Gold: Weekly Forecast 20210530Gold was pretty much as bullish as expected, resulting in the biggest monthly gain in 10 months.
The gold continued to prove its value in times of uncertainty and rising inflation, coupled with falling asset prices, causing higher demand for the safe-haven assets.
We continue to see the gold pushing higher towards 1950 before any strong selling may occur.
This week, we shall continue to look for buying opportunities. Should the price pulls back at first, we can look to buy at 1880, followed by 1863.
Preciousmetals
GDX : RESET / POSITION TRADE / HEDGEDuring the last three-month trading period, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has generated net inflows of 731.35 million. More importantly, we can see that the greatest selling pressures emerged after the Pfizer vaccine news was released on November 9th.
This suggests that the market is simply undergoing a temporary reaction to a news event and that further downside in GDX seems unlikely because any additional vaccine announcements would probably do little to change the underlying environment.
Moving out to an even longer-term view, we can see further evidence that these assertions are accurate because the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF has actually generated net inflows of 2.37 billion during the last three years.
All together, these trend divergences tell us that investors might have an opportunity to profit from recent paradigm shifts in the precious metals markets. While this short-term enthusiasm might be moderately favorable for U.S. stock benchmarks into the end of 2020, we think that the prospects for economic deterioration during the first-quarter period of 2021 might be enough to send investors right back into safe-haven assets.
Ultimately, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF provides an alternative strategy for investors that are interested in moving deeper into the precious metals sector and its expense ratio of 0.52% remains near the middle of the range for the category as a whole.
SOURCE : INCOME GENERATOR, THE INCOME MACHINE / SEEKING ALPHA
seekingalpha.com
2021-05-28 Possible Gold correction (Daily Chart)Looks like a Short Japanese pin-bar has formed on Wed the 26th of May and the RSI may look overbought.
Possibilities:
- Gold upward move continues then it could rise toward 1989,
- Go sideways between 1875-1922 support & resistance.
- Further Down Correction between 1872-1875 support & resistance.
SILVER TO RE-TEST $16-$18 DEMAND ZONE BEFORE CONTINUATION HIGHERHello investors and traders!
We should see significant drop in silver prices relatively soon. Expect 30-40% drop towards demand zone $16-$18.
Weekly support is at $18.38.
Long term investors should be looking to accumulate as much as possible in purple-ish region.
Take care! This is not financial advice.
#gold vs #FED #M2 ... a wall of #dollars should Push #metals UPPLENTY of ROOM to the upside measure Money stock
Gold Channeling Out of Another ChannelGold has been rising within a 1.5-month rising channel and the top of the channel was somewhat breached earlier this week.
However, gold struggled to make another jump as it was actually resisted at the top of another rising channel that's channeling out of the 1.5-month channel.
By now, it is obvious that the gold is currently in the process of consolidation, and based on what we've seen, it is very likely that the price will take a little dive before it shoots back up just like a person diving into the bottom of a pool and resurfaces.
We can still consider buying some on every pullback but we now target 1856 as the best price to buy.
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (19th May 2021)Our previous price target of 1875 USD was reached. Because of that we would like to update our thoughts on next price action for gold. Gold climbed up approximately 12% in last 72 days. We think gold reached its temporary top as we think its currently overvalued and ready for correction. Temporary bearish case is supported by price being too far away from its 20-day SMA and by temporary peak in RSI. However, we expect bullish trend of higher degree to remain intact. Currently, we do not dare to give you any price target for gold as we deem it hard to estimate extent of correction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Gold: Weekly ForecastGold fell into a range last week after creating a new high at 1845.
Although resistance at the 200++ moving average did create a reversal candlestick formation, the price found support and quickly parred all losses in the week.
Gold is now at a critical juncture as the last line of defense (200++ MA) before a potential parabolic bull run.
Given the current fundamentals, the US is at risk of hyperinflation since the last inflation data was released and that's what drives gold prices.
So we now have both technical and fundamental showing us a bullish gold market, not forgetting to mention that the dollar will continue to depreciate further due to the unprecedented money supply caused by the Fed.
Price of Interest:
Resistance - 1856 (equilibrium), 1950 (7-month supply zone)
Support - 1820 (bottom of channel), 1750 (neckline)
Potential routes for Silver price in upcoming PM bull run (2)
I am not going to go in detail in this analysis.
First route is based on 2008 bull market in silver.
Second route is based on the bull market in late 70s.
