$ABEV: Bullish Gartley Visible on Higher TimeframesAmbev after bouncing from the PCZ of a Bullish Gartley has held and consolidated marginally above the PCZ and while doing so has shown signs that it could continue up higher from here without a secondary retest of the 0.786 as it has Recently Broken out of a Bullish Dragon and Bounced from a smaller Bullish Shark on the Daily as well as holding the POC of the overall Harmonic Range. It has also Bullishly Broken out of a Bull Flag pattern on its ARS pairing. It could always still come back for a secondary test of the 786 retrace anyway, but due to the reasons above; I think there is a high probability that ABEV will not be going any lower than it has over the last few months and that much higher prices are in play.
POC
ETHUSDT POC| .618 Fibonacci| Price Action| Trend Today’s analysis – ETHUSDT – trading at a very pivot where a bullish expansion is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- POC Support
- .618 Fibonacci Pocket Support
- Daily S/R Support
ETHUSDT’s immediate price action is trading at a key support region that is in confluence with the .618 Fibonacci, POC, and the Daily S/R – allowing for a bullish bias.
The immediate objective is the Monthly S/R, exceeding this region will lead to a trend continuation
Overall, in my opinion, ETHUSDT is a valid long with defined risk; price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
A given skill is mastered only when consistently performed under intense pressure. If this isn’t the case, keep working on this skill until it’s proven to consistently show up under pressure. – The Mental Game of Poker
BTCUSD Pullback to Neckline Accomplished. 50% drawdown expectedSigns of reversal, market structure choppy. Flat correction in consecutive double three zig-zags on the upper boundary of a macro diagonal after an complete impulsive wave; lower highs with decrease of volume, showing lack of confidence by the buyers-side, as shown on Weis Wave Volume indicator; overbought condition.
Harmonic patterns: potential bearish Crab leading to supply. If price action don't reach this area breaking volume POC, a least a back-test to VWAP from the higher high can be occur, leading by an 3-Drives pattern. High possibility of a POC back-test @ preferencial 14,6% Fibonacci retracement zone. Plus AB=CD bearish projection leading to the micro demand zone.
Strong hidden bearigh divergence on CCI oscillator.
Short position swing perspective: if price broke weekly pivot level @ 21009 with strength, possible intermediary target @ 18229 support. The price can retrace to the pivot.
MACRO
Weekly price action: the price made a strong bearish candlestick pattern Harami Cross.
The price is trading in a broadening structure like a ending diagonal formation.
Weekly scenario: price pulled back to neckline from the major Head and Shoulders back-testing the VWAP from ATH. In a potential fractal from the 1st test of this VWAP, in which the same Harami Cross performed in an overbought condition, showing that a strong supply was reached.
In addiction to the fractals, I've selected the local choppy structure and calculated the pivots by the sum of high+low+close:3, resulting in a key level exposed, in which price retraces before continue the decline in an impulsive bearish leg-Down.
Expectation: possible lower low if a throw-over occurs in a breaking of the expanding diagonal structure. this can be lead price to touch the same 88,6% Fibonacci level as occurred historically in all corrections. Therefore, a drawndown of 50% to the 11k level seems strongly possible,
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Bitcoin is about to complete it's first Wave 1 Grand Super Cycle bull run, in which actual point seems to be forming a ending diagonal of 5th impulse wave.
DOTUSDT Range VAL| .618 Fib| Psfp| Price Action Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – DOTUSDT- rejection of from a key level and is now rotating towards the lows,
Points to consider,
- Price action impulsive
- POC S/R Support
- .618 Fiboancci Support
- Range VAL Support
DOTUSDT’s immediate price action is trading towards an area that has technical confluence with the .618 Fiboancci, VAL and the POC region, this allows for a bullish bias.
Holding support at the technical level will allow for a bounce back towards the range high,
Overall, in my opinion, DOTUSDT is a valid long with defines risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Hope is bogus emotion that only costs you money.” – Jim Cramer
Bearish seahorse transforming into a dragon
This is a sequel to my previous idea .
As we predicted, BTC substantially formed a bearish seahorse pattern, which induced a sharp drop already matching a roughly 1.5 BC extension from point D.
I expect a bearish dragon follows next.
The target is 0.786 retracement from the top to the "tail" (point X) of the sea horse, which is approximately the 21200-21250 zone where we would see a confluence with POC.
EURUSD POC/ Daily S/R| .618 Fibonacci| Price Action Evening Traders,
Today’s Forex Analysis – EURUSD – trading directly at its VAH where a rejection is plausible,
Points to consider,
- Price action impulsive
- POC S/R Support
- Daily S/R Support
- .618 Fibonacci Confluence
- Psfp Confluence
EURUSD’s immediate price action is rejection from its VAH, increasing the probability of a pull back into support confluence of the POC, Daily S/R, .618 Fibonacci and Psfp – allowing for a bullish bias.
