PM
Philip Morris (PM) AnalysisCompany Overview: Philip Morris International NYSE:PM is aggressively shifting toward a smoke-free future, with a significant portion of its revenue now derived from reduced-risk alternatives to traditional cigarettes, such as Zyn nicotine pouches and Iqos heated tobacco devices. The company's commitment to innovation and smoke-free products is reshaping its business model and driving future growth.
Key Catalysts:
Transition to Smoke-Free Products: Philip Morris now generates 40% of its revenue from alternatives like Zyn and Iqos, underscoring the successful transformation of its product lineup toward reduced-risk products.
Zyn's Strong Performance: Zyn nicotine pouches experienced 50% growth in the U.S. and global markets. PM's focus on expanding into new regions highlights the robust consumer demand for smokeless nicotine products, enhancing its growth outlook.
Hedge Fund Confidence: Renowned hedge fund manager Stan Druckenmiller recently invested in nearly 900,000 shares of PM, indicating strong institutional confidence in the company's future trajectory and ongoing transformation.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on PM above the $110.00-$111.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Philip Morris is set at $172.00-$174.00, driven by the growing revenue from smoke-free products, continued expansion of Zyn and Iqos, and significant institutional interest.
🚬 Philip Morris—Leading the Way to a Smoke-Free Future. #SmokeFreeFuture #ZynGrowth #InnovationInNicotine 🌱
PM Philip Morris International Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold PM before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PM Philip Morris International prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 109usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-7-26,
for a premium of approximately $1.22.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Philip Morris: New Motivation!Philip Morris has gained new motivation, stretching visibly higher in its chart. Still, the price has more upward distance to cover before reaching our turquoise Target Zone between $119.47 and $123.80. Once the top of the turquoise wave B has been established there, the stock should sell off below the support at $82.95 and, afterward, into our green Target Zone between $77.61 and $62.42. The low of the green wave should then initiate a bullish trend reversal. However, we consider it 35% likely that the green wave alt. has already been finished. In this case, PM would surpass our turquoise Target Zone.
PM Philip Morris International Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on PM:
nor sold the top:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PM Philip Morris International prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 92.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Philip Morris: Sleepyhead The Philip Morris stock is moving mainly sideways with only a slight hint to the upside. However, to follow our primary route again, the tired Philip should soon awaken from its slumber and regain bullish momentum. The turquoise wave B should extend into our turquoise Target Zone (between $119.47 and $123.80) to establish its high. Only afterward do we reckon with sell-offs, which should push the price into our green Target Zone (between $77.61 and $62.42). The green wave should settle its low in this range before a sustained upward move can be ventured. On the other hand, there is a 35% chance that PM will surpass our turquoise Zone, thus confirming that it is already busy with the green wave alt. .
Lookin long on PM in the very near future! Thank you as always for watching my analysis. I hope you can learn something very educational on this video. Also one thing I did not mention on this stock is the fact that the fundamental analysis on this stock looks underrated as well so that just adds more confluence. Have a blessed January!
The Shift in Momentum for PM (Phillip Morris)PM has decisively broken below the uptrend trendline, signaling a significant shift in the trend. Simultaneously, the downtrend trendline has been consistently respected, suggesting mounting selling pressure.
Therefore, it is anticipated that Phillip Morris will face substantial downside pressure in the coming weeks. As a result, the price is likely to decline toward the crucial 61.8% Fibonacci support level.
PM Philip Morris Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t bough PM after my last chart:
Then you should know that looking at the PM Philip Morris options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $100 strike price Puts with
2023-3-17 expiration date for about
$1.80 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Philip Morris has cancer. PMPivot already confirmed to the downside. Here we go. Don't smoke kids, and stay in school.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
GOLD - GC 2 HourA correction in the DX will provide Flow Info for Gold
should the Peak Inflation narrative capture the mindshare
short term.
Gold is on a knife's edge.
Boom boom directly ahead.
1780 to 1690 remains the lower range, with 1828 the
short term pivot, with 1888 the Key level for a retest of
the higher end of the short-term range.
_________________________________________________
The COT has remained aligned against the Specs for some
time, it has been largely ignored by most NextGen Goldbugs
who are malinforned and susceptible to the decade long traps
sprung by the usual suspects.
How many fines has JOM paid for rigging the COT over the
past two decades?
Too many.... A DX turn will excite the Bugs.
"it's time to Buy" .... yeah, naw, another chase trap is all it will
amount to within the Buy Zone.
Change of trend will be the new narrative - wash, rinse and repeat
for the Yellow Dawg.
Gold has Zero real utility for the coming years...
Against the Monetary Base Gold has been Left for Dead, the ST Louis
Fed maintains the Data.
____________________________________________________
Expect actions shortly, with increased VX.
Silver in the Channel Published an earlier version of this idea with more poorly drawn corridors, but it seems for the most part to be validated for the time being. I expect silver to challenge recent highs and potentially cool back down toward mid 20s once that happens (before moving up further). However it is entirely possible that once silver reaches these targets that it simply continues to tear through them - it depends on other factors, but regardless, I am LONG.
I think metals, and silver especially, will be rising moving forward both in the short, medium, and long term. Inflation is only beginning, monetary conditions are changing worldwide and the financial system is on the brink of a paradigm shift. Out with "old" thinking and in with even older thinking!
Post Script: I'm a noob here, so apologies for any miss-steps.
Philip Morris due for a struggle. PMImmediate targets 93, 90, 85.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
GBP - The money is there, if you play your cards right. One would be forgiven for being distracted by the rigmarole that is British Politics at the moment. Is the Prime Minister on his way out? I think the writing is on the wall on this one. Nevertheless, this will reward those who seek to capitalise on the captain of the ship’s scalp being acquired by his backbenchers he helped shepherd in to office.
Looking to the nearer term, inflation is on the rise, rates need uplifting, there is a cost of living crisis — fireworks will dominate today. Looking towards the news, at the outset I expect the UK news to the upside and the US news to the downside. Asia has set the tone for the global session, and indeed those who have heard her beckon, shall undoubtedly be rewarded. Make no mistake. GBP’s attractiveness with the possibility of a rate rise due to inflation and all of its woes, coupled with a Prime Minister who will seek to stay in the driving seat for a while longer (May elex will be important) Plan B measures are set to be scrapped, and for now, the luster of the pound will endure.
Buyer beware, however, in the longer term, with the ousting of the PM, issues will again come to the foray such as brexit, the cost of living crisis and an eye watering NHS backlog.
Be smart, be careful, be profitable.
*this is my first contribution. I hope it helps. I hope I’m right. Right or wrong, I will continue to post my ideas and analysis of fundamental issues which will dominate the first two quarters of ‘22.
Conversation is welcome, discourse is key.
Thank you.