POSITION TRADING: SHORT AUDUSD. TARGET 0.58000TRADE TYPE: INSTANT ENTRY SHORT
TRADE DIRECTION: SHORT
TIMEFRAME: WEEKLY
ENTRY PRICE: 0.66550
STOP LOSS: 0.73400
TAKE PROFIT: 0.58000
RISK TO REWARD: >1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the demand zone / support and is likely looking to aim for upcoming demand zone / support. stop loss ideally placed @ 78.6% SWING FIB RETRACEMENT.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading outcome is Probability Based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
Positiontrading
5 MOST POPULAR TRADING STRATEGIES OANDA:XAUUSD
HI TRADER'S : I ALWAYS SAY THAT (90% TRADER'S LOSS 90% CAPITAL IN 90 DAY'S)
The reason is that Lack Of Knowledge , Lack of Patience , Lack of proper Risk management
You can Be among Those 10% Trader's , Those Are earning regularly From Market
But For That You Need To be Disciplined Trader
THERE ARE 5 MOST POPULAR TRADING STRATEGIES :
1. SCALP TRADING :
Scalping is a trading style that specializes in profiting off of small price changes and making a fast profit off reselling.
Scalping requires a trader to have a strict exit strategy
Because one large loss could eliminate the many small gains the trader worked to obtain.
2. INTRA-DAY TRADING :
Intraday trading means buying and selling stocks on the same trading day.
Intraday trading is also known as Day Trading. Share prices keep fluctuating throughout the day,
Intraday traders try to draw profits from these price movements by buying and selling shares during the same trading day.
3. SWING TRADING :
Swing trading refers to the practice of trying to profit from market
Swings of a minimum of 1 day and as long as several weeks.
4. TREND TRADING :
Trend trading is a trading style that attempts to capture gains
Through the analysis of an asset's momentum in a particular direction. When the price is moving in one overall direction,
Such as up or down, that is called a trend. Trend traders enter into a long position when a security is trending upward.
5. POSITION TRADING :
Position trading is a popular long-term trading strategy that allows individual traders to
Hold a position for a long period of time, which is usually months or years
NOTE : I HOPE YOU LIKE THE EDUCATIONAL POST ,
REMEMBER TO USE PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT WHILE TRADING.
POSITION TRADING: BUY LIMIT ORDER FOR USDCAD. TARGET 1.40600TRADE TYPE: BUY LIMIT ORDER
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
TIMEFRAME: MONTHLY
ENTRY PRICE: 1.33100
STOP LOSS: 1.25500
TAKE PROFIT: 1.40600
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the supply zone comfortably and now shall look to aim towards the upcoming supply zone . stop loss ideally placed below swing low.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading outcome is Probability Based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
POSITION TRADING: AUDNZD SELL LIMIT ORDER. TARGET 1.04650TRADE TYPE: SELL LIMIT
TRADE DIRECTION: SHORT
TIMEFRAME: WEEKLY
ENTRY PRICE: 1.10500
STOP LOSS: 1.16000
TAKE PROFIT: 1.04650
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the demand zone / support and is likely looking to aim for upcoming demand zone / support. stop loss ideally placed above supply zone / swing high
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading outcome is Probability Based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
POSITION TRADING: EURUSD BUY LIMIT ORDER. TARGET 1.10500TRADE TYPE: BUY LIMIT ORDER
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
TIMEFRAME: WEEKLY
ENTRY PRICE: 1.07000
STOP LOSS: 1.03800
TAKE PROFIT: 1.10500
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the supply zone comfortably and now shall look to aim towards the upcoming supply zone . stop loss ideally placed below swing low.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading Outcome is Probability based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
POSITION TRADING: EURGBP BUY LIMIT ORDER. TARGET 0.89600TRADE TYPE: BUY LIMIT
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
TIMEFRAME: WEEKLY
ENTRY PRICE: 0.87100
STOP LOSS: 0.85000
TAKE PROFIT: 0.89600
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the supply zone comfortably and now shall look to aim towards the upcoming supply zone . stop loss ideally placed below swing low.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading Outcome is Probability based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
GBPJPY Bullish Trend ContinuesGBPJPY has been trading bullish for a while now, we are currently on a fifth wave phase on a higher timeframe. Of course, we know that wave 5 is a motive wave meaning it can be an impulse move or a diagonal pattern. We have a 1-2 sequence wave 2 retracing about 61,8 fibonacci level.
