MATIC → Polygon Pullback to $0.35 then $0.70? Let's Answer.Since my February 3rd update, MATIC has remained in a trading range, as expected. We found resistance at $1.25 and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on MATIC?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, MATIC found resistance at the Resistance Zone of $1.25 after two pushes up in the trading range followed by two legs down, leaving us below the Support Zone at a low of $0.50. We now see the price finding support in this area, and it has yet to show signs of strength.
It's not reasonable to enter a long here given that we lack a strong bullish candle close. We need to wait for a strong candle at this support area, but I believe it's more likely we will fall to the triangle low of around $0.31. Look for a signal and confirmation candle in this area then enter a long. Once that target is hit, take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in MATIC.
A final point of data is the RSI low and above the moving average of around 37.00. This indicates we are into the swing high and a long entry at this stage is warranted.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.40
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.27
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.53
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.66
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two legs up toward a resistance zone in a triangle
2. Resistance met at $1.25, two legs back toward the triangle low
3. Look for a break below the triangle to the triangle low
4. Long entry justified after strong bull candle close near triangle low
5. RSI at 37.00 and below the moving average. Supports a long entry
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
Polygonsignals
MATIC → Polygon Showing Reversal Signals? A Short Scalp is Near!MATIC (Polygon) is holding above the Daily 200EMA support and has yet to break it after making contact 5 times since breaking it. So why is a short scalp reasonable?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We have a few good reasons to be looking for a counter-trend trade; There have been several sell-offs in the $0.95-$1.10 range, a very strong sell-off at $1.10, the 200EMA support has been tested 5 times which adds to the probability it will be broken, and the RSI is at 50.00 and below the moving average.
These data points tell us it's time to start looking for counter-trend setups, but we cannot enter a trade until we see confirmation to enter. What we need is a final test of the $0.98 area to get a good entry around $0.93-$0.95. From there, we can short half of our position to the 200EMA ($0.79), take profits, move our stop loss up to our entry price, and then swing the rest of the position down to the Support Zone at $0.665.
Taking profits at the 200EMA is about a 1:1 Risk/Reward if our stop is placed just above the previous high at $1.11. That is a reasonable scalp, and the rest, being a bit lower probability of success, allows us to swing the second half of our position without the worry of losing money. We could repeat this approach until either the 200EMA Support breaks or the $1.10 high breaks and stops us out, which lets us know the upward momentum isn't done yet.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $0.95
🟥 Stop Loss: $1.11
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.79
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.67
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1.75
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Several Sell Signals at Key Resistance area of $0.95 to $1.10
2. Strong Sell Signal After Hitting $1.10
3. Wait for One More Failed Attempt to break $0.95
4. Short a Sell Signal off of $0.95-$1.00 Price Area, Stop Loss above Previous High of
5. RSI at 50.00 and below Moving Average.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first support target in a short trade, or the first resistance target in a long trade. You can then move your stop loss up to your entry price and watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading price action
2. Chart analysis
3. Trade management
4. Trade psychology
MATICUSD One more correction left before going parabolic!It has been a little over 2 months since our last analysis on Polygon (MATICUSD), which eventually hit our 0.7000 target (see chart below) and has now broken above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since March 13 2023:
As you can see on this 1W time-frame, we are about to get a Bullish Cross between the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA100. That will be the first in MATIC history but we do not expect it to create the conditions for an immediate rally. Based on the same long Accumulation Phase of the previous Cycle, the rally started after the price broke below the 1W MA50 one last time.
Once that happens, we will turn bullish on MATIC again for the long term and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 5.000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MATIC Another Leg Down? Or Will We Bounce To The Upside?MATIC is currently pulling back from its fanning bull channel into a bear channel that currently has two pushes down. This could be a 2-legged trap and the completion of the pullback before heading toward the upside.
How do we trade this?
In the short term, we should be looking for shorts since we've identified this bear channel. If the current 4HR candle closes on or near its low, that's a reasonable short setup to take with a tight stop above the bear channel resistance (4HR 30EMA). A 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio should be the target take profit in this setup while keeping a close eye on that 200EMA showing support. If a bull bar closing on or near its high shows itself, time to get out. The RSI is around 45.00 and above the Moving Average, not a strong indicator for either direction, but there is room to fall.
Key Points
1. Bear Channel, Bias to Short.
2. Two Pushes Down, Looking for a Third!
3. The 200EMA may act as support.
4. RSI around 45, Indecisive.
5. Third leg down, small position Short.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
MATICUSD Double bullish break-out.Polygon (MATICUSD) closed yesterday above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in 6 months. At the same time it broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Falling Wedge pattern since February 18. The 1D RSI was already on a Higher Lows Bullish Divergence since Augst 22 so this is a technical bullish break-out for the long-term. Our target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 0.7000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MATICUSD one last pull-back before the $1.80 targetPolygon (MATICUSD) has been trading and closing below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since March 02. It is within a Channel Up, repeating an easily recognizable pattern every time it drops and prices the Channel's Low for the ultimate buy. Currently, there is one last pull-back leg left on or slightly below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) in order for the 1D RSI to turn oversold around 30.00, before the new Low is priced. We will buy this pull-back and target $1.80 on the long-term.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MATIC (POLYGON) WILL RISE BEFORE DECLINEMATIC (POLYGON) will rise around 38% to 50% for the B wave and after it will draw to the downside for the C wave to reach the target of the 2nd wave. We can see the leading diagonal (rising wedge) on minute wave 1st. When we saw the leading diagonal on 1st wave then the correction for the 2nd wave is generally 61% and the 61% area exactly match with the previous 4th which is also known as a 2nd finishing point so most probably we will finish the correction around $1.5 and I had drawn the target zone as well on the chart. For now, every bounce back is the selling opportunity for traders, and for the investor to wait for 2nd wave correction to finish then you can go long from there.
DISCLOSURE - Please be informed that the information I provide is not a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of my work is for educational purposes only. All labeling and wave count have been done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans. Try to learn Elliott Wave or other strategies and make your own strategy. Following is not that much easy. I am not responsible for any losses if u took the trade according to my trade plans.
#MATIC #POLYGON
MATICUSD Bullish break-out possible to $3.00MATICUSD has been trading within a Channel Up (green pattern) and Higher Lows since July 20 market bottom. It was when the MACD indicator made its lowest Bullish Cross formation and we've seen the same Bullish Cross pattern on every Higher Low contact on that Channel Up with the most recent being in the last week of November. As you see this Cross is always the beginning of a new rally within the Channel Up.
There has been a Diverging Channel Up (red lines) mostly based on Higher Highs that has an upside limit right now around 2.600 - 2.700. If that breaks, Polygon should target $3.0, which is the decelerated rise percentage since the September 05 High and also slightly below the 2.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
The price has been supported on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) since November 16 and on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) since July 20. Based on the MACD, we may be at the start of a strong 1 month rally.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
