Probabilistic thinking. Using Technical logic to get odds.Markets are simple if you think about it.
moderate and long range resistance -- is the best odds for rally.
"horizontal" or 50-50 supports -- risky.
steep supports mean high demand, strong trends. Buying at such supports, at worst it bounces to the upside. (High market with strong trend can mean reversals)
rule: break outs always must coincide with 200dma rallies.
Bonus.
High market, strong trend -- best odds for reversal .
50-50 resistance, with weak support --> trickster market. (trap)
strong trend but no flying 200dma --> trap.
50-50 resistance with strong trend, high market, but weak 200dma ---> good odds for reversal.
keeping it simple.
P.S. this method shows why odds favor BTC reversal . Or why 110/120k had to be peak point. for now.
