Gold - Continue to detect a new peak at a high priceHello dear friends!
The golden week has experienced a powerful surge as its price reached $1932.
Currently, in today's trading session, the downward trend continues, although there is a slight price correction at $1911.
With the potential to create a DOW from the chart, using Fibonacci retracement, the decline has reached the perfect level of 0.618, which is at $1907. Therefore, the anticipated price increase is being carried out, with expected highs of $1918, $1932, and finally $1973.
What do you think about the movement of gold? Leave your comments for Karina to know! Good luck!
Preciousmetals
Too steep, too quickly...After literally months of waiting, we finally signaled that gold had reached some attractive price levels on 2nd October 2023. Subsequently, gold bottomed out in the next four days and rose more than $150 from its lows. While these gains are impressive, we are starting to grow very skeptical about how much higher gold can go from the current level. That’s because stocks are beginning to manifest signs of weakness, and in the case of significant selling pressure in the stock market, we think investors will be forced to cover losses elsewhere by liquidating their gold position (especially willing to do so with its recent gains). Hence, we are on high alert and closely monitoring the situation.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily = Bearish
Weekly = Slightly bullish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Gold hits fresh monthly highs above $1,940Hello dear friends!
The price of gold is consolidating its strong upward trend, reaching a new monthly high of $1,940 at the start of Wednesday. Increasing political tensions between Israel and Hamas, along with positive economic data from China, have boosted the demand for the precious metal.
The next resistance level can be seen at the highest point on September 20th, which is $1,947, above which the highest point on September 1st, $1,953, will be tested.
Sustained upward momentum beyond this level could propel a new upward trend towards the range of $1,970 - $1980. Further south, the previous day’s low of $1,912 will be on Gold sellers’ radars.
Gold's recovery is uncertainHello dear friends! Let's explore and share our opinions here. Gold has made a significant recovery above the $1857 mark. The precious metal continues its journey to conquer $1880.
Due to concerns arising from the Israel-Hamas conflict, investors have been prompted to buy more. Wednesday and Thursday will bring us market news.
As a result, the short-term surge in gold buyers has pushed the price of gold to $1900. Although this recovery is not yet certain, there may still be price drops in the future.
Gold remains depressed on positive risk toneHello traders! Gold is currently trading at $1920 and remains unchanged from this morning's trading.
Immediate support can be seen at the low of the previous day, which is $1908, and below that, $1900 will be tested. If gold does not stabilize around this level, the price retreat may extend to $1880.
However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator held comfortably above the midpoint for 14 days, gold buyers may find lower bid prices.
As long as the strong support level mentioned above at $1900 remains intact, gold is forecasted to reach the significant level of $1930. Furthermore, the three-week high of $1933 may be retested on its way to reaching the highest level on September 20th, which is $1947.
$GOLD Index - Q3/2023 *3M (Quarterly)
Looking at TVC:GOLD on the 3M(Monthly) Tf(Time-frame)
from an investor perspective view of positioning;
(long-term investing on the yellow stone)
we can see it sitting at no men's land at the current price,
as well Changing Character and Breaking Market Structer (Lower Low) in price action ;
(Lows of Q2)
Despite its Bearish Price Action on *3M ,
States and Central Banks around the World have continued accumulating,
spreading wide their balance sheets in-to TVC:GOLD Reserves .
And so have done many another States,
including 2 out of three Global Superpowers of
China ECONOMICS:CNGRES and Russia ECONOMICS:RUGRES
Gold: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Gold
Pattern – Breakout/resistance test
Support – 1817.90 - 1918
Resistance – 1944 - 1981
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the Gold on the daily chart.
So price has moved rather quickly today to the upside. Earlier, I was watching the consolidation and wondering if buyers might test it. Well, they not only tested it but broke out. We have run over this move and the next resistance levels in today's update.
The key here is influences, and we will keep seeing demand. If tensions continue, we could see 1980/81 retested based on the current buying speed. But also be wary of any changes in influences as it could lead to fast profit taking.
Oil has been another mover today, adding close to 1.5%. It's also a market we are keeping an eye on as we track towards the European session open.
Good trading.
The preciuos metal has 2090 as a critical levelHello traders and investors
As shown here on my chart gold if breaks its higher level (2090) it will reach TP1 around 2200 and TP2 2550. so 2090 it is the key of all blowups
Remember traders that i am not having a cristal ball predicting markets moves but i try to be more efficient and rational
Good luck
Gold emerged as a new breeze, the price increased sharply?Hello traders,
Last week, gold witnessed its best weekly gain since March as the demand for safe-haven assets continues to rise amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas military conflict.
