XAUUSD - China, still buying gold?!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. The continuation of the movement of gold depends on the failure or failure of this channel, and you can trade in that direction. In case of breaking the bottom of the channel, we can see the continued decline and see the demand zone and buy within that range with the appropriate risk reward. Maintaining the channel has paved the way for gold to rise to the supply zone, and gold can be sold within that zone.
Recent credible research analyzing undisclosed purchases since May 2024 confirms that China has been secretly buying gold. A recent analysis has validated long-held suspicions that, since the beginning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, China has been a significant and covert buyer of gold beyond officially reported levels. Goldman Sachs had previously hinted at such activity, and new findings by the analyst at Money Metals further substantiate this claim.
According to the report, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) discreetly purchased approximately 60 tons of gold in September alone. This trend has been ongoing since May 2024, with evidence suggesting a drawdown from London reserves dating back to May this year. While the PBOC has not reported any gold purchases since April, Goldman Sachs’ NowCast data estimates that around 50 tons of institutional gold purchases were conducted by China in May through the over-the-counter (OTC) market in London.
This strategy is not unique to China. Other nations, such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia, also employ similar tactics to accumulate gold discreetly while avoiding price spikes. The covert nature of these transactions reflects their intent to bolster reserves while maintaining low market prices.
One market analyst has cautioned investors hoping for a Christmas rally in gold prices to proceed with caution, as recent volatility may signal a peak in prices, at least for this year.
Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, noted in his latest report that gold has consistently experienced price increases in December over the past seven years. However, he warned that while recent price corrections might attract bargain hunters in the final month of 2024, gold’s current high prices remain a risk factor.
In his note, Hansen stated that the greatest challenge is the 28.3% rise in gold prices this year, bringing it close to the 29.6% growth seen in 2010 and 31% in 2007. While the fundamental supportive outlook for 2025 remains intact, such significant growth could prompt profit-taking and position adjustments before the year ends.
Hansen predicted that while gold may struggle to achieve new highs in December, his outlook for 2025 remains bullish, with prices expected to reach $3,000 in the new year. He added that geopolitical uncertainties will continue to support the precious metal as a safe haven.
At the same time, the introduction of new trade tariffs on U.S. imports next year is generally perceived as a positive factor for the U.S. dollar. However, the side effects of a stronger dollar could ripple through the global economy, particularly affecting countries reliant on dollar-denominated debt, commodity trade, and export-driven growth. This dynamic might sustain interest in alternative investments like gold and silver.
Hansen further emphasized that Trump’s plans for tariffs, tax cuts, and immigration policies could exacerbate inflation and debt—two key risks that gold investors seek to hedge against.
PMI
BOJ’s Ueda hints at rate hike, yen dipsThe Japanese yen is lower on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.03, up 0.26% on the day.
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda has been hinting about a rate hike and gave what was perhaps his strongest hint on Friday. In a newspaper interview, Ueda said that interest rate hikes are “nearing in the sense that economic data are on track”. Ueda also added that the BoJ has a “big question mark” over the outlook for US economic policy, with Donald Trump taking office next month. Ueda reiterated that the central bank wants to see a sustainable rise by inflation to the 2% target and expressed concern about the weak yen, warning the BoJ could respond with “countermeasures”.
The BoJ makes its next rate announcement on Dec.19. Will it raise rates at that meeting or wait until January? The BoJ has done a poor job of communicating its intentions and after the surprise BoJ rate hike in August triggered turmoil in the financial markets. Ueda’s comments may have been an attempt to show greater transparency, although he failed to mention a timeline for the next rate hike. The markets have fully priced in a rate hike by January, with the probability of a December hike at around 60%.
In the US, it’s a busy data calendar, highlighted by nonfarm payrolls on Friday. The ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released later today, with a market estimate of 47.5 for November, compared to 46.5 in October. Manufacturing has been in a prolonged recession, with only one month of growth over the past two years.
USD/JPY tested resistance at 150.30 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 151.13
There is support at 148.89 and 148.06
Euro gains on lower Treasury yields to counter weak German dataThe Euro is back on the rise today, rising 0.2% against the US Dollar, reclaiming the 1.051 level while still remaining near its lowest levels this year.
The euro’s is capitalizing on the correction in US Treasury yields after reaching levels that seem at attractive spot to buy. This has given the euro the ability to confront the continuous stream of weaker-than-expected data, the latest of which indicated a collapse in confidence in the German economy with the lowest reading of the GfK Consumer Climate Index since last April.
