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Preciousmetals

Bullish on Gold and Silver | Long-Term As I mentioned in the previous post on DXY, my bias on the US Dollar index is bearish for the first half of September. Also, as the seasonality of Gold and Silver suggests, September is a negative month for these two cousins. So, in my opinion (not investment advice), in the last week of September and the first week of October, we might see good lows on Gold and Silver. Remember, we cannot time the market, for now, I anticipate the lows to form at the end of September because the seasonality and the price action support this narrative for me. Also, the market is expecting the first rate cut on September 18, which, I believe, Gold and Silver already priced in that sentiment to some degree. We can expect Gold to go as low as 2450$ before it attacks 2600$, and silver to revisit the 25$ - 26$ area after 4 months (the red scenario). I like the chart formation on Silver as it formed a very bullish structure on monthly and weekly charts. That's why I also put the yellow scenario which suggests Silver would dance around the 28$ level before it breaks out the 30$ and continue its journey towards 36$.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by SamanFx0
Gold (XAUUSD): Swing-Chart-Analyse UpdateWe are now covering Gold (not Barrick Gold) but the commodity. Gold prices are broadly stable after the latest breakout of the consolidation range but still trading at record highs, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and prospects of a long-awaited interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. The Federal Open Market Committee is now expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points when it ends its two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. The CME Fedwatch tool now sees a 65% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut, with a 35% chance of a 25 point cut. A week ago, the tool showed a 70% chance for the smaller drop. Looking at it from a technical perspective we can clearly observe the first consolidation range where after its breakout we wanted to bid the retest but couldn't get the entry right and it was going without us. By being invested in the gold mining company, Barrick Gold, we still participated in some kind of this gold rush 🚀 We have now built a smaller but very similar consolidation range and again got the breakout to the upside, which is picture-perfect. If our count is correct, we are about to finish what seems to be Wave ((v)) & 5. We anticipate these two ends to find their top between the 50-60% Fibonacci extension level, which translates to ~2600-2671$. After that, we want to see a structure shift into the bearish structure, and we are going to bid this Wave (4), but until then, we have to wait until we can anticipate this Wave (4) more surely. Stay tuned for more 🤝
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by freeguy_by_wmc
SILVER | THE BIGGEST CUP & HANDLE OF ALL TIME!Apple’s Cup and Handle pattern in the early 2000s is often cited as one of the most significant. After a prolonged downtrend, Apple formed a large cup with a handle from 2000 to 2005, which, after breaking out, has continued to appreciate to this very day. However, Apple's pattern is nothing compared to the current Cup & Handle pattern that exists in silver, whether in size or price. I truly believe that silver is currently the most undervalued asset and will not only attain higher prices than most can imagine but will also rapidly begin to appreciate against gold, which currently has a ratio of 83.75 to 1. This ratio is irrational and unsustainable, as gold and silver are typically mined at a ratio of around 10 to 1. Even current U.S. Treasury Mint coins—Silver Eagles and Gold Eagles—have a current exchange rate of 50 to 1 at face value. Historically, under the gold standard and the Coinage Act of 1834, the ratio was set at 16 to 1. Although this will not happen overnight and could take a decade or more to come to fruition, the unnatural and irrationally low price of silver is coming to an end. The overinflated gold-to-silver ratio will continue to fall as price manipulation ends and true price discovery begins.