In the current politically unstable environment, investors are flocking to gold. Additionally, the US tightening its sanctions on Russia's crude oil exports on Friday led to an increase in oil prices, reaching $90 per barrel. As oil prices continue to rise, gold's role as a safe-haven asset against inflation becomes even more beneficial.
At the time of writing, gold is trading at $1912 per ounce.
Gold price skyrocketed after a day Hello traders!
Yesterday, gold experienced extremely strong breakthroughs, easily surpassing the barriers at the 1888 and 1900 USD levels. Currently, gold has closed its trading with a rapid price jump, pausing at 1932 USD and increasing by approximately 3.40% in a day.
The upward momentum is still showing no signs of cooling down, with strong support at 1890 and 1905 USD. The price target of 1970 USD is highly regarded for this price surge.
Gold increased breakthrough day by day.Hello traders!
Gold had a significant volatility last week. It can be observed that with the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle coming to an end, the resistance that monetary policy has exerted on gold throughout most of 2023 is beginning to weaken, creating opportunities for the market to continue its breakout.
As predicted earlier by Nolan, gold has indeed broken out of the downtrend channel with a breakthrough at $1915. Therefore, the price increase has been established, and in this case, my target will be a new high at $1980 and a long-term target at $2050.
Metals Setup Apex "V" (PANIC) Bottom - Rally Will ContinueGold and Silver are setting up a nearly perfect deep "V" bottom after a bout of PANIC selling over the past few weeks. This sets up a move for Gold to rally above $2250 and Silver to rally above $28.50.
Ultimately, I believe Gold will exit the Setup Phase and peak in the next phase, the Breakaway Phase, above $2450. Silver will follow with a rally to levels above $31 as it moves away from the Setup Phase and peaks in the Breakaway Phase.
These are big moves for Gold and Silver - 15% to 25% or more.
This also sends a clear message to the general/global markets that traders are hedging the uncertainties of the conflicts and the central bank/global economy credit issues. I see the next 14 months, before the US POTUS elections (Nov 2024) and possibly a few months beyond, as very concerning for the US/Global markets.
Where will the economic growth come from to drive expansion? China is contracting. Asia is contracting. Europe is contracting. The US is still operating reasonably well, considering much higher interest rates. Canada is still holding up okay, considering an extremely over-inflated asset bubble.
How long before something breaks if the US Fed decides enough is enough and moves to PAUSE rate hikes?
I guess we won't see a pause in the US Fed until possibly May/June 2024. And that will drive a fear/hedging/panic cycle where USD assets and precious metals become an effective hedge against risks.
Pay attention. This next move in metals should be very explosive.
Gold consolidates at $1860The price of precious metals remains stable following the Israel-Hamas conflict, with no significant increase in the demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Currently, gold is trading at $1860 per ounce.
The lack of momentum in the USD, following a stronger-than-expected jobs report on Friday, has led many investors to believe that the greenback may have reached its peak. This is seen as a positive signal for the gold market.
It is expected that gold will continue to rise and reach potential resistance levels of around $1885 per ounce, followed by $1900 per ounce. The next potential support level is the highest point from Friday, at $1835 per ounce.
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DXY I Still have the DXY in the expanded Flat with a top in at $107 which happens to be the fib retracement 50% level of the 5 down wave A.
I expect the momentum indicators to begin to slowly roll over. RSI, Stochastic RSI , OBV , MACD should all confirm the last leg of the down trend wave C which I expect to finish around $94.
At $94 the DXY should complete a very HTF wave 4 and then kick off what is shaping up to be one ugly recession. W5 targets for DXY run over $130 and I don't think much will survive this risk off trade set up.
This is likely what many analysts are referring to as the "Blow off Top" to which I find myself reluctantly agreeing with since all my charts keep leading me down this rabbit hole. ;)
Gold ended the week with a slight increaseGood day to all traders. Today, we will delve into the current state of the market. Analyzing the 1-day chart, it becomes evident that gold is currently experiencing a significant downward trend and is being traded at a value of $1871. Although there may be minor fluctuations in the short term, overall, sellers are persistently contributing to the likelihood of gold's continued decline in the foreseeable future.
Gold is still falling freely, possibly down to 1,800 USD/ounceGold prices experienced a further decline during the recent closing session, currently trading at $1848 USD. This can be attributed to the Federal Reserve's persistent hawkish stance, which continues to suppress the upward trajectory of precious metals in the market. Although US bond yields have decreased slightly, they still remain relatively high at 4.55%. Additionally, the US Dollar Index has risen above 106 points, exerting additional downward pressure on gold.
