XAGUSD Facing bearish pressure | 13 Aug 2021XAGUSD broke below descending channel support to the downside. With technical indicators still showing room for further bearish momentum, a further push down below our entry at 23.665 towards graphical swing low and 161.8% Fibonacci extension at our take profit at 22.259 could be possible.
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Preciousmetals
New Listing for VOX RoyaltyFirst a video youtu.be
Vox Commences Trading on OTCQX
TORONTO, Aug. 10, 2021 /CNW/ - Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (OTCQX: VOXCF) ("Vox" or the "Company"), a high growth precious metals focused royalty company, is pleased to announce that its common shares are now trading on the OTCQX® Best Market under the ticker symbol "VOXCF". The OTCQX Best Market is the highest market tier of OTC Markets on which more than 10,000 U.S. and global securities trade. Trading on OTCQX will enhance the visibility and accessibility of the Company to U.S. investors. Vox's common shares will continue to trade on the TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol "VOX".
The OTCQX Best Market provides value and convenience to U.S. investors, brokers and institutions seeking to trade VOXCF. The OTCQX Best Market is OTC Markets Group's premier market for established, investor-focused U.S. and international companies. To be eligible, companies must meet high financial standards, follow best practice corporate governance, demonstrate compliance with U.S. securities laws, be current in their disclosure, and have a professional third-party sponsor introduction.
Vox is in the process of securing Depository Trust Company ("DTC") eligibility for its common shares. DTC manages electronic clearing and settlement of publicly traded companies across the United States and in 131 other countries. Trading through DTC allows for cost-effective clearing and guaranteed settlement, simplifying and accelerating the settlement process of daily trades. U.S. investors can find current financial disclosure and Real-Time Level 2 quotes for the company on www.otcmarkets.com
"We are pleased to reach the milestone of trading on OTCQX, as this will make it easier for new U.S. investors to invest in Vox and for our existing U.S. investors to continue trading," confirmed Kyle Floyd, the CEO of Vox. "This is yet another demonstration of the Company's commitment to building long term shareholder value in the U.S., Canada and internationally. Moreover, I believe that once the Company is DTC eligible, this will further improve our overall liquidity and help to accelerate the expansion of our shareholder base in North America over time."
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (10th August 2021)Many people may feel perplexed about yesterday's selloff in gold when price halted its decline at 1677.686 USD (after 4 bn. USD sell order hit the market). At some point a spread between bid and ask reached more than 35 USD (mainly around yesterday's low). Upbeat economic data with decreasing unemployment point to the steady recovery and lay out path for future rate hikes and taper by the FED. Yesterday's price decline stopped at March lows suggesting strong support in this area. RSI reached oversold level and is striving to reverse. MACD and Stochastic are bearish. Despite that we believe there is not much more downside for gold from here. We believe that short term struggle in gold is nearing its end. Eventually FED will be forced to hike interest rates due to soaring inflation making it bullish case for gold in long run. In our opinion current price of gold is very attractive for entering a long position. Our medium term price target remains 1850 USD and our long term price target remains 1875 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Price Outlook of Gold for 2021-2050*** THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND FORM YOUR OWN OPINIONS ***
10Y Treasury and Gold's Price:
Gold is correlated strongly (92%) with the 10Y Treasury. During 2020, during the depths of the pandemic, we saw 10Y rates under 0.5%. This was the primary catalyst for Gold to find its new ATH during August of 2020. This strong correlation makes it necessary to understand the primary drivers of Federal Reserve policy and actions.
Miss-guided Inflation to Gold Correlation:
Inflation is the most commonly purported catalyst behind Gold's price movements. This remains true, however the present narrative surrounding inflation (and the convoluted way QE finds its way to markets) makes it very difficult for the public to have an understanding of long-term inflationary expectations. Under the current regime, we are in much greater danger of Cyclical Deflation than any significant inflation. Hyper-inflationary rhetoric is silly and I'll not address it seriously. My assertions of inflation and deflation trends rely strongly on the Federal Reserve operating under the laws by which it's presently constituted. This is unlikely to happen in the long term.
Federal Reserve Frustrations and Law Breaking/Changing:
Within the next 5 years it will become painfully obvious to the Federal Reserve they're incapable of generating true inflation. Once the Fed and the Government resign to this fact, there'll be a proposal to change the Federal Reserve Acts to give the Fed more monetary freedom. The way this affects American Life is in the introduction of a CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency); transforming the Fed from the Lender of last resort into the Spender of all resorts. This will be the true catalyst behind inflationary trades; shifting Gold's closest price correlation from the 10Y rate to the threat of true inflation.
