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Bitcoin Bear Flag: WARNING!Hello Team, ---Trade Idea: Short Play: Bitcoin has formed another Bear Flag; this formation is a bearish pattern indicator. You can see the outcomes of Bear Flags in Bitcoins Past giving the short play a higher probability of occurring. We will wait for a confirmation break of the flag support to enter short positions to our 18.8K Target. As the price falls we will add breakeven stop losses and take profits along the way keeping a small remaining position open for a potential continuation down. Coming up we have GDP, Core & Fed talks so expect an increase in volatility. This Short positions will be invalid if we break out of the Bear Flag resistance. If this lower probability of price action occurs we can look to retest ~28K. ---Opportunity: Historically Cryptocurrencies have a ~4 Year Bear market according to its short historic data. If this occurs again we can look for more despair in the markets. The cryptocurrency market maximizes emotions with its huge swings in price. In the past, we called the last bear markets (2017 BTC 5K, 2020 BTC 10K & Other altcoins) & warned of sell-offs during the bull market (ETH 4K & BTC 60K). Every time emotions hit an all-time high. We have already started entering positions for our long-term portfolio (which can be seen in our others posts). We also are preparing our long-term portfolio for all outcomes of the financial markets (you can view a breakdown of the plan in a past post). Investing in the cryptocurrency bear markets in the past has created life-changing opportunities. ---Stock Market The Stock Market is still toying with emotions as well as creating a potential bear trap and is still in a medium-term downward pattern. If the stock market takes another dive downward expect Bitcoin to follow as they are currently correlated. Currently, the SPY has hit a resistance level that could push it back below 400 and into the high 300s. Look for a pattern break to indicate a reversal in both the stock market & cryptocurrency market before looking for a long trade or long positions for your long-term portfolio.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by GenesisGo
DOLLAR MELT UP? As some will know I've been monitoring the DXY very closely for months. It's unbelievable where eh Dollar is now, compared to mid 2021. After all, many a guru out there predicted the dollar would crash. Markets don't obey gurus! In this video I explore the Dollar on different time frames, to get a perspective on key levels and where the Dollar could go next. Nothing here is a prediction. The point is, if in your mind you think 'It can't go higher', well the markets may think differently. Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
TVC:DXY
by Captain_Walker
FLUX Power (1D) Could it be SO bullish ? Hello Traders, This analysis is based purely on Elliot Wave trading analysis. As you can see My Wave count expect trend reversal. Wave A was amazing1:1, Wave C alredy formed 5 subwaves (whch are most likely finished).: - RSI 1D is positively Ceonverging, - MACD 1D is positively oConverging, - Today 10.2.2022 at 4:30 Eastern Time will be reported Earnings for 4Q/21. Its very nice price entry from All time low only 13% up. = Aiming for 6 to 7.5 USD sell zone it brings me very interesting Risk Reward Ratio. trade safe, do your own research and EW count + always use stop-loss ;)
NASDAQ:FLUXLong
by Longevity_Contrarian
SUNW Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates on March 11Sunworks, SUNW, is expected to post quarterly loss of $0.21 per share, a year-over-year change of +25%, while revenues are expected to be $29.5 million, up 243.8% from the last year quarter. Sunworks provides photovoltaic based power systems for the agricultural, commercial, industrial, public works, and residential markets in California, Massachusetts, Nevada, Oregon, New Jersey, and Hawaii. My price targets for SUNW in this energy booming economy are $6.40 and $8.05. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SLong
by TopgOptions
Southern Company Outlook for 2022Pour 2022 In my previous idea I'd said I was halting accumulation to see how SO was going to perform the rest of December. The main driver behind this decision was I didn't want to purchase shares at price levels SO hasn't been able to hold consistently. Basically: Anything above $63 I considered "wait and see". Building on my earlier idea, in 2022 I think this will change. My major expectation is for investors to search for safer assets: Bond-like equities. My reasons for believing this are two fold: Firstly, the investors of newer money are (I think) approaching the trough of the time vs. knowledge curve. Simply put: new money is learning enough about markets to know it doesn't know much. This will increase flows to safer sectors; namely: Utilities. Utilities, and the stable source of capital expenditure and profit they represent, will attract many investors unfamiliar with a stock market absent of Meme stocks and volatility. Secondly, economic conditions are tightening. Simply put, inflation is hot and has completely removed any momentum the already weak "recovery" had. 2022 will, in my view, have a major theme of a return to pre-COVID economics. Namely: disinflation, lower job openings, and slowing world trade. Utilities, historically, do very well under these conditions. Beyond 2022 As stated above, demographics and economic conditions will return to pre-pandemic structures. One of these conditions is a lowering birth rate. Seeing that SO supplies power to people, having less of them isn't a bullish indicator. However, COVID did introduce a very bullish condition for SO's area: migration. The flows of new people from liberal states into the southeast (mostly GA) will, in my view, continue clear through this decade. Financial conditions will also tighten significantly, regardless of FED actions. This has been the case for almost 40 years with Reserve actions having effects only at the margins. This is predominantly due to the fact that large monetary spending has placed significant bulwarks against American citizen's progression. Money can be printed but until it's cheap enough for the already over-indebted populous to borrow, debt will continue to destroy future purchasing power. The theme for the decade will be disinflation as the economy grinds to a near-halt under the weight of our own debt (this is a long process). Utilities and mega-caps will be the only place where capital can survive relatively un-molested. Flows into these assets (and the indexes that hold them) will grow parabolically as will their valuations. Price Targets I'd expect to see >$87 per share by or before the end of 2022. As for right now, the stock is overbought on rather silly news (an upgrade from hold to buy). I don't expect the present price to stand over the next few months and would expect a trend down to the mid-sixties. My new buy target, however, I've raised to $65. Anything below $60 I'd consider a very strong buy.