The GfK headline reading was -23.3 in November, which was far below expectations. This was in light of a sharp decline in income expectations and some decline in the willingness to buy, in contrast to an increase in the willingness to save, according to the report. The report also indicated that consumers have become more pessimistic about the current economic situation, in addition to the continued dwindling hope for recovery, and this pessimism was due to the rise in insolvencies and job losses. Consumer expert at the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions Rolf Bürkl said that consumer uncertainty has increased recently, which explains the increased willingness to save.
Today's GfK report follows the Ifo Business Climate report for November, which we saw earlier this week, and also pointed to the "floundering" in the German economy amid declining business sentiment, both regarding the current situation and future expectations, with companies in the manufacturing, services and construction sectors becoming increasingly pessimistic.
These two reports also come in addition to the shocking purchasing managers' reports from S&P Global that we saw last Friday. Service activity in Germany and the eurozone contracted unexpectedly, and manufacturing activity continued to contract, amid very low business sentiment.
Meanwhile, the PMI reports have sparked renewed concerns about the health of the region's economy, especially in light of the expected trade wars with the return of Donald Trump, in addition to concerns about the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and its spiraling out of control.
This worrying economic performance has raised the possibility that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates by 50 basis points at a meeting in December, according to the Financial Times.
On the other side of the Atlantic, the Federal Reserve is cautious about the pace of rate cuts next year, and the minutes of the last meeting published yesterday further confirmed this, with policymakers talking about the need to take a gradual approach to the cuts. While Fed members see risks of a slowdown in the labor market or the economy as having diminished.
In addition, the November PMI for the US report also indicated that sentiment has recovered after the end of the presidential election, which surrounded the economy with uncertainty, and this was accompanied by a faster-than-expected expansion in services activities.
Therefore, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January is still low, at only 15%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. While the expected quarter-point cut in December is still likely.
Despite all this, we find the euro trying to rise today, amid the decline in US Treasury yields. The 10-year yield above 4.4% seems to be a buying opportunity, especially after a rate cut and relatively low inflation that has taken real yields to their highest levels since 2015.
However, the 10-year German bund yield continue to fall sharply and are at their lowest levels since early October in light of the gloomy economic outlook. While the return of Treasury yields to the rise, driven by fading hopes for the pace of rate cuts next year, has pushed the yield gap with Eurozone bonds to a widening trend, which could pressure the euro to resume its losses.
The gap between the 10-year Treasury and its German bund counterpart is 2.11%, which is close to the highest levels since last April, which we saw on Friday.
Euro could be under pressure as yield gap widensThe Euro is recovering today, rising more than 0.5% against the US Dollar, reclaiming the 1.0478 level after hitting its lowest level in nearly two years last Friday.
While today’s decline in the Dollar appears to be a correction and comes in anticipation of a series of crucial data releases this week and the following, the Euro may remain under pressure as the yield gap between the US and the Eurozone widens.
This widening of the yield gap in turn comes in light of the divergence in economic performance and concerns about the continued high interest rates in the US, as well as the rising geopolitical tensions in Europe.
Today’s weaker-than-expected Ifo Business Climate Index for November in Germany also reinforced the narrative of economic divergence, which could keep the Euro’s gains fragile. The headline reading fell more than expected to 85.7.
The report said that the German economy is floundering amid declining business sentiment, both in terms of the current situation and future expectations. Pessimism has also increased among companies about the future in the manufacturing, services and construction sectors.
However, the assessment of the current situation varied between improvement in manufacturing, retail and wholesale trade, and the most pessimistic in services, larger trade companies and construction.
Today's Ifo data adds to the shocking reports of the PMI reports for November for the eurozone, Germany and France from S&P Global, which we saw last Friday and deepened concerns and highlighted pessimism about the health of the region's economy. Services activities in the region contracted unexpectedly, and manufacturing activities deepened their contraction, in addition to the lowest levels of sentiment since September 2023.
This comes in contrast to the acceleration of service activity growth in the United States more than expected, and sentiment rebounded and reached its highest level since May 2022, which may indicate further economic expansion in the coming months, according to S&P Global.
In addition, the latest set of data from the US has heightened concerns about the pace of rate cuts next year. After the expected cut in December, markets are now pricing in only a 12% chance that the Fed will cut rates in January, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
A higher-for-longer interest rates in the US and accelerating growth could add pressure on the euro as the European Central Bank may need to cut borrowing costs more given the continued weakness in economic activity. This disparity in potential interest rate paths could also keep the yield gap between US and eurozone Treasuries on the widening trend.
The gap between 10-year Treasury yield and their German bund counterparts hit its highest level since April last Friday at 2.149% before narrowing slightly today.