Powell's Fed Ending:
Jerome Powell is slated for re-appointment early in 2022. I don't think he will be. It's likely the next Chairman (Chairwoman) of the Fed will probably be Lael Brainard. In this case, my above statements are hastened and magnified.
Federal Reserve (Monetary Policy Trajectory):
The Federal Reserve remains hawkish in the short term. This means short term 10Y rates are unlikely to rise to or above 2% for the next few years. As stated above, under present forces, low rates are bullish for the price of Gold but since rates are already tightly approaching 2% the buy signal for gold will remain neutral until 2023. I don't think Gold make any significant moves, but it will likely maintain its present price with a +/-10% around the 200 day moving average.
Price Prediction:
I will not be buying more physical gold until either 10Y rates rise and remain above 2% or until the Fed introduces a CBDC. I don't see either of these catalysts forming until 2023. Until 2023, it's best to play the short-term averages and trajectories in the Paper Gold markets. Depending upon the economic outcomes of the next few years, Gold could vary wildly in price. If strong deflation persists, $500 Gold is not out of the question. If Laws change and a CBDC is introduced, the price of Gold could easily rise above $10,000 (or other denominations).
Unconsidered Catalysts (BASEL III):
BASEL III is close to being enacted. I have not been able to research all of the components of BASEL III's changes. However, one of the major changes (along with reinstating Gold as a Tier I asset for collateralization purposes) is making unallocated positions impossible. How BASEL III does this is not clear to me but I will post an update once I have a better understanding of this. Removal of unallocated paper positions in Gold would result in a precipitous rise in Gold's price if the assumption of many Goldbugs (that gold is heavily manipulated through paper markets (ETF's and Bullion Banks)) are true. This isn't that ridiculous an idea considering some statements given by Greenspan and Bernanke. I'll go into details on these statements in future ideas.
Short Term Prediction (Now to 2023): NEUTRAL with a price of Gold ranging from $1,700.00 to $1,900.00 .
Long Term Prediction (2023 to 2050): REMARKABLY BULLISH with a price of Gold ranging from $50,000.00 (eq) to $100,000 (eq). (where "eq" allows for future U.S. dollar equivalents)
Gold: Weekly Forecast 1st August 2021Gold had the biggest drop in 7 weeks, wiping out all gains previously and is now back to 4-month support at 1760.
The gold has struggled to make any progress since it reached a high of 1830 and consolidated for more than 3 weeks, and it finally lost its grip amid a strengthening dollar due to a strong US labour market.
As of current and despite a strong selloff last Friday, the price is still seen supported at the demand zone around 1750 and we might expect some significant rebound before further selling occurs.
We also want to take note that the US is also releasing its inflation data and inflation plays a huge role in gold prices should the price breaks below the 1750 demand zone.
Otherwise, from a pure technical perspective, we do see a potential for the gold to fall even deeper and potentially retest the 4-month low at 1680.
This week, we will wait for a pullback first from the recent bearish wave and look for selling opportunities from 1785, and as high as 1800.
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (6th August 2021)Gold has been trading sidways for a while now. ADX contains low value which suggest neutral trend remains in place. In addition to that RSI, MACD and Stochastic are neutral. Despite current struggle in gold to move up we remain optimistic on future price of gold. Our medium term price target remains 1850 USD and our long term price target remains 1875 USD.
Prior developements from 21st July 2021:
Here we suggested that gold would be moving along upper channel line for indefinite amount of time. We still expect gold to decouple from this area and move to the upside.
More developements from 30th June 2021:
Here we hinted at divergence between price and RSI. We also correctly predicted reversal in price direction.
More developements from 26th May 2021:
Here we suggested that gold reached overbought zone and odds of correction were increasingly growing.
More developements from 16th April 2021:
Here we correctly predicted move to upper bound of downward moving channel.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
GOLD - SELL TO BUYXAUUSD, if market conditions are favourable we would look to enter via sell stop's with a 5 to 10 point draw down, targeting the lower 1750 region. Making the R:R 1:10. Signal will be released if the opportunity prevails, if not - Tomorrow's NFP and there will be significant moves!
