The road higher will be bumpyWhile bullish in the long term, we are still awaiting further pullback in the price of gold after its impressive run above $2,000. Right now, we are paying close attention to support and resistance levels near $2,009, $1,985, and $1,959. If the price of gold manages to hold above $1,985, it will be positive; the same applies to the breakout above $2,000 and resistance near $2,009. However, if the price fails to stay above the mentioned level, and we see more decline in RSI and Stochastic on the daily chart, it will alert us to more downside; in such a case, we would expect gold to drop below $1,960 (and maybe even to as low as $1,925). Yet, regardless of our opinions, it is important to note that there is a FOMC meeting scheduled for today, which can have a volatile impact (to either side) on the price depending on the FED’s decision and the chairman's tone during the press conference.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 portrays the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from particular peaks and troughs.
Illustration 1.02
The image above shows the daily chart of RSI. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish crossover below 70 points, which raises our suspicion (though it still could be just a fakeout).
Technical analysis
Daily = Bullish
Weekly = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Preciousmetals
GOLD -Strong buying force, gold price maintained at a high levelHello, wonderful Karina friends! What do you think, will the price of gold increase or decrease today?
Currently, the price of gold is fluctuating around $1995 at the start of the trading session. Although it has slipped below the $2000 mark, it still maintains stability at a high price level.
Despite the increase in US bond yields and the strengthening of the USD, gold continues to rise in value due to investors flocking to this precious metal to seek safety for their assets amidst the escalating conflict in the Middle East. This is the main reason why gold remains stable at a high price range.
Regarding the expected future price of gold:
The market is eagerly awaiting this week's monetary policy meeting by the Fed. Investors should pay attention to the monetary policy decisions of the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan.
This week is also crucial for the US labor market, with the release of the non-farm payroll report for October scheduled for Friday. Until these news releases, gold trading will become more enticing than ever! Wishing you all good luck.
Gold prices today: Trading around the $2000 mark.Hello Karina's friends,
At the opening of today's trading session, gold has started to decline slightly by around $10 from $2006 to $1996. However, on larger timeframes such as the 4-hour and 1-day charts, they are supporting an upward trend, and the 1-hour chart shows the same. It can be seen that after gold once again touched a strong psychological resistance level at $2000, investors who wanted to sell quickly pushed back this price increase. However, it is expected that gold will not decrease significantly, with a possible limit around $1985 in the vicinity of the 89-EMA zone, followed by a return to the upward trend of this precious metal.
The next target will be $2015, which is a resistance level mentioned in the analysis.
This week, we will receive a lot of important information, including the Fed Chairman's interest rate decision speech on November 1st and PMI data on November 3rd. These pieces of information will answer all our questions as they will have a significant impact on the price of gold. At that point, the next move for gold will become clearer.
THE KOG REPORTKOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like to see how the market opened and how the lower support regions 1975 and below that 1968 would hold up price. Based on these levels holding we suggested opportunities to long the market to firstly attempt the break of the 2000 level and then the target region of 2015. We gave the order region 1950-55, price bullish above, and KOG’s bias of the week level 1970 bullish above with target levels 1999 and 2015 for the week.
As you can see, price did hold above with a slight dip lower than 1968 but we stuck with KOG’s daily bias which was shared daily with traders and completed not only the 1999 level, but also numerous level to level gold targets on the way up with 2015 still open! A great week for us on the markets, not just on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and share netting a phenomenal pip capture for our traders.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
To start with, with can expect more aggressive price action across the markets so please trade carefully, or, don’t trade at all. Money is also made while sitting and cash in your account is a position in the market. New traders should ideally be watching and practicing, using this time to further educate themselves and develop their strategies. These markets are only after one thing, your money! If you get this wrong, it can go horribly wrong, so levels, entries, exits and your risk model are really important.
The chart shows the levels for the week we have highlighted with the key reaction zones we’ll be looking at. We’re still open for last week’s target level at 2015 but a pull back would be ideal. For that reason, if we start with bullish momentum into that resistance level and hold, based on a clean set up, we feel an opportunity to short the market is on the cards, initially into the immediate support 1995-90 and then below that 1975. Our bias remains as bullish above, however, there is a chance there may be some profit taking this week, so expect the unexpected, if that level breaks, we’ll be looking lower into the 1950-55 region to then attempt the long trade.
On the flip, if we start the session and week with a move to the downside, we will be looking for immediate resistance levels to hold and take this down into that 1975 region level to level on the short side looking for support levels to hold in order to take this back up into that 2015 level and above that 2022.
