Pounddollar
GBP/USD Get prepared for short positionsHI Dears
If you look carefully at the chart of the British Pound (GBP/USD) you will see the bearish scenario.
I will tell you the reason by the RTM method.
The price made a powerful 4h FTR and also an MPL zone. after that, the price broke the 4H trading range but in fake mud to gather the liquidity that is needed for a powerful downtrend.
After that the price starts its downtrend and also the MPL zone is engulfed.
so we go back to the base of the POLE.
Sincerely
Hosein Poursaei
ArmanShabanTrading |🔴 GBP/USD : Bear ?The possible scenarioes of Pound/Dollar is indicated on the chart, pay special attention to the supply and demand levels indicated on the chart!
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⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 04.03.2023
⚠️(DYOR)
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The pound rebounded as scheduled, can the bulls recover?On Wednesday (March 15), GBP/USD continued to fall by 0.85% to close at USD1.2056.The UBS incident has caused the market to worry about the state of the European banking system, because the impact of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, which is a major customer of technology companies in the United States, is accelerating.Credit Suisse's share price plunged by more than 30% at one point, after its largest investor said it could not provide the bank with more financial assistance.The stock's plunge led to a decline in the broader European banking stock index, triggering demand for safe-haven dollars and forcing investors to avoid high-risk currencies such as the British pound.However, the market believes that the eurozone market may be hit first, while the British market is slightly protected, so at this stage, the performance of the pound is slightly stronger than that of the euro.Subsequently, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Hunt announced a fiscal plan. Fiscal measures for this year and next two years will cost 94 billion pounds, demonstrating the British government's determination to boost economic growth and avoid recession.This has helped limit the decline of the pound to a certain extent.
On the trend of GBP/USD, it was mentioned in the article yesterday that if the 1.201 position can be supported, it is possible to carry out a short-cycle restorative rebound on this basis.It is currently trading near the level of 1.211.From this point of view, there is still strong support near the 1.201 level below, but the current trend is still volatile and the trend is not clear.The overall volatility range is still limited to between 1.1930-1.22.
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GBPUSD - Correction and then continuation to the downside?Hello traders,
Today we will do an analysis for GBPUSD. This pair is in a down trend on the daily timeframe that started on the 23th of January. Now, it is doing a corrective move from the last big impulse to the downside. The most probable scenario for this one is a pullback to the blue rectangle marked on the chart that coincides also with 70,5% retracement and then a continuation to the downside. However because the last impulse was sharp it can turn to the downside faster than anticipated and the price may not reach that area.
Another scenario that we are not considering as high probability right now is a reversal to the upside where the price must break the black trendline and the line marked as “high to break” on the chart, for us to wait for a retracement and then search for buy entries.
Please don't jump in, wait for your setups, no matter what, and don't risk more than 1% of your capital.
GBPUSD - Correction and downHello traders,
The higher probability scenario for GBPUSD in the coming week is a correction to the upside and then a continuation to the downside. The area where the reversal is most possible is highlighted on the chart.
Trade with care.
Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. We do not recommend making hurried trading decisions. You should always understand the risk that trading implies and that PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
GBPUSD Daily: 15/01/2023: Short opportunity!
Well, there are two zones that if we have a low time frame confirmation we can sell.
First zone:
1.23417- 1.24462
Second zone:
1.253- 1.2667
Targets:
1.185
1.165
1.153
💥Important note: It's not a buy or sell signal, I just share a market opportunity with you. So do your own research.💥
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️15/01/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
GBPUSD Bearish Impulse - Minor CGBPUSD is starting a Bearish Impulse in Minor C (orange).
Wave B (orange) is most likely a Running Flat.
However, based on Elliott Wave patterns, it could also reflect as an Expanding Flat.
But I don't think so.
I am going short on the Pound Dollar.
GBPUSD tech. Analysis:
* Elliott Wave: Ending Diagonal on Intermediate (C) (white).
* Running Flat in Minor B (orange)
* Sep '20 Bearish Fractal
* 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement of Minor A (orange)
* Up-Trend Breach
* Channel Consolidation
GBPUSD Trading Signal:
* Entry @ 1.2170
* SL @ 1.2500
* TP1 @ 1.1800 / TP2 @ 1.1600 / TP3 @ 1.2500
* BUY STOP @ 1.2050
* Aggressive Entry @ Market Price
* Moderate Entry @ 1.2320
*Safety Measure: when in the green, moving SL to BE.
Many pips ahead!
Richard, the Wave Jedi.
GBP/USD: Pound in a tough resistance zone. Pullback in sight?The British pound has staged an impressive 18% rebound since its September's lows and is now entering a pivotal week given the upcoming Fed's (Wednesday) and BoE's (Thursday) meetings.
Even though the latest signs of economic activity are mostly better or in line with expectations, they actually show that the economy is slowing down and that a recession is getting closer and closer. Following a 0.6% decline in September 2022, the UK GDP increased 0.5% in October, the largest growth in over a year and slightly above predictions of 0.4%. The service sector, which continues to be resilient, had the greatest expansion. Instead, industrial production in October 2022 was flat from the previous month, following a 0.2% decline in September, which also matched market expectations.
Continuing growth uncertainties and housing market jitters might have future dovish consequences for the BoE. On Thursday, it will be important to know if the differences between board members that have already come up are getting bigger. At the last BoE meeting, the vote to raise 75 basis points was divided (7-2).
Markets are pricing in 56 basis points, thereby fully expecting 50bps. As a result, anything less than 75bps will be a marginally negative outcome for the pound.
A hawkish Fed and a dovish BoE will have a negative impact on GBP/USD, which has recently re-established its correlation with the 2-year yield differential after decoupling from August to October.
How to tactically trade GBP/USD this week: Key technical levels to watch
The cable technically broke above the 200-day moving average (1.211) and has remained above it since the beginning of the month.
As we get closer to a crucial resistance area around 1.225-1.24, which corresponds to June highs and a 6-month 100% Fibonacci retracement level, the bullish wave is beginning to lose some of its momentum.
Following the solid rally since November, the upside potential for the pound looks to be rather stretched, and this week's rising risks of a hawkish Fed and USD bullish sentiment may lead to some pullbacks to 1.20 or lower.
1.196 is an intriguing initial line of support to keep an eye on, corresponding to the 78.6% Fibonacci level and the -1std of the 20dma Bollinger band. If cable fails to hold there, 1.161 (61.8% Fibonacci) might be a month-end target.
GBPJPY I Short-term plan before FOMCWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**GBPJPY - Listen to video!
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