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Preciousmetals

Is the Silver to Gold Ratio due to tripleWallStSilver Silver Bugs have had to bear many decades of no euphoric price action Like the saying goes every dog has it's day And in speculation a Bull market in one sector often means another sector get's neglected Things don't move in lock step It's just the nature of speculating/investing which we can't control but also offers us opportunity I believe Silver should be a relative out-performer of most things (not all things) And cheap prices or cheap ratio's tilt the odds in your favour.
TVC:SILVERLong
by BallaJi
Golds pushed upwards from falling wedgeIn our video on 6 May we suggested that gold may be charting a bullish falling wedge. The precious metal has now broken out and is moving upwards from that pattern. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) : CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) : Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FXCM
GOLD - Bearish Correction Incoming!Gold / XAUUSD has potential for a small bullish pump over the next few days; followed by a bearish correction. We have some Buy Signal Momentum currently going; it hasn't ended yet but this current bar is displaying it; this implies now is still considered to be a good time to buy but may not be tomorrow! The buy rating started at 1☆ and is closing at a 2☆; this may imply a push back to the $2474 region. Gold has consolidated for quite awhile meaning that it's RSI has had some time to cool down and is now relatively neutral at 55; however our YinYang RSI is still saying quite overvalued and that a dump is underway. Conclusion: A small pump may occur over the next few days; however we don't think this is long term. We believe Gold may get rejected ~2474 and continue in a downtrend towards the 2190 region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YinYangAlgorithms
3
Stock market weakness affects goldGold retreated over $100 from its all-time highs established earlier this month. Interestingly, this move down follows a pullback of similar magnitude in the U.S. stock market, which we have repeatedly referred to as a threat to gold’s spectacular performance; one minor detail to point out here is that this time around, gold seems to be falling in reaction to what has been happening in the stock market, unlike in previous corrections throughout 2023 and 2024, when gold either preceded weakness in stocks or did not react to it. But now, the stock market appears to be at a critical point of either breaking down or staging a recovery, with many big names reporting their earnings this week, which can help to achieve one of these objectives. If corporate results do not meet investors’ expectations and, by any chance, there are significant downgrades to future guidance along with announcements of new layoffs, then it is unlikely the situation will calm investors’ nerves and lead to recovery. Contrarily, it is more likely to produce more fear among market participants, which could inadvertently lead to more selling in the stock market, accompanied by weakness in gold. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily graph of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs. The area between $2,000 and $2,075 acts as an important base in the case of a strong stock market selloff. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 depicts XAUUSD’s RSI on the weekly timeframe. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish crossover, a worrisome sign for gold. The same crossover can also be observed on the daily chart; besides that, Stochastic and MACD also reversed to the downside. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bullish (stalling with bearish signs) *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
2
The Supply Zone Keeping a Lid on GoldGold (June) / Silver (May) Gold, yesterday’s close: Settled at 2388.4, down 19.4 Silver, yesterday’s close: Settled at 28.40, down 0.024 Gold has traded fairly constructive on the week given Friday’s sharp reversal but the overhead supply resulting from this reversal is apparent at major three-star resistance at 2404.3-2408.5 and 2412.9-2414.8. A close above these levels would theoretically begin neutralizing Friday’s reversal and invite fresh buying. While Silver has not retraced as much as Gold, its path too has been constructive but there is a clear psychological barrier at the $29 mark. Bias: Neutral/Bullish Resistance: 2404.3-2408.5***, 2412.9-2414.8***, 2425.6**, 2337.3-2448.8***, 2466.5***, 2539.3-2560.1**** Pivot: 2395 Support: 2387-2489.6**, 2378.2***, 2365.8-2370.7*(**, 2360.2-2362.6***, 2348.1-2351***, 2327.1-2343.1**** Silver (May) Resistance: 28.69-23.75**, 28.88-28.90**, 29.05-29.22***, 29.88-30.35*** Pivot: 28.56 Support: 23.44**, 28.36**, 28.14-28.18**, 28.03*, 27.93**, 27.64-27.76***, 27.34-27.51***, 26.93-26.97***, 26.40-26.48*** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:GC1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Gold stuggles at the Highs of the weekly range 2,393 🪙Hello traders.. gold has been making all time highs. The last all time high was created with consumer sentiment news that miss forecast for the USD last friday. Since then we've been going sideways and are currently in a 4hr range between 2,393 and 2,360. The weekly candle is bullish & the last 2 daily candles have closed bearish. The 1hr candle is currently bearish during Thursday NYSE as price appears to be rejecting the Daily resistance (2,383) once more. We may retrace back to the bottom of the range at 2,360
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