Editors' picks
TVC:SILVERLong
by MetaShackle
31
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to start by attempting the higher resistance 2510-15 and based on the flip we would see an opportunity to short back down into the 2480-85 region. It was here that we suggested traders look for the set up to go long and target the higher levels again, which worked very well for us, both down and up. We then released the NFP KOG Report and gave the levels we would be looking to either long or short into, and on the flip look for the reaction in price. We managed to get a move into that higher level, completing our Excalibur targets and then getting the RIP from that level all the way back down into where we closed on Friday. Some traders even managed to get the long from the order region market bullish above, which should have been protected and partials taken. Another great week in Camelot not only on Gold but US30 giving us a pin point level to level move for a phenomenal short, as well as all the other pairs we trade performing well. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we’re going to keep it simple to start the week! We’re still in the range and price is still accumulating so we can’t get to concerned here with the longer-term direction, we’ll simply have to play the chart with what It’s presenting us. The ideal scenario here is we see price attempt an undercut low and then start the incline into the higher levels 2505 and above that 2510-15 again. Therefore, key level support is sitting at the 2480-85 region, and our bullish above bias will still stand for this week based on that attempt to break above that 2515 price mark. If we fail here, the swing will continue to play, and we should see price attempt to break below the 2485 region and attempt to attack the order region 2450-55 which is where we feel the ideal position trade will come from. As above, 2510-15 is a key level resistance here as breaking this level will lead to further gains on gold with that 2530-35 region again as the target level for the week. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 2485 with targets above 2510, 2515 and above that 2530 Bearish on the break of 2485 with targets below 2477 and below that 2465 As always, we will update traders through the week with our plans, KOG’s bias of the day and the Red Box strategy whenever we can. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
7
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the high to confirm which worked well, to then short into the lower support levels which we got nearly to the pip. We then said we would long looking for price to attempt the ATH to finish off the week, this move completed half way. During the week, we said traders should look for an undercut low which was again achieved and gave us another opportunity to long back up. On Thursday we suggested traders protect trades and take a majority as price seemed to struggle at resistance. Fortunately, that was the perfect time as we then witnessed the attempt at rage low again which is where we closed. A fantastic week on not only gold, but the numerous other pairs we trade hitting targets and completing another phenomenal month in Camelot. So, what can we expect from the week ahead? For this week we have to keep in mind we’re still in that range and price is accumulating. That entails these swings up and down as they’re simply gathering orders before a potential breakout. We have a US Holiday tomorrow so volume during that session should be low and on Friday we have NFP, so we can expect a lot of movement Tuesday into Thursday pre-event. We’ve plotted the potential range we feel price may play but that’s based on it remaining below the 2515 region. Ideally, on open we would like to see this attempt the resistance level and fail, if that is confirmed, we feel an opportunity to short into the lower support levels are available with the initial level being 2480-85. It’s these lower levels we want to monitor as the tap and bounces can come from below if reached taking this back up. We have to be mindful this week due to NFP which is likely to cause the whipsaw, and if they do want to attack that ATH again, we feel this is when it come. Please keep an eye out for KOG’s bias of the day together with the red boxes we share. These have proved to help traders in stay the right side of the markets and work extremely well with the target levels we post across all the pairs we trade. We’ll say this report is applicable until mid-week, we’ll then prepare for NFP. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 2515 with target below 2485 Bullish on break of 2515 with target above 2540 Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
6
Why they want to 'shake' you out of Gold-accumulation! See below Please see the Cup & Handle formations for Gold below on 4HR, Daily & even the mammoth on the Monthly chart. Why they are trying to shake you out of your long positions in Precious-metals. Stick to the higher time-frames guys & you won't lose sight of the bigger picture for Gold. See the high time-frames for XAU USD above and below. I see better opportunity in Silver next week as it's not as overbought as Gold currently, plus Silver's sell-off from about a month ago was far deeper than Gold's due to Silvers bearish technicals on the charts. Wishing you a safe and happy weekend and get your mind off trading, like I should be. I will more than likely be back (Australia time) to trade Mondays New York session with you. But I commence much earlier in the Oceania Asian sessions. Yes I confess, I overtrade. * Trading is risky. Please don't rely solely on my financial advice.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
2
Update on XAU USD market-structure. See chart below please. On the important 1HR timeframe and critical 50 EMA where it gets most of its support and cues from, for the 5 hours it has still had this support despite some bouncing around and increased volatility on the lower timeframes. Mr Powell addresses at 10am NY time and New Home sales we would like a bearish figure and an upbeat Mr Powell who probably is a bit anxious the past few weeks. Enjoy your trading today. We have some bullish heads n shoulders patterns that may execute later. I think it might be a profitable day for you (I mean night for me). Stay tuned. Regards, Chris
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
18