DXY D1 - Long SignalDXY D1
Still quietly confident that the dollar is going to take off upside, it's just a matter of time, the data points released haven't exactly been complimentary, but that being said.
The economic data points have been shaken off and we still expecting a dollar break of 107.00 we can then load up on our USD longs, commodities are still setup bearish, as per the above (and below to follow).
BABA: Bottom's in, now what?The bottom formation is confirmed with rising Accumulation/Distribution and a nice, controlled base at the low. This is evidence of a Dark Pool Buy Zone, aka accumulation zone, where bargain hunting has occurred.
But a bottom formation is a sideways pattern first, before it becomes a sustained uptrend. Resistance overhead is strong, so swing traders should be planning their exit strategies at this time, to get out soon profitably if you took the trade as it moved out of the base. Position traders will have stronger entries with lower risk when bottoms breakout to "complete."
We have a market that is range-bound for most stocks, most of the time, which can be a difficult market for KEEPING profits.
Bottoms provide some of the most lucrative trades, but it's important to follow a set of rules according to your intent for the trade, to get the best results. You can learn more about this at my website.
Position & Swing Trading: Weekly ChartsIf you're position or swing trading, it is a MUST to study weekly charts to confirm:
1. IF a bottom is developing
2. WHERE the bottom will complete
...to plan trades with strong reward/risk ratios.
For example, let's take a look at EGLX, which had a gap up at open on its earnings release:
1. Note that today's gap up is from a lower low in the downtrend. This particular bottom is not confirmed just yet. When it makes a higher low is when there will be lower risk for an entry.
2. The first resistance is at 3.27, but there's stronger resistance at 4.44--once the stock's price sustains that level, then the bottom will be complete, which is the best time to consider position trade entries.
Both resistance levels should be considered for swing trading potential...
First ask: "Are there enough points to gain from your entry point to warrant the risk of the trade?" If no, then move on to the next opportunity; maybe put an alert at the next resistance level to revisit. If yes, then which resistance levels are likely to cause profit-taking?
A step-by-step checklist that looks further than the entry is important for not giving back profits just as soon as you make them. Learn more at my website.
US100 (Free Signal)Happy New Year for you all Newbies Intermediate Expert - I wish you all a blessed and profitable 2022.
I wish you more health , more wisdom , more knowledge , more profits.
Don't forget... trade is your perspective about your own life , never judge anyone , never care about what you dont know.
Be more disciplined , Be more Motivated , Be more Human , Be more YOU.
Gillionaire Global the place where knowledge never die and Numbers never lie
$Bldr, Real time high probability trade for swing trading$Bldr, This stock is fundamentally strong and by volume we can see that there is interest form big players in the stock. Stock is trading at it's all time high and only potential we see in this stock is that the stock should rally up in price, worth putting this stock in your watchlist. Volume need to be highly considered as we enter the at any certain point we need to see relative volume to the price at execution (Volume Explains Demand). this stock can be traded in the daily, hourly
chart or any intraday time frames according to your trading style. also this stock can be traded at any potential price structure depending on the time frame.
Tips :
*Make use of exponential moving average of 5 & 10 period in the daily
*Add relative Strength (Benchmark S&P500)
*highly recommended for swing trading
GBP NZD - reach a fresh zone, now we waitHello Traders and Analysts,
A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged long, due to purchasing further increments upon imbalances.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities.
Breakdown
1. Note
2. Contents
3. Research breakdown
4. Education recap
5. Information on Lupa.
Master Key for zones
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Red = 4 Days
Yellow = 16 Hours
Orange = Daily
Dark Green = 8 Hour
Grey = 4hour
Pink = 1 hour
Original Idea here: February 15th 2021.
March Analysis:
Previous Update to the trade - proof the analysis is working!
Monthly imbalances
Price has rejected multiple times the zone with 1.81 being the lowest wick on a monthly close. This zone is a powerful buying zone for positional holders like us for two reasons;
1. - Price is clearly making lower highs
2. - The wicks are closing bullish - suggesting the zone is a fractal buying imbalance
What is evident here?
