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How I Position Size: sizing positions as an active investorHey, guys. Wanted to cover a brief overview of how I size my positions of late as I think about how to invest/trade a trend. I will plan to mark this video as an analysis video. Middle part of the video will be reviewing my past activity in NASDAQ:RIVN and how that has helped me learn to temper position sizing as much as possible. After the Eleven Minute mark, I take the opportunity to review $NYSE:NCLH. I talk a little bit about what position sizing might look like there as well. Position sizing is certainly the most important aspect of trading - especially as you are looking at taking part in long term trends. The volatility within a long term trend can be quite significant (which of course can present opportunities in its own right) and you want to put yourself in the best position to take advantage of a great, long term move. To me, this means entering a position with responsible size so that you are not exiting a potentially great trade too early, or, even worse, with a loss. Anyway, hope you guys enjoy, and best of luck out there!
NYSE:NCLHLong
by redykhouse
XRP Price Analysis: Potential 20% Drop Amid Key Support LevelsXRP is currently trading within a box pattern, with a lower high suggesting a higher probability of a downside breakout. If the crucial support level of $0.5213 is lost, there is a 20% potential drop in price, targeting $0.4164. If you are holding XRP, you might consider selling, or alternatively, you could take a short position upon a clear break of the $0.5213 level. Given the importance of this support, a sharp decline is expected if it breaks. Keep an eye on this critical zone for any significant moves.
Short
by saeedalipour93
SUI: Hurst Cycles and Elliott Wave Align for Potential UpsideSUI is following the Hurst cycles quite closely, with the price movement rising and falling in line with these time-based signals. These cycles give us a useful indication of when certain price actions may occur. Given that the peaks have aligned well with the midpoint of previous Hurst cycles, we could see more upside for SUI in the short term. Additionally, the Elliott Wave pattern (1,2,3,4,5) further supports the idea of potential continued upside. This signals a possible hold for now, as we wait for either a break of the upper trendline, which could lead to higher highs, or a reversal, keeping SUI within its current channel. Follow for more.
by cryptechcapital
Title: Key Support Levels for Short and Long Positions: CriticalIt seems we have experienced enough upward momentum, and now, with the support level at 66,842, a short position can be considered. However, since this position goes against the main trend, it’s crucial to set a tight stop-loss to manage risk and ensure an early exit with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The next support level for this strategy could be 65,359.8. On the other hand, if you're planning to open a long position, you might consider entering at 67,898.7, but be cautious with the stop-loss placement. A wider stop-loss would be advisable, possibly below 66,687.4, to allow room for market fluctuations.
by saeedalipour93
Apple (AAPL): Swing Entry on the HorizonLast time, we narrowly missed the entry on Apple by just a few dollars, and after that miss, the stock no longer presented a compelling opportunity, so we decided to wait. However, after observing from the sidelines for a few months, it seems that another chance to secure a profitable swing entry might be approaching. To increase our confidence in this potential opportunity and secure a better entry point, we need to closely monitor further movements from this tech giant. The current price action strongly suggests that a flat pattern might be forming following the recent drop. If this flat pattern does materialize, it could manifest as either a regular flat or an expanded flat, and this will be crucial in determining our entry target zone. At this stage, the area between $200 and $180 seems the most probable and attractive for a potential entry. Given the broader market trends and Apple’s recent performance, this zone could offer a favorable risk-reward ratio. We’ll be watching for any developments that confirm this pattern and provide a clearer signal for entry. Stay tuned for further updates as we refine our strategy and prepare for a possible move on Apple.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
ETHUSDT - 4H a correction phaseRecent political developments have influenced the crypto market significantly. The rise in Trump’s chances initially propelled the crypto market upwards. However, with Biden dropping out of the presidential race and the introduction of his alternate candidate, Trump’s chances are now perceived to be decreasing, which could lead to a correction in the crypto market. From a technical perspective, COINBASE:ETHUSD has faced strong resistance at a key zone in the 4-hour time frame. Despite multiple attempts, BINANCE:ETHUSDT was unable to break through this crucial resistance level, suggesting a lack of bullish momentum to sustain higher prices. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a bearish divergence, indicating weakening buying pressure and potential for a downward move. Given the inability to breach the resistance, the bearish RSI divergence, and the prevailing political uncertainties, it is likely that ETH will experience a pullback. This correction could provide a consolidation phase before the market assesses the next potential moves. Traders should be cautious and consider the potential for a short-term decline in ETH prices.