We’ll use our daily bias and targets as well as the red box strategy together with our trusted Excalibur to guide us. What we don’t want to do here at this point of the market is buy upside when there is potential for this to correct some of this move. So levels are key here!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold price is falling, is there a chance to reach 2000 USD?Dear fellow comrades, the price of gold has experienced significant fluctuations today as the financial investment community increases its demand for the "greenback." This has propelled the USD Index to reach 106.27 points, leading to a strong increase in the value of the US dollar.
Meanwhile, crude oil prices have dropped to $83.25 per barrel. Moreover, the financial market has become optimistic as Israel postpones its ground attack on Gaza, hoping that Hamas will continue to release hostages.
Due to these reasons, gold has entered a period of decline. Most gold investors, like ourselves, are gradually learning to coexist with the conflicts in the Middle East.
Regarding the analysis of gold for this week:
A potential upward trend will be considered, which could provide momentum for gold to reach $2000. What are your thoughts on this matter?
Long-term analysis of Gold this weekDear friends, Gold has maintained its good upward momentum from yesterday's trading session, although the price has slightly decreased and is currently trading around $1970 - $1972. Selling pressure has increased after gold experienced a strong rally, with investors taking profits as the US dollar shows signs of a strong rebound.
The situation remains unpredictable as economies around the world have yet to show clear positive signals. Therefore, the US GDP report for the third quarter will be released on Thursday (October 26th). The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will be announced on Friday (October 27th), along with other economic reports that we need to wait for. These reports will provide us with clearer directions.
From my personal perspective, a downward trend and the support level at $1950 could potentially act as a catalyst for gold to rebound. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the continued upward trend make it a favorable opportunity for gold buyers.
BTCUSDT responded to the bear, the upcoming big pushDear valued readers, The cryptocurrency market has experienced an impressive price surge, as the excitement surrounding Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) has driven up the price of BTC. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency market is currently trading around $34,000, reflecting a 20% increase over the past seven days. The strong upward trend is reinforced by consistent trading activity on a daily basis.
As a result, there is great anticipation for the impending approval of ETFs, particularly following the SEC's decision not to appeal the court ruling that requires them to consider Grayscale Investment's ETF application. This has contributed to an even hotter market than ever before. It is expected that this price surge will reach $40,019. What are your thoughts on this matter? Do you agree with me?
Update gold price at the beginning of the week! Hello dear friends! A new week has opened up with plenty of opportunities for us. Let's explore together with Karina <3
On the global front:
- Political tensions in the Middle East remain unresolved and continue to escalate.
- The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain a accommodative interest rate regime has helped support gold prices and alleviate market sentiment pressures.
Result:
Gold has become a fresh breeze for investors as it gains attractiveness amidst prolonged political tensions and conflicts.
On the technical side:
- Gold has broken its trendline and experienced a breakthrough, reaching a high of $1996, but it hasn't reached the $2000 mark yet. Currently, gold is slightly retracing to $1967 to retest the breakout area and test the EMA 34 and 89, aiming to establish new highs. The uptrend is still intact and prioritized.
Expectations and forecasts for gold prices this week:
This week, we will receive a lot of news from October 25th to 27th, with the most important being the speech by the Fed Chairman scheduled for October 25th, which is expected to have a significant impact on gold. If conflicts in the Middle East escalate, precious metals prices may surpass the $2000/ounce mark.
Good luck. Karina will constantly update when new information. Click like and follow to receive the latest information!
What is special about gold price this week?Hello dear friends. As predicted by Karina earlier, as soon as the gold trading session began, it immediately turned around and declined to the level of 1975 USD.
Karina had previously mentioned that after breaking out of the trend channel, gold is likely to return to test the previous breakout area to confirm the official uptrend. Additionally, the price is moving away from the EMA, so it needs to return to that previous area. Therefore, it is normal to see gold rising and then suddenly decreasing in price.
Currently, gold is facing resistance at the level of 1980 and based on this possibility, the downward momentum may target support at 1845 USD. After that, the upward trend will officially resume and be established.
Gold price today: breakthrough price increaseHello traders!
Yesterday, gold received important information from the speech of the Fed chairman, and it reacted strongly as the price continued to rise and is currently trading at $1886, an increase of about $13 in a day, reaching the previously set target of $1970.
The recovery of the precious metal is supported by the decline of the US dollar (USD) after cautious comments from Fed Powell, and gold has become a safe haven for investors as tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate.
From the analysis chart:
The downward trend line has been completely broken, establishing a new upward trend. Currently, gold is operating at a strong resistance level of $1980. If it can surpass this resistance level, there is a possibility of further price increases.
