GOLD Local Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a rebound
From the support below at
Around 1939$ just as I
Predicted in my previous
Analysis and now the price
Has almost reached the
Horizontal resistance of
1980$ from where I think
We might see a good
Bearish correction
Sell!
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Preciousmetals
Platinum, could this be a new swing higher?Today's focus: Platinum
Pattern – Support hold, trend break
Possible targets – 1070
Support – 993
Resistance – 1035, 1070
Today’s update is on Platinum. We have run over our thoughts and levels we are watching. Yesterday’s solid rally has held support and has started to test support after breaking the current downtrend. Will we see buyers clear resistance and confirm the trend break?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
Gold and stocks are showing more signs of decouplingAfter expressing our concerns about gold's rally in early May 2023, we saw it tumble as low as $1,932.11 just two days ago. Since this low, gold’s price rebounded above $1,970 and then weakened again. Currently, it trades near $1,955 per troy ounce. That brings us to a similar assessment as in our previous article, and we will pay attention to the two closest levels of importance, particularly near $1,952 (support) and $1,959 (resistance). If the price breaks below the support, it will be bearish for the short-term; contrarily, if it breaks and holds above the resistance, it will be bullish. Regarding technical indicators on the daily time frame, we are observing MACD, which is slightly flattening; if it starts turning to the upside (and eventually breaks above the midpoint), it will be a bullish sign. The same applies to rising RSI and Stochastic (and also to converging DM+ and DM-).
As for our current stance, we continue to be worried about gold’s performance in the short term as it is still possible that more downside will follow. Despite that, there is one development we are starting to notice increasingly more. Last year, when the stock market was declining, it weighed on gold, which saw investors taking profits in order to cover losses elsewhere. As of late, however, gold has been sold off as the stock market turned into this “complacency” phase, with approximately six companies dragging the whole U.S. market higher. We plan to be attentive to this decoupling, as it might be a very important development for gold going forward, and we can start seeing it perform well despite stocks selling off.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish crossover between the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA. We will pay close attention to volume. If it continues to decline, that might suggest that the selling pressure is cooling off.
Technical analysis
Daily = Bearish
Weekly = Slightly bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SILVER - Where to next? BIRD EYE VIEW!SILVER - Where to next?
An important few weeks ahead: FOMC minutes Wednesday, PMI's and on Nov 30th - Fed Chair Jay Powell is set to speak on the economic outlook and the U.S. labor market at Brookings.
With all of this we are at key support areas of DXY - I see a lot of individuals very bullish precious metals, I am too. Although, keep in mind trade what you see, not what you think.
Where will silver lead next? We are within the ranges of Lows: 18.100-18.500 & Highs: 22.
A break to either direction...
Gold Epic Bull RunGold has been in the ascending channel since the second half of 2022.
We have seen 2 small falling channel formations within this huge channel and we are currently experiencing the 3rd falling channel formation.
We can understand that we have come to the end of this small falling channel, so we have come to the support of the rising channel.
The rejection of gold from these levels will indicate that it is entering a potential bull run.
As we can analyze from the Fibonacci time zone indicator, this run has the potential to continue until mid-July.
Breaking the ascending channel and falling below the $1900 level will invalidate this analysis and stop it.
$OTC:FNLP Key Support Line and Falling Wedge Pattern
Introduction
This concise analysis examines the silver chart, highlighting the significance of a key support line and the presence of a falling wedge pattern. These technical indicators provide insights into potential price movements and suggest a possible bullish outlook for silver.
Key Line of Support
The silver chart reveals a well-defined line of support that has held multiple times, demonstrating its significance. This support line acts as a price level where buying pressure tends to emerge, preventing further downward movement. The repeated bounces off this support line indicate its strength and suggest that buyers are actively participating at this level. Traders often consider such support lines as critical areas to monitor for potential buying opportunities.
Falling Wedge Pattern
Within the silver chart, a falling wedge pattern has emerged, characterized by converging trendlines with a downward slope. This pattern typically represents a temporary consolidation phase before a potential bullish breakout. The upper trendline, connecting the descending highs, and the lower trendline, connecting the ascending lows, create a narrowing wedge shape. The falling wedge pattern often indicates a gradual decrease in selling pressure and a potential shift towards upward momentum.
