The story of a hawk and a dove in GBPJPYHey everyone. Welcome back to another forecast, this time on GBPJPY.
This will be for the future outlook of GJ and where it can possibly head to.
BOE hiked rates by 50 bps in its previous monetary meeting and market has priced in a 25bps rate hike in today's monetary policy meeting of March.
However, the story of the hawk does not end here as its latest CPI y/y printed whopping 10.4% compared to a 9.9% forecasted. This really shows the stubbornness of the inflation that the POUND is facing. This makes their upcoming meeting a complicated one and the market could potentially price in a 50bps hike instead. This paves the way for more rate hikes if inflation were to remain sticky and stubborn. A hawk remains a hawk to come for the coming months.
On the other side of the universe, BOJ has remained through to their stance and stuck by with a -0.1% short term interest rates and for 10 year bond yields at 0% during its month of March. It remains steadfast in its approach and the interest rate differential between POUND and YEN cannot be missed. JPY's inflation has however been rising at a steady rate, with the latest printing at 4.3%, yet it's widely expected that the BOJ remains dovish , especially after the multiple opportunities to hike rates but deciding against them.
In my opinion, the story of the hawk and the dove continues to be the case for the upcoming weeks in GBPJPY and that is one of the reasons I believe that GJ is a bull story. On a technical front, I believe price can continue up to create a newer high and flirt the highs at 165. The BOE's monetary policy will be key to seeing if the hawk shall continue flying well above the dove.
Long story short, GBPJPY bulls . Let's see.
Pound
GBPJPY Potential Forecast | 23rd March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. GBP inflation came out strong and paves way for more hawkishness from the BOE and rate hikes.
2. JPY continues to be the dove.
Technical Confluences
1. Price is currently on a higher timeframe bullish trend
2. Price could tap on the H4 resistance above (red zone)
3. Price have cleared the previous daily low
Idea
Looking for the price to head towards the H4 resistance at 166.04.
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GBPCAD MASSIVE BEARISH MOVE TO 1.40500GBPCAD have been on a bullish move since last year, and currently is on a bullish continuation pattern, which indicates that price might go bullish for a while again.
Now let's have a strong look to the long wick we can see below, that's huge liquidity and is expected to be taken. So how do price get to that zone?
It first have to go bullish and hit the resistance zone or the point of 1.68400 before it sells massively, we still have time for that to happen. I will keep you updated on this.
Meanwhile, i will love the support I have been having, I appreciate a lot.
For me to feel more happy a share and a follow will be appreciated.
Have a nice week.
Thank you.
GBPCHF: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇨🇭
Hey traders,
GBPCHF broke and closed above a major falling trend line on a daily.
The broken trend line turned into a key vertical support now.
Probabilities will be high, that a bullish movement will initiate from that.
Next goals for buyers: 1.1423 / 1.151
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Resistance at 1.2200 for GBPUSDThe GBPUSD rebounded from the buying zone i identified in my previous analysis,
but it is now consolidating just below the 1.2200 resistance level. The second wave has less momentum than the first, indicating divergence on momentum indicators. If the price fails to break above the level and forms reversal candles, this could signal a double top pattern. However, if the level is broken, it may be a bullish entry signal with a target of at least 1.22750.
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GBPAUDHi;
good evening.
GBPAUD has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
GBPJPYGBPJPY has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
GBPUSD Reaches Critical ResistanceThe GBPUSD has broken down from a bearish price pattern, touching the monthly trendline at 1.1800 before rebounding to retest the previous breakdown level at 1.19254. We anticipate a potential reversal from this level back to the downside, although there is also a possibility for the price to continue rising towards 1.19984 before reversing lower.
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Please follow if you're interested in more ideas like this.
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GBP rebounded strongly, beware of traps!GBP/USD
GBP/USD continued its technical correction rebound in the short period and climbed above 1.190.However, from the daily line, although GBP/USD has rebounded significantly, it is not enough to change the daily short trend, indicating that the overall trend of GBP/USD at a large level is still weak.In the 4-hour chart, the short-term sustained rebound caused the market to get rid of the weak downward channel and return to the previous level of the channel. Although it still belongs to the downward channel as a whole, the short-term weak market has been technically improved.
At present, there has been a decline in the rebound market, which proves that the upward momentum is gradually being consumed, but as long as it can be maintained at the position above 0.190, it is possible to challenge the position above 0.196. If 0.190 cannot be supported, the pair may fall again and touch the boundary position of the descending channel line.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
GBPJPY Potential Forecast | 8th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. Upcoming GDP q/q for the GBP releasing this Friday.
2. A positive print and above forecast will set the GBP for some bullish pressure.
3. Overall, due to interest rate differential and the difference in monetary policy stance of BOE and BOJ, GBP continues to appreciate against the JPY.
Technical Confluences
1. Price has officially tapped into the H4 support at 161.91.
2. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows.
3. Anticipate for price to tap into the H4 resistance level at 166.04.
Idea
I will be looking for price to continue its bullish momentum and for a break of structure on the lower timeframe which will serve as a confirmation for my long entry.