Preciousmetals
Plat finding supportThe price of platinum has since January 2023 nose-dived by roughly 16% which has seen the metal fall below its 200-day MA price of $947.60 to touch lows around $910 in Feb. The metal is however finding some support on the green 61.8% Fibo retracement level of $922.85 and the longer-term blue 23.6% Fibo.
Technical indicators are supporting a move higher for the metal with a re-test of the 200-day MA looking likely over the near-term. A break above the 200-day MA price will allow the metal to claw its way higher towards the 50-day MA price currently at $1012.03 in my view. The heavily oversold daily RSI and the rolling over of the MACD indicator supports this price action, but for now we need $922.85 to hold its ground.
(I’m not too familiar with the fundamentals regarding precious metal prices, some references or pointers would be greatly appreciated. I mainly watch the price of plat to support my USDZAR views)
✅GOLD KEY LEVELS📊
✅GOLD is trading in a
Downtrend so I think it will
Go down further and retest
The support level 1
After that we will see
The price either go down
Towards the support level 2&3
Or we will see a change in the
Direction and the resistance 1&2
Will take the hit again
ANALYSIS📊
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Gold Support Level on Weekly TimeframeGold started to correct after a small bull run. We can determine how long this correction will last using both the indicator and the price action method. Looking at the moving average, the $1786 level is a clear support. When we apply the Fibonacci correction to the distance he ran, the 0.5 region appears to be $ 1780 in the same way. And finally, when we pulled FRVP since 2021, we clearly see that around $ 1780 is support.
So this level is a buying opportunity for me.
Gold is still an inflation hedge assetA comparison between 3 periods:
Last 50 yrs Dow +5793%, Gold +5,828%.
Last 20 yrs Dow +413%, Gold +717%
Last 3 yrs Dow range, Gold up
With inflation still in play and likely a recession this year, between gold and equities, who will continue to have more upside potential?
CME Micro Gold Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.1 = $1
1 = $10
10 = $100
100 = $1,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Gold demand reached an 11-year high in 2022On 13th January 2023, we reiterated our belief that the stock market was going through another bear market rally. Furthermore, we warned investors about the price deviating too far from its moving averages and the characteristic behavior of gold, which lies in it rising rapidly and then dropping quickly as well. Following the FOMC, the price of gold fell by more than $95, which translates to approximately 5% within only two trading sessions. Despite that, we remain bullish on gold in the long term. However, we remain worried as trend reversal in the stock market and more selling pressure can act as headwinds for gold, putting a temporary lid on the price in the short term. Due to that, we will pay close attention to Jerome Powell’s speech today and gold’s price action accompanying it.
2022 gold market in hindsight
According to World Gold Council, gold demand (excluding OTC) reached an 11-year high in 2022, jumping by 18% to 4 741 tonnes. Investment demand grew by 10%, while demand for bullion increased by 2%. On the other hand, jewelry consumption dropped by 3%, and demand for gold in technology plummeted by 7% due to an economic slowdown. Interestingly, in 2022, central banks were a significant driver of higher gold prices, with a series of large purchases in Q3 and Q4. As for the global supply, it grew by 2% to 4 755 tonnes.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of XAUUSD. The yellow arrow points to the last rate hike by the Federal Reserve’s FOMC, which preceded the price drop.
Technical analysis
Daily = Bearish
Weekly = Neutral/Slightly bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
✅GOLD BUYING OPPORTUNITY|LONG🚀
✅GOLD went up just as
I predicted in my previous
Analysis on Gold but now
We are seeing yet another
Retest of the horizontal
Support level and as we
Are still bullish biased
A long trade from support
Seems to the optimal course
Of action in this situation
LONG🚀
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GOLD Will Go Up! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an uptrend
And after the retest of the key
Level moved up again
And now seems to have
Broken a local resistance
So I am bullish biased
And I think that Gold
Will retest the horizontal
Resistance level above
Buy!
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See other ideas below too!
Gold is about to breakout above $2k - Here we goThe Fed and US economic data will likely prompt s big move in Gold/Silver over the next 36+ months.
My read on the data is that we are starting a price cycle that is similar to 2002~2005 again.
Early bullish trending throughout 2002~05 prompted a massive 500% rally in Gold - reaching a peak in 2011.
If that happens again from the $1700 support level, we may see Gold reach levels above $11,000 by 2027~28.
This is NOT the same market condition as 2019~2022.
Follow my research
Silver outperform gold during crisis Silver outperform gold during major crisis.
During each crisis, Gold and Silver always performed exceptionally well compared to many other markets.
In this study, we could see that during major crises, silver outperforms gold.
Commodities are a good inflation hedge asset, precious metals are a good inflation and currencies hedge asset.
Interestingly, prior to each of its extreme peaks, the market did provide us with clues on its first wave.
For the coming extreme, the first wave has just completed its moves. There is always a fundamental story tied to its first wave, follow-by an explosive move. What could be the story this round on its first wave? Covid follow-by high inflation?
CME Micro Silver Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.005 = $5
0.01 = $10
0.1 = $100
1 = $1,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
See following link for the video version.