Why Gold bullish ?? Detailed AnalysisXAUUSD is currently showing strong bullish momentum after completing a clean retest of the breakout zone near 3200. Price action confirmed this level as new support, and we are now seeing price bounce back with conviction. This structure is a classic continuation setup, and as long as price holds above the retest zone, the next leg higher toward the 3265–3300 range looks highly probable.
Technically, the 8H chart displays a strong impulse move followed by a controlled pullback into a demand zone. Price formed a higher low and immediately pushed back into bullish structure, signaling continuation. If gold stays above the 3200–3180 level, I expect buyers to maintain control, and the market could drive further upside targeting the previous swing high and beyond. The rejection wicks and volume spike at the base of the retest add to the bullish conviction.
From a fundamental standpoint, gold continues to benefit from a combination of factors including global uncertainty, persistent inflation, and dovish sentiment from major central banks. With US inflation data keeping rate cut expectations alive and the dollar softening slightly, gold remains a preferred hedge. Additionally, increased demand from central banks and institutions continues to support gold's long-term uptrend.
This setup is one of the most closely watched on TradingView right now due to its clean structure and strong confluence. With macro and technical conditions aligned, this bounce off support could lead to another wave of bullish momentum. As a professional trader, I’m staying long-biased above 3180 and will look for momentum confirmation to scale into the next bullish wave.
Pound
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe initial market reaction to US President Donald Trump's decision last week to suspend sweeping reciprocal tariffs for 90 days was short-lived amid heightened fears of a US recession amid an escalating trade war between the US and China. China's 84 per cent tariffs on US goods went into effect on Thursday, and Trump raised duties on Chinese imports to an unprecedented 145 per cent. Given that the US still imports a number of hard-to-replace materials from China, these developments have weakened confidence in the US economy.
Meanwhile, data released last week showed that the US consumer price index (CPI) declined 0.1% in March, while core CPI rose +2.8% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts. In fact, markets are now pricing in the likelihood of a 90 basis point rate cut before the end of this year. Conversely, investors believe the likelihood of a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cut next month is slightly less likely.
The aforementioned favourable fundamental backdrop supports a positive outlook for spot prices in the near term, although bulls seem reluctant to make aggressive bets and prefer to wait for important UK macro releases. Tuesday will see the release of the all-important monthly employment report, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, this week investors will be keeping an eye on the release of monthly US retail sales data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech, which will play a key role in influencing dollar price action. This, in turn, should give a significant impetus to the GBP/USD pair in the second half of the week.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3130, SL 1.3010, TP 1.3310
Pound Gains on Dollar Softening, GBP/USD at $1.30The pound extended gains to $1.30 for a third session, as the dollar softened following Trump’s 90-day tariff pause for most countries. However, the 145% hike on Chinese goods kept risks elevated. While volatility persists, traders now expect 66 bps of BoE rate cuts this year, down from 79 bps a day earlier. UK GDP is forecast to grow 0.1% in February, suggesting a slow recovery.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, resistance levels are at 1.3100 and 1.3200. Support is at 1.2960, followed by 1.2900 and 1.2850.
GBP/USD Awaits CPI After Tariff-Driven GainGBP/USD hovered near 1.2830 on Thursday morning, holding its upward momentum for a third straight session. The pair remained supported as market sentiment improved following Trump’s tariff pause. All eyes are now on today’s U.S. inflation data, which is expected to influence the next move.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2860, resistance levels are at 1.2900 and 1.2940. Support is at 1.2715, followed by 1.2650 and 1.2600.
Sterling Remains Firm Despite Inflationary PressuresGBP/USD traded around 1.2830 on Wednesday, holding gains from the previous session. However, ongoing global trade tensions and fears of goods dumping from China and Europe weighed on sentiment. Though U.S. tariffs are relatively lower on the UK, broader economic concerns persist. At the same time, rising inflation risks may lower expectations for rate cuts, providing some support to the pound.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2850, resistance levels are at 1.2900 and 1.2940. Support is at 1.2715, followed by 1.2650 and 1.2600.
GBP Falls as Trade Tensions Fuel RecessionThe British pound fell to $1.28, its lowest since March 4, as Trump’s trade policies fueled recession fears. After China imposed 34% tariffs on U.S. goods, markets raised BoE rate cut bets. Traders now price in 88 bps of cuts by December, up from 43 bps in March, with a 90% chance of a 25bps cut in May.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2850, resistance levels are at 1.2900 and 1.2940. Support is at 1.2715, followed by 1.2650 and 1.2600.
