GBP/USD Dynamics: Exploring the Impact of BoE's CPI ResistanceGBP/USD Dynamics: Exploring the Impact of BoE's CPI Resistance
The Pound Sterling (GBP) swiftly rebounds, fueled by persistent UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December, postponing expectations of early Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts. Anticipated upside for the GBP/USD pair intensifies as investors speculate on potential early interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
From a technical standpoint, our steadfast analysis suggests a GBP uptrend with an initial target set at 1.27500.
BoE policymakers remain vigilant amid a vulnerable UK economic outlook and stubborn price pressures. Future movements of the Pound Sterling hinge on the upcoming Retail Sales data for December, poised to be unveiled on Friday. Favorable consumer spending figures would further dispel notions of an imminent BoE rate cut.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.25350 with targets at 1.2750 & 1.2850 in extension
Our Previous Idea / entry :
Pound
EURGBP H4 | Rising into resistanceEUR/GBP is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.86158
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 0.86395
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 0.85710
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Pound H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Pound (GBP/USD) is trading close to a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.26119 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.25550 which is a support level that sits under the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level.
Take profit is at 1.26948 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPNZD H4 | Potential bullish breakoutGBP/NZD is approaching an overlap resistance resistance and the momentum could potentially carry price up to the take profit target.
Buy entry is at 2.06497 which is an overlap resistance and a potential bullish breakout level.
Stop loss is at 2.05330 which is a level
that sits under an overlap support.
Take profit is at 2.07850 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Pound H4 | Approaching 78.6% Fibo resistanceThe Pound (GBP/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 1.27816
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.28276
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level
Take Profit: 1.26949
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP H4 | Downturn to resumeEUR/GBP could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 0.86123
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 0.86395
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 0.85778
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP H4 | Potential bearish breakoutEUR/GBP is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially break under this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.85893 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 0.86350 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.85628 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPAUD H4 | Falling to 23.6% Fibo supportGBP/AUD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.89459
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.88988
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take Profit: 1.90679
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY H4 | Potential bearish reversalGBP/JPY has just reacted off a pullback resistance and could potentially drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 184.180
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 185.087
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take Profit: 181.874
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Pound H4 | Falling to pullback supportThe Pound (GBP/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.26570
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.26119
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level
Take Profit: 1.27606
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Pound H4 | Heading into swing-high resistanceThe Pound (GBP/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.28189 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level.
Stop loss is at 1.29000 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level.
Take profit is at 1.26948 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD: Consolidation and Complete Indecision 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Even though GBPUSD is trading in a bullish trend since October,
the pair is in a deep consolidation, the last 3 weeks.
The pair is currently stuck within a horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 1.283,
we can anticipate a movement higher to 1.294 resistance.
Bearish Scenario
If the price violates 1.26 support and closes below that on a daily,
a bearish continuation may follow to 1.255 level.
Because the long-term trend is bullish, I remain bullish biased.
Chances will be high that the resistance of the range will be reached.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GBP/USD: Navigating Swings and Shifting Fortunes Amidst Labor...GBP/USD: Navigating Swings and Shifting Fortunes Amidst Labor Market Focus
GBP/USD embarked on a journey of bullish momentum, reaching heights of 1.2730 during the European session on Thursday. However, the narrative took an intriguing turn in the latter half of the day, with the pair closing virtually unchanged below the psychological threshold of 1.2700. As of the time of this analysis, the current trading level stands at 1.2667. This analysis explores the potential for a swing approach in the wake of recent market dynamics.
Technical Perspective:
The recent rebound from the 61.8% Fibonacci area positions the price for a potential swing approach, signaling the formation of a new bullish impulse. This occurs against the backdrop of a bearish opening session on Friday, adding an element of unpredictability to the ongoing price action.
Upcoming Jobs Report:
The focus now shifts to the eagerly anticipated release of the December jobs report by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Projections suggest that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are poised to rise by 168,000, while the Unemployment Rate is expected to inch up to 3.8% from November's 3.7%. The outcome of this report holds significant implications for GBP/USD.
Potential Scenarios:
In the event of an NFP increase surpassing 200,000, investors may recalibrate March rate-cut expectations, bolstering the US Dollar (USD) and exerting downward pressure on GBP/USD. Conversely, an NFP reading closer to 100,000 could reinforce the notion of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy pivot, triggering a decline in US yields. In this scenario, GBP/USD could gain traction, aligning itself with the upward trajectory observed in US stocks.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.2500 with targets at 1.2750 & 1.2850 in extension
GJWe clearly have an early tendency, meaning we need more confluences before entering.
Following the wave and awaiting a new entry chance in order to fully succeed here.
Stay watching 183.5
- rejection candles and impulsive bearish candle means we keep sinking
- break above, close and rejection above here we are moving up
GBPUSD Day PlanA very interesting chart on the pound, as we closed with a sweep rather than a full bar close above. The context still remains short, and there's a noticeable descending trend in order flow after the impulsive news-driven move. The third intriguing factor for short positions is that, unlike the euro, we formed equal lows, whereas the euro cleared all liquidity below. In summary, the priority is short positions at the moment.
GJWas about to put a buy limit at 183.45 but then I looked left and looked at what happens after price kisses 184.35.
4H
- Movement up has a lot of traffic (candlesticks)
- HH's & HL's
* Evening star giving us that last touch
- bounce on 183.5 is crucial point for next move
- Close below 183.24, with a followed reject we know we are going down
1H
* H&S
- break of neckline(183.5) will give us another confluence
* RR is in our favour for this POSSIBLE trade