Short
by Sober_Trading
2
Silver (XAGUSD): Anticipating a Wave 4 CorrectionSince our entry at $26.31, silver has experienced a significant rally, reaching up to $32.50. We anticipate a correction downward to form a Wave 4. The recent rise to $32.50 indicates a strong upward movement, but now a correction is expected. We expect silver to correct downward into the 38.2% to 50% retracement zone before continuing its upward trend. Our strategy involves maintaining our current stop-loss level without adjustment while allowing the market to correct. We have already secured some profits, reducing our risk. We are targeting the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci retracement zone for potential re-entry, which will likely provide a strong support area for the next upward movement.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Tesla (TSLA): Trend Reversal or Just a Blip?Today, we are analyzing Tesla on the daily chart. After surviving the stronger sell-off at the 78.6% retracement level and avoiding the stop loss, we have witnessed a bullish divergence, which led to a significant upward push. Starting from the end of Wave (1), Tesla left this wave with a breakout gap downward. This breakout gap has not been closed yet, and we continuously saw lower lows and lower highs, indicating a clear downtrend. Recently, the first higher high has formed, which is a strong indication of a trend reversal. We believe Tesla might trade back towards the breakout gap, potentially testing it briefly before moving upwards towards the Point of Control. Between the levels of $190 and $230, trading volume has been low, and we don't expect this to change significantly. Therefore, a quick rise to around $260 is possible. The key question now is whether the breakout gap will be tested. We maintain our view that Wave (2) concluded at approximately $139, and we should be on the way up. If the price falls below $139, a quick retrace to around $100 is likely.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Shopify (SHOP): Preparing for a Long-Term Entry at $49.62Considering Shopify, the situation is unfolding as we anticipated. We expected the beginning of 2024 to potentially mark the peak for Shopify with the completion of Wave (1), indicating a Wave 2 correction. This correction is likely to find support between the 63.8% and 78.6% retracement levels. Currently, the pattern is showing lower lows and lower highs, suggesting that further price declines may occur, potentially closing existing gaps. Our strategy is still developing, but we plan to place a long-term entry at $49.62 with a stop-loss at $31.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Bitcoin (BTC): Whats happening?Let's take a closer look at the Bitcoin chart, using a three-day timeframe. Here's the scenario we're observing: we've developed a significant bearish divergence. Additionally, Bitcoin is currently in a short but valid sideways phase, indicating an impending decision on direction—upward or downward break is expected in the coming weeks. Our analysis leans towards anticipating a Wave 4 correction. We suspect that it hasn't completed at the 23.6% level since, given the strong upward momentum previously observed. A deeper decline might be necessary before attempting to reach levels like $80,000, $85,000, or even $90,000. Nonetheless, we generally don't expect Bitcoin to surpass $100,000 in this cycle. Concerning potential downturns, if Bitcoin falls below the $49,500 mark (50% retracement level), we foresee possible support between $44,000 and $41,600, marking our worst-case scenario for this phase. The mega worst case would involve a drop to $31,000, which, while not impossible, is highly improbable under current conditions and thus unrealistic to expect. On the daily chart, the situation becomes a bit clearer after our previous analysis at $40,000. Since then, we've reached a new all-time high of $73,800 but have not regained our former strength, presenting the possibility that Wave (4) may have already concluded. There's also a chance that prices might dip again, and for this scenario, we plan to place a limit order at $55,236, corresponding to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, with a stop-loss just below the 50% level. If you're considering this setup purely for spot buys with a long-term hold strategy, you might opt to set another limit at the worst case scenario. We anticipate that the price should hold around $48,000. If it falls further, we'd consider secondary entries at around $40,000 and a third potential entry at $31,000. Depending on where the turnaround occurs, we expect the subsequent rise for Wave (5) and the overarching Wave I to reach between $78,000 and $88,000.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
Worldcoin: The Future of Digital Identity What happens when 90 plus percent of everything we interact with and see on the internet is created or enhanced by AI? A new project has emerged with the potential to revolutionize the way we think about digital identity. Worldcoin, co-founded by Sam Altman of OpenAI, aims to create a global network of digital identities for a world where AI robots become harder to distinguish from humans. At the heart of Worldcoin is the concept of "proof of personhood," which is becoming increasingly important as AI technology advances. The project utilizes an innovative approach to identity verification through the use of an "Orb" device that scans people's irises to ensure they are unique human beings. "It is a way to verify humanness truly at population scale, independent of governments, able to scale to billions of people. And that is what we call World ID, which underlying is a biometric verification device that we call the orb, that you see here, that actually allows us to do that. So that is World ID, that's building block one. And two is a digital currency called Worldcoin that everyone that actually verifies for World ID receives ownership in it. That is the protocol level. And then also, to get all of this going, we built the first app that connects to the protocol that we call World App So that's a non-custodial wallet that lets you send money to your friends, lets you verify with your World ID and kind of brings together many of the technologies that came out of crypto in the last couple years and just makes them very easy to understand and use" - Alex Blania CEO, Tools For Humanity But Worldcoin is not just about identity verification. The project also aims to provide a universal basic income through the distribution of its MIL:WLD token to every human. This bold vision could have a significant impact on financial inclusion and help to address some of the economic challenges that the world is currently facing. The association with OpenAI and Sam Altman has generated significant interest in Worldcoin, with the project raising $115 million in a Series C round led by Blockchain Capital. The project's token, MIL:WLD , has seen a surge in price, reaching $9.35, according to CoinMarketCap data. Now, let's look at the MIL:WLD token. With a total supply of 10 billion and a current circulating supply of 104 million, there's still a lot of room for growth. This is a potential proxy for the public to invest in OpenAI, the largest AI research company. And if the project continues to gain traction, the demand for the token could increase, potentially driving the price up. While there are still many unknowns about the future of Worldcoin, the project's ambitious goals and innovative approach to identity verification make it one to watch in the world of cryptocurrency and AI. Most will wait till MIL:WLD is listed on major exchanges....by than what price will it be!? As always, early bird gets the worm.
BINANCE:WLDUSDLong
by EgideSimba
📈GAL Analysis: Potential Upside Momentum🛸👨‍🚀🔍After reaching resistance at 4.966, GAL has initiated a corrective move. Considering the Fibonacci retracement, a bounce from the 0.382 level suggests that breaking above 4.966 could lead to higher targets. 🌪Our Fibonacci-based targets from this point include 5.83 and a range between 6.5 to 7. In case of breaking below the support at 4.196, the last anchor within the range of 3.8 to 4 could potentially reverse the price. 📉A breakdown below the PRZ range on the 4H trend might alter the short-term trend, but keep in mind that the 1D and 1W charts remain bullish, reducing the likelihood of a significant market reversal based solely on the 4H chart. 📊Additionally, the volume of green candles outweighs that of red ones, suggesting potential upward movement in the future. 📈For long positions, it's advisable to wait for confirmation above 4.966 before initiating a position after the resistance breakout 🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
GLong
by itsparham96