GBP/JPY: Yen Strength Pushes Price Toward Key SupportGBP/JPY has posted a decline of more than 3% over the last four trading sessions, with bearish momentum growing as the market increasingly favors the Japanese yen in the short term. Demand for the yen has risen sharply since last week, when Donald Trump announced a minimum 10% tariff on all imports into the United States. This was further reinforced today by new comments proposing additional 50% tariffs on China, following Beijing’s announcement of countermeasures against the U.S.
The yen is historically considered one of the safest currencies, and the recent surge in uncertainty has helped it hold strong against the British pound.
Wide Sideways Range
The pair remains within a broad long-term range, bounded by a ceiling near 198.676 and a floor around 186.932. Although recent selling has brought the pair close to the lower boundary, price action has not yet been strong enough to break this level, keeping the sideways channel as the dominant technical formation to watch for now.
MACD
The MACD indicator has started to show a shift in market momentum, with the histogram oscillating below the zero line. This reflects ongoing bearish pressure based on recent moving average behavior, and as long as this pattern persists, selling momentum in GBP/JPY may become increasingly relevant in the coming sessions.
RSI
The RSI also reflects a bearish tone, with the line currently holding below the 50 level. However, the indicator is gradually approaching the oversold zone near the 30 level, which is typically where selling pressure may begin to ease, potentially opening the door for short-term bullish corrections.
Key Levels:
192.493 – Key resistance: Located in the middle of the broader range and roughly aligned with the 200-period moving average. Persistent price action near this level may signal the beginning of a bullish bias in the short term.
190.144 – Tentative zone: This level may act as a potential area for short-term bullish corrections.
186.932 – Current support: Positioned at the bottom of the broader range. If price action breaks below this level, it could pave the way for a much more significant downtrend in the sessions ahead.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
+300 pips EURUSD swing trade setup SELL HIGH🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BULLS 1150
🔸Mid-term: BEARS 0670
🔸Status: REVERSAL from S/R
🔸0660/0680 normal pullback
🔸BULLS will max out at 1150
🔸Price Target Bears: 0660/0680
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1140/1160
📊 Forex Market Update – April 7, 2025
🇪🇺 EUR/USD
🔹 Reclaims the 1.1000 level amid fresh USD weakness
🔹 Driven by EU-U.S. trade tensions & global recession fears
🔹 📈 Almost Completed a cup & handle formation
🇬🇧 GBP/USD
🔹 Holding gains above 1.2900 after rebounding from 1.2830
🔹 Supported by USD sell-off & BoE-Fed policy divergence
🔹 🛑 Risk-off sentiment & dip-buying helped push the pair higher
LONG ON GBP/JPYGJ has Taken a dive since last week.
The Jpy Index is now over brought and should begin falling.
This will cause most of the XXX/JPY pairs to rise.
EJ, NJ, and GJ all look great for a buying opp.
GJ has a morning star on the 15min TF, I am waiting for price to pullback to the FVG or demand area on the 15min TF before entering long.
This is a sell limit order risking 65 pips to make over 300 pips.
See you at the top.
Blueprint for Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025🚀 Blueprint to Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025: Leveraging ICT, Automation, and Prop Funding
Here’s a detailed, actionable blueprint designed to position you for success by carefully navigating broker selection, adopting advanced trading strategies, obtaining prop funding, and integrating automation and AI technologies into your trading.
🏦 Broker Selection (Actionable Steps)
🔍 Choose brokers with true ECN/STP execution
⚡ Ensure brokers offer low spreads (0.0-0.2 pip average) and fast execution to maximize ICT precision entries.
🛡️ Prioritize brokers regulated by ASIC, FCA, or FSCA with verified Myfxbook execution reports.
📊 Confirm broker compatibility with MetaTrader 4 (MT4) to seamlessly integrate Expert Advisors (EAs).
💳 Check for flexible withdrawal/deposit methods and swift payouts (Crypto, Wise, Revolut).
🎯 Trading Strategy (ICT Concepts & Supply-Demand Zones)
🧠 Master ICT Concepts: Liquidity sweeps, Order Blocks (OB), Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Market Structure Breaks (MSB).
📍 Combine ICT with Supply-Demand: Identify institutional supply-demand zones aligning with ICT Order Blocks & liquidity areas.