The immediate objective is the Daily S/R, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation and an establishment of a higher low.
Overall, in my opinion, EURUSD is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps!
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Sometimes the best trade is no trade.” – Anonymous
Ethereum capitulation coming?ETH is resting at short term Point of Control at 1175 / 1235 range. If this point of control is lost we can test the 1200/1000 levels and pursue further sell pressure. All time historical Volume point of Control is between $100 and $200. If you are leverage trading make sure you set your stop losses near the low volume ranges where the price can lose stability and volatile movements may occur.
Flawed concepts: the way they sell volume & market profilesImagine daily profiles put on each day on the chart, and let the words in purple provoke some fruitful doubts in your mind.
The presented and advertised way of using volume & market profiles is essentially a way of approximating the real levels. This way is very bad.
1) The most fundamental and very obvious flaw is that it disregards the sequence of events. You can take a chart, reshuffle bars in order, or lol, just invert it horizontally. and you'll end up with different charts that have the same profile. All good bro? It's time series lol, sequence does matter. That's why you can't use profiles and non-weighted stats unless you have a very specific goal;
2) 70% rule, normal distributions & standard deviations have nothing to do with aggregated tick data. As a process, it can all can be modeled as a morphing distribution, a constant fight between normal and uniform distributions, the double auction dynamic distribution. But yeah, ofc course you can't read it in a book, gotta think for yourself a lil aye? In normal distribution 70% make sense, in the uniform one it makes sense to consider 100% (the whole distribution) as the area of interest. So overall it's somewhere in between 70 and 100. Also, confirmed with my R&D, bots give the best performance when a price channel includes 80-90% of data (mostly 80), best metrics converge around this number;
The real way to use profiles is when you consciously need to disregard an order of events within a certain period and have some kind of summary of it. It's applicable when a certain period has some distinguishable significance: when levels are formed, positioned and cleared. There, you are not really interested in order of things within these events, rather in summaries of these events, there you're doing the right thing. Otherwise, POCs of 'every' period doesn't have equal significance. Summarizing volumes within a week/day/months etc, making a profile & taking 70% so you gonna get VAHs and VALs of it won't magically calculate you the real levels, only approximate em, but 4 real there are better and less computationally intensive ways of doing it, just get a box plot with 10th and 90th percentiles.
This video might be really mind opening for you, I really respect it & its creator.
If you wanna know how to find levels 4 real, check the linked ideas & use it with pleasure.
strong resistance level on the round number. Good entry pointThe asset is traded on volumes. The price approached a strong resistance level on the round number - $ 1.2. We can observe periodic flashes of volumes that ended in shadows, which indicates the weakness of the buyer. An inclined level in support has formed, we shake it. I expect a breakdown and movement to the volumetric level of POC - 1.135$
🔥🚩POINT OF CONTROL: THE MOST USEFUL TOOL FOR TREND TRADER🔥 Hi friends! Point of control is a part of volume profile indicator and very useful tool to identify upcoming BTC or any other asset move. I will explain you how to use this tool in your trading and make a good profit in this idea.
💹 Horizontal Volume Indicator or Volume Profile is a simple indicator that helps to identify: value areas (support or resistance zones), points of control and liquidity gaps.
📊 HOW TO USE POINT OF CONTROL
Point of control (red line on the chart) is the place of the largest accumulation of liquidity. We can say that this is the place of "the biggest battle between bulls and bears":
🔥the point of control becomes a resistance in case of "bears' victory" and crypto start to fall
🔥the point of control becomes a support in case of "bulls' victory and crypto start to grow
🚩 When one of the sides wins the "battle", this is the best time to enter the trade in short or long.
✅ No matter how complicated this tool looks, it is very easy to use:
1. extend the volume profile indicator from the lows to the highs. The indicator automatically shows the largest accumulation of liquidity showing POC (red line).
2. wait until the price tests the POC as support or resistance . From time to time the price can consolidate directly on the POC, which indicates the "battle" of long and short traders.
Pay attention to the chart. I have selected for you 4 cases of using POC on the volume profile:
1. Bitcoin just touched the POC at $39,700 and bounced up 72%.
2. the price tested the POC as resistance at $61,100 after which the price fell by 45% from the absolute highs.
3. Bitcoin consolidated around the POC at $39,000 for some time. The price fell by 31%.
4. POC is at the price of $19,150 per Bitcoin. Now you have to expect the price to return to this level and carefully watch the price reaction on POC.
🔥If the POC is tested as resistance , then it is very likely that we will see the level of $13,000-14,000 for BTC.
🔥If the POC is tested successfully as support , then the price will be able to make higher highs and start a bullish trend for Bitcoin. I talked about this scenario in previous ideas.