The imbalance perfectly aligns here as price touches the price close on the monthly top reaching 2.175XX March 2020 in line with the January 2016 - where the last supply imbalance was prominent.
The candles leading up to the imbalance in January, February signify great bullish continuation closes showing a clear pathway to creating a monthly double top or at least a lower high. [The matching equal high here can be seen on the three month chart*
*
Price had to reverse from here, this is how the imbalance fill works where price perfectly reacts of a pivot point or a pricing inefficiency.
Weekly imbalances
Price has rejected the monthly zone as well as on a weekly, the weekly close is showing bullish signs as the candle closes are creating higher lows. Further to this, the price analysis of the candle sticks show a strong engulfing whipsaw of a bearish week followed by a bullish week immediately after. This shows that price action on a lower time frame will indicate that the profit taking for the sellers are transitioning the imbalance of sellers to buyers.
The gap from this zone where the imbalance has arisen, from a technical stand point gives the probability of the fresh zone on the monthly is the open target.
Volume Analysis
Weekly View
At the key zone of 0.382 the buyers had two weekly whipsaw events, but failed to capitalize on this. Also, second to this - the "0" had been tested so price now had established a range to gear up from the next pivot point.
Cross Pair Analysis:
Understanding the cross pairs and correlation between commodity pairs
The first chart shows the weekly and monthly using the commodity pairs:
AUD JPY & CAD JPY in conjunction with NZD JPY.
The pattern of the correlation is clear - these pairs are heading towards imbalances.
Absolute correlation pairs
GBP NZD comparing against the top correlators - GBP AUD and EUR NZD on a weekly time frame against the monthly timeframe.
The idea here is provide insight as to how the pairs follow in correlation - and provide three options to trade across pairs.
Week imbalances using the over lay of GBP NZD imbalances - EUR NZD does not correlate as strong, however looking at the pair the weekly imbalance and monthly imbalances align with key signs of liquidity wicks which engineer the low and reject the zone.
Absolute pairs current scenario
Here are the current state of the weekly correlation between GBP AUD, EUR NZD, the imbalances are all moving in line with the imbalance levels.
GBP AUD having the closest correlation with the cross pair base using GBP.
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Position and swing trades
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXI
GDX : RESET / POSITION TRADE / HEDGEDuring the last three-month trading period, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has generated net inflows of 731.35 million. More importantly, we can see that the greatest selling pressures emerged after the Pfizer vaccine news was released on November 9th.
This suggests that the market is simply undergoing a temporary reaction to a news event and that further downside in GDX seems unlikely because any additional vaccine announcements would probably do little to change the underlying environment.
Moving out to an even longer-term view, we can see further evidence that these assertions are accurate because the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF has actually generated net inflows of 2.37 billion during the last three years.
All together, these trend divergences tell us that investors might have an opportunity to profit from recent paradigm shifts in the precious metals markets. While this short-term enthusiasm might be moderately favorable for U.S. stock benchmarks into the end of 2020, we think that the prospects for economic deterioration during the first-quarter period of 2021 might be enough to send investors right back into safe-haven assets.
Ultimately, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF provides an alternative strategy for investors that are interested in moving deeper into the precious metals sector and its expense ratio of 0.52% remains near the middle of the range for the category as a whole.
SOURCE : INCOME GENERATOR, THE INCOME MACHINE / SEEKING ALPHA
seekingalpha.com
ZM : BASE 0 DURATION / POSITION TRADEZoom's long-term investment thesis is alive. It remains the best-of-breed for work-from-home communication solutions. Zoom has become a verb, very much like 'Skype,' 'Google,' and 'DocuSign.' This achievement alone demonstrates Zoom possesses an incredible combination of moats in branding and network effects. As it grows, it adds more value, and users will find it very hard to leave. Unsurprisingly, Zoom is now a $100B company. But it isn't going to stop.
Competitive advantage/moat
Moats are commonly categorized into four types: Network effects, low costs, high switching cost, and intangible assets.
Zoom possesses the most powerful ones, network effects, and brand name. Zoom is reliable, easy to use, and easily deployable. Zoom's net promoter score ('NPS') is incredibly high +70. Competitors do not even compare. None has the virality effect in 2020, quite like Zoom.