📐 Execute High-Probability Setups: Trade only after liquidity grabs at key daily/weekly ICT points, avoiding retail traps.
📈 Time & Price Theory: Trade London Kill Zones and New York Open exclusively, exploiting predictable ICT volatility.
📆 Weekly Preparation: Annotate D1/H4 charts on weekends marking liquidity points, order blocks, and premium/discount zones clearly.
💰 Getting Prop Funding (Actionable Approach)
🥇 Target reputable prop firms (FTMO, MyForexFunds, The Funded Trader, 8cap, etc) with clear and attainable evaluation objectives.
📑 Use ICT trading style for evaluation: lower-frequency, high-probability trades with clearly defined risks.
🎯 Implement strict risk management rules: never exceed 1% risk per trade, aiming for steady account growth (5-10% monthly target).
📊 Monitor performance closely using provided analytics dashboards (e.g., FTMO Metrics App) and adapt accordingly.
📚 Diversify funded accounts across multiple firms, compounding total available trading capital while reducing firm-specific risk.
⚙️ Automating & Executing Trades (MT4 EA & Bots)
🛠️ Hire experienced MQL4 developers to code custom ICT-based MT4 Expert Advisors
🤖 Develop EAs specifically around ICT logic (Order Block detection, liquidity grabs, market structure shifts) and or supply/demand logic
🤖 use advanced algo based breakout EAs for automation
📌 Automate trade management: EAs should handle entry precision, partial exits, break-even stops, and trail stops.
📡 Set EAs on VPS Hosting (NY4, LD4) for optimal latency and consistent execution (ForexVPS, AccuWeb Hosting).
📈 Regularly perform forward-testing and optimization of EAs on demo accounts before live deployment (at least quarterly optimization).
📲 Integrating Advanced Bots and Technology in 2025
📊 Combine your MT4 EAs with third-party analytics platforms for detailed trade performance insights.
🔮 Incorporate AI-based forecasting tools to refine ICT setups and trade signals.
🔔 Use automated bots for real-time alerts on ICT-based setups via Telegram or Discord channels.
🧑💻 Maintain manual oversight for discretionary ICT decisions—use automation for entry efficiency, not blind reliance.
🔄 Continuously retrain and update your bot’s logic monthly using the most recent trade data, ensuring adaptive execution.
🗓️ Daily Routine for Success
🌅 Pre-session (30 mins): Review annotated charts, ICT concepts (liquidity, OB, FVG), and supply-demand levels.
💻 During trading session: Monitor EA execution, manually adjust positions based on real-time ICT setups.
📝 Post-session (15 mins): Journal trades meticulously in detail, noting ICT reasoning behind wins and losses.
📆 Weekly review: Assess overall ICT & EA performance—adjust EA parameters as needed to match evolving market conditions.
📚 Continuous learning: Keep updated on advanced ICT framework,
supply demand zone trading.
📌 Final Actionable Advice for 2025
🔍 Specialize intensely on ICT & supply-demand concepts rather than multiple strategies—depth over breadth.
🚩 Always adapt and evolve your trading algorithms to ICT methodology—market dynamics continually change.
🧘 Maintain emotional discipline and patience, relying on high-probability setups to steadily compound your account.
💡 Stay ahead by embracing technology: automation, AI-driven forecasting, and custom ICT tools will provide a significant edge in 2025.
GBP/JPY SELL SETUP 250 PIPS1️⃣ Macro Fundamental Analysis (GBP vs. JPY)
🔹 Interest Rate Differentials (Carry Trade Impact)
Bank of England (GBP)
The BoE has kept rates high to fight inflation.
Higher GBP rates → capital inflows into GBP assets.
Bullish for GBP/JPY.
Bank of Japan (JPY)
BoJ is still ultra-dovish, keeping negative/low interest rates.
Japan’s government wants a weak yen to support exports.
Bearish for JPY, Bullish for GBP/JPY (carry trade flows into GBP).
📊 Institutional View:
Hedge funds & large investors prefer long GBP/JPY due to high interest rate spreads.
GBP/JPY remains fundamentally bullish due to carry trade inflows.
🔹 Global Risk Sentiment (Risk-On vs. Risk-Off)
GBP/JPY is a "risk-on" pair → it rises when markets are bullish and falls when investors seek safety.
If stock markets are bullish, GBP/JPY tends to rise.
