HOOD post earnings continuation LONGHOOD reversed from a triple bottom at earnings and has been uptrending since then.
Fundamentally accounts and money inflow has increased. HOOD now has a credit card with
3% cash back. Low commissions, options, IPOs IRAs are all part of HOOD's services.
The Price Momentum Oscillator and Relative Trend Index indicator both support a bullish bias.
I will take a long position here at the beginning of another quarter while rate cuts may
trading and HOOD's current trend. The trend is forecasted to continue. I see a Doji candle
as suitable for the long entry.
Postearnings
IND penny IT with the earnings beat no more cash drain LONGIntellicheck validates identities for financial services, fintech companies, BNPL providers, e-commerce, retail commerce businesses, and law enforcement and government agencies across North America. Intellicheck can be used through a mobile device, a browser, or a retail point-of-sale scanner.
Volume, Volatility and Price Breakout on the 60-minute chart. Relative Volume was beyond 10X
The predictive algo has a continuation for Monday with a momentum fade over 4.25 topping at
4.5
I will take an intraday trade here potentially buying in the premarket. The target is the high
pivot forecasted by the algo about 30& upside. I will set a 7.5% stop loss and risk 0.01% of
capital in the trading account. I will take off 25% upon reaching 4.0 another 50% at 4.50 and
the remaining 25% with a 5% trailing stop loss to ride the momentum fade.
This is probably not shortable. The April monthly options pumped 6x to 30x on the earnings
report. They will have continuation on Monday 3/26 after that the put options will be in play.
The small call options chain is embedded in the chart. Earnings come again in May.
I will reenter this trade until after the current pop and drop is completed.
Then in late April to look I will reenter looking for a repeat of the present price action.
ROKU falls after an earnings beat dissapointmentROKU on the 30 minute chart had a sell-off after earnings which were okay not great. Traders
reacted. The question is whether it was an overreaction. I think it was. I am looking for a slow
recovery over a week or more to at least the standard retracement level which I will call 98 as
drawn by the tool. further upside targets are 101 and 104 based on VWAP bandlines.
Buying on the discount is sometimes an excellent tool to reduce risk and use the reversion to
the mean to best advantage and seize an overreaction in the market.
AMAT rocketed out of earnings Short then LongAMAT on the 15 minute chart jumped 13 % from earnings and is now in the $212 range. The 0.5
fib level is 202.65. I have 3 call options striking $190 for July purchased only a day ago.
Trade plan. I will sell two calls and collect profit. I am buying a put option striking $204
expiring on 2/23/24 expecting a fall to the retracement line. I will close the put option
when price gets under $204, Porfits will be used to buy another AMAT call option for July
this time for a strike of $210 to lower cost.
FL fall on earnings miss looking for a retracementFL on the 15-minute chart has indicators showing bullish divergence after the
big drop on the earnings miss. The volume profile shows heavy trading volumes at the
15.60 level. I am looking for a long trade to the mid-fib level of $20.00. I will set
a buy stop at $ 15.60 for when price crosses over the PCO line of the volume profile
for a trade anticipated profit of about 4.5 % with a much lower risk.
SPLK popped on earnings. Can it continue? SPLK had a very impressive beat on earnings and traders responded with buying pressure
to push price up more than 15%. The question now is whether SPLK can sustain the
new interest or will it fade or drop. My analysis is that best on the short term volume
profile compared with the longer term is that there was a lot of trading at the top as
new but late buyers competed with short sellers on price and so the price rise stalled.
As a result I see price consolidated here and suspect that short sellers will push price
down from here. I will have SPLK on watch for a stock short trade and put options as
it is apparent that traders overreacted to the earnings beat. Price is still above the
POC line on the stort term volume profile. Once it drops below, I will look for a short
entry on the 3-15 minute time frames.
SLB a rising biotechology stock LONGSLN has appreciated 70% in the past month largly on the strength of an
earnings beat. Unlike many small cap biotechnology companies, SLN is
actually making money and beating analyst's estimates. On the 3O minute
chart, price is just below the POC line of the near term volume profile and
sitting on the dynamic support of a VWAP line. Strength lines are above 50
and the low time frame green line is above its counterpart. Ovreall, I see
SLN rising more after a little more consolidation. I will enter a long trade
with a buy stop at 9.18 to catch a trade when price crosses over the POC line,
I will set the stop loss at 9.14 below that line and target both 20% and
30% ROI in equal halves of the position.
AFRM Can it continue the move after earnings ?AFRM jumped about 27% from a decent earnings beat on Thursday August 24th.