MAJOR BUY'S LOADING THEREAFTER
Gold Lines Up Bullishly On DailyFurther to our previous article , the gold daily chart has turned bullish. The green MA has crossed above the orange MA (blue arrow). Thus, all three MAs are now in bullish formation with green>orange>red. We are now looking for more angle and separation between the MAs. If this does develop, it will be regarded as a bullish development and will denote an increase in the underlying momentum. Given that this is a daily chart, please note that overnight positions are likely to incur rollover (if you trade through FXCM AU these may might be waived).
Strong underlying momentum in Precious MetalsMy 5-7 year outlook. Amazing fundamental and technical picture for precious metals and for the gold & silver mining companies. They are very undervalued relative to the underlying metals they mine and the fundamental picture gets better and better. They're growing cash flows and making very large margins of over 35% on average. Inflation is here and the Federal Reserve & Government are trapped with rates near zero as the economy is beginning to roll over. Large debts of over 130% Debt/GDP necessitates interest rates remaining capped (Fed funds below 2% for at least 6-10 years). Fiscal spending to grow the economy with yield curve control and currency devaluation to devalue the debt load with ignite a commodities and precious metals bull market and cycle that hasn't been seen since the 1970s.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 1st August 2021Gold was very well supported at the resistance turned support level 1795.
Last week, the price managed to rebound higher but faced with significant rejection as it retest the current high at 1830.
At the end of it, it was somewhat able to close with a higher low and that gives the bulls a little more advantage.
This week, we will be looking for buy opportunity by using the rising trendline as a support.
We are expecting the price to eventually complete a AB=CD pattern as it completes a 2nd bullish wave at the equilibrium level around 1860.
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (29th July 2021)We correctly predicted that gold would move along the upper channel line for few days before moving higher. Yesterday gold decoupled from the upper channel line to the upside. RSI and MACD are bullish. Stochastics is also reversing to the bullish side. We expect gold to continue go higher and subsequently reach our price targets. Our short term price target of 1850 USD remains in place. Similarly, our medium price target of 1875 USD also remains in place.
Developements from 26th July 2021:
Here we suggested that gold would move along the upper channel line before finally moving higher.
Developements from 30th June 2021:
Here we hinted at divergence between price and RSI. We also correctly predicted end of correction and reversal in price direction to the upside.
Developements from 26th May 2021:
Here we suggested that gold was reaching overbought zone in the short term. We also hinted at growing odds of shortlived correction.
Developements from 16th April 2021_
Here we correctly predicted move to the upper channel line.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
SILVER: What's Happening? Educational Multi Time Frame AnalysisTraders, Silver (XAGUSD) has been moving and yesterday it caught several analysts and traders by surprise. The reason behind that is that majority do not perform multi time frame analysis and do not see the hidden higher time frame levels which can act as support and resistance. In this multi time frame analysis I start from the monthly time frame and go the way down to 4H to show what happened, and what was expected.
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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Vox Royalty Just Doubled 2021 GuidanceFor those of you who haven't been following along, this is what was said in May at the end of Q1 2021.
GEORGE TOWN, CAYMAN ISLANDS – May 25, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”) is
pleased to announce its operating and financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2021. All amounts are in U.S. dollars
unless otherwise indicated.
Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “The first quarter of 2021 marked another milestone for Vox as it reported record
revenues. The Company is well on track to achieve its previously announced 2021 royalty revenue guidance of C$1.7M to C$2.5M.
The embedded organic growth in our portfolio of 50 royalty assets continues to build. Every month our shareholders are benefiting
from exploration successes, fast-tracking of development and production increases on our royalty properties. The coming quarters
have strong potential to be the most productive in Vox’s seven year history.”
This is where they are end of Q2 2021
VOX ANNOUNCES RECORD REVENUE IN Q2 2021 AND INCREASES 2021 REVENUE GUIDANCE BY +100%
TORONTO, CANADA – July 27, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”), a high growth precious
metals focused royalty company, is pleased to announce that it has realized record preliminary quarterly royalty revenue of
C$1,628,600 (US$1,314,000)
for the three-month period ended June 30, 2021. During the quarter, the Company recognized inaugural royalty revenue from its Janet Ivy gold royalty, acquired on March 29, 2021, which is an uncapped A$0.50 per tonne royalty.
Quarterly revenue benefitted from increased royalty-linked production by Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) at Koolyanobbing, increased production by Karora Resources Inc. (TSX: KRR) from the Hidden Secret deposit at Higginsville covered by the Dry Creek royalty, inaugural royalty revenues earned from the Janet Ivy royalty, and increased production by the operator of the Brauna royalty.