Friday 23, N.Y Gold & USDX: Very very interesting...See charts! Happy Friday guys, I was tired & late getting into the Asian session earlier. But as soon as I locked-horns with my 42" monitor I saw that Gold & Silver were in a mild upside rally. I soon took a long position & recommended one for you in Silver which was rallying stronger than gold. The gold price struggled at resistance from 2490 to 2500, not strong resistance at 2490 but volume is always lighter in the Asian session. We quickly booked a profit, I am hoping you did as everything happened so fast in a Long trade which only lasted 40 minutes or so. What happened next? Plz read on below. I saw that price kept getting rejected at the 20 EMA on the lower-time-frame. I decided to go Short & I recommended a very small lot-size Sell-stop below where price was I think from memory my Sell-stops were around 2489 or thereabouts. Next, I distracted myself on another project on the 'hotcopper' forum with a bullish lithium company I am very heavily invested in called Raiden Resources RDN is the ticker, if you want to check it out, I will never sell Stock trades but this thing is looking good, but you google the stories on Raiden Resources if you wish. So, I had no Stops on my Short because I generally do not like Stops because I find 9 times out 10 the Market-Makers will hunt your stop down so that Mr & Mrs Market-Maker make their big fat wealthy private bank clients wealthier. Maybe that's a bit harsh, but I often wonder. So the Gold price found support because I took my eye off the field & forgot to book profits and the Gold price started to properly find support and some strength above 2490. Guys, that is enough on that. Look what concerns me in Friday trading are these bullish Head 'n' Shoulders patterns & on multiple timeframes. We are still about 0.31% from the trigger line & look they probably won't play out today, but what about next week? If the USDX does turnaround next Monday & it certainly could do that because it is very oversold on the Stochastics. However, the path of least resistance for the USDX is further down because it's below its moving averages & how many bloody times do we go Long & then close out of the trade & look at a higher-time-frame & exclaim to ourselves, 'I am an idiot the trend was down / the path of least resistance was down - Why did I go Long'. I used to do it all the time when I was a very green, greedy & gullible trader. Well I still get greedy! I will monitor these H & S's on the ASDX. I see where the boss speaks today, The Fed Chair, Mr Powell at 10am Eastern Time USA & Canada and we also have another chat from FOMC member Bostic. My feeling is that Mr Powell has maybe felt a bit anxious lately & he may give our market a bit of a boost today by reiterating the theme of interest rate reduction(s) next month which of course will bode well for Gold & Precious Metals in general. Further on the Economic Calendar today, we have Building Permits at 08:30am & then New Home Sales at 10am, the latter having a bit more weight and bearing on our trading. Unless you are looking to Short the Gold price today, with our 2 speakers hopefully talking up an interest rate reduction & if the other 2 mentions on the economic calendar come in a bit bearish then this will be poor or the USD but more than likely supportive of the Gold price and getting back above 2500, which I think is where the 50EMA sits on the 1 HR Chart. So recapping, my feeling is that today will be bullish for Gold depending on New Home Sales mostly but Mr Powell's endorsements rate reductions for the US economy commencing next month will shrug off any bearishness in the Gold price. In addition to the Head 'n' Shoulders patterns for the USDX (see the 1st set of charts), I have scouring Precious Metals searching for other H & S's patterns so I will be posting these charts so that you have a road-map for the possibility of taking these H & S trades which are predominately bullish ones, I will post these below very soon & I have tradingview alerts set for when price gets near the neckline. Cheers, Chris
EIGHTCAP:USDX
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Will Gold Hit $3,000 with Fed Rate Cuts and Geopolitical Risks?Gold has outperformed the broader U.S. stock market this year, with analysts predicting further gains as the Federal Reserve nears rate cuts. Gold surged to a new record high of over $2,500 per ounce, and some experts forecast it could reach $3,000 next year. Key drivers include potential Fed easing, geopolitical uncertainties, and increased demand from central banks diversifying away from the U.S. dollar. As interest rates decline, gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset continues to grow.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by signalmastermind
$XAU | Watchlist | Sell Limits |Technical Confluences: - Stochastics is very close to Overbought conditions in D1 timeframe - Price is close to the 161% Fibo Extension Line - Projection using Elliot Wave count is pointing that the price may push up towards the Fibo Extension Line Fundamental Confluences: - With ongoing geopolitical tensions between Israel & Iran, there is a pressure for XAU to remain supported - The reversal carry trade story may have legs to further push XAU up another leg as a safe haven - With incoming FED cuts, there is potential for a weaker USD coming into September - The above 3 points are the supporting for a higher XAU price. - Assuming we hit the Wave 3 projected price, the US election will pose a big risk to the global outlook and may see USD strengthen back during that period. A stronger USD may induce a weaker XAU. ----- Will be placing Sell Limit orders and update if the projection comes true. Remember, DYOR. -----
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by weekendanalyst
BTC/USDT IN THE CHANNEL AND BTC NOT FAR FROM 62K LEVELWe are checking the trend for the next target up 62K, we did an update before about the correction that is already done and BTC looks positive for the next increase target. With this update, we did expect before the correction and already it did gain BTC is in the channel zone and can make any time new volume up 62K With this update, we did add the possibility that BTC will enter 62K For now, we expect there is a high chance BTC will visit again the 62K level soon. BTC already opened an important new cycle trend. We saw that before cycle activation, BTC increased further. If we can meet a new strong volume coming time, then BTC will able to target up to 63K The volume of the moment is stable, but it is not the main volume. There is always a chance BTC will look for liquidity below the price actions, but the chance will stay high will target below liquidity or direct liquidity.