If there’s a global crisis, investors move into JPY (safe-haven), causing GBP/JPY to fall.
Current Market Sentiment:
Stock markets are uncertain, but no full risk-off move yet.
Watch equity markets & US bond yields for risk sentiment confirmation.
📊 Institutional View:
Mild risk-on bias → GBP/JPY has support, but volatility remains high.
🔹 Institutional Positioning (COT Data & Hedge Fund Flows)
Hedge funds have been buying GBP against JPY due to the rate differential.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Report:
Shows institutional investors are still net long GBP/JPY but reducing positions.
Some profit-taking could lead to short-term downside.
📊 Institutional View:
Long-term institutional bias is bullish, but hedge funds may reduce positions if risk-off sentiment increases.
2️⃣ Technical Analysis (ITPM Style) – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
🔹 GBP/JPY (Daily Timeframe)
📈 Trend: Still in an uptrend, but approaching resistance.
📌 Key Resistance: 195.00 - 196.00
📌 Key Support: 191.00 - 190.00
🔹 Price is struggling at resistance near 194.00.
🔹 Possible pullback to 191.50 - 192.00 before resuming higher.
🔹 GBP/JPY (H4 Timeframe)
📉 Short-Term Weakness, but Still in an Uptrend Channel
📌 Key Level to Watch: 192.50 - 193.00
🔹 Bearish Rejection at 194.00, but still inside an uptrend structure.
🔹 If price breaks below 192.50, a deeper correction to 191.00 is likely.
🔹 GBP/JPY (H1 Timeframe)
📉 Intraday Weakness, Watch 192.50 for Breakdown
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 193.50 - 194.00
Support: 192.50 (short-term support), 191.50 (stronger support)
📊 Institutional View:
Intraday traders may take short positions below 192.50, targeting 191.50 - 191.00.
3️⃣ Institutional Trade Setup (ITPM Style)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Short-Term Correction)
Entry: Sell below 192.50 (Break of key support).
Target: 191.50 → 190.00 (support zone).
Stop-Loss: Above 193.50.
Rationale: Short-term hedge funds taking profits → minor pullback in bullish trend.
GBPUSD Is due a correctionThe GBP/USD pair has been in a sustained uptrend for some time, and while I maintain a bullish outlook, a pullback or correction appears likely. Below, I’ve outlined key target levels where I anticipate potential price movements.
I’d love to hear your thoughts—let me know your perspective. If you found this analysis valuable, consider giving it a boost!
EURGBP SELLTracking EUR/GBP on the 15-minute timeframe, we see a potential short opportunity from a key supply zone.
Key Zones & Setup:
🟣 Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone): 0.83800 - 0.83830
This area acted as strong resistance, where institutional traders likely positioned sell orders.
Expecting price to push into this zone before reversing lower.
Break of Structure (BOS) on lower timeframes (M5/M1) is needed for confirmation.
🔵 Target Area (Demand Zone): 0.83450
If the supply zone holds, price could drop toward this key demand level.
This zone aligns with previous BOS levels and price reactions.
Trade Plan:
📈 Waiting for price to push into the supply zone (0.83800 - 0.83830).
🔎 Looking for BOS on lower timeframes (M5/M1) before shorting.
✅ Entering a sell position upon confirmation.
🎯 Targeting the 0.83450 demand zone.
⚠️ Stop-loss above 0.83830 to manage risk.
Market Outlook:
If price fails to break structure, we avoid shorts and reassess.
This setup follows smart money concepts (SMC) with a focus on BOS and order blocks.
💬 What do you think? Are you seeing the same setup? 🚀🔥
GBPUSD - Chasing the Bulls!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red.
Moreover, the blue zone is a major daily support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of daily support zone and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dollar Pressure Support GBP/USD at 1.2915GBP/USD is trading around 1.2915, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and steady investor sentiment. The pound benefits from political stability and steady UK economic expectations with the focus on the upcoming April 2 U.S. tariff announcement. The pair is rebounding from recent lows but remains range-bound as traders await new drivers, especially from U.S. trade actions and global growth indicators.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, the next resistance levels are 1.3100 and 1.3150. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2800 and 1.2715 if selling pressure increases.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair continues to hold below the round 1.2900 mark and is attracting buyers in the Asian session on Monday.