Gold also increased sharply this week?Hello traders! After a tremendous increase in the price of gold last week, reaching an impressive figure of up to 1996 USD, we are now witnessing a slight decline in this precious metal at the beginning of this week. Currently, gold is trading at 1970 USD, experiencing a decrease of approximately 10 USD in a day.
From analyzing the gold chart, it can be seen that a new peak is gradually forming at the highest price level in the past two weeks. However, Nolan still holds a positive outlook on the possibility of gold rising. If this is a formation of a Dow pattern, using the Fibonacci retracement tool, the reasonable decline level for gold could be prioritized at 0.618, equivalent to 1926 USD or 1948 usd, and then the upward trend would continue to develop.
Another supporting factor for gold is the ongoing tension in the Middle East. Gold becomes attractive to investors who seek to preserve capital amid market turmoil. This leads to massive buying of gold and pushes its price higher.
$GOLD -Where to Next! (TP1 Hit / ~16.000 Pips) *Game-PlanTVC:GOLD
On the previous Quarterly Idea released as a macro/investor POV for TVC:GOLD ,
a *3M(monthly) area was given as an entry point in terms of market structure.
We received a great entry on a Quarterly Level *3M.
Salute to everyone of you who took action upon it.
Sure did the members of bingX copy-trade community.
" Where 2 Next for TVC:GOLD !? "
-Fundamentally speaking,
safe-heaven assets the likes of Bonds TVC:US10Y ,
MIL:BTC and TVC:GOLD have sky-rocketed recently and they are on a very desirable highlight right now.
So did Crude Oil ICEEUR:BRN1! due to 'WAR' break-out from Israeli Occupiers towards the People of Palestine.
The on-going 'WAR' or better said,
Ethnic Cleansing,
must be observed on the following week(s) to come.
Upcoming week (the last week of October)
is packed with GDP Q3/2023 reports from various countries,
(US,EURO-ZONE,UNITED KINGDOM, GERMANY, ITALY)
- TA speaking,
a pull back in TVC:GOLD in terms of price action to S/R resistance + Recent Demand area
would be very beneficial for uptrend resumption,
in order for the TVC:GOLD market to test buyers and sellers .
This level should hold,
otherwise Changing Character at 1.910$
would suggest price to behave
on a more steeper fashion ,
headed on lower areas at 'alternative SL trail' *D Level or even down further South.
This scenario would invalidate the recent uptrend of 10%+ in 10 days on $GOLD.
*** NOTE
This is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research with your own diligence and
consult your own Financial Advisor
before partaking on any trading activity
with your hard earned money based solely on this Idea.
Ideas being released are published for my own trading speculation and
journaling needed to be clear on different asset classes price action.
Gold price promises a new high level in the near futureDear beloved friends,
Currently, the price of gold is experiencing an upward trend, reaching above the threshold of $1,900 per ounce in the trading session on October 13th. It has closed at its highest level in three weeks, driven by the escalating tensions in Israel, which have increased the demand for gold as a "safe haven" during times of uncertainty.
As the Federal Reserve (Fed) is nearing the end of its tightening cycle, the resistance that monetary policies have exerted on gold throughout most of 2023 is starting to weaken, presenting an opportunity for gold to rebound.
From the analysis chart:
Gold is showing signs of breaking the downward channel, with a breakout at the $1,932 level. Additionally, the trendline continues to provide support for the precious metal. It is expected that a price increase may continue this week, with long-term targets set at $1,960 and $2,015.
What are your thoughts and ideas about the upcoming gold price?
Stable trading EURUSD waiting for new news!Hello dear friends!
Today, EURUSD continues to trade quietly around the resistance area of 1.0577, and it seems that there is no clear trend in place for the day.
However, from the chart analysis, Karina noticed that the price of EURUSD is gradually narrowing along with the movement within the range of the EMA 34 and 89. Therefore, the price is not expected to change much in the near future, with trading anticipated to be within the range of 1.060 - 1.052.
A breakout could lead to significant changes for EURUSD, but it is unlikely to happen this week. What do you think, will EURUSD rise or fall?
Gold - continue to increaseHello dear friends!
Today, the price of gold is fluctuating around $1,950 after retreating from its two-month high of $1,962 in early Thursday trading. The recovery of the precious metal is bolstered by increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which are driving safe haven flows.
In the short term, the 4-hour chart indicates a potential downward correction, with a expected retreat to the support level of $1,926 (where the 34 EMA is acting), although it also shows that the upward trend in XAU/USD is still intact.
Support levels: $1,938, $1,926, $1,912.
Resistance levels: $1,962, $1,978, $1,987.