Long
by SatochiTrader
$SVM | Allocation | Market Exec & Buy Limit |Technical Confluences: - Elliot wave seems to be in the middle of a Wave 3 count. Completing the Wave 3-1 and Wave 3-2. Next, should be the beginning of Wave 3-3 - Price action is close to an Interest Zone and is also at the 200MA Fundamental Confluences: - SilverCorp Metals focuses on Sustainable Silver. Both words that delight financial investors. Silver being a precious metal and sustainable being the bank's new hype. ESG-story. - Their project involves themselves in the green energy sector and it gives you the exposure of precious metals in the portfolio as well - Both retail and industrial sectors have solid demand for Silver and Gold and SVM has got it both ________________________________ AMEX:SVM will give me some exposure to Precious Metals in my Long-Term portfolio and is in the direction of sustainable green energy. Will green energy be the future? We shall see. In the meantime, 1st allocation into $SVM. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
AMEX:SVMLong
by weekendanalyst
Gold seems going higher if 2420 area holds...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Traction should be to the upside to form higher highs. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
GOLD Plan Your Trade 7-31 - Gold Reaches Upper Flag ChannelPrepare for Gold to move into a consolidation phase lasting 5 to 10 days before moving higher again. The next upper target area is $2560++. Watch this video and consider what I see as a structural Flag formation. Gold will continue to attempt to move higher - but it will do so in structural price waves. If you are holding any open long positions, be prepared to protect those positions as I see Gold flagging sideways (attempting to contract downward) in about 2~3 days. The current upward price move appears to be over. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Short
by BradMatheny
Silver (XAGUSD) how to construct a trade:Medium bullish take: OANDA:XAGUSD is trading around the $30 price level for the first time in years. Is there a trade here? Could we see $40 by EOY? Let’s draw some charts: We're trading in a Bullflag at the $30 level Triple top, we're not quite ready to hold above the level Find nearby price targets Establish long term support lines Use momentum indicators and price action to draw a reasonable path which engages the price structures you've established. So according to our charts, we should expect a bounce above $27 Be mindful, there are exogenous events that push the price around. Shifts in the macro landscape will impact the path price takes. For details, I've included a fun GIF, animating the construction of this chart. Check out my twitter for more! NOTE: Original idea posted 7/23
TVC:SILVEREducation
by dawsonMoonshot
Platinum A Complex Equilibrium - Unraveling Market DynamicsThe platinum market is currently navigating a complex equilibrium shaped by a confluence of factors. A persistent supply deficit, driven largely by robust industrial demand, particularly from the automotive sector, has exerted upward pressure on prices. However, the specter of electric vehicle adoption, a long-term threat to platinum demand in the automotive catalyst market, introduces a countervailing force. This dynamic interplay between supply-demand fundamentals and technological disruption creates a challenging environment for market participants. Moreover, the geopolitical landscape, particularly in South Africa, the dominant platinum producer, adds an additional layer of complexity. Labor unrest, infrastructure challenges, and broader political instability in the region can significantly impact supply and, consequently, prices. The broader global geopolitical environment also plays a role, as tensions between major world powers can create uncertainty and market volatility. Despite these headwinds, the potential for inventory depletion and ongoing industrial demand suggest that the market may continue to exhibit bullish tendencies. Yet, the magnitude and timing of these bullish impulses will be contingent upon the evolving dynamics of supply, demand, and geopolitical risks. As such, market participants must adopt a nuanced perspective, carefully considering both the short-term and long-term implications of these interconnected factors. Essentially, the platinum market is a complex system characterized by non-linear relationships and feedback loops. Understanding these intricacies is crucial for developing effective investment and trading strategies.
