Positionalcall
$BTC - hopefully seeing a bullish breakout!sheeeesh bitcoin has been following my ideas exactly these days! :)
I want to expose myself, so, I personally bought BTC today @ 38.5 K
I thnk this might the end of the downtrend and we will see a bullish breakout from the falling wedge that has been forming since the first weeks of april
if you want to take a closer look to my position, SL = 37.3K and TP=44000 ,but these levels might be changed in the future depending on how future price action goes
what do you think about this? good idea or not?
not financial advice of course, thus I am not suggesting to buy BTC
GLENMARK Going for a fallFor long term I am seeing a downfall in #GLENMARK in coming future irrespective of overall market direction. CMP 437
Possible support levels 367, 270, 200 Reasons behind this view:
1. Head & Shoulder
2. Downward Trendline
3. Crossed below the crucial level based on SMART Players
AMARA RAJA BATTERIES - Getting Ready for a BreakoutThe stock saw a very good move from 530 levels to 581 levels in just the past few sessions, now it is consolidating in a range of approx 10 points near its previous resistance zone.
Considering the previous straight move, it looks like the stock is getting ready for a breakout.
Whirlpool - Long term SupportWhirlpool has good support levels around 1350-1450.
These are the levels, where this stock consolidated for many months, followed by a good move on the upside.
Now, the stock approaching the same levels again, and it could take support here.
Hence keep an eye on the price action near these levels, for spotting any reversal formation in the stock
Godrejproperties at important supportGodrej Properties has fallen about 40% from its all-time highs in the past few months.
Currently Stock is trading near its imp weekly support @ 1470- 1430 levels.
If held all good, if not then the next good support I see is around 970 - 870 levels, about another 600 points from current levels 🤯.
As per the history stock, the stock does have the tendency of giving up 40-60% gain of previous rallies, so both levels can be seen in the stock.
The only resort we have is to Keep an eye on the price action near-immediate support levels, if any positive price action is seen, it might be a good Positional trade with great risk-reward ratio.
Currently, there is no sign of reversal and no sign of bottoming out, so keep an eye on the stock.
Disclaimer: Not a recommendation to trade.
ICICI PRUDENTIAL - at imp supportIcici Prudential is at multi-timeframe support.
The structure of the stock is still maintained of higher highs and higher low, hence if this support {530-520} is held, chances are high that the correction we are seeing in the stock since 700 levels might end and stock may resume its bigger trend ( uptrend).
Disclaimer: Not a Recommendation to trade.
ZOTA ::: BULLISH :::DATE: 18 JAN 2022
INSTRUMENT: ZOTA HEALTHCARE LIMITED.
TREND: BUY
TYPE: POSITIONAL.
TIME FRAME: DAY
CMP: 389.20
BUY ABOVE: 405.40
STOP LOSS: 381
TGT 01: 429
TGT 02: 448
RISK DISCLOSURE:
We are not S E B I registered analysts. VIEWS EXPRESSED HERE ARE FOR OUR RECORD PURPOSES ONLY. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing. We are not responsible for your profits/losses whatsoever.
WELSPUN INDIA breaking out of an inverted H&S patternWELSPUN INDIA breaking out of an inverted H&S pattern
On a trend line support on weekly timeframe
Inverted H&S pattern neckline placed at 148-149 buy above 148 on a daily closing basis SL of 130
TGT-170/170+
Disclaimer: Only for educational purpose
SPX - October updatePrevious analysis's
October 1 -
Sept 21 - pre-warning of the rising wedge
Hello Traders and Analysts,
Breakdown:
1. Note
2. Contents
3. Research breakdown
4. Education recap
5. Information on Lupa.
A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged short, due to purchasing further increments upon imbalances.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. However, note - the overall trend is bullish.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Scarlet - Four day
Orange = Daily
Green = 8 Hour, 16hour
Grey = 4hour
Pink = 1 hour
Bearish Channel upon a diagonal forming?
8Hour time frame.
Not looking trade this pattern as yet, due to the fact, the channel upon the higher time frames, looks to create a high probability of rejecting the 4400 mark and creating a further high.
However, keep in mind this scenario will form an opportunity for short term traders.
See below for the measured update to the 8-hour rising channel. You can look for a test, retest break sell - which is known as a
The Daily chart shows us a steep wedge formation - just like the three day chart.
Weekly Chart
The Fibonacci from the swing low - to the top of the market, which created our new "0" as the new all time high part of the structure.
The Continuation of the weekly imbalance had created a new area on the weekly, and bi-monthly timeframe - which offered a 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, indicating that the buying imbalances are still present. .
Now the -0.27, -0.618 extension targets are reached.
The Wedge channel had begun and created a very strong channel with an effective structure of the sellers attempting to make an imbalance. The channel has now provided areas where price can pivot to.
