Portfolioperformance
Here's How You CONSOLIDATE Your Portfolio Into WinnersGoing through my entire portfolio to judge performance vs Solana, which has been my golden goose this cycle.
I bought TSX:FIL in October 2023.
If I put that money in Solana instead, I’d be up 345% vs breakeven right now.
Obviously I’m selling that position here and flipping it into CRYPTOCAP:SOL
How to compare:
Jump onto TradingView and on the chart name type:
BINANCE:SOLUSDT/BINANCE:FILUSDT
You can swap out tickers and exchanges to compare your own portfolio.
Hindustan Composites Ltd-Ready for a upside moveHindustan Composites Ltd has been showing consistent up move and it has recently given a handsome breakout at Fibo level 0.50. Moreover, it is showing a consistent increase in its order book with the major buyer being Indian Railways.
It is also trading below its 5-year average PE ratio.
All these factors help us conclude that the stock is a good buy at the current level.
All the best!
Capital Distribution by Time and Portfolio - CryptoHey traders,
In this post, I'll be sharing a simple capital distribution strategy that I use for my crypto portfolio. This strategy is designed to help you allocate your capital across different timeframes and asset types in order to maximize your potential returns while minimizing your risk.
Capital Distribution Strategy
Here's how I break down my capital:
40% - HOLD (Monthly chart): This capital is allocated to long-term investments that I believe have the potential to appreciate significantly over time ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD mostly). I typically enter these positions based on a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
30% - Long Term (Weekly chart): This capital is allocated to assets that I plan to hold for a period of 3 to 6 months. I typically enter these positions based on technical analysis and market sentiment.
20% - Spot (Daily chart): This capital is allocated to short-term trades that I plan to hold for 1 to 2 weeks. I typically enter these positions based on technical analysis and market momentum.
10% - Futures (1-4 hourly chart): This capital is allocated to leveraged trades that I plan to keep for up to 3 days. I use futures trading to amplify my potential returns, but I also recognize that it comes with increased risk. I typically enter these positions based on technical analysis and market volatility.
Choosing Entry Points
As you can see, the entry points for my different capital allocations vary depending on the timeframe and asset type. This is because the risk tolerance and potential rewards associated with each type of trading are different.
HOLD and Long Term : For these long-term investments, I take a more conservative approach and focus on fundamental analysis to identify projects with strong potential. I also use technical analysis to confirm my entry points and manage my risk.
Spot and Futures : For short-term trades, I rely more heavily on technical analysis to identify trading opportunities. I use a variety of indicators and chart patterns to spot potential entry and exit points.
Benefits of this Strategy
This capital distribution strategy has several benefits:
Diversification: It helps to diversify your portfolio across different timeframes and asset types, which can help to reduce your overall risk.
Flexibility: It allows you to adjust your capital allocation based on your market outlook and risk tolerance.
Potential for Growth: It has the potential to generate significant returns over time, as you can benefit from both long-term and short-term trading opportunities.
Disclaimer
Please remember that this is just a general strategy, and it may not be suitable for everyone. It's important to do your own research and understand the risks involved before making any trading decisions.
Additional Tips for New Traders
Start small: Don't risk more money than you can afford to lose.
Learn the basics: Take the time to learn about technical analysis and fundamental analysis.
Practice on a demo account: Before you start trading with real money, practice on a demo account to get a feel for the market.
Manage your risk: Use stop-loss orders and other risk management techniques to protect your capital.
Be patient: Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Don't get discouraged if you don't see results immediately.
I hope this post has been helpful. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a comment below.
Happy trading!
How to Build Your Portfolio Like a Professional InstitutionInvesting at the institutional level involves a sophisticated blend of strategies, risk management, and performance measurement to achieve optimal returns. One of the cornerstones of creating an institutional-grade portfolio is the use of optimization methods, with particular focus on ratios such as the Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio. In this guide, we'll delve into what these ratios are, how they differ, and when to use each to construct a robust institutional-grade portfolio.
Understanding the Ratios
Sharpe Ratio
Definition : The Sharpe Ratio, developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, measures the performance of an investment compared to a risk-free asset, after adjusting for its risk. It is calculated by subtracting the risk-free rate from the return of the portfolio and dividing by the standard deviation of the portfolio's excess returns.
Usefulness : This ratio helps investors understand how much excess return they are receiving for the extra volatility that they endure for holding a riskier asset. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates a more attractive risk-adjusted return.
Sortino Ratio
Definition : Similar to the Sharpe Ratio, the Sortino Ratio also measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment portfolio. However, it differs by only considering downside volatility (negative returns) rather than the total volatility of returns.
Usefulness : This focus on downside risk makes the Sortino Ratio particularly useful for investors who are more concerned about potential losses than the overall volatility. A higher Sortino Ratio indicates that the portfolio is efficiently earning more on its downside risk.
Omega Ratio
Definition : The Omega Ratio is a more comprehensive measure that divides the returns above a certain threshold (typically the risk-free rate) by the returns below that threshold. It considers all the moments of the distribution of returns, not just the first two moments (mean and variance) like the Sharpe and Sortino ratios.
Usefulness : This ratio is especially valuable for portfolios that do not follow a normal distribution of returns, providing a more holistic view of performance across different risk levels. A higher Omega Ratio indicates better performance per unit of risk.
How They Differ
The primary difference among these ratios lies in how they measure risk and returns:
Sharpe Ratio considers the total volatility (standard deviation) of portfolio returns, treating all volatility as equal.
Sortino Ratio improves on this by focusing only on downside risk, which is more relevant for investors concerned about losses.
Omega Ratio goes further by considering the entire distribution of returns, offering insights into the performance across all levels of risk.
