BEFORE, ON TIME and AFTERHello everyone
Today we will try to figure out what kind of thinking is correct during the opening, holding and closing of a deal.
Any trader faces these three stages, but not everyone knows how to behave correctly and therefore mistakes are made.
Go!
Before opening a deal...
Every time you find an entry point that matches the rules of your trading strategy, you should think about the following important points:
• Determine the level to set the stop loss.
It is not necessary to set a smaller stop loss due to greed. You should have a stop loss strategy that will be based on the highs or lows of the price, at the levels, because these values are really important and it will be much more difficult for the price to pass the level - this will protect your position and your stop loss from premature closure.
• You must be able to accept losses.
Before each trade, you should remind yourself that a trade can be unprofitable, since there is nothing 100% in the market. Remember this every day. Remember that setups don't always work, and then you won't lose more by rearranging the stop loss or not putting it at all in the hope that the setup will definitely work.
• It takes time.
The deal does not reach the goal in a minute. The market will move in different directions, and you should be able not to react to every movement and give the deal time. Many people forget about it, but due to the constant monitoring of the market and reactions to every movement, traders make mistakes, lose money. You need to be able to wait, understand this. Let the deal work and don't interfere.
The position is open!
The most interesting thing starts right here!
And it is here that a huge number of unnecessary mistakes are made.
• The market must prove you wrong.
After opening a position, the set stop loss will be the level at which it will be clear that you were wrong. You should leave the open position alone and let the price prove you right or give you an erroneous opinion. Touching the take profit price will mean that you were right, there is no stop loss.
• Constant monitoring of the situation.
If you are still following every movement, most likely you will react to false price fluctuations and sooner or later you will close the position. You may just get tired of watching the price move and eventually make a mistake.
You can check your deal once or twice a day, but no more.
You must act according to your strategy, which gave the signal to open a position. Let the strategy work and don't interfere.
Closing a position
It does not matter whether the deal was profitable or not, it is important to rest after it, stop, put your thoughts in order.
It is difficult, after closing a position, to return to the market for a new setup, especially if the transaction was profitable. After all, they lead to excessive self-confidence, which leads you to open bad deals in large numbers.
After a losing trade, you always want to quickly return to the market to recoup. This is a big mistake. Opening deals that are based on the desire to win back what is lost is an abyss into the abyss. Emotionally, you run to open a deal, open on bad signals and lose even more, and so again and again. You have to understand that losing money in the market is normal, you don't have to run to win them back. Learn to accept losses.
The only thing you should do after closing any position is to be disciplined and stick to the trading strategy. The easiest way is to just leave the market and get away from the chart for a while.
It is very important to remember that you need to be able to save money. If you have earned something, withdraw some part at the end of the month, let it be your reward, which will give you self-confidence and you will become a calmer trader in the long run.
Good luck!
Position
BTC + SPX Trade IdeaThis is a medium term swing/position trade that has a pretty good chance to play out. Check out this fib idea below which underscores the idea. Obviously, don't panic buy unless you like riskier trades. Ease into your entry! June thru October looks like a decent entry if nothing too crazy happens, but a surprise via some global disaster could RUIN this trade. Sellers are willing to accept lower prices for this past year, that's basically what the log returns is telling us as it's below 0. In other words, risk has not paid off in a while on this scale. Risk-averse HAS paid off. This is a contrarian trade. The crowd is now ultra bearish and this presents an opportunity of price discovery. Wait for them to come to you, don't panic and go to them.
The wholesale price range is defined by the region of prices where most trades were made AND the result of those trades is highly random. The bottom and tops of this wholesale zone represent the golden ratio 0.618. Remember, the absolute value of the inverse of 0.618 is 0.382. Both of these fib levels are identical, one level represents sells and the other represents buys. In other words, we don't define where 0 or 1 is. We draw the golden ratio area of the fib box around the wholesale range, then we get the definition of 0 and 1.
Be aware though, that if you do this same analysis but with Log Returns on a 2 Year timeframe instead of 1 Year, we could still be in a distribution zone. Don't put all your apples in this basket. Be diligent about your position:
This gives us quite a startling conclusion. The rally of Dec 2018 was simply a bear market rally on a 2 Year scale. We could be in the very SAME situation now. Lower highs on the indicator, then lower lows. So even though it LOOKS like a decent buy on the 1 Year timeframe, we should NOT assume it's going to the moon if the price reaches our target (red crosshair) unless there is some drastic shift in monetary/fiscal policy which would cause a new cycle to suddenly appear.
What do you think about all this craziness?
I hope you liked the idea, and good luck. Don't forget to hedge your bets! :)
Pilot Position to Stay EngagedBought a Quarter Defensive Position (4K, .77% of portfolio) @496.38, Stop @478.14 (-3.67% 150 USDs Risk) just to have a tiny position to stay engaged and on synch with the market. Market making lower lows and this stock is holding.
Still 99%+ in cash.
EUR JPY TECHHello Everybody. Hello TradingView.
This is Technical Analysis for the pair EUR/JPY Let's Start!
