SILVER set upTaking a short entry on Silver today looking for a break down of this bearish continuation pattern and looking for a double bottom on this high volatility level.
This zone has been bought up a few times in the past and is considered a high volatile area but these levels can break eventually if hammered enough and the HTF EMA's on silver arnt looking the best although could just be considered chop in a range.
Will reassess trade in that level and look to flip long incase we do have a reversal and start making bullish market strucutre.
A break down through that volatile area could get ugly for silver.
Preciousmetals
Can Golds correction be nearly over?This week we learn whether the US Federal Reserve has made any further plans towards tapering their asset purchases. Currently, they remove $120bln of collateral out of the system and replace it with Reserve Assets. Also known as QE.
QE has been designed to crush the interest rates so that people like you and me can afford to take on more debt as the interest payments are low. This is designed to stimulate us all into getting the economy up and running. Some may say that the stock markets hitting all-time highs is proof that QE works, but the markets are not the economy. Currently, we are in the middle of transitory inflation which is making living more expensive for the average person. The stock market is being buoyed by margin trading and the banks have been slow to lend, which is what SME companies need to grow.
Tomorrow's announcement from Fed Chair Powell has been telegraphed as the point where he announces tapering. This should mean the market reacts with higher bond yields, and going by the recent relationship between the US10y and gold, the price of gold should come down.
The major risk of course is that the Fed can not taper or if they do, they do it so slowly the market adjustment is negligible. In this scenario, the disappointment of expectations should be enough to get the gold price rising and the yields going towards zero or maybe negative. At which point gold should be above $2k per oz.
The technicals show that the price of gold from the $2k peak has been in a descending channel and the probability is that this breaks to the upside eventually. That doesn't mean we don't trade lower within the channel. But ultimately I see this price action breaking higher. The near term trend could also be signalling a sharper rise as we are breaking out of that smaller channel in Green.
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (25th August 2021)Gold took some step back after its breakout above 1800 USD. It currently trades around 1792 USD. We think upper bound of downward moving channel should be closely observed in the following days as it currently acts as immediate support for gold. Plunge below this level could lead to short term weakness. Although, we expect 1750 USD (previous support/resistance) to hold in case of further selling pressure. Stochastic is bullish. RSI continues to change back and forth from neutral to bullish on daily timeframe. MACD has bullish direction and we expect it to perform crossover above 0 points. We expect this to be very bullish for gold. In the big picture we remain bullish on gold with medium term price target of 1850 USD and long term price target of 1875 USD. Though, our price target for next 12 months is much higher at 2100 USD.
Prior developements from 10th August 2021:
Here we noted that price of gold was attractive for long entry. We also announced that we believe gold is near end of its struggle to move higher.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 22nd August 2021The gold fell just a little after a very bullish recovery from the week before amid a strengthening dollar.
The gold has ranged throughout the week as it stayed resisted by the supply level at 1795.
The dollar has strengthened through the week on a hawkish Fed to start tapering this year and most pairs against the dollar had turned bearish but gold was somewhat resilience continued to stay supported within a range.
However, both highs and lows are notably becoming lower and we can expect the gold to start the week with a bearish tone at the beginning.
This week, we will look for selling opportunities as it pulls back to the top of its current range but expecting a strong rebound at the demand level at 1750.
Gold in coiling modeIt appears that in recent months, a rally in Gold snooked many, with false breakouts that were followed immediately with reversals. This happened thrice in July August period, which was abruptly ended with a steep drop of more than 1000.
And yet it bounced off hard, over the last week.
Relooking into the chart patterns, the cup (or handle rather) is redrawn and retimed. A new breakout level is also set in. This time, a better chance for Gold to recover is attributed to the bullish divergence seen in the RPM and MACD.
The weekly candle is also supportive with a consolidating week after the previous which had a very long tail (of demand).
The lines are drawn and will be watched.
Uncanny, but this appears to align at a time when equities are long in the teeth of a rally. What relationship this might bring is still open for interpretation. But I would personally leave it open for now, and let the market decide...
Gold appears to be bullish on breakout over the next couple of weeks.
If Silver Closes the Weekly below 22.6 Then This Will Rise.Silver is looking to Bearishly close the weekly below $22.6 and if it does then i will be buying call options expiring in a few months for this inverse ETF of Silver.
However if silver can get a bullish weekly HA candle Close above $22.6 then i will look to trade silver bullishly.
For now i have only lightly gone into the bearish trade for silver but will get in more if i get candle close confirmation below $22.6.