🚩 HOW TO ADD VOLUME PROFILE INDICATOR WITH POC TO YOUR CHART?
3 steps to add the indicator to your chart:
1. open "prediction and measurement tools" at the left part of chart
2. choose the "Fixed Range Volume Profile"
3. choose the price range from some date till another date.
So now you can see all important value areas and point of control.
✅ Point of control help you to identify the power of bulls or bears on different timeframes and make the right trading decision in the most of cases. Personally, I use this tool effectively for swing trading and scalping as well.
Traders, do use this indicator and such tools as POC in your trading? What is your favorite idicator for trading? Let me know in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
The coin is traded on volumes. Support for the POC volumes levelThe price broke through the inclined level and fixed higher. The coin is traded on volumes. After the impulse, we returned to the retest. At the bottom there is support for the POC level, stop for the level. I recommend entering the position from $ 4.723. First goal - 4.85$
How to trade using Value Areas and POC?A few key concepts when using Market Profile in your trading:
1) Point of Control (POC) acts as price magnets, as they represent the price level where most time was spent during a trading day. Price tends to gravitate towards them.
2) Naked (Not visited) POC acts as stronger magnets than visited POCs.
3) When price enters / breaks into a Value Area, which represents a range of "fair value", price tends to visit the other end of the Value Area. For example above, the price breaks up from the Value Area Low before end of day yesterday, hit the Value Area High this morning.
You definitely won't find these key levels and ranges with traditional support and resistance lines drawing methods. Using Market Profile will give you the edge to become a better trader.
See my previous 2 posts:
SPX hitting huge excess area, which way will it go next?As you can see, the price is sitting in a large excess range, trying to push higher with the bullish momentum since the opening. Looks like it is feeling lots of selling pressure. But if we can break up and into the higher naked value area, there is great opportunity for a bull run to the value area high. Otherwise, we might go back to the value area from yesterday's price action. What's your take?? Will we go up or down?
Logscale Bearish Butterfly and Bearish ABCD Attempting RetestThis is a potential Logscale Butterfly at the PCZ of a logscale ABCD after declining 50 percent from the low to high of the Butterfly on the first attempt at breaking the PCZ. This may be the second attempt to break through the PCZ which if it fails could take us down much lower towards BTC's lifetime POC.
EURJPY – SHORTThe possibility of selling from the Major Resistance Level and Supply Zone. Sell on a false breakout! The target is POC level in Demand Zone.
EURJPY – SHORT
ENTRY PRICE - 146.550
SL - 148.000
TP - 142.200
Always follow the 6 Golden Rules of Money Management:
1. Protect your gains and never enter into a position without setting a stop loss.
2. Always trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1 to 1.5 or better.
3. Never over-leverage your account.
4. Accept your losses, move on to the next trade and trust the software.
5. Make realistic goals that can be achieved within reason.
6. Always trade with money you can afford to lose.
Please leave your comment and support me with like if you agree with my idea. If you have a different view, please also share with me your idea in the comments.
Have a nice day!
WTI Crude Oil headed for 96?Following a 3-day pullback from 93.64, WTI produced a bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart which closed back above the 20-day EMA. Given the strength of the rally from the 76.30 low, we suspect a corrective low has been found.
The 4-hour chart shows that there was a lot of trading activity around 87.60 since the September low (which marks the volume POC / point of control). But also note that yesterday's low held above a previous bullish engulfing candle on the 4-hour chart, rebounded above the 200-bar EMA and a bullish engulfing candle closed firmly above trend resistance. Prices are pulling back in Asia so we're now looking for opportunities to enter long above the 88.0 area / monthly R1 pivot point, and anticipate prices to retest the 94 highs and head for 96 - or even the high around 97.66.
BTCUSDT Swing Short Targets 20900, 20200, Naked POCsSwing shorts to 20900 and 20200 are a very good bet.
These are NPOCs from July 5, 6, and 7.
It is rare when the price does not return to a previous POCs, so they are very good targets.
POCs from HTFs (higher timeframes) are especially good targets because the higher time means more volume during that time period than LTFs (lower time frames)
The volume at a POC is too significant for traders to not bring the price back to it.
Until the price the returns to that POC, the POC is naked.
On Bybit's BTCUSDT perp market, the daily POCs from July 5, 6, and 7 are naked on a 1 tick bid/ask profile chart.
The POCs are
20900
: July 7
20200:
July 5 AND July 6
POCs (naked and virgin)
POCs are points of control. They are prices that had the highest volume during a time period. The high volume at that price means traders are strongly motivated to bring the price back to that POC value.
After a time period has closed, until the price returns to the POC of that period, in the jargon of order flow trading, the POC is called a naked or a virgin POC.