$2,300 hit amid gold's steep riseShortly after the futures market opened, gold reached our long-time-awaited price target of $2,300 and established a new all-time high at $2,305 before retreating slightly lower. We continue to be bullish on gold in the long term and believe it can reach significantly higher price tags ($2,500 and higher) due to future rate cuts, sticky inflation, and a weak U.S. dollar. Nevertheless, despite our bullish beliefs, there are certain developments in the market to consider and watch out for. According to the World Gold Council's report earlier this year (and information from Metals Focus and ICE Benchmark Administration), gold total demand rose approximately 3% YoY in 2023. However, what is intriguing about this figure is that the majority of the mentioned sectors in the report experienced year-over-year declines in demand that same year, including electronics, dentistry, technology, jewelry fabrication, gold bars, central bank purchases, ETFs, and investment. In fact, only four sectors showed positive gains, with most of the demand coming from over-the-counter and other (recording a 753% rise YoY); the rest of the categories that gained include industrial demand, imitation coins, and jewelry consumption (these rises are notably smaller though). Now, with gold being up 26% merely in the past six months, the question stands as to whether there will be enough demand from over-the-counter (and other sectors, which seems unlikely) in the coming months as well because gold’s elevated price (perhaps coupled with slowing down economic activity in certain parts of the world) seems to be already taking some toll on the demand side. Besides that, while bullish and still leaving some room for the upside, multiple technical indicators on daily and weekly time frames show overbought conditions that should not be overlooked, especially with gold’s lengthy history of steep rises being shortly followed by volatile drops. Furthermore, as we outlined numerous times before, the stock market’s relentless rise and the growing odds of correction threaten gold’s performance with each step higher (in the case of a substantial correction or selloff in the stock market, gold will likely be negatively affected). Illustration 1.01 As gold’s price explores uncharted waters, volume continues to increase on the daily graph, which is positive; a declining volume and rising price would be questionable. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs. Illustration 1.03 The price and RSI show the divergence on the daily chart. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Bullish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tradersweekly
If Support Breaks, Where Does Silver Go?Gold (June) / Silver (May) Gold, yesterday’s close: Settled at 2348.4, down 14.0 Silver, yesterday’s close: Settled at 28.052, up 0.068 Yesterday’s warm CPI and weak 10-year auction paved the way for a much-needed consolidation day for Gold and Silver. Still, the precious metals complex battled valiantly, exuding bull market trends within the intraday swings. Geopolitical headlines are certainly helping to stave off indiscriminate selling, but we now look to another slate of inflation data via PPI, coupled with an ECB policy decision this morning and a 30-year Bond auction at noon CT. Silver futures even went as far as setting a new local high after yesterday’s CPI data, but the broad risk-off undertow was just too much. Construction in Silver out above yesterday’s low of 27.64-27.76 and support aligning with Gold’s low of 2340.1-2343.1 should help fuel a bull continuation into the weekend. In the event of further weakness, we have additional levels of significant support highlighted below. Bias: Bullish/Neutral Resistance: 2363.7-2364.1**, 2369.4-2371***, 2380.2-2384.5***, 2400**, 2466.5***, 2539.3-2560.1**** Pivot: 2355 Support: 2348.1-2351***, 2340.1-2343.1***, 2334.2-2337.1***, 2321.7-2325.3***, 2315.7**, 2298.7-2299.6***, 2285.7-2286.2***, 2279-2281.8*** Silver (May) Resistance: 28.15-28.24**, 28.39-28.44**, 28.57-28.66***, 28.71-28.90**, 29.22***, 29.88-30.35*** Pivot: 28.05 Support: 27.84-27.90**, 27.64-27.76***, 27.34-27.51***, 26.93-26.97***, 26.40-26.48*** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:SI1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Can Gold run to $3000/oz?How will you capitalize when Gold is up $500 on a Sunday night? I am not looking for an answer; we futures traders think about it. Gold futures this week reached new all-time highs as anxiety surrounding an escalation between Israel and Iran (OPEC member) pushed the CRB index to its highest level since October as the raw materials basket entered the new bullish phase. Silver futures jumped to new contract highs, and Crude Oil futures reached their highest levels since last October. Historically, commodities have proven to be the best asset class to own just before the Fed cuts rates because supplies often remain limited while demand accelerates. Friday morning's blockbuster payroll data (303k vs. 200k exp.) brings up another question I often ask: If we have strong jobs, consumer spending, and GDP growth, why does the Fed even need to cut rates? Fed officials pushed back on interest rate cut expectations to try and help boost the U.S. Dollar. Why would they do such a thing? A strong Dollar can help them regain control over inflation. It will also make exports look expensive and cheap imports look like bargains. The critical level to watch in the Dollar Index is 105, a close above that could temporarily halt the rise in precious metals. Taking it to the Charts Central Bank buying, ETF inflows, and geopolitical safe-haven buying all helped Gold futures surge this week. Futures continue to show resiliency with initial support at $2255, followed by $2005. Your "line in the sand" is pocket support at $2170-65, where any close below this level should spark further liquidation www.tradingview.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Phil_Blue_Line
Inflation, and the coming SILVER PRICE EXPLOSION! As central banks around the world are losing their grip on baskets full of fiat currencies, real, tangible commodities like Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium are going to make an incredible run. There are three metals related to monetary systems throughout history: gold, silver and copper. So far we've seen gold pull ahead in the running, but soon silver will running it down with veracity! Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
TVC:SILVERLong