Technical analysis update: 19th August 2021Gold's price has retraced back to its 20-day Simple Moving Average. RSI is flat. Stochastic is bullish. MACD is still in a bearish zone. However, its direction is to the upside. We will observe MACD for next few days. We will be looking for crossover above 0 points. This would be bullish developement and could lead to price increase above 1800 USD. Gold has currently strong resistance in area between 1780 USD and 1795 USD. Price has been climbing steadily since 9th August 2021 when gold plunged to its medium term support around 1670 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
The last shining moment for silverWhen silver broke down the huge triangle my idea was to closely look for potential bear trap. But we have been staying beyond the triangle for a long period of time and I ceased to look at it. But now chances are silver can needle back and cross the middle point of the pattern. In this case, I am going to look for patterns in minor timeframes to catch the last shining moment.
Wheaton Precious Metals' Q2 Revenues Reached New Record-HighWheaton's attributable gold equivalent production climbed to 194,140 toz and the sales amounted to 176,700 toz.
Revenues grew to new record-high at $330.4 million.
Two new acquisitions were completed in Q2.
The dividend was raised for the fourth quarter in a row; the dividend yield equals 1.35% now.
Vox Royalty Q2 ResultsTORONTO, CANADA – August 16, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (OTCQX: VOXCF) (“Vox” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce its operating and financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021. All amounts are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated.
Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “The second quarter of 2021 saw record royalty revenues, record net incomes and unprecedented organic growth for Vox. Management’s confidence in the underlying performance of the Vox royalty portfolio was demonstrated in our doubling of 2021 annual revenue guidance to C$4M – C$5M. This quarter saw exceptional organic growth in our portfolio, further strengthened by first gold pour from our Segilola royalty asset on July 30. We are also excited to grow our strategic partnership with Electric Royalties Ltd. (TSXV: ELEC), following the completion of our initial graphite royalty transaction. Vox shareholders can look forward to a catalyst-rich second half of 2021, with construction activity at multiple royalty assets, the release of multiple engineering studies and over 80,000m partner-funded drilling expected."
Second Quarter 2021 Highlights
• Record revenue of $1,314,030 reported for the quarter, with inaugural revenues received from the Janet Ivy royalty;
• Record net income of $2,057,694 for the quarter;
• Increased production stage royalty asset count from one asset at May 2020 listing to five assets by end of the quarter;
• Strong balance sheet position at period end, including cash on hand of $5,308,977, working capital of $8,684,985 and total assets of $30,161,290;
• Executed binding documents for a strategic partnership with Electric Royalties Limited (TSX-V: ELEC) and divested two non-core graphite royalties;
• Completed four royalty transactions to acquire an additional seven royalties, including the rancher royalty at Gold Standard Ventures (TSX-V: GSV) South Railroad project, reaching a total critical mass of over 50 royalties and streams;
• Subsequent to June 30, 2021:
o Announced record revenue in Q2 2021 and increased 2021 revenue guidance by +100% on July 27, 2021;
o Increased producing royalty count to 5 assets following first gold pour at the Segilola Gold Mine, as reported by Thor Explorations Ltd on July 30, 2021; and
o Commenced trading on OTCQX on August 10, 2021
Gold: Weekly Forecast 15th August 2021The gold plunged to a 14-month low at as the market opened last week.
It quickly made a sharp rebound and continued to climb through the rest of the week, showing a build up in the buying momentum.
As of current, the gold may face some resistance at the FR618 level, and slightly higher will be the breakout level at 1795.
This week, we expect the market to shed off some gains at the beginning and continues to climb later.
Overall, we will focus on buying and looking for entry from 1770 onwards to 1760.
Gold Can Go Higher To Complete A PatternTraders, after massive sell off, Gold (XAUUSD) has been looking for a direction. It is highly likely that it will go back up to retest the previous M mid points and in the process it will close the gap left and complete a bearish W pattern. Once it has completed that pattern it will be a good candidate for short opportunities based on confirmations. Right now this is looking bullish to complete that W pattern.
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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XAGUSD Facing bearish pressure | 13 Aug 2021XAGUSD broke below descending channel support to the downside. With technical indicators still showing room for further bearish momentum, a further push down below our entry at 23.665 towards graphical swing low and 161.8% Fibonacci extension at our take profit at 22.259 could be possible.
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New Listing for VOX RoyaltyFirst a video youtu.be
Vox Commences Trading on OTCQX
TORONTO, Aug. 10, 2021 /CNW/ - Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (OTCQX: VOXCF) ("Vox" or the "Company"), a high growth precious metals focused royalty company, is pleased to announce that its common shares are now trading on the OTCQX® Best Market under the ticker symbol "VOXCF". The OTCQX Best Market is the highest market tier of OTC Markets on which more than 10,000 U.S. and global securities trade. Trading on OTCQX will enhance the visibility and accessibility of the Company to U.S. investors. Vox's common shares will continue to trade on the TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol "VOX".
