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Poundsterling

GBP USD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSThe Pound and Euro could reach fresh multi-month highs against the U.S. Dollar this spring, although a lull in price action over the northern hemisphere's summer months would then be expected. This is according to the analysis of W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC, which also warns of the potential for a more notable turn lower in the Dollar by year-end. Bechtel has been watching the Dollar index - a measure of overall USD performance against a basket of major currencies - and finds the rise witnessed over recent days can continue, even if it is somewhat unconvincing. "I am still of the view that we are likely to see some weakness in the USD in the medium term, but in the very short term DXY might get pulled just a bit higher first," says W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC. Bechtel is watching U.S. interest rate markets as an explainer of the Dollar's performance as inflation narratives become "a thing again" . "DXY made a double bottom around 100.80 for now but has not really participated in the rally as U.S. rates grind higher," says Bechtel. U.S. two-year bond yields have been rising since the week of March 20, a development that would typically be expected to offer the U.S. Dollar support. But, "in percentage retracement terms the USD is nowhere close to the 50% seen in the 2yr which tells me that there is some structural weakness in the USD out there still". "If this move in U.S. yields fizzles and starts to reverse lower again, then the USD will take out 100.80 pretty quick and EUR/USD will rise through 1.1100," predicts Bechtel. The Dollar is expected to be the prime driver of where the Pound to Dollar exchange rate and other pairs trade over the coming weeks. "In the end, EUR/USD will trade to 1.1250, GBP/USD 1.2700, AUD/USD through 0.7000, maybe up to 0.7200 eventually," says the Jefferies analyst. The Dollar index is meanwhile expected to trade through 100.00 floor, but Jefferies' FX strategy team is not looking for "a huge break lower" . "A move through 100.00 and then some range-bound activity as we push through the Summer," says Bechtel. This suggests another leg higher in GBP/USD, EUR/USD, AUD/USD et al. is possible during spring, ahead of rangebound trade during the summer months (through to end-August). "By end of Summer, we'll have a better view on where things stand with the US economy. Will the US economy roll over hard or will the Fed pull the rabbit out of its hat and have a soft landing," says Bechtel. If the Dollar slides sharply into year-end and into next year "then we could enter a bigger down cycle in the USD, but I am reticent to make that call just yet," says Bechtel.
by thunderpips
2
GBPUSD 1.24144 +0.02% LONG IDEA 🐮📈HELLO EVERYONE HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD. * Looking at GBPUSD heading into the London session * Asian session took out last friday's lows taking this sell side liquidity * we have a market structure shift as price is delivered this morning. - momentum is significantly bullish. -Looking to see how London open for mor confirmation. * looking at the extreme FVG for entries with the long even though the OB is at 50% . - TARGET would be the the BSL & OB. lets see how it goes. IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ * Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Long
by PULEMokhothu
Will the GCAD push to 1.35?I think price will be able to push to the 1.35 lvl as time goes on. The UK is struggling to keep its economy afloat while simultaneously the BOE is attempting to fight inflation. One or the other needs to happen and a soft landing is not going to happen, especially with double digit inflation. Canada's economy I think will be able to resist a recession. It may happen, but won't be as severe as other countries. Canada also has a trade surplus along with Australia. The BOC is holding on rate hikes but will raise rates if needed. Oil is pushing lower, but in the future, is likely to rise as OPEC+ looks to keep prices higher and the on going Russia/Ukraine issues. I think the move lower, will happen towards the end of the 2nd Quarter/beginning of the 3rd Quarter and last up until the end of the 4th Quarter or into next year. We seem to be in the eye of the storm, and there is something bound to set something off. Regardless though, how long can the UK economy hold on?
Short
by DollarSaenz
1
GBPUSD, D1 | Potential bearish reversalPrice could potentially reverse off a key resistance level, we could see the momentum carry price down to its take profit target. Entry: 1.24439 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance Stop Loss: 1.26735 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance Take Profit: 1.16386 Why we like it: Take profit level aligns with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
The pound rebounded as scheduled, can the bulls recover?On Wednesday (March 15), GBP/USD continued to fall by 0.85% to close at USD1.2056.The UBS incident has caused the market to worry about the state of the European banking system, because the impact of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, which is a major customer of technology companies in the United States, is accelerating.Credit Suisse's share price plunged by more than 30% at one point, after its largest investor said it could not provide the bank with more financial assistance.The stock's plunge led to a decline in the broader European banking stock index, triggering demand for safe-haven dollars and forcing investors to avoid high-risk currencies such as the British pound.However, the market believes that the eurozone market may be hit first, while the British market is slightly protected, so at this stage, the performance of the pound is slightly stronger than that of the euro.Subsequently, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Hunt announced a fiscal plan. Fiscal measures for this year and next two years will cost 94 billion pounds, demonstrating the British government's determination to boost economic growth and avoid recession.This has helped limit the decline of the pound to a certain extent. On the trend of GBP/USD, it was mentioned in the article yesterday that if the 1.201 position can be supported, it is possible to carry out a short-cycle restorative rebound on this basis.It is currently trading near the level of 1.211.From this point of view, there is still strong support near the 1.201 level below, but the current trend is still volatile and the trend is not clear.The overall volatility range is still limited to between 1.1930-1.22. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Long
by Short-term-king
GBP Short Setup Straight forward short setup for the GBP / USD . Perhaps this is too obvious but either way i present to you a nice short setup with easy invalidation . At the target box we have the 200EMA sitting with .618 fib and the point of control of the range *POC I don't think we go straight down from here although of course that's possible but i would like to see a reaction at the level provided and then perhaps a move back up to take out those equal highs before the real move down . With NFP tomorrow perhaps this is a scenario which will play out during this time . Trade with a clear invalidation and like follow to support me . Thanks for stopping by
Short
by SJTRADESFUTURES
2
GBPUSD - Correction and then continuation to the downside?Hello traders, Today we will do an analysis for GBPUSD. This pair is in a down trend on the daily timeframe that started on the 23th of January. Now, it is doing a corrective move from the last big impulse to the downside. The most probable scenario for this one is a pullback to the blue rectangle marked on the chart that coincides also with 70,5% retracement and then a continuation to the downside. However because the last impulse was sharp it can turn to the downside faster than anticipated and the price may not reach that area. Another scenario that we are not considering as high probability right now is a reversal to the upside where the price must break the black trendline and the line marked as “high to break” on the chart, for us to wait for a retracement and then search for buy entries. Please don't jump in, wait for your setups, no matter what, and don't risk more than 1% of your capital.
Short
by financialflagship
4