Anticipated Breakout
The falling wedge pattern suggests a potential bullish breakout in the future. As the price approaches the apex of the wedge, the narrowing range indicates decreasing volatility and a possible resolution in favor of the bulls. Traders closely monitor this pattern as a breakout above the upper trendline can signify the end of the consolidation phase and the start of an upward move. The falling wedge, combined with the strong support line, adds to the potential upside momentum for silver prices.
Confirmation Indicators
To further validate the potential bullish scenario, traders may look for supporting confirmation indicators. These may include positive divergences in oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or bullish candlestick patterns near the support line. Such indicators can strengthen the conviction in anticipating a bullish breakout and provide additional entry signals.
Conclusion
In conclusion, my analysis indicates a strong support line, a falling wedge pattern, and the support of favourable macroeconomic conditions, all pointing towards a bullish outlook. It's worth mentioning that my previous call on the same stock was well-timed , resulting in a ~ OTC:FNLPF 250% price increase. As I continue to closely monitor price action, I will consider these indicators and draw from my previous success when making informed decisions about investments in silver.
dxylong term dxy analysis suggests we are finished with the Cycle W3 and now inside of cycle wave 4 with a target of $94 in 2024. Inside W4 we are currently within wave A . Wave a is a zig zag which means 5 waves sub wave 123complete. Now almost finished with sub W4 of the A and the sub waves are inside of an ending diagonal which targets the 618% of the 2021 highs around $98. At that mentioned level $98 we should bounce up into wave B of the cycle wave 4.
GOLD Is Set To Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a nice
Rebound from the support
Below at 1956 just as
I predicted before but
A broken rising support
Which is now a resistance
Is ahead so after the retest
I think there is a high chance
To see the price go down again
Sell!
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✅GOLD TIME TO BUY|LONG🚀
✅GOLD is about to retest a key structure level of 1944$
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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GOLD - A Crystal Clear VisionIMO, Gold has one of the clearest charts that I can find. Clear overhead resistance levels (which leads towards the mania phase), clear trend support of upward channel (which is the first sign of a potential breakdown/pullback), and a clear area of a confluence of horizontal & arc support (which is the last chance for bulls to reclaim).
Do what you wish with this information! Not financial advice.
RIO TINTO (Waiting for Confirmation)Rio Tinto – Mining
Market Cap: €1.35 bln
Price: $61.74
6 Month Dividend: $2.24 (c.3.2%) – March 2023 Quote
Dividends recently cut significantly from $4.79 in March 22 (c.5.7%) to $2.24 April 2023 (c.3.2%).
Chart
- Whilst the long term trend is up with higher lows on the large pennant since 1990, we have not made a higher high since May 2008 and this is a little concerning long term.
- On Balance Volume continues increasing which is position and offers some reassurance. We do have our first lower high here on the short term and this could signify a change in price direction.
- In terms of a trade, I’m inconclusive for now. I would like the RSI to come back down to the bottom of the purple RSI pennant at minimum (Short Term Buy potential) or become totally oversold
on the RSI for a confident buy in.
- Any tests of the bottom of the large pennant would be ideal but this may never happen again, time will tell so we focus on the RSI for now.
- At present price is pincered between the 200 week SMA and key support. This is likely an inflection point. A good time to wait and see.
- An upward sloping 200 week is positive but it is also acts as resistance and until we are above it again, it will remain resistance. Getting a hold above it could offer a buying opportunity.
- I will update the chart when we have some confirmation of direction
✅SILVER TIME TO SELL|SHORT🔥
✅SILVER is now stuck inside
The parallel range and the
Price is making a pullback
From the resistance of 26$
And I am locally bearish baised
So I think that the price will
Go down to retest the support
At around the 24.8$ level
SHORT🔥
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PLATINUM BREAKOUTS X 3 Platinum Futures
At present Precious Metals all seem to have the wind at their back on longer timeframes.
- A H&S pattern with a potential breakout within a
- Cup&handle with a potential breakout within a
- A long term pennant with a potential breakout.
RSI Indications
- You can see how the green/red circles and resistance lines provided great entries and exits.
- We are approaching the upped resistance line and I would expect some resistance here which aligns with the resistance of the Cup and Handle (which aligns with historic price resistance)
- Use the RSI resistance lines to help manage risk.
In summary I am long term bullish however if we breach the bottom of the long term pennant... we exit the trade. RR is great here if you set a stop under the pennant resistance, this being for a long term 36 - 60 motnh trade.
There are also lots of short term opportunities in this chart from the three patterns identified. These you can see and manage within your own timelines using the chart lines as reference points for buy and sells.
Thanks
PUKA