Gold - Short paper gold, long physical metalTwo weeks after our last update, we still remain bearish on gold in the short term and expect it to hit 1 600 USD. Our view is based on a combination of fundamental factors like high-interest rates, strong U.S. dollar, and more economic tightening in the foreseeable future. Despite that, we remain bullish on gold in the long term and believe it will provide a great buying opportunity in the coming months. With that being said, we are long physical metal and short paper gold.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and the sloping resistance connecting March 2022 high and April 2022 peak. Yellow arrows indicate bullish breakouts above the resistance and subsequent invalidations.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish as well. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Preciousmetals
Gold starting to shine!Gold based recently at major support and tested the 1615 area 3 times. This only served to reinforce the support (55-month ma, long term channel mid-point, 50% retracement) - see my video from October 17th
We have over the last few days severed the downtrend that extends back to March. Attention is on the early October high at 1702 - a close above here will complete a triple base and offer a minimum upside measured target to 1782.
Disclaimer
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current Disclaimer:
opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
✅GOLD TIME TO SELL|SHORT🔥
✅GOLD is about to retest a key structure level
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GOLD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD went up suddenly
Probably on some fundamental news
Perhaps concerning the midterms
In the USA, but we are as always
Concerned with the technical outlook
And the thing is that Gold is now
About to retest a strong horizontal resistance
From where a pullback is possible
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Metals to Break its All Time High AgainMetals to Break its All Time High. I have discussed about Gold before and in this tutorial we will study into Copper.
From last week Fed chairman statement, he said “it is premature to be talking about pausing our rate hike. We have a ways to go."
The continuous inflation is almost a certainty into next year, and what asset or instrument works well with inflation?
Content:
Why interest in copper again
• Fundamental
• Technical
5 Major Copper Uses:
• Building Construction
• Electronic Products
• Transportation
• Industrial Machinery & Equipment
• Medical
Copper Consumption Worldwide:
1. China 54%
2. Europe 15%
3. Other Asia 14%
4. America 11%
5. Other 6%
Source: Statista 2021
Minimum fluctuation
0.0005 per pound = $12.50
0.001 = $25
0.01 = $250
0.1 = $2,500
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Can Gold complete the breakout with a new leg high? Hi, and welcome to Tuesday's update. Today's focus is on Gold as price continues to trade with inside bars after last Friday's 3% jump. US employment data fueled the rally, and this data sent the USD packing.
We're looking for Friday's breakout to complete, but we need to see buyers come back into the market with another firm move higher to show us that Friday's price action is set to continue.
Last Friday's close has so far done what required breaking to levels of resistance after re-holding 1626 support. We don't want to see a new close back below 1650, as this could be a sign that buyer momentum was only short-term. We would like to see a new break above 1681.50 or a new higher low above 1665 to continue the idea buyers remain in control.
We still feel the USD will play a key role in whether this move continues or not. Keep an eye on this week's US CPI data, which will be released Friday morning at 12:30 am AEDT.
Have a great Tuesday and good trading.
Speculative Bearish Entry on SIlver Miner's Upcoming EarningsAG is sitting at the supply zone of this potential Bear Flag and has been once rejected from the 200 Day Moving Average. AG now reports earnings in 2 days and i have bearish bets on those earnings in the form of multiple April 21st PUT Options at the Strike Price of $8 and now will be hoping to see a square-up of the range lows.
✅SILVER MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT🔥
✅SILVER is about to retest a key structure level
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GOLD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a nice rebound
From the horizontal support level below
And went up sharply but a massive
Horizontal resistance level is on its way
And after it gets hit a pullback and a move down
Are to be expected
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
SILVER Reversal Coming! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER surged up sharply on
The fundamental data, but now
The commodity is locally oversold
So as the price is approaching
A horizontal resistance I think
We will see a bearish pullback
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Gold could skyrocket higher in NovemberGold and Silver could move dramatically higher after the US Fed comments and the shift in how capital seeks safety.
Precious metals have been consolidating downward for months. Now, it appears the Feds comments have shifted how traders/investors view precious metals. It is very likely this shift may prompt a very big upside price move.
As traders suddenly realize the undervalued metals prices have not adjusted to the global risk factors associate with a US 5% FFR (creating global economic concerns), I believe precious metals may move sharply higher (very quickly).
The Fed is on a mission and may prompt a massive global contraction as excesses and risks continue to elevate. Just like in 2004~08, precious metals drifted higher until the crisis event in 2008-09. Then, after a brief contraction, metals skyrocketed more than 85% higher over 2.5 years.
We may be at the start of a 150% rally in gold (or more). Stay tuned.
Follow my research
Gold to fall back downI don't see the XAUUSD or Gold contracts rising much more.
We've retraced the 61.8% and yes, if we get a close above, we could go and test the previous swing high. But currently the price action appears to be stalling at the previous market structure.
No trade for me today but I will be looking for a continuation lower tomorrow if these current levels hold.
GOLD IF Breakout Then Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a downtrend
In the falling channel so we are
Bearish biased and it will soon
Retest the horizontal support below
So IF we see a bearish breakout
Then the bearish bias will be confirmed
And the price will fall further down
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
✅SILVER KEY LEVELS|SHORT🔥
✅SILVER has made a rebound from the support level below
And went up to retest the first of the two
Closest resistance level from where we are seeing
A bearish reaction so I think that the price
Will go down again but should the first resistance be broken
Then we will be expecting a bearish reaction
After the retest of the resistance level 2
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
✅GOLD BEARISH UNTIL PROVEN BULLISH|SHORT🔥
✅GOLD is trading in a falling channel
Below the horizontal resistance level
And despite the rebound from the support below
We havent see neither a breakout
Nor a strong bullish reaction on Gold
To the weakening of the dollar
So I am still bearish on Gold
And I think that after the retest
Of the falling resistance line
We will see bearish continuation
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Are Precious Metals Finally Reacting To Fed Fear?Myself, like many others, continue to believe Precious Metals (#gold & #silver) are about to enter a very explosive price phase. The past 12+ months have seen Gold rally after COVID, then enter an extended decline phase as the speculative bubble distracted everyone from core value. Now that the Fed and GCBs are dancing around rate increases, higher inflation, and consumer demands, will Precious Metals shift direction and start a new up trend?
Time will tell, but this recent Double-Bottom in Gold certainly looks promising.
I'm still cautiously optimistic the past 10+ years of extremely easy money policies will setup a huge rally phase in Metals. Near Dec 2019, my main cycle system moved into a Depreciation cycle phase. That means we have until 2029+ for this cycle to continue to unwind. Remember that is still 6~7+ years from now.
The unwinding phase will be very similar to the 2000~2009 Depreciation phase - sideways trends with extreme volatility.
I expect a slow melt upward over the next 3+ years, eventually extending into a parabolic upward price trend (increasing in speed and volatility as we near 2028~29).
This recent BASE ($1690) will probably turn into a very strong decades-long base/support.
We've never been anywhere close to what is happening in the US/Global markets before. But I'm here to tell you the real fun start after 2026~27. Until then, the global markets are shifting in structure, attempting to find support - just like what happened near 1997~2001.
Get ready for another 5+ years of big volatility and trends.
Follow my research. Don't miss these huge trends.
GOLD Breakout Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD went down from the resistance
Just as I predicted in my previous analysis
But then the price has retested
The horizontal support while trading
In a falling narrowing wedge pattern
And now we are seeing a bullish breakout
So despite the fact that I am bearish on Gold overall
I think that the price might retest
The resistance level above
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!