In addition, real inflation-adjusted yields on 10-year US Treasuries are near their highest levels since 2015, around 1.85%. This could also increase the appeal of US Treasuries, as the real yield gap between them and their German counterparts is also more than 1.5%, which is the highest level since last February.
The escalation of geopolitical tensions could also increase pressure on the euro, following a series of mutual escalations on the Russian-Ukrainian front and concerns about the possibility of it getting out of control.
Both sides of the war are putting more pressure on each other in an attempt to extract gains ahead of any potential negotiations under the next US Republican administration. These concerns are already starting to return to the forefront and were evident in the rise in European natural gas futures (TTF) today to their highest levels this year.
GBPUSD Short and Longs (News) Scenario 1: Both PMIs Better than Forecast
Actual Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (Better than 48.8 forecast)
Actual Services PMI: 56.0 (Better than 55.2 forecast)
EUR/USD: Down - If both sectors perform better than expected, this might signal a stronger US economy, potentially leading to a stronger Dollar.
GBP/USD: Down - Similar to EUR/USD, a stronger US economic outlook could weaken GBP against USD.
USD/JPY: Up - Improved US PMI data might strengthen USD against JPY, especially if this leads to expectations of a tighter Fed policy.
Scenario 2: Both PMIs Worse than Forecast
Actual Manufacturing PMI: 48.0 (Worse than 48.8 forecast)
Actual Services PMI: 54.0 (Worse than 55.2 forecast)
EUR/USD: Up - If both sectors disappoint, this could indicate economic weakness in the US, leading to a weaker USD.
GBP/USD: Up - Weaker US data might make GBP relatively stronger, especially if UK economic indicators are not as disappointing.
USD/JPY: Down - A disappointing PMI might lead investors to question the US economic recovery, potentially weakening USD against JPY.
The Fib is just an example if we was to see a sell off it may come into play. If we not seeing a sell off the Fib will be non existent.
NAS100 - Nasdaq will reach above 21,000?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index rises towards the two specified supply zones, you can look for NASDAQ sell positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq's buying position is in the demand zone after the continuation of the corrective movement, and considering the downward sentiment at the end of the week, it should be saved quickly.
China’s Export Restrictions and Their Impact on Global Supply Chains
• China Tightens Export Controls:
Starting December 1, China will implement new regulations to tighten export restrictions on critical metals and raw materials, including tungsten, graphite, magnesium, and aluminum alloys, essential for the technology sector.
• China’s Objectives:
These measures are part of a broader strategy to manage sensitive exports and protect national interests.
• Global Market Impact:
The new restrictions are expected to disrupt global technology supply chains and introduce volatility in related markets.
Zelensky’s Perspective on Trump’s Presidency
• Zelensky’s Comments:
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the war in Ukraine could end sooner if Donald Trump returns to the White House.
• Constructive Interaction with Trump:
Zelensky emphasized that Ukraine successfully communicated its vision for peace to Trump, and he observed no opposition from Trump regarding Ukraine’s stance.
• Implications of Zelensky’s Remarks:
These comments reflect Ukraine’s hope for continued international support to expedite the resolution of the conflict.
US Economic Forecasts
• Q3 Earnings Reports from Major Companies:
This week, companies such as NVIDIA and TARGET will release their third-quarter (Q3) earnings reports.
• Federal Reserve Rate Cuts:
Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer at BlackRock, predicts that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December.
• The current Federal Funds rate range is 4.5% to 4.75%, which Rieder considers restrictive.
• Following the December cut, the Fed is expected to pause temporarily to reassess future adjustments.
Jerome Powell’s Statements and Market Reactions
• Powell on a Strong US Economy:
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the robust performance of the US economy, stating there is no urgency to lower interest rates.
• Cautious Approach to Rate Cuts:
Powell stressed that decisions should be made carefully due to uncertainties surrounding the neutral rate level.
• Market Reaction:
These statements reduced market expectations for a rate cut in December.
EURJPY | MarketoutlookThe policy divergence between the US Fed and SNB supports the pair at lower levels.
Jobless claims dropped to 227,000 for the week ending October 19, down from 242,000 the week before, suggesting some stability in the labor market. The four-week moving average rose by 6,750, reaching 231,000, which indicates that jobless claims are still showing fluctuations despite the recent decline.
The S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI increased slightly to 47.8 in October, up from 47.3 in September. However, this still shows that manufacturing activity is contracting for the fourth month in a row. On the other hand, the Flash Services PMI rose to 51.5, indicating modest growth in the services sector, which is important since it makes up a large part of the U.S. economy.
OIL: Three days breakout long on the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout ✅
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: that's my primary thesis, let's analyse the current market condition.