In BigPicture price is going up well. It's not a selling area or something.
As you see Price is going up to check the resistance level on top of the channel.
Also, we got very nice support on 128.090!
My Position is going long for +70 +80 Pips. :)
You can think about making more using this position. (situation).
Well. If you have any questions? Tell me everything.
If you don't agree to explain to me why and let's talk about it.
Here is FxCROWN
Thank You For Your Time
BTC/USDTOn our 4H chart
we had 2 drops shadow below 39k that it means the psychological wafare will be increasing in this area so
we can expect the price to touch 38500k support again because of market cap decreasing and the Demand on
That area.
You can copy the short setup available in chart.
Thanks for following us.
XAUUSD over 2000$ again !Hi Guys ... :
After breaking the 1910-1920 range in daily time, gold is now pulling back.
Break the downward trend on short time.
- As shown in the image, the boundary are marked (yellow arrow)
- These range are not touched by price (Gap)
- So those range will soon be touched by price.
* Based on the above, the price is expected to rise above $ 2000!
- I have an open trade from $ 1907.
- I want to share with you:
- Entry Price: $ 1907
- Take Profit: $ 2020 to $ 2022
- Stop loss: $ 1886
* | Note: The entry point may be touched again!
Thanks :)
Position Sizing (Course #0)My very first course was going to be the winning rate. As I wrote down the other ones, I realized that position sizing, understanding what it is and how it works, was actually the most important part of it all. Therefore, I have decided to create this course #0 as the one you MUST take first to understand the other stuff.
Understanding position sizing is very tricky actually. The very first time I learned about it was with Crypto Cred. He’s got a lot of great courses on trading and Technical Analysis, I also recommend you checking him out.
So here is what most people think about doing: I will buy 100% of my account balance into bitcoin ($1,000 account), my account size will then be $1,000.
Or, I will buy with 15% of my account, so my position will be $150. Even better, I will go 10x and my position size will be $10,000.
This is great and all, but this is NOT how you should look at it.
Whenever you trade, you MUST – SHALL – HAVE TO HAVE – an plan on where and why do you enter, where you need to exit at profit AND where you need to exit at loss. If you don’t want to accept that, no good.
If you want to invest into something, you MUST – SHALL – HAVE TO HAVE – an plan on where and why do you enter, where you need to exit at profit AND where you need to exit at loss. If you don’t want to accept that, no good.
It’s like driving, you must know when to turn, accelerate and break.
So, because you will have a plan, you will know OR you will decide where to put your Stop Loss. For example, you want to put your stop loss the 20 EMA. Or, you want to put your stop loss at the low of the previous candle. Or, you want to put your stop loss 0.5% below your entry. Or, you want to put your stop loss at the previous support level.
Once you have decided where to put your Stop Loss, based on your strategy and on the structure of the market/chart, you will need to decide how much you will risk on that trade. Basically, trading is like betting. You will bet/risk an amount of money, hoping to make a profit.
To give you an idea, 1% risk is cool, if you want fast results you can go to 2-3% (of your account balance). Some great traders like to do 5-20%, but this is super high risk. 5-20% on an intraday trading strategy (in and out during the same day), then this is degen to me. On an intraday 1-2% risk per trade is good.
So now, you are starting to be good at position sizing: you know where your stop loss will be and you know how much you will risk.
Let’s go back to our examples of stop losses.
Example 1: you want to put your stop loss the 20 EMA
Example 2: you want to put your stop loss at the low of the previous candle
Example 3: you want to put your stop loss 0.5% below your entry
Example 4: you want to put your stop loss at the previous support level
On the above chart, here are the distance between your entry and the stop losses:
Example 1, the 20 EMA is 0.28% below your entry.
Example 2, the low of the previous candle is 2.30% below your entry.
Example 3, the stop loss is exactly 0.50% below the entry, like you decided.
Example 4, the previous support level is 4.60% below your entry.
Now let’s calculate your position size:
Magic Formula: Position size = Risk % / Distance to SL %
Example 1: 1% / 0.28% = 3.57 This means your position size will be 3.57 times your account balance.
Example 2: 1% / 2.30% = 0.437 This means your position size will be 0.437 times your account balance, so a little bit less than half of it.
Example 3: 1%/0.5% = 0.50 Your position size is equal to half your account.
Example 4: 1%/4.60% = 0.22 Your position size will be 0.22 times your account.
So now, do you understand that leverage should only be necessary when your strategy calls for a Stop Loss that is positioned at a distance that is less than your risk %? This is example 1. You should NEVER think “I want to use 10x” just for fun. You should only apply leverage because your position size calculation told you so.
Conclusion: Position Sizing is the calculation of how much should your position be, so that when you hit your SL, you only lose what you planned losing.
Position size = RISK % / DISTANCE TO SL %
LONG on ICPICPusdt:
ICP is the world's first blockchain that runs at web speed with unbounded capacity. New Delhi: Amongst crypto tokens, not every coin is able to retain its sheen for long. One such example is Internet Computer (ICP), which once was among a blue-chip in the crypto cart.
Going LONG on ICP could be a great a chance!