The Gold Odyssey - Breaking out of top consolidation finallyIF you had been following the series of The Gold Odyssey, you would know how well the probabilities are in the analyses.
To the point, Gold is ready to break its almost three year consolidation (huge) range.
1. You can see the powerful reversal off the mid-range support;
2. The candles show and project good momentum to follow through;
3. A trend line breakout already just happened with the week not closed yet; and
4. MACD and VolDiv are only starting to align for a good bullish breakout.
Incoming!!!!
Gold - Continue to detect a new peak at a high priceHello dear friends!
The golden week has experienced a powerful surge as its price reached $1932.
Currently, in today's trading session, the downward trend continues, although there is a slight price correction at $1911.
With the potential to create a DOW from the chart, using Fibonacci retracement, the decline has reached the perfect level of 0.618, which is at $1907. Therefore, the anticipated price increase is being carried out, with expected highs of $1918, $1932, and finally $1973.
What do you think about the movement of gold? Leave your comments for Karina to know! Good luck!
Too steep, too quickly...After literally months of waiting, we finally signaled that gold had reached some attractive price levels on 2nd October 2023. Subsequently, gold bottomed out in the next four days and rose more than $150 from its lows. While these gains are impressive, we are starting to grow very skeptical about how much higher gold can go from the current level. That’s because stocks are beginning to manifest signs of weakness, and in the case of significant selling pressure in the stock market, we think investors will be forced to cover losses elsewhere by liquidating their gold position (especially willing to do so with its recent gains). Hence, we are on high alert and closely monitoring the situation.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily = Bearish
Weekly = Slightly bullish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Gold hits fresh monthly highs above $1,940Hello dear friends!
The price of gold is consolidating its strong upward trend, reaching a new monthly high of $1,940 at the start of Wednesday. Increasing political tensions between Israel and Hamas, along with positive economic data from China, have boosted the demand for the precious metal.
The next resistance level can be seen at the highest point on September 20th, which is $1,947, above which the highest point on September 1st, $1,953, will be tested.
Sustained upward momentum beyond this level could propel a new upward trend towards the range of $1,970 - $1980. Further south, the previous day’s low of $1,912 will be on Gold sellers’ radars.
Gold's recovery is uncertainHello dear friends! Let's explore and share our opinions here. Gold has made a significant recovery above the $1857 mark. The precious metal continues its journey to conquer $1880.
Due to concerns arising from the Israel-Hamas conflict, investors have been prompted to buy more. Wednesday and Thursday will bring us market news.
As a result, the short-term surge in gold buyers has pushed the price of gold to $1900. Although this recovery is not yet certain, there may still be price drops in the future.
Gold remains depressed on positive risk toneHello traders! Gold is currently trading at $1920 and remains unchanged from this morning's trading.
Immediate support can be seen at the low of the previous day, which is $1908, and below that, $1900 will be tested. If gold does not stabilize around this level, the price retreat may extend to $1880.
However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator held comfortably above the midpoint for 14 days, gold buyers may find lower bid prices.
As long as the strong support level mentioned above at $1900 remains intact, gold is forecasted to reach the significant level of $1930. Furthermore, the three-week high of $1933 may be retested on its way to reaching the highest level on September 20th, which is $1947.
$GOLD Index - Q3/2023 *3M (Quarterly)
Looking at TVC:GOLD on the 3M(Monthly) Tf(Time-frame)
from an investor perspective view of positioning;
(long-term investing on the yellow stone)
we can see it sitting at no men's land at the current price,
as well Changing Character and Breaking Market Structer (Lower Low) in price action ;
(Lows of Q2)
Despite its Bearish Price Action on *3M ,
States and Central Banks around the World have continued accumulating,
spreading wide their balance sheets in-to TVC:GOLD Reserves .
And so have done many another States,
including 2 out of three Global Superpowers of
China ECONOMICS:CNGRES and Russia ECONOMICS:RUGRES
Gold: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Gold
Pattern – Breakout/resistance test
Support – 1817.90 - 1918
Resistance – 1944 - 1981
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the Gold on the daily chart.
So price has moved rather quickly today to the upside. Earlier, I was watching the consolidation and wondering if buyers might test it. Well, they not only tested it but broke out. We have run over this move and the next resistance levels in today's update.
The key here is influences, and we will keep seeing demand. If tensions continue, we could see 1980/81 retested based on the current buying speed. But also be wary of any changes in influences as it could lead to fast profit taking.
Oil has been another mover today, adding close to 1.5%. It's also a market we are keeping an eye on as we track towards the European session open.
Good trading.