- Monday opened with a huge gap breaking through the previous low of week, establishing as well the high low of the new week (opening range).
- Tuesday, it almost consolidated the full day, not really interesting in terms of trading activity.
- Wednesday, the market performed the first breakout of the week, breaking the HOW, triggering long traders in the market and closing out of balance (an interesting signal)
- Thursday closed again out of balance, long traders are potentially driving this move.
- Today, Friday, the market has good chances to go reaching and targeting the closing price of last Friday, why ? because traders shorting the beginning of the week are still in profit and stops are placed above that level. After PMI 10am, if the market will setup for a buy low opportunity around the current level (yesterday HOD or London low), I will be willing to take this trade.
Short: at the moment not really into this scenario, but however, the market could retest the current high of day, failing for a reversal, day 3 longs in the market it can reverse for major move, but I repeat, the current setup is potentially long!
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
The stock market is waiting for the release of PMI and NFP!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel
If the index rises towards the supply zone, which is also at the intersection with the weekly pivot and the midline of the channel, you can look for sell positions in the Nasdaq index
A valid breakout of the downward drawn Fibonacci retracement will provide a downward path for the indicator to the specified support area and then the bottom of the ascending channel
Nasdaq - Very weak start of the stock market in September!The US100 is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its descending channel
The index has reached the target of the downward movement of its previous analysis, and you can save a part of your sales position and place your SL in profit
If the index continues to decline towards the specified demand zone, which also intersects with the midline of the descending channel, we can look for buying positions for the Nasdaq index
An upward price correction of the index will provide us with new sales position with a suitable risk reward
XAGUSD - Silver will go below 28 dollars?!Silver has been below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and has exited its ascending channel
If the downward movement continues and silver is placed in the specified demand zone, we can look for silver buying situations
Silver's upward correction will provide us with new sell positions with appropriate risk-reward
XAU/USD : More Bullish Move Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the #gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price sharply corrected to fill the FVG that had formed between $2506 and $2520. After entering the demand zone at $2506, gold experienced a strong upward movement, pushing back up to $2520! This analysis resulted in a gain of over 380 pips. Currently, gold is trading around $2505, and if it can stabilize above $2495, we can anticipate further growth. Otherwise, we may see a decline in gold prices to levels below $2490.
The Main Analysis :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
((2+4+7+13+15+18+26+36+38+69+87+101+183+209+1000+1002+1000000000+1000000001+ 1000000853)^♾️*69) + 1 !
USDCAD: Three days short traders on the market, out of balanceHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2 ✅
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout ✅
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside
Backside ✅
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, considering the levels (low of the week, July low of the month, low of day), the signal three days breakout short traders in the market, and three session setup which it looks like setting for a long trade, I would be willing to expose risk in this trade after 9:45am PMI news release. Because of MRN, this market can potentially start a move back to the current HOW.
Short: secondary, this kind of signal not necessary lead to a reversal, I will leave the 3 session setup to drive this move.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
GBP/USD Key Points
Tuesday’s UK Construction PMI came in above expectations at 55.3, the highest reading in more than two years
Time will tell whether traders are overly optimistic that the BOE will be able to cut rates relatively slower than its major rivals or whether more rate cuts still need to be discounted
GBP/USD’s bias remains to the downside and traders may look to sell this rally as long as rates remain below 1.2760 and the RSI holds below the 50 level.
In an eerily quiet week for UK economic data, GBP/USD has been taking its signal from developments elsewhere and general risk trends. The only notable data release this week was Tuesday’s Construction PMI, which came in above expectations at 55.3, the highest reading in more than two years.
Despite the strong reading (admittedly on a second- if not third-tier economic indicator), sterling has struggled to get into gear this week. Outside of the Swiss franc, the British pound is the weakest major currency since Sunday’s open.
This weakness has emerged despite the BOE being one of the least dovish major central banks looking forward. According to Bloomberg data, OIS traders are pricing in just 44bps of interest rate cuts from the Bank of England this year, or a bit below two 25bps rate cuts, compared to roughly 100bps (four 25bps rate cuts) and 68bps (almost three 25bps rate cuts) for the Fed and ECB respectively. Time will tell whether traders are overly optimistic that the BOE will be able to cut rates relatively slower than its major rivals or whether more rate cuts still need to be discounted, potentially keeping GBP/USD under pressure.
British Pound Technical Analysis – GBP/USD 4-Hour Chart
Turning our attention to the chart, GBP/USD remains in its 4-week bearish channel, despite the big rally during the first half of today’s US session.