Vox has successfully grown quarterly revenue figures exponentially since Q3 2020, which is summarized in the below chart:
Three months ended June 30, 2021
Royalty revenue (C$) == $1,628,600
Royalty revenue (US$) == $1,314,000
Royalty revenue % growth == 143%
# of producing assets == 4
Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “This is the continuation of an exciting period in Vox’s growth as revenue and
profitability metrics start to reflect the true earnings power of the Vox royalty portfolio. We have consistently updated the market
with operator updates concerning our royalty assets and noted that our portfolio continues to grow ahead of expectations. The
coming quarters and years should continue to reflect a robust increase in revenues from both in production assets and development
stage projects we expect to come online.”
Vox receives money$VOX.CA is pleased to announce that it has executed binding agreements with Titan Minerals Limited to acquire four Peruvian gold, silver, and copper royalties for total cash consideration of US$1,000,000. In addition, Titan will pay Vox US$1,000,000 in cash pursuant to the terms of an agreement between Vox’s subsidiary, SilverStream SEZC, and a subsidiary of Titan, Mantle Mining Peru S.A.C. (together with the acquisition of the Royalty Portfolio, the “Transaction”). Spencer Cole, Chief Investment Officer stated: “We are pleased to close out this legacy receivable from Titan and to add four highly prospective Peruvian exploration royalties to our portfolio. #preciousmetals #gold #royalty #miners $GDX $WPM $RGLD $FNV
This company is on the move
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (26th July 2021)Technical indicators are mixed for gold. Yet fundamentals remain bullish. As gold continues to move along upper channel line we believe that it is poised for further move up. Our short term price target remains 1850 USD and our medium term price target remains 1875 USD.
Prior thoughts from 14th July 2021:
More prior thoughts from 30th June 2021:
Here we hinted at divergence between price and RSI. We also correctly predicted reversal in price.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 18th July 2021Gold marked its first weekly loss in just more than a month.
Gold price has struggled to maintain its recovery from the previous selloff as the dollar continued to strengthened amid the outbreak of the delta variant.
However, we still see gold finding support and staying on to of the previous range which could potentially invite another bullish wave in the coming week.
This week, we expect the market to be either ranging or it may start to rebound off the support turned resistance level 1790 and head for 1850.
We do expect some fake breakout of 1790, which may push the price to as low as 1770, before it starts to trend upwards.
SILVER triangle breakoutJust buying Silver @ 24.86, as it already broke the triangle (yellow) and pulled back to the range high BUY (which often acts as strong support). The grey trendline could act as a magnet attracting the price. For me it's good opportunity to get in with favourable risk reward ratio.
RRR 5.55
TP @ 31.9 which is resistance slightly below the projection of triangle height (projected from range mid-point)
SL @ range low
Vox Royalty - R2 PivotOn the daily pivots, the R2 is the game-changer.
A rise in share price above there and we're in a new bull trend on the higher time frame.
Volume increases are needed as is revenue that gets above CAD$3million and with the NSR's and Royalties coming into production over the coming year or so, that revenue goal will be exceeded. May be doubled.
VOX Royalty - Gold revenueVox Royalty Corp (CVE:VOX) (OTCMKTS:VOXCF) has noted that its royalty partner Thor Explorations Ltd (CVE:THX) (LON:THX) (OTCMKTS:THXPF) (FRA:T2X) has begun commissioning its gold processing plant at the Segilola gold project in Nigeria and will pour the first gold bar there before the end of the month.
Vox Royalty, which has a 1.5% net smelter return (NSR) royalty on all products mined from the property, estimates it will receive pre-tax royalty revenues of C$4.4 million within the first two full years of production.
"Based on production guidance from Thor, we expect that this royalty has the potential to generate revenue almost five times Vox's initial investment of C$900,000 within a span of three years,” Vox Royalty executive vice president of corporate development Simon Cooper said in a statement.
Gold Daily Chart Lacks Clear DirectionWe have added a triple moving average system to determine the trendiness of XAUUSD. Green>orange>red is regarded as a bullish formation. When this is achieved with angle and separation (blue arrows) a price uptrend typically ensues. Current price action lacks clear direction in this regard. We note that the short-term green moving average has turned down. If green<orange<red develops this will be considered a bearish development for the precious metal.