As Zoom expands features, use cases, and integrates deeper into other platforms, we believe Zoom would also acquire the high switching cost moat. While this moat isn't seen as necessary as the first two, it would help Zoom to retain customers and maintain a large user base to monetize.
Revenue was $777M, up 367% YoY from $167M, an acceleration of 17% from $646M in Q2'21. Q3'21 revenue was 24% higher than its entire revenue in FY20.
International revenue was 30% and grew 629% vs. 300% domestically.
Gross margin was 68.2%, a significant drop from 83% YoY and 72.3% QoQ due to a considerable increase in free users' usage, particularly in K-12 education intuitions. During the quarter, Zoom recorded 3.5 trillion meeting minutes, up 75% QoQ. Once Covid-related usage diminishes, we expect gross margin to improve towards Zoom's long-term target.
Operating margin was 37.4%, up from 12.8% in Q3 last year, and a decrease from Q2'21's margin of 41.7%. The figure is still extremely high and demonstrates exceptional operating leverage.
Free cash flow was £388M, up from $55M in Q3 last year. That's a 50% free cash flow margin (!). Management intends to maintain a high R&D budget of 10% of sales over the long-term. Thus, Zoom's high free cash flow generation allows Zoom to continue fuelling growth.
The outlook is excellent in our view. The FY21 revenue of 2.58B is a five-fold increase from FY20. Q4'21 revenue will be almost 40% higher than the entire revenue in FY20.
Remember that Zoom is a best-of-breed SaaS company that can touch everyone (almost)'s lives. In effect, Zoom is listening, watching, and collecting the most granule data from people's lives, at work and home. The data Zoom collects provides optionality long into the future. For the short to medium term, Zoom Phone, better monetization, K-12 free users' conversion, and expansion into telehealth, commerce, workflow, fitness, and internationally should provide a surprise boost to Zoom's growth.
SOURCE : Zoom: Will Surprise Your Portfolio In 2021, Multifaceted Growth Ahead, DTF CAPITAL, 06 Jan 2021, SeekingAlpha
seekingalpha.com
NZD/CHF - Wave 5 incomingBased on Elliott Wave Theory, NZD/CHF might have completed a W-X-Y correction which concludes Wave 4 (if no further corrective combinations, i.e W-X-Y-X-Z)
Utilizing chart patterns, we have broken out of an Ending Diagonal (Labeled Subwave C)
In my opinion, the next bullish impulse will be Wave 5 - to complete a larger Leading Diagonal from March 2020s low
EUR/USD up for the next couple of days... EUR/USD has been in an uptrend for the last week or so. Today I found another break and retest set up for a buy on the daily and four-hour charts. Price is above the MA's, and it looks like it will hit those previous highs. Looking forward to seeing this trade play out. If prices break above the previous high, I will update the next potential take profit. Cheers!
GBPUSD Long term projections going into 2021-22Double bottom pattern could indicate a reversal from bearish to bullish
Recent break and retest of neckline confirms strong buyside pressure and good entry point for long position
Price target based on previous key levels of structure.
1st target 1:5RR
2nd target 1:11RR
PLTR : COIL / POSITION TRADEPalantir: Parallels With Microsoft, Potential Network Effects Underappreciated
The company has reached $1bn in revenue with low customer numbers and immature business operations.
Software standardization, an intense focus on shortening deployments, and a behind-the-scenes SaaS delivery platform called Apollo, will facilitate significant scaling opportunities.
12-month target price of $47.
PLTR have a great opportunity ahead of them to develop ‘flywheel’ network effects to build atop their software that is already several years ahead of the competition. In regards to big data analytics there is no other company that comes close – they have, in effect, created their own market. The reality, however, is that they will become much more than a ‘big data’ vendor – their platforms have the capability to become central operating systems for organizations. The software is infrastructure-agnostic; it can be laid on top of any group of networks and systems and enhance the performance of everything it connects with. The high-entry competitive advantages give them a great chance of grabbing a huge chunk of the management guided $119bn of TAM. We suspect the TAM is quite a bit higher, however. Our research has brought us to really consider that PLTR could be a future tech giant.
SOURCE : Convequity, 11 Jan 2021, SeekingAlpha
seekingalpha.com