PPG Industries Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PPG Industries prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 130usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $8.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
PPG
PPG Industries WCA - Rectangle Reversal PatternCompany: PPG Industries
Ticker: PPG
Exchange: NYSE
Sector: Materials
Introduction:
Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze PPG Industries' chart on the weekly scale, focusing on a classic price pattern called the "Rectangle Pattern." PPG Industries is a global supplier of paints, coatings, and specialty materials, traded on the NYSE under the ticker PPG.
Classic Rectangle Pattern:
The classic rectangle pattern is a chart pattern formed when the price of an asset moves between two parallel horizontal lines, representing support and resistance levels, over a period of time. It reflects a consolidation phase where the market is undecided about the direction of the trend and can serve as a reversal or continuation pattern depending on the context.
Analysis:
PPG Industries offers an excellent example of a rectangle pattern serving as a reversal pattern. The overall trend has been bearish since 07/06/2021, with the rectangle emerging as a consolidation pattern during this period. This 399-day-old pattern demonstrates clear touchpoints on both the lower and upper boundaries, which are situated at 107 and 138, respectively. Recently, the price broke out of the rectangle and is now retesting the multi-month resistance-turned-support, suggesting a potential trend reversal. All of that happens above the 200 EMA.
Price Targets and Resistance Levels:
The price target for this pattern is set at 168.55, which translates to a 22.13% increase from the current level. On the way to the target, we may encounter resistance at a supply zone near 168, which should be monitored closely.
Conclusion:
The PPG Industries weekly chart showcases a textbook example of the rectangle reversal pattern, indicating a potential trend change from bearish to bullish. As the price has broken out of the rectangle and is currently retesting the former resistance as support, traders should keep a close eye on the development of this pattern. Remember to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
PPG at 50% Retracement SupportToday a member on my social media called out a major stock NYSE:PPG at a Weekly 50% Retracement Level. MANY stocks right now are pulling back to the 50% Retracement from the COVID low to the recent ATH. I suggest everyone out there do their homework this quarter of 2022 to FIND OPPORTUNITY!
ASX:PPG - Proxy to Consumer staples ...> Debt reduction
> starting div payment
> probably start of new stage
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PPG Industries Warns: Intensifying Inflation, Weakening DemandPPG Industries Warns of Intensifying Inflation Pressures and Weakening Demand
October 8, 2018 by Dr. Duru
““As we look ahead, we currently do not anticipate any relief from inflationary cost pressures in the third quarter. We expect aggregate global economic growth to remain positive with end-use market activity comparable to the second quarter, adjusted for traditionally lower seasonal demand. However, uncertainties exist regarding global trade policies, which may create uneven demand by region and in certain industries. Specific to PPG, we expect that the previously announced architectural customer assortment change will lower our third quarter year-over-year sales volume growth rate by between 120 and 150 basis points. We remain confident that our leading-edge technologies and products, which are bringing value to our customers, will facilitate our growth going forward….
Currently the new tariffs are starting to add some modest cost to our raw materials. Based on the strength in the US dollar in the second quarter, we expect foreign currency exchange rates to have an unfavorable impact to our sales in the third quarter”
This was the essence of the guidance industrial paint company PPG Industries (PPG) provided in its 2nd quarter earnings report. I added the emphases because the warnings on inflation and international demand were clear precursors to the company’s pre-earnings warning tonight. The stock traded down about 10% in after market trading in response to significant cuts in revenue and earnings guidance. I was most interested in the explanation which made the second quarter’s caution come to life (emphases mine)…
““In the third quarter, we continued to experience significant raw material and elevating logistics cost inflation, including the effects from higher epoxy resin and increasing oil prices…These inflationary impacts increased during the quarter and, as a result, we experienced the highest level of cost inflation since the cycle began two years ago.
“Also, during the quarter, we saw overall demand in China soften, and we experienced weaker automotive refinish sales as several of our U.S. and European customers are carrying high inventory levels due to lower end-use market demand…Finally, the impact from weakening foreign currencies, primarily in emerging regions, has resulted in a year-over-year decrease in income of about $15 million. This lower demand, coupled with the currency effects, was impactful to our year-over-year earnings and is expected to continue for the balance of the year.”
Instead of moderating, inflationary pressures are mounting on PPG. The weakness in China is telling in the context of the trade war with the U.S. The lower “end-use market demand” points to the trickle-down impact of “peak auto.” These warnings are each important given PPG has a market cap of $26.5B and trailing 12-month revenue of $15.4B. I fully expect other industrial companies to deliver similar news this earnings season.
Interestingly, Credit Suisse downgraded the stock in late September and the market responded by taking PPG down 2.8% on relatively high trading volume. The gap down confirmed the end of PPG’s post-earnings run and breakout above 200-day moving average (DMA) resistance. Until the downgrade the stock finally looked ready to challenge its 2018 high.
{PPG Industries (PPG) never quite recovered from the February swoon. The recent breakdowns below 50 and 200DMA supports now look like fresh warnings.}
Source: FreeStockCharts.com
The market is supposed to be a forward-looking mechanism, so it is natural to wonder why PPG was rallying so well in the first place. I do not put all the blame on investors. I assume the company itself was partially responsible through its sizable share repurchase program. For the first half of 2018, PPG spent $1.1B on its own shares: 4.1% of the company’s current market capitalization. With this kind of aggressiveness, PPG should quickly move in on the new 52-week low to add to take out even more shares.
As earnings season unfolds, I will be paying close attention to company commentary on trade woes and inflation. The stock market has spent most of the past several months ignoring risks, so there are a good group of over-priced stocks out there waiting their turn for a douse of realty. Collectively, these warnings could be the catalyst that delivers the oversold market conditions I am anticipating.
Full disclosure: no positions