Analysis of Gold tonightHello everyone! The price of gold today is following the main trend, currently trading at $1,822 per ounce, a decrease of $25 per ounce compared to earlier this morning due to the US dollar reaching its highest level in 10 months and the yield on US Treasury bonds rising to its highest level in 16 years.
Looking at the technical picture on the H4 time frame, we can see that the main trend is still downward, but currently the price decline seems to have cooled off as Gold has experienced a slight increase to $1,826. This indicates a minor correction at this moment. However, don't worry as the overall market sentiment still supports Gold's downward trend. Therefore, it is possible for Gold to drop to $1,800 tonight.
Preciousmetals
Gold's fluctuations are unclear todayHello everyone. The price of gold today remains at a low level of 1821 USD, with not much change compared to yesterday. The market seems to be showing its calmness, as the US dollar is still strong and followed by the yields on US bonds, which are showing disadvantages for gold.
According to my analysis, gold is likely to trade within a narrow range around the 1835 USD - 1816 USD zone.
USD increased sharply, causing Gold to plummetHello everyone! Today we continue with the ongoing streak of gold price reductions, currently trading at $1818 with signs of approaching the $1800 price range.
The increase in US bond yields and the strengthening of the USD continue to pose a threat and exert pressure on precious metals. Faced with pressure from the USD and US bonds, this precious metal market is facing disadvantages, leading investors to limit their holdings. The downward movement in global gold prices today is inevitable.
Latest Gold update today (October 2)In late September, the global price of gold dropped to over 1,866 USD per ounce, marking a decrease of almost 100 USD or a loss of more than 5% in just one month. This decline stands as the second largest monthly drop witnessed this year.
The primary reason for this may be attributed to the current monetary policy implemented by the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which has set its reference interest rate at 5.25-5.5%, the highest it has been since 2001. Additionally, high inflation rates and a stronger US dollar compared to previous months have contributed to the decrease in gold prices.
This week will see several significant reports regarding production and services from both the United States and European Union being published. James Stanley, senior market strategist at Forex.com, predicts that gold prices could experience a sharp decline during the first week of October due to these reports. He believes that there is no immediate evidence suggesting any fluctuations in exchange rates or selling sentiment; however, he expects that further dismantling will cease following recent substantial drops in gold prices.
Gold plunged influenced by higher inflationHello everyone!
The current trend for gold prices is downward, as it has slipped below the important psychological support level of $1,900 per ounce in the early morning trading session. It is currently trading at $1,874 per ounce. Additionally, the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve continues to push up bond yields and the US dollar, suppressing the upward momentum of metal markets.
Higher inflation rates have resulted in higher interest rates, causing a significant decline in gold. It is expected that gold will slide further to $1,840 per ounce if market conditions continue on this trend.
World gold reduces shock, what should be noted?Hello everyone.
The price of gold on the international market has decreased by an additional 15 USD today, dropping from 1,875 USD/ounce to 1,865 USD/ounce due to the high value of this currency, with the USD Index remaining steady at 106.6 points.
On the other hand, financial investors are focusing their capital on bonds and stocks, resulting in a minimal flow of money into precious metals. As a result, the world's gold price is forced to decline.
In my personal opinion, gold will experience a slight adjustment today and then consider it as a resistance level that continues to push down the price of gold into a deep dip.
Gold promises to drop to the 1800 USD markHello everyone!
The price of gold at the beginning of the week is still declining and is currently trading at $1843 per ounce, a decrease of $5.2 compared to the previous session. This decline can be attributed to negative market influences, such as the continuous rise in the US dollar index, which has now surpassed 106 points. Additionally, the yield on US bonds continues to increase, causing global markets to be concerned about rising inflation. Despite supportive economic data, these current circumstances make it difficult for gold to reverse its downward trend.
It is expected that gold will experience slight profitability this week ahead of the release of non-farm payroll reports for September, scheduled for Friday morning.
Silver Breaking down: Symmetrical TriangleSilver (US$/Oz) Breaking drown from a long term support trendline (22.197 levels).
Crucial support levels to look for : 21.376, 20.7-20.52 and worst case 19.945. Although if macro factors support we can see a demand uprise and a subsequent pull back to 21.376 and rally upto previous long term trendline levels.
Gold Break Down : Hitting 7 Month Low. Crucial