined to think PLUG will re-test the $37 price point, which was the resistance that it broke before the exhaustion move up (white rectangle). That would also fill the first exhaustion gap. Keep in mind exhaustion gaps are the most commonly filled among all types of gaps. The 50-ema is converging around that area as well.
Other indicators also point to a move down: MACD sharp turn, Stoch is in overbought and already crossed bearish.
I think (therefore I "bias") that a move to the previous resistance would be fitting for this one so it creates some equilibrium because this rally was insane. That would about 50% retracement. I would enter for the long term around that level if we get there.
I plotted the fib retracement levels from the breakout of resistance to the top of the rally so you can have a clear guide where the price could find support on the way down (if that happens. I honestly don't see how it would not but as I always stress, the unthinkable sometimes is possible). Add the 14-ema and the 21-ema to that list of support.
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***The ideas shared here are my opinion, not financial advise to place trades. Please do your own research before buying/selling stocks***