The monthly has a future strong imbalance formed.
The three month indicates where price can be used for buying activity* So long as price reacts to the 61.8 & 70.5% levels.
See the Pathway where price can take us, using the probability of a bearish imbalance formation.
Chinese situation:
A quick insight to how the Chinese market works
The chinese property is leased for 70 years from the government who will be brought up by Real estate companies who will design and pre-sale units to investors, who will buy off plan using deposits.
The cycle of funds will allow the developer to fund the next, complete or buy further leases for the next project, leaving a debt cycle
Referring to China A50 USD - the FTSE China 50.
Collapse of Evergrande
Regulators have warned that its $305 billion of liabilities could spark broader risks to China's financial system if its debts are not stabilised. This will have ripple effects upon the US, Australian market relating to commodity imports from Australia with Copper, Iron has hit these commodities with creating imbalance sells upon the metals.
China - will the CCP allow Evergrande to default?
"Evergrande's woes also pressured the broader property sector, with Hong Kong-listed shares of small-sized Chinese developer Sinic Holdings (2103.HK) down 87%, wiping $1.5 billion off its market value before trading was suspended" Reuters.
Whilst the Chinese real estate market has large multiple ratio where the Chinese seek the real estate to be a wealth inidcator.
Despite the prices of price to income ratio as a whole in china the property price is 27.89x the avg income.
Expressed as a mortgage % of income is 223% of monthly income.
Source:
www.numbeo.com
What do you think about the current state?
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 5+ years experience
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Position and swing trades
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXI
HDFCLIFE - Pullback TradeThis is excellent timing for a trade-in HDFC life, considering the stock did a breakout a few weeks ago and then started pulling back to the immediate support.
Last week stock formed at spinning candle at the support zone: 717- 725.
Currently, the stock is trading around 729, and if it sustains 700 levels, it mostly is then moving towards 788 and 833 in the coming weeks and months.
Type of Trade: Long -Positional, Pullback trade.
equitas buyequitas giving breakout from descending triangle buy at cmp sl 116
for education purpose Do your own research
What is position Trading ? What Is Position Trading?
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Position trading is a strategy where traders and investors aspire to capitalise on strong pricing trends through entering and remaining present in a market for an extensive term. A position trade is a commitment of both time and money, with the intention of realising a sizable gain from the sustained growth of an open position's value.
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📊 Advantages Of Position Trading 📊
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The advantages of position trading include the following:
🔵 The negative factors have a minimum degree of influence – if a trader buys, for example, on the weekly chart, he won’t be shocked about the daily price fluctuations. The position trader feels less stressed compared to the day trader.
🔵 The ability to “squeeze out” the maximum of a trend – position traders do not have to regularly open and close positions, thereby losing on spreads.
🔵 High profits – position trading allows you to trade with high leverage, as the probability of a mistake is much smaller than in conventional trading.
Disadvantages Of Position Trading
The disadvantages of position trading include the following:
🔵 The need for a high deposit – Position trading with the minimum amount of funds is simply irrelevant. It is likely that the strong price fluctuations will lose everything.
🔵 Swap – The swap is a commission paid to the broker for the transfer of the trade to the next day. If the position is open for a long period, the swaps can accumulate a large amount.
🔵 Risk – The risk is much lower when compared to day-trading or swing trading, but if a mistake is made, it will likely be fatal. If a trader goes against the trend, he will lose not only his deposit, but also the time in which he could generate a profit – don’t forget, we are speaking about months.
IIFLSec- Price Action analysisIIFLSec has broken above 72 level with Strong Move up to 75-76 level on back of strong volume push. VPA analysis of the subsequent retracement is indicating very little Selling happening on the counter.
Positionally the stock is in a established Bull trend expecting to touch 100, 120 on charts in the next 3 months.
View invalid below 50 EMA on 4 hour chart at 59 levels. Target1 has a good R:R at 1:3 at 100 and 1:5 at 120 Levels.
[Positional] Hindpetro Short IdeaStock following the trend line resistance. As you can see the rejection near resistance & it formed a doji there!
Short if break PDL as mentioned in chart.
Note -
One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all.
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I use shorthands for my trades.
"Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.)
"Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day.
"Theta" - My own systems, where I design trade on basis of option decay. Please refer to the link to my footer and explore further if You want.
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I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share.
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Like -
Always follow a stop loss.
In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High".
In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings.
I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives.
I also do my trades live, Please refer to the link to my footer if you want to tail me.
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HDFC LIFE : Pullback tradeThe stock looks great, we could see a trendline breakout with a decisive candle with good volume.
Though the stock did not see a good momentum movement post-breakout.
Now if it sustains 660 levels, chances are that it might be moving towards 720 initially and then towards 750 levels.
Trade type: Positional