by MetaShackle
PLatinum shaping up for a ton of upside to $1,132 tech and fundsBox Formation and W Formation is showing on the Daily chart of PLatinum. We do need the price to close above the neckline of both patterns to really confirm upside to come. So far the MAs are also confirming a bullish inclination along with the rising uptrend. Price >20 and crossing 200MA Bullish bias Target $1,132 Let's drill into the fundamentals for the rising PLatinum price One of the significant reasons for the price increase is the deepening supply deficit that was observed in 2023, which is expected to continue into 2024. The World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) had revised its expectations for the platinum deficit in 2023 to nearly twice its initial estimate, highlighting a considerable shortfall in supply against demand​ (INN)​. This deficit is largely due to decreased supply, with production challenges in major platinum-producing countries like South Africa, where mines have faced electricity issues leading to production deficits. Despite some improvements in production, the overall global output of platinum decreased year-on-year, while demand, particularly from the automotive sector and for investment purposes, has seen a notable increase​ (INN)​. Also, the demand for platinum in the production of green hydrogen, which uses platinum-group metals (PGMs) as catalysts, is also contributing to the increased demand. The green hydrogen sector, which focuses on producing hydrogen from renewable sources, has seen significant investment, further boosting platinum demand​ (INN)​. The auto sector, a major consumer of platinum due to its use in catalytic converters, has begun to return to pre-pandemic production levels, further straining the available platinum supply​ (INN)​. And investment demand for platinum is expected to rise, with projections indicating an increase in platinum bar and coin demand to a three-year high, as manufacturers in North America and Europe allocate more capacity to platinum due to weaker demand for gold and silver​ (The future of trading)​. All giving great buying signs for the precious metal.
NYMEX:PL1!Long
by Timonrosso
A comprehensive look at gold's volatile history during crisesIt is often said that gold tends to perform well during economic uncertainty and crisis. But is this really so? Let’s examine gold's volatile history before and during recessions in the past 50 years. The 1960s and 1970s were marked by many economic and geopolitical changes, including multiple crises of the British pound, the collapse of the London Gold Pool, the suspension of a gold standard, and the end of the Bretton Woods System. These events helped to reshape the global monetary system and the role of gold within it. Before U.S. President Richard Nixon's “temporary” suspension of gold’s convertibility to the U.S. dollar, gold was pegged at $35 per troy ounce and allowed to move within a certain band around this level. However, following the breakage of the peg between gold and the U.S. dollar, gold’s price soared past levels previously thought to be unattainable. Thanks to high inflation rates, the oil crisis, and the weak U.S. dollar, gold rose more than 2,300% during the 1970s, recording a 147% increase in 1979 alone. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The green background highlights gold’s performance one year before the recession began in January 1980. The yellow background indicates recession periods, as reported by the U.S. Federal Reserve. In the first 19 days of January 1980, gold rose another 54%, hitting an all-time high of $873 per troy ounce. In the next 66 days, gold plummeted 48% to $473. From lows on 27th March 1980, gold gained over 65%, stopping at $748.50 on 22nd September 1980. After that, gold declined until 21st June 1982, erasing nearly 60% of its value before staging a temporary rally. Nevertheless, it was only two years after the recession, on 25th February 1985, that gold finally bottomed out at $282.60. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 portrays the daily graph of XAUUSD. The red background indicates gold’s performance one year before the recession began in July 1990. The yellow background shows the recession period. After bottoming out in 1985, gold rallied nearly 80% by mid-December 1987. But the next few years saw gold underperform and plunge 31%. The decline halted on 14th June 1990, at $348.20. Following that, gold’s price started to appreciate, rising 22% in the next two months, hitting a high of $425 on 21st August 1990. Yet, it was only a brief rally again, and gold soon reversed the trend. Gold lost more than 23% in the next three years, dropping to a low of $325.8 per troy ounce on 10th March 1993. Another three years were carried in a similar volatile manner, with gold rising nearly by one-third and then reversing and declining to merely $252.10 on 22nd August 1999. Illustration 1.03 The image above shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The red background illustrates gold’s performance one year before the start of the recession in March 2001, and the yellow background indicates a recession period. After soaring 35% from 1999 lows in less than two months, gold shocked precious metal investors when it reversed and began a slow decline that lasted until the start of the 2001 recession; in fact, gold nearly took out 1999 lows in early 2001. During the recession, gold had a run-up of 12% and continued to soar to new heights after its end. By the next recession hit in late 2007, gold doubled in price. Illustration 1.04 Illustration 1.04 displays the daily graph of XAUUSD. The green background shows gold’s performance one year before the start of the recession. The yellow background highlights the recession period. From its peak in March 2008, gold lost approximately 34% until its low of $681.50 on 24th October 2008. Yet, despite this massive decline, gold bottomed out before stocks and soared more than 180% until hitting a peak in September 2011. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tradersweekly
4