DOT → Rocket to the Upside? This Simple Analysis Answers That!DOT reversed from $5.88 into a bear channel on November 11th and had three pushes down that ended 10 days later. This point of impact included contact with the 200EMA which resulted in a large bull bar closing near its high. So is the bear channel over and this bull flag play out?
How do we trade this?
The current price area is crucial to whether or not we long here. If this bar closes on or near its high it will be yet another strong bounce off of the 200EMA forming a higher low. Such an occasion gives us enough justification to enter a long position, placing a stop below the 200EMA and targeting the previous high when the bear channel started.
It should be noted, that the price is below the 30EMA and the bear channel resistance, so watch out for resistance at these levels. Be prepared to either take some profits at the bear channel resistance or get out if the price action begins to show signs of reversal, such as strong bear candles closing on or near their lows.
Taking selling half of your position for profit at bear resistance gives you about a 1:1 Risk/Reward. You could move your stop loss up to break even, and then you've locked in profits. The remaining half of your position becomes a bonus at the 1:3 Risk/Reward, which should allow you to make more rational decisions in your trade management.
Trade Idea
Long Entry: $5.14
Stop Loss: $4.92
Take Profit: $5.80
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
Key Takeaways
1. Bear Channel/Bull Flag, Look for Long Entries.
2. Three pushes down, Bear Capitulation Candle on the Third.
3. Strong Bull Response on 200EMA, Reversal Evidence.
4. Currently forming a higher low, wait for the Candle to Close.
5. RSI coming up from 33.00, Bias to Long.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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