The OTCQX Best Market provides value and convenience to U.S. investors, brokers and institutions seeking to trade VOXCF. The OTCQX Best Market is OTC Markets Group's premier market for established, investor-focused U.S. and international companies. To be eligible, companies must meet high financial standards, follow best practice corporate governance, demonstrate compliance with U.S. securities laws, be current in their disclosure, and have a professional third-party sponsor introduction.
Vox is in the process of securing Depository Trust Company ("DTC") eligibility for its common shares. DTC manages electronic clearing and settlement of publicly traded companies across the United States and in 131 other countries. Trading through DTC allows for cost-effective clearing and guaranteed settlement, simplifying and accelerating the settlement process of daily trades. U.S. investors can find current financial disclosure and Real-Time Level 2 quotes for the company on www.otcmarkets.com
"We are pleased to reach the milestone of trading on OTCQX, as this will make it easier for new U.S. investors to invest in Vox and for our existing U.S. investors to continue trading," confirmed Kyle Floyd, the CEO of Vox. "This is yet another demonstration of the Company's commitment to building long term shareholder value in the U.S., Canada and internationally. Moreover, I believe that once the Company is DTC eligible, this will further improve our overall liquidity and help to accelerate the expansion of our shareholder base in North America over time."
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (10th August 2021)Many people may feel perplexed about yesterday's selloff in gold when price halted its decline at 1677.686 USD (after 4 bn. USD sell order hit the market). At some point a spread between bid and ask reached more than 35 USD (mainly around yesterday's low). Upbeat economic data with decreasing unemployment point to the steady recovery and lay out path for future rate hikes and taper by the FED. Yesterday's price decline stopped at March lows suggesting strong support in this area. RSI reached oversold level and is striving to reverse. MACD and Stochastic are bearish. Despite that we believe there is not much more downside for gold from here. We believe that short term struggle in gold is nearing its end. Eventually FED will be forced to hike interest rates due to soaring inflation making it bullish case for gold in long run. In our opinion current price of gold is very attractive for entering a long position. Our medium term price target remains 1850 USD and our long term price target remains 1875 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Price Outlook of Gold for 2021-2050*** THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND FORM YOUR OWN OPINIONS ***
10Y Treasury and Gold's Price:
Gold is correlated strongly (92%) with the 10Y Treasury. During 2020, during the depths of the pandemic, we saw 10Y rates under 0.5%. This was the primary catalyst for Gold to find its new ATH during August of 2020. This strong correlation makes it necessary to understand the primary drivers of Federal Reserve policy and actions.
Miss-guided Inflation to Gold Correlation:
Inflation is the most commonly purported catalyst behind Gold's price movements. This remains true, however the present narrative surrounding inflation (and the convoluted way QE finds its way to markets) makes it very difficult for the public to have an understanding of long-term inflationary expectations. Under the current regime, we are in much greater danger of Cyclical Deflation than any significant inflation. Hyper-inflationary rhetoric is silly and I'll not address it seriously. My assertions of inflation and deflation trends rely strongly on the Federal Reserve operating under the laws by which it's presently constituted. This is unlikely to happen in the long term.
Federal Reserve Frustrations and Law Breaking/Changing:
Within the next 5 years it will become painfully obvious to the Federal Reserve they're incapable of generating true inflation. Once the Fed and the Government resign to this fact, there'll be a proposal to change the Federal Reserve Acts to give the Fed more monetary freedom. The way this affects American Life is in the introduction of a CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency); transforming the Fed from the Lender of last resort into the Spender of all resorts. This will be the true catalyst behind inflationary trades; shifting Gold's closest price correlation from the 10Y rate to the threat of true inflation.
Powell's Fed Ending:
Jerome Powell is slated for re-appointment early in 2022. I don't think he will be. It's likely the next Chairman (Chairwoman) of the Fed will probably be Lael Brainard. In this case, my above statements are hastened and magnified.
Federal Reserve (Monetary Policy Trajectory):
The Federal Reserve remains hawkish in the short term. This means short term 10Y rates are unlikely to rise to or above 2% for the next few years. As stated above, under present forces, low rates are bullish for the price of Gold but since rates are already tightly approaching 2% the buy signal for gold will remain neutral until 2023. I don't think Gold make any significant moves, but it will likely maintain its present price with a +/-10% around the 200 day moving average.