It is now sitting in the tip of a bullish pennant pattern and at the POC line of the
volume profile. The dual time frame RS indicator suggests strength is above 50
after the close of the week fade. The MACD lines crossing and above the horizontal
.
zero suggests this is simply a rest in bullish momentum Price is above then mean VWAP
and tracking one standard deviation above it. My trade plan is long or short depending
on how price moves off the POC line. I have drawn entry levels for a market or buy stop
order. The stop loss would be the opposite blue line. Targets start out at 19.5 and upside from
there.
MRVL fell after earnings beat & recovery REVERSALMRVL a technology stock beholden to the ebbs and tides of both the general markets
and the leaders of the tech sector fell on a mild earnings beat this is to say traders were
disappointed and responded with a 16% sell off from the pre-earnings run up.
I see MRVL potentially suitable for a retracement of half of the 16%. On the 30- minute
chart using both pivots as well as near and intermediate volume profiles I have marked
out important levels upside from the current market. Accordinly, there are three targets
I will close 50% of the position at the first 30% at the second and the remaining 20% at the
third. I see this as an 8-10% overall profit in a swing trade of about a week duration. If
the tech sector recovers next week from this current week, the profit could well be higher.
WOOF dropped after an earnings beat now setup REVERSALOPRA on the 30-minute chart dropped after an earnings beat as apparently a lot of traders
expected better. The volume profile shows the vast majority of the trading occurred in
the 5.05 to 5.25 range. This heavy accumulation should result in price movement in due
time per Wycoff. I believe that a long trade is setup for a Fibonacci retracement of the
drop into the middle levels and so 5.85 as shown by the indicator on the chart. The mass index
indicator reached the reversal zone and then triggered with a drop below it confirming
a probable reversal. The MACD is showing bullish divergence.
I will place a buy stop order above the POC line of the volume profile with a stop loss at 12.0
just below the POC line is a safe 10-13% trade which may take into the beginning of next
week. I will take call option contracts as well. If you want to know the details of those,
please leave a comment.
OSCR Earnings Beat Setup LONGOSCR on the daily chart is shown near to but below the POC line on the volume
profile anchored in April. The ZL MACD has a low amplitude histogram. On
the directional index indicator both negative and positive lines are nearly trendless
at the 20 level. The price is closer to the lower Bollinger Bands and so a reversion
to the mean would be upward price action.
I am looking to take a long trade here. The entry would be by a buy stop over
the POC line at 7.35 and the stop loss at 7.05, the low of the last red candle.
The targets are 8.75 and 9.85 corresponding to horizontal resistance lines.
This is a swing trade planning for a profit of about 30%. The stop loss of 0.30
as compared with an average target of 1.75 is about 1:5 for the risk to reward.
I may take an options trade of 1-3 months duration as well. Leave a commnet , if
you would like to know my considerations for a call option. Healthcare and medical
are relatively strong sectors right now compared with the chaotic market at large.
ETON Biotech Big Earning Beat Pullback LONGETON jumped on a big earnings report a week ago. This small cap biotechology
company is making big money and traders responded. It has now experienced
a standard 0.5 Fib level retracement pullback and traders early in the jump
take profit. At this level new buyers have equilibrated with those selling their
shares and taking profit. The ZL MACD lines are ready to cross bearly under the
histogram whose negative/ red amplitude is reverting toward the zero line.
The lines of the dual time frame RS indicator have held above the 50 level.
In consideration of this healthy pullback and buying /selling pressure equilibrium
I will take a long trade looking for 15-20% upside considering also the uprising
fundamentals of the stock based on the big earnings beat.
DE falling into undervalued territory / Favorable Earnings LONGDE on the 4H chart is now setup for a long trade. It is now positioned just above a long term
anchored VWAP to which a stop loss can be set just below @ 390. DE was falling before
favorable earnings and has not yet reversed. I see this as an opportunity to trade an
industrial blue chip taking entry well below fair value and so a bargain.
I will get a mixture of a handfulof stock shares and a single option 4 months to expiration. The
target is selected to be 445 at the upper Bollinger bands confluent with the second deviation
line of the anchored VWAP. This is about 13% upside- while the option's profit potential is
substantially higher. If you would like to know the details of the call option leave a comment. (
if this idea is of interest considering liking and following :)
AMRX Post Earnings High Flyer - a hedge tradefor the next phase of the price action - the details are on the chart. Please comment
if you would like further details.
FORD fell after good earnings - now reverses LONGFORD on the 2H chart double topped in mid July and then descended as it had reached
the second deviation line above the mean anchored VWAP. It continued the fall had a bit
of pre-earnings run up and then paradoxically fell with very decent top and bottom line
earnings. If you know why please let me know. After earnings and the fall, FORD reached
the long-term mean VWAP and reversed as can be seen on lower time frames. I see this
as a VWAP bounce, the favorite place for institutional traders to make their trades. A volume
profile and its POC line find the highest trading volumes of the time interval. the MACD
and Price Momentum Oscillators are confirmatory with reversal signals. I will take a long
trade here. The stop loss will be 13 below VWAP. Targets are 14 (25%) 14.5 (50%) and 14.85
(25%). This is a simple trade with $0.25 risk which will be eliminated once price gets
to $13.5 making it risk and stress-free. I have an options trade in mind. Comment if
you want my specifics.