The US Dollar (USD) started the new week on a weak note and halted its three-day recovery from multi-month lows, which in turn is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising its inflation forecast, investors seem convinced that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the central bank to resume its rate-cutting cycle in the near future.
In fact, the UK central bank has cautioned against assumptions of rate cuts and has also raised its forecast for inflation to peak this year. This suggests that the Bank of England will reduce borrowing costs more slowly than other central banks, including the Fed, which lends further support to the GBP/USD pair.
Moving forward, traders are awaiting the release of flash PMI indices from the UK and the US for meaningful momentum. In addition, speeches from influential FOMC members will stimulate demand for the dollar, which, along with comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, should create short-term trading opportunities for the GBP/USD pair.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2930, SL 1.2850, TP 1.3060
Ultimate 2025 Forex Prop Trading FAQ + Strategy Guide🧠 Forex Prop Trading: What Is It?
Prop trading (proprietary trading) is when a trader uses a firm’s capital to trade the markets (instead of their own), and keeps a share of the profits – usually 70–90%.
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📋 Step-by-Step Action Plan to Get Started (2025)
🔍 1. Understand the Prop Firm Model
🏦 Prop firms fund skilled traders with $10K to $500K+
🎯 You pass a challenge or evaluation phase to prove your skills
💵 Once funded, you earn a profit split (70%–90%)
🧪 2. Choose a Top Prop Firm (2025)
Look for reliable and regulated firms with transparent rules:
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🔎 Compare features: fees, drawdown limits, trading style freedom
💻 3. Train & Master Your Strategy
🧠 Pick a clear, rule-based strategy (e.g. trend following, breakout, supply/demand)
📅 Backtest over 6–12 months of data
💡 Use AI tools & trade journals like Edgewonk or MyFXBook
🎯 Focus on:
Win rate (above 50–60%)
Risk-reward ratio (1:2 or better)
Consistency, not wild profits
🧪 4. Pass the Evaluation Phase
🔐 Follow risk rules strictly (daily & max drawdown)
⚖️ Use proper risk management (0.5–1% risk per trade)
🧘♂️ Trade calmly, avoid overtrading or revenge trades
📈 Most challenges:
Hit 8–10% profit target
Stay under 5–10% total drawdown
Trade for at least 5–10 days
🧠 Tip: Pass in a demo environment first before going live!
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🟢 Once approved, you trade real firm capital
💰 You keep up to 90% of profits, with withdrawals every 2 weeks to 1 month
🚀 Many firms offer scaling plans to grow your account over time
💬 FAQ – Prop Trading in 2025
❓ How much can you make?
🔹 Small accounts ($50K): $2K–$8K/month with 4–8% returns
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💡 Many traders start part-time and scale as they build trust with the firm
❓ How much do I need to start?
💳 Challenge fees range from:
$100 for $10K
$250–$350 for $50K
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❓ What are the risks?
You can lose the challenge fee if you break rules or over-leverage
You won’t owe money to the firm
The biggest risk is psychological – many fail from overtrading or emotional decisions
🚀 Final Tips to Succeed
✅ Trade like a robot, think like a CEO
✅ Journal every trade – self-awareness is key
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GBP/USD Analysis: Pair Fails to Hold Above Psychological LevelGBP/USD Analysis: Pair Fails to Hold Above Psychological Level
As shown in today’s GBP/USD chart, the pair failed to maintain its position above the psychological level of 1.3000 USD per pound, where it had reached its highest point since early 2025. The decline followed recent central bank decisions and statements, with both the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged.
On one side, the Bank of England:
→ Warned of inflation risks, partly driven by external factors such as US trade tariffs.
→ Indicated a potential rate cut in the coming months.
On the other hand, the US dollar strengthened on Thursday after the Federal Reserve signalled reluctance to rush further rate cuts this year, despite uncertainties surrounding US tariffs.
These statements highlighted the challenges market participants face in assessing the risks posed by tariffs on global trade.
Technical Analysis of GBP/USD
In March, the pound followed an upward trend against the US dollar, forming an ascending channel (marked in blue). However, once the price moved above the key 1.3000 level, the upper boundary of the channel appeared out of reach—possibly signalling weakening buying momentum.
As a result, the price broke below the lower boundary of the channel, which has now shown signs of resistance (indicated by an arrow). If bearish pressure persists, the price could fall towards the dotted trendline below the channel, at a distance equal to its height. Additionally, a test of the previous local low around 1.2911 cannot be ruled out.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.