Price Prediction:
I will not be buying more physical gold until either 10Y rates rise and remain above 2% or until the Fed introduces a CBDC. I don't see either of these catalysts forming until 2023. Until 2023, it's best to play the short-term averages and trajectories in the Paper Gold markets. Depending upon the economic outcomes of the next few years, Gold could vary wildly in price. If strong deflation persists, $500 Gold is not out of the question. If Laws change and a CBDC is introduced, the price of Gold could easily rise above $10,000 (or other denominations).
Unconsidered Catalysts (BASEL III):
BASEL III is close to being enacted. I have not been able to research all of the components of BASEL III's changes. However, one of the major changes (along with reinstating Gold as a Tier I asset for collateralization purposes) is making unallocated positions impossible. How BASEL III does this is not clear to me but I will post an update once I have a better understanding of this. Removal of unallocated paper positions in Gold would result in a precipitous rise in Gold's price if the assumption of many Goldbugs (that gold is heavily manipulated through paper markets (ETF's and Bullion Banks)) are true. This isn't that ridiculous an idea considering some statements given by Greenspan and Bernanke. I'll go into details on these statements in future ideas.
Short Term Prediction (Now to 2023): NEUTRAL with a price of Gold ranging from $1,700.00 to $1,900.00 .
Long Term Prediction (2023 to 2050): REMARKABLY BULLISH with a price of Gold ranging from $50,000.00 (eq) to $100,000 (eq). (where "eq" allows for future U.S. dollar equivalents)
Gold: Weekly Forecast 1st August 2021Gold had the biggest drop in 7 weeks, wiping out all gains previously and is now back to 4-month support at 1760.
The gold has struggled to make any progress since it reached a high of 1830 and consolidated for more than 3 weeks, and it finally lost its grip amid a strengthening dollar due to a strong US labour market.
As of current and despite a strong selloff last Friday, the price is still seen supported at the demand zone around 1750 and we might expect some significant rebound before further selling occurs.
We also want to take note that the US is also releasing its inflation data and inflation plays a huge role in gold prices should the price breaks below the 1750 demand zone.
Otherwise, from a pure technical perspective, we do see a potential for the gold to fall even deeper and potentially retest the 4-month low at 1680.
This week, we will wait for a pullback first from the recent bearish wave and look for selling opportunities from 1785, and as high as 1800.
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (6th August 2021)Gold has been trading sidways for a while now. ADX contains low value which suggest neutral trend remains in place. In addition to that RSI, MACD and Stochastic are neutral. Despite current struggle in gold to move up we remain optimistic on future price of gold. Our medium term price target remains 1850 USD and our long term price target remains 1875 USD.
Prior developements from 21st July 2021:
Here we suggested that gold would be moving along upper channel line for indefinite amount of time. We still expect gold to decouple from this area and move to the upside.
More developements from 30th June 2021:
Here we hinted at divergence between price and RSI. We also correctly predicted reversal in price direction.
More developements from 26th May 2021:
Here we suggested that gold reached overbought zone and odds of correction were increasingly growing.
More developements from 16th April 2021:
Here we correctly predicted move to upper bound of downward moving channel.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
GOLD - SELL TO BUYXAUUSD, if market conditions are favourable we would look to enter via sell stop's with a 5 to 10 point draw down, targeting the lower 1750 region. Making the R:R 1:10. Signal will be released if the opportunity prevails, if not - Tomorrow's NFP and there will be significant moves!
MAJOR BUY'S LOADING THEREAFTER
Gold Lines Up Bullishly On DailyFurther to our previous article , the gold daily chart has turned bullish. The green MA has crossed above the orange MA (blue arrow). Thus, all three MAs are now in bullish formation with green>orange>red. We are now looking for more angle and separation between the MAs. If this does develop, it will be regarded as a bullish development and will denote an increase in the underlying momentum. Given that this is a daily chart, please note that overnight positions are likely to incur rollover (if you trade through FXCM AU these may might be waived).
Strong underlying momentum in Precious MetalsMy 5-7 year outlook. Amazing fundamental and technical picture for precious metals and for the gold & silver mining companies. They are very undervalued relative to the underlying metals they mine and the fundamental picture gets better and better. They're growing cash flows and making very large margins of over 35% on average. Inflation is here and the Federal Reserve & Government are trapped with rates near zero as the economy is beginning to roll over. Large debts of over 130% Debt/GDP necessitates interest rates remaining capped (Fed funds below 2% for at least 6-10 years). Fiscal spending to grow the economy with yield curve control and currency devaluation to devalue the debt load with ignite a commodities and precious metals bull market and cycle that hasn't been seen since the 1970s.