NYSE:SOLong
by forever_green
Power generators look poised for relief as O&G prices fallA Mean-Reversion Play Power generators like NRG and PNW have been quite beaten down lately, mostly because of surging oil and natural gas prices as we head into winter. NRG is .8 standard deviations below its mean, with 82% upside to its median price multiple of the last 3 years. PNW is currently trading about 3 standard deviations below where it usually trades in relation to its 200-day EMA, with 29% upside to its median price multiple of the last 3 years. In my opinion, NRG has more attractive fundamentals, but PNW has the more attractive chart. PNW looks particularly ripe for mean reversion here. Fundamentals NRG trades at less than 4 price to free cash flow (P/FCF), which makes it a really good value here. It has a forward P/E below 5 and a forward P/S below .4. S&P Global gives its fundamentals an average score of 87/100, and it has an average analyst rating of 8.7/10. It has 28% upside to the average analyst price target. Of the stocks I follow, NRG's price ratios are in the 92nd percentile, and its price-growth ratios are in the 62nd percentile. So it's cheap on both an absolute basis and when you factor in its rate of growth. PNW's fundamentals are less attractive. The company has been cash flow negative for a couple years. Its price-to-earnings ratio is just under 14, and its price-to-sales ratio is just under 1.9. Its dividend yield is higher, at 5.4% vs. NRG's 3.8%. But it needs to generate cash flow in order to sustain that dividend. PNW's ESG score is really high, at 2.75/3. It gets just a 35/100 fundamentals score from S&P Global and a 4.7 average analyst rating, however, and it has only 7% upside to the average analyst price target. Relative to the other stocks I follow, PNW is expensive, in the 26th percentile for price ratios and the 11th percentile for price growth ratios. So this is probably not a long-term hold for me. Open Interest a Contrarian Indicator Open interest from options traders on NRG is quite bullish, with put/call ratio at 0.6. Open interest on PNW is bearish, with a put/call ratio of 1.4. However, I've recently done some back-testing and discovered that open interest is actually a contrarian indicator in recent data. So the bearish open interest on PNW actually implies a better short-term return. The extremely negative z-score I mentioned in the first paragraph also tends to be correlated with high returns in my back-testing. So my algorithmic trading account has gone pretty heavy on PNW, whereas in my discretionary account I am overweight NRG. The Catalyst Power generators have recently gotten crushed due to rising natural gas and oil prices, not to mention uranium. Because power generators are so heavily regulated, it's really hard for them to pass rising fuel costs along to their customers. However, natural gas prices are down sharply off their highs, and oil and uranium both pulled back a bit today: If this continues, power generators may fly. NRG looks to be finding some support, and I particularly liked the price action in PNW today. Both NRG and PNW are coming off better-than-expected earnings reports, but NRG's results excluded some large costs related to winter storm Uri, and PNW reported several very unfavorable decisions from Arizona regulators. Part of the reason for NRG's outperformance is that it was well hedged against rising fuel costs. NRG announced that it will raise its dividend by 8% in the first quarter of 2022 and that it is paying down debt at a pretty impressive rate as it works toward an investment-grade credit rating. NRG paid down $255 million of senior notes through September 30, 2021 and plans to continue reducing its senior notes balance through 2023. This is just a really well-run company, IMO, which makes it a good long-term hold.
NYSE:NRGLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
5
Dollar power - will it last?The Dollar has surprised loads of people, as well as it hasn't other people. 😊 The trend is still for the north. Why? We don’t need to know why. On the chart there is trend strength - the RSI is well over 50, ATR is for the north, and squeeze momentum is north. The consolidation pattern on the Aroon is still bullish. Nobody knows what will happen next. At each consolidation some thought it meant that a crash was coming. Do I predict anything? I do not. The red dashed line is critical. What's your bet?
TVC:DXY
by Captain_Walker
$CHPT sniper edition #3*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* Recap: My teams trading history with $CHPT is nearly perfect. Somehow we just always seem to get this one right. Our average price per share before averaging up today was $20! (View previous postings for details) My team averaged up on our position today at $23.29 per share bringing our share average up to 21.11. We have also lowered our take profit 2 from $42 to $32 per share. 1ST ENTRY: $20.7 2ND ENTRY: $19.35 3RD ENTRY: $23.29 TAKE PROFIT 1(HIT): $28 TAKE PROFIT 2: $32 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NYSE:CHPTLong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Southern Company looks to be breaking out of "Something"My last SO idea denoted my overall short-term bearishness in the stock and my downward arrow essentially followed perfectly the support of the down trend. I think this trend is over. So far, the daily candle is showing enormous upward momentum. The last time this happened the stock saw a very sharp appreciation before settling on the mid-$60 range. I think this will happen again. I'm going to slow down my accumulation until I see what's happening the rest of December.
NYSE:SOLong
by forever_green
Strong support ( Power 1h )(( please read the description )) Strong support, Power support by Fib 0.236 ~ 0.382, The first Target is to defeat the resistance, Profit can also be in resistance. tip : * MACD ( Normal ) * The trading is above the MA 50 (Blue line), one should hope for an uptrend and test the resistance Zone I tried to identify the points of support and resistance for you, Trade smartly, Good luck. ..................................................................... * In trading, the winner is the one who manages his profit and loss * * The responsibility for buying and selling lies solely with you * ..................................................................... ********************************* pay attention **************************** For stress-free trading, see BTC price trend, BTC is effective in all trades **************************************************************************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Please like, subscribe and share your ideas. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
BINANCE:POWRUSD
by Saeed-sheikh