One tool that traders can use to help handicap when a trend may break is the RSI indicator. In this case, the 14-period RSI on GBP/USD’s 4-hour chart has been stuck in a well-defined range between 30-50 since shortly after the bearish channel formed, signaling consistent, but not excessive, bearish momentum. Accordingly, bulls may want to watch to see if the RSI can break above the 50 level to either foreshadow or confirm a breakout in the exchange rate itself.
For now though, the bias remains to the downside and traders may look to sell this rally as long as rates remain below 1.2760 and the RSI holds below the 50 level.
-- Written by Matt Weller
#Bitcoin & The business cycle are intertwined!In the bottom pane is the US Purchasing managers index number
a number below 50 ( and nearly all the time below 47) means a recession/ economic slowdown is looming.
But as you can see on the rebound , as the PMI number moves above 50 and back into a expanding economy
we have seen it coincide with the great bitcoin bull markets.
Let's hope this trend continues.
USD/JPY – Surging yen improves to 15-week highThe Japanese yen continues to rally. USD/JPY is trading at 148.86 in the European session, down 0.31% on the day at the time of writing. On Thursday, the yen strengthened as much as 148.50, its best showing since May 11.
Only three weeks ago, the yen looked dead in the water. USD/JPY was trading just shy of 162, its highest level in almost four decades. Since then, the yen has been on an absolute tear, rising a staggering 7.9%, including 3.1% this week.
What is driving the yen’s spectacular turnaround? First, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates this week to 0.25%. Although rates remain at low levels, this rate increase, the second since March, indicates that the BoJ is slowly making the shift to normalization after decades of an ultra-loose accommodative policy.
The BoJ also announced it would taper its bond purchases, which is another tightening step.
Second, investors have become less enthusiastic about the US dollar now that a September cut is looking very likely and are looking to park their assets elsewhere.
The US economy is showing some signs of weakness, such as this week’s ISM manufacturing PMI for July, which posted the sharpest contraction since November 2023. This has driven funds away from the US dollar towards safe-haven assets such as the yen. Today’s nonfarm payrolls are expected to fall from 206 thousand to 175 thousand, which could further boost the yen at the expense of the US dollar.
This week’s BoJ rate hike showed that change is afoot in Japan and the government’s annual white paper on economic and fiscal policy, which was released today, supported that view. The white paper said that Japan was showing signs of breaking out of deflation, noting that businesses were now passing on costs to consumers due to increased costs from the yen’s sharp decline.
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USD/JPY continues to break below support levels. Earlier, it pushed below support at 149.19 and is testing support at 148.72. Below, there is support at 149.59
150.03 and 150.44 are the next resistance lines
EURUSD: IntradayDear traders!
A mid-term channel is clear in the chart.
A short-term channel is also there! Any breaking below the bottom of short-term channel is hunting liquidity as long as we are perfectly over the zone!
Any breaks below the zone alter the bearish scenario! Remember that Final Manufacturing PMI release if USA could change the market direction.
DXY Flagging Down 103 Soon?!Here I have DXY on the 4Hr Chart!
Price has been in quite a Downtrend since the High @ 106.517 and now with the appearance of what seems to be a BEARISH BREAK of an ASCENDING CHANNEL which if we get a VALID BREAK and CLOSE out of this Channel .. This is signs of a Strong Continuation pattern, the BEAR FLAG!
The Big Push behind this weakness comes in with the disappointing ISM Manufacturing PMI's showing quite a bit of Contraction!
Final ISM Manufacturing PMI - 51.3 Actual v 50.9 Forecast
ISM Manufacturing PMI - 48.7 Actual v 49.8 Forecast
ISM Manufacturing Prices - 57 Actual v 60 Forecast
*To Validate this Pattern, we need to see a STRONG CLOSE outside with a SOFT RETEST of the Break!
Strifor || SILVER-23/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: After yet another historical and local record for metals , this market began to correct faster than currency pairs. In silver , in particular, we have recorded a local maximum and are now confidently moving towards the support level of 29.77800 . Near this level, we consider long according to scenario №1 , taking into account the context. We also do not exclude scenario №2 , which involves buying at the 29.00 level. In both cases, we do not consider the target above the level of 31.80 , where this correction started.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || AUDUSD-23/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: We did not see another short-term growth in the Australian dollar , as a result of which we had to abandon this idea, and today it is most likely better to consider this instrument more from the seller’s point of view. The most likely maneuver in favor of the seller will most likely develop from the level of 0.66460 , which will most likely become resistance again (scenario №1) . However, a close above this level, especially on the daily chart, will immediately restore confidence in buying, and selling will have to wait.
Scenario №2 is more conservative, according to which you should look for a sale near the level of 0.67500 , after updating the local maximum.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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