FX_IDC:XPTUSDLong
by signalmastermind
A Recession Is Coming - Brace for Impact First things first What is a Recession? A recession is a period when the economy isn't doing well. It means businesses are selling less, people are losing jobs or not getting raises, and overall, there's less money being spent. It's like a slowdown in the economy where things are not growing, and sometimes they shrink. This period of economic decline usually lasts for a few months or longer. Usually, when we have two consecutive quarters of negative Gross Domestic Product (GDP) we say that we are in a recession. Now, let's look at previous recessions to see if we can find some patterns that help us predict the coming one. 😊 This is how you can navigate through the chart: - past recessions are highlighted with orange colored boxes based on the data from "FRED economic data". - The purple line chart shows the US inflation rate. - The US GDP is shown in a green step-line chart. - The US interest rate is shown with an orange line. - The Yellow line chart shows the unemployment rate in the US. - The most important line chart here is the blue one that shows the spread between the 10-year bond yield and the 3-month bond yield (Yes we could also use 2-year instead of 3-month). This blue line, the yield curve, is important to us because it's a reliable indicator that almost every time gave us a heads up for a recession (if you were looking at it of course 😁). When it falls below zero, we call it the inverted yield curve and we hit a recession almost every time it gets back up after spending some time below zero. An inverted yield curve tells us that the market participants are concerned about future economic growth It can lead to tighter financial conditions, reduced lending, and lower consumer and business spending, which can contribute to a downturn in the economy. With that said, take a look at the chart and you can easily spot the repetitive pattern of interest rate hikes/cuts, unemployment rate, and the inverted yield curve just before each recession. With the strong possibility of having the first rate cut in September, and the patterns you see on the chart, can you say that we are going to have a hard landing and a recession? I would say yes. If you say we are not going into a recession and your counter argument is backed by a low unemployment rate and a positive GDP and a declining inflation rate, this chart does not support the idea. I know there are other factors that might support the soft landing scenario, and I would like to have your point of view on this. So, please share your thoughts in comments section if you are reading this post through Tradingview. 😊 For further research, you can pull up the charts of indices like S&P500 or commodities of your choice to see how they moved during each recession. This will help you find some patterns that might assist you in your future investments.
TVC:US10Y
by SamanFx0
$DXY about to hit THE WALL?Love TVC:GOLD , stocks, real estate? Well I'm about to make your day. TVC:DXY is strolling into historic resistance at 115. On the WEEKLY timeframe, we have two conjoining forces: A major resistance from the '85 high of 160 (in yellow), and a triple top high of 118 during the early '00s(in yellow). We're also riding the bottom support of 104 in our current rising channel. Fundamentals: The Fed and US fiscal policy will face pressure to weaken the dollar to strengthen exports, boost GDP. This means inflation isn't going away and any rate cuts are going to be like tossing gasoline on a bonfire. Dollar milkshake fans will be shocked to see flight to the dollar fading, as harder money like Gold plays a larger role in sovereign bank collateralizations, trade imbalances. The assumption that the US will remain the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry may well flip by the end of the decade as multipolar alternatives become more attractive and the debt markets increasingly realize the US debt is beyond repayable (in today's dollars). This is going to provide a tail-wind to all #antifiats, chief among them: GOLD, Bitcoin, and any stock with pricing power. I also see real-estate doing well as foreign US treasuries holders (like China, India, Japan) decide they'd rather bid up US homes, commercial property than earn a pretend yield on terrible debt instruments.
TVC:DXYShort
by dawsonMoonshot
Big fan of the GOLD cup and handleI'm liking the cleanliness of the 2011 - 2024 cup and handle. I am going to be a little unconventional here by going with a % target rather than $ target, which means I'm looking for a nearly 100% increase from the top of the cup ($2050) which gives a target of around $4100. It could certainly go higher depending on geopolitical issues, global finance issue, global debt issues, etc. but I think that's a good rest stop for this particular pattern. As for stops, gold is the only currency to have stood the test of time therefor we don't stop out on dips, we buy mor.
TVC:GOLDLong
by krugman87