The prospect of higher interest rates poses a risk for gold prices, potentially driving them down to $1,800 per ounce. However, it is worth considering that there may be an increase in demand for gold if labor conflicts persist and inflation continues to impact the US economy leading to a government shutdown.
Gold for the price increase, the most new analysisGreetings, valued traders! As predicted, the price of gold is experiencing significant growth and has currently reached a level of 1832 USD. This marks the highest increase seen in the past week.
After breaking away from its downward trend, the value of gold is on an upward trajectory. Additionally, due to three consecutive declines in the value of the dollar, support for purchasing gold remains strong. It is anticipated that prices may rebound to around 1,834 USD and potentially even reach 1,853 USD. This positive trend will persist until negative news pertaining to this currency pair emerges and dampens investor sentiment.
Gold extends gains to $1880?Hello dear readers! It's a pleasure to engage in this first conversation with all of you! Just as predicted in the previous weekend session, Gold opened at 1,849 USD/ounce, experiencing a significant increase of 16 USD/ounce compared to the previous week.
The buying demand for gold when prices dropped to their lowest level in 7 months has helped the precious metal recover. Despite the US Dollar index maintaining its high level around 106 points on the international market, gold prices continued to rise.
Due to buyers' interest in pushing up gold prices, Gold is currently trading at 1,851 USD with a projected increase reaching 1,880 USD from its opening price of today's session.
Update the latest gold prices. Long-term analysisHello everyone, Alselv here. Today, Gold continues to maintain its upward trend. It is currently trading at $1863, a 0.12% increase for the day. This stable rise aligns with the predictions made yesterday.
The bloody conflict in the Middle East over the past weekend led to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declaring that the country is at war following a major attack by the Hamas group from Palestine. This situation has fueled risk aversion and increased demand for safe-haven assets like precious metals, which has pushed up the price of gold today. The closure of the US and Canadian markets for Columbus Day has not impacted the price of gold as the USD strengthens.
Due to these factors, gold buyers continue to push the price higher, and gold is currently at $1864, with an expected increase to $1928. This upward trend will persist until any significant developments occur.
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Comments on XAUUSD for the new weekNice to meet you all again! Today, Gold shows clear signs of recovery as the price reaches a high of $1851 with little change from this morning.
On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold appears to be cooling down as it seems uncertain about the prospects of further price increase. But don't worry, the possibility of Gold surpassing this level is only a matter of time, as the USD has reached its peak and is likely to retreat, thus supporting this precious metal.
This week, there is news about the USD on Wednesday and Thursday, so it is possible that after Gold rises to the indicated level, there will be another pullback before the direction of Gold becomes clear.
What is gold showing?Hello smart traders!
Today, on the 1-hour time frame, gold has formed a price gap at a high of $1842 during today's trading session. Gold has coincidentally broken down below, leading to a decrease in the Dow. Overall, gold may retest a support level and continue its upward trend.
Gold has been oversold from a technical standpoint and seems to be stabilizing around the $1820/ounce level. The US dollar and silver bond yields appear to be pausing after a strong rally. This could potentially be the driving force to continue pushing gold higher.
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Gold updates and analysis todayGreetings everyone!
At present, gold appears to be exhibiting less volatility as it is primarily focused on moving in a sideways direction, with its current trading value standing at 1826 USD per ounce. While the global gold market this morning neared yesterday's price level, it has experienced a notable decline in comparison to its previous surge. According to the latest report, there has been a notable increase in buying pressure within the gold market. The recent data indicates that the US labor market is displaying signs of slowing down, with last month's creation of private sector jobs falling significantly short of expectations.
Traders are presently eagerly anticipating the release of the September jobs report from the US Department of Labor on Friday. It is anticipated that this will bring positive news for gold.
GOLD - Positive real rates is negative for GoldThe attractiveness of Gold is tarnished
When cash instruments yield a positive rate of return
More and more people are getting on board of higher interest rates
(Dimon, Santelli)
But u can see the Gold price has been inversely correlating with the rate of return for decades.
It's bull run in the 2000's along with the commodity bull , coincided with real rates trending to less than zero. Gold Topped a few months prior to that negative reading in 2012!
The current triple top that has been in place for he past 3 years , seems to be in danger of breaking down if rates continue up the next few years.
The key level to watch is last year's lows in October around $1611
Which I believe is a distinct reality if rates head up to 7%