Situational Use
Sharpe Ratio : Ideal for general comparisons of portfolio performance where the investor is concerned with both upside and downside volatility. It's particularly useful when comparing portfolios or investments with similar risk profiles. This ratio is commonly used by most large financial institutions due to the large sums of money they manage and ensuring portfolio stability is prioritized over larger profits.
Sortino Ratio : Best used when the investor's primary concern is with the downside risk rather than total volatility. This ratio is suitable for portfolios where strategies are aimed at minimizing losses rather than capturing every potential upside. This ratio is used by investors who are able to stomach more volatility in their portfolio in return for a higher probability of gains while effectively reducing equity downside.
Omega Ratio : Most beneficial for analyzing portfolios with non-normal distributions of returns, such as those including options, leveraged investments, or hedge funds. It provides a nuanced view of performance across different levels of risk, making it suitable for sophisticated investment strategies that aim to manage risk in a more granular manner. Due to the nature of this ratio, only investors who have a larger risk appetite and require aggressive growth should use this ratio as the omega ratio will not necessarily be affected by high portfolio drawdowns as long as the runups are significantly higher. This means a portfolio could experience a 60% drawdown, followed by a 1000% runup, and the Omega Ratio calculation would return a high value as the probability of gains still outweigh the probability of losses.
Conclusion
Constructing an institutional-grade portfolio requires a nuanced understanding of both the opportunities and risks present in the investment landscape. By leveraging the Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega ratios, investors can better assess the risk-adjusted performance of their portfolios, tailoring their investment strategies to meet specific risk and return objectives. Whether you're managing a conservative fund focused on minimizing losses or a dynamic portfolio seeking to capitalize on market inefficiencies, these ratios provide critical insights that can help optimize your investment approach for superior risk-adjusted returns.
Updated Portfolio: Growth, Momentum & InnovationHere is the link to our updated portfolio which has been up by > 12% last week:
www.tradingview.com
META is a new stock in our portfolio. A 5.8% position has been added today.
Selection Criteria:
Introducing our cutting-edge trading strategy, a synergy of Cathy Wood's keen fundamental analysis and Mark Minervini's acclaimed trend template criteria.
Imagine having the foresight to identify high-potential technology stocks that are not just promising on paper but are actively demonstrating robust performance in the market. That's the core of our approach. We meticulously select stocks that Cathy Wood's methodology identifies as leaders in technological innovation, ensuring that each company has a solid foundation for growth. But we don't stop there.
We apply Mark Minervini's trend template to verify that these stocks are not only fundamentally sound but are also in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend. This dual-layered strategy ensures that you're investing in companies that are both revolutionizing their industries and are currently capturing the market's momentum.
With our trading strategy, you're not just betting on potential; you're investing in technology stocks that are set to soar, backed by the analytical prowess of two of the most respected names in the trading world. Join us, and be part of a select group of traders who demand the best of both worlds: groundbreaking innovation and proven market trends.
My secret to being a profitable Swing Trader: The TPIA Quick Reminder!
It's important to have a good list of alt coins with good fundamentals, when you want to pivot over to hold altcoins like I show here!
The Trend Probability Indicator (TPI) is a powerful tool utilized in modern portfolio theory to assess whether a market is experiencing a bullish or bearish trend. By integrating multiple systems, including machine learning algorithms, the TPI provides valuable insights into market conditions and helps investors make informed decisions.
The TPI integrates eight systems, including a machine learning algorithm based on a kernel regression model.
It analyzes market trends and determines the overall market structure (bullish, bearish, or neutral).
The TPI value ranges from -1 to +1, with -0.2 to +0.2 indicating a neutral or ranging market.
Positive TPI values indicate bullishness, negative values suggest bearishness.
The TPI incorporates machine learning to predict future market movements.
Investors can use the TPI to evaluate trend probability and make informed portfolio decisions.
By using the TPI to compare the strength of cryptocurrency pairs, investors can gain valuable insights to make strategic investment decisions and optimize their portfolio performance while managing risk effectively.
It gives you these additional super-powers to scan the market:
The TPI helps gauge the relative strength between two cryptocurrencies, indicating which one has a stronger bullish or bearish trend.
By comparing the TPI values of different cryptocurrency pairs, investors can identify favorable trading opportunities where one crypto is likely to outperform the other.
Based on the TPI analysis, investors can allocate their portfolio in a way that maximizes returns by favoring the crypto with a stronger trend while minimizing risk.
Timing Entry and Exit Points: The TPI assists in determining optimal entry and exit points for trading a particular crypto pair, improving the timing of transactions and potentially enhancing profitability.
By considering the TPI values of different crypto pairs, investors can make more informed decisions regarding risk management, such as adjusting position sizes or diversifying holdings.
The Based Algo
The Based Algo is a mean-reversion tool that uses funding, adaptive moving average lines and funding + volume to detect tops and bottoms.
Let me know if you have any questions! I linked a video that explains how we allocate between BINANCE:BTCUSDT and $BINANCE:ETHUSDT. Give it a look!
Japan on the verge of failing (reports)The selloff continued during the friday london session and seems to be an a point that would provide ideal R:R ratios with the benefit of a weekend swap farm.
The extreme swap gap between its pairs indicates a great opportunity to reposition yourself or start building a position that could expand in the first couple of weeks of March.
AUDCHF CORRELATION RELATIONSHIP SLIPAUDCHF made an attempt early last friday to close the difference in the gap created from last Monday to Last Tuesday in its positive correlation tree , i see great value in a short position as a stand alone sell as well as a re balance opportunity adjustment if your portfolio can yield the short side of this pair.
A long position on GBPUSD could reduce / eliminate your exposure at this if your risk / tolerance exposure is less than 2 deviation point (measure form last Monday to today). Always ATR ADR to balance your hedges if you choose to do so.
Position will be constantly updated.