UPST ready to run higherUPST on the daily chart is 65% below its highs of March 22 . It rose above the long term POC
line of the volume profile two months ago after a favorable earnings report. Another earnings
will report in a month. There has been very little trading above the current price in the visible
range. This means there is little volume resistance to price rise. Price is presently at the
longterm mean VWAP anchored 16 months in the past and got there by rising from the support
of the line one standard deviation below the mean aVWAP. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines
have first crossed under the histogram and then ascended in parallel above the zero line in
yet another sign of bullish momentum. Lastly, the three in one indicator including money
flow is all green.
I readily conclude that UPST is set up well for a long swing trade targetting just below the
mentioned swing highs and so $160 or so. This would be about 200% while setting a stop loss
at $50. I believe the trade offers a great potential reward to risk and so will open this
position while identifying an entry on the 15-30 minute chart looking for a pivot low.
BA after earnings pop. Will it drop?Boeing had a big pop from very favorable earnings today. So far there has
not been a fade or retracement. The relative strength lines however topped
out and then retreated a bit signaling bearish divergence with the lower TF
below the higher black TF line. Likewise,
the MACD indicator is showing a line cross above the histogram whose
amplitude has dropped to zero then changed to red / negative.
Lastly, the mass index indicator shows a rise above the reversal zone
then with a trigger signal in dropping below the zone.
I conclude that BA over-extended and is now setup for a short trade which
could be either stocks or a put option. For the stock the stop loss is 232
the swing high and the target is 223.25 at the mean VWAP line. If price can
cross under that line, the target for the remaining runners will be 217 just
above a lower VWAP line. I will buy the strike $225 expiring 8/4 to potentially
exploit this expected quick retracement.
NIKE: A POST EARNINGS PLAYNike reported earnings on the 20th after the market close. The stock increased by more than 12% the following day.
The price of the stock revisited the resistance level that was rejected in June and August of 2022. Before the rejections, this level acted as a support as seen in March and April of 2022. In this chart, the support/resistance zone is marked by the yellow box.
Additionally, this zone currently coincides with a VWAP anchored back to November of 2021. We observed that the price action rejected at both the anchored VWAP and the yellow box zone of resistance on December 21st of 2022. If price revisits this level, look for price action consistent with what we have observed in the previous rejections.
Post 10/21Q3 FY21' Earnings Analysis$AAL, $LUV, $BCS, $BX, $CMG, $INTC, $SAP, $SNAP, $T, $VLO
$AAL - American Airlines - posted better-than-expected revenue numbers, although down (25%) from Q3 of 2019 - shares were up +1.3% at the ended of the day, with this being their smallest quarterly loss since the pandemic
$BX - Blackstone - earnings nearly doubled YoY - reported an ATH of distributable earnings, success that’s largely driven by their focus on investing in high-growth areas of the economy
$T - AT&T - fell slightly after posting big subscriber gains -investors questioning the impact of promotions on the company’s future growth
$CMG - Chipotle Mexican Grill - reported better-than-expected EPS and revenue numbers - including a sales jump of 22% citing higher menu prices as a reason for the offset of rising costs
$SNAP - Snapchat - Snap fell (22%) after Q3 revenue missed estimates - thanks to its advertising business being disrupted by Apple privacy changes introduced earlier this year
$ROST can gap up todayEarnings trading strategy signal.
The US off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores operator Ross Stores has been increasing sales (from $11.04 bln in 2015 to $14.98 in 2019) and EPS (earnings per share: from 2.24 to 4.3) for 4 years straight.
The last two of four published $ROST ratings from analyst companies were good, one was neutral.
So the price is more predetermined to rise than fall.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS is $1.26, (+5% year-over-year change), for revenue — $4.37 billion (+6.4% from the year-ago quarter) — finance.yahoo.com
Previous earnings report beats EPS and revenue estimates.
I suppose this earnings report will also be with such a pleasant surprise.
Also, confident EPS and sales growth are positive factors, which can cause today`s gap up.
So we hypothesize that $ROST is ready for the next gap up after publishing earnings report today after market close.
The last three days show the bearish market probably ends.
So we can long stocks before earnings again.
Due to strategy, the buy long can be from the price 10 minutes before market close.
It is too risky to buy now due to huge ATR.
target profit — +$5 per share;
stop-loss — -$5 per share.
Risk/reward is 1:1, but correct strategy implementation implies more than 60% of profit trades.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
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