I think a bullish phase similar to late 1970s makes the most sense. You can check out my analysis on Gold to see why.
Gold Breaks Resistance; Awaiting PullbackThe gold opened low but climb throughout the Asia session and reached the equilibrium level at 1856.
The price has clearly broken above a 1-week resistance and may continue so within its current 2-month rising channel.
Wait for a pullback to 1842 to buy in again, targeting the equilibrium level at 1856, and then the top of the channel at 1871.
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (17th May 2021)As all our previous price targets for gold were reached we would like to upgrade our short term price target for XAUUSD to 1875 USD per ounce. Bullish RSI and MACD support bullish case for gold. Also rising inflation plays in favor of gold. Furthermore, we think that the downtrend in cryptocurrency market will further support rotation into gold.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Silver to outperform Bitcoin in the near termPrecious metals looks ripe for a move up, and looking relative to Bitcoin, it seems prudent to take some money off the table and reallocate to hard assets. Silver and gold have been stores of value for thousand of years and proven to protect against inflation.
Multiple good charts and fundamental stories out there as to why silver and gold are ripe for a move up. If you want crypto like moves go for junior miners.
The Inflation has LandedThe media has recognized and confirmed what we have been warning about for some time, that inflation was on the way. Well it is finally here.
‘The accommodative/bailout policies of Greenspan and his protégé Bernanke as figureheads of federal intervention and involvement into financial and monetary affairs and their ability to arbitrarily yield federal power have done nothing more than turn market participants into Pavlov’s dogs. The money they have materialized and forced fed into the global financial system without any commensurate increase in production in their economies is money in search of mischief and is very likely to find it…in the form of very serious inflation.’ theimpartiallens.com March 2015 & 2020
‘The powers that be have had to intervene in every crisis we’ve had since the 1980s. and since The Great Financial Crisis of 2007, we now realize that we can never ever stop printing money. It is inflate or die’. theimpartiallens.com February 2021
Cost-Push Inflation
The only people who can’t see the inflation are the authorities who are printing the money. They use the corrupt and decades old revision of the CPI. Meanwhile inflation is rampant in the real world. We mentioned in the following piece theimpartiallens.com that inflation manifests itself in different ways. It can go into stocks, bonds, foreign countries, oil, crypto, your health costs, your housing costs, educational costs, etc. The powers that be can live in denial and it’s not a river in Egypt. But the inflation we warned about that is now taking shape, the one they fear, the one that will bring about the revolutions, is cost-push inflation, especially food price inflation. They will try to disguise it for a while longer with shrinkflation, but when the masses realize that they are spending the same, but their kids are still hungry…watch out!
One of our favorite investment themes ie. 'Real Assets' has finally caught a bid since the summer of 2020 as we can see from the performance of the following ETF’s:
Agriculture (DBA) +45%
Commodities (DBC) +72%<
Base Metals (DBB) +69%
Agri-Business (MOO) 75%
Uranium (URA) 112%
WTI Crude Oil (DBO) 111%
Water (FIW) 64%
Palladium (PALL) 61%
Brent Crude Oil (BNO) 117%
Rare Earths (REMX) +172%
Copper Miners (COPX) 300%
Lithium (LIT) 148%
Cannabis (YOLO) 150%
Time to Rebalance Portfolios?
No harm in taking SOME crypto gains and buying some real stuff! Gold, Silver & the mining companies look interesting here. We went long the following six ETF’s in March/April 2020 in anticipation of upcoming inflation: GDX (Gold & Silver Miners), GDXJ (Junior Gold & Silver Miners), WPM (Gold, Silver, Palladium, Cobalt), WTR (Water), GLD (Gold), COW (LIvestock).
‘Nobody ever lost money taking a profit.’ Bernard Baruch
“Art is making something out of nothing, and selling it.”
― Frank Zappa
theimpartiallens.com
Gold Correction is Over. Re-pricing incomingThe gold market appears to have found its bottom and rallied back above 1800USD.
This correction is over IMO. The senior producers have sold off and the juniors are quiet again. Its time to add to positions or establish longs in advance of widespread commodity re-pricing to higher levels. Gold will not be left behind this time.
Austral gold is still hanging in there producing cash and the focus now should be on the exploration results which will be key in replenishing reserves. If austral gold can continue to mine 50k oz of gold and then grow their resources with the recent acquisitions this stock can be a multi-bagger.
The copper claims that austral has recently acquired are interesting and has a bit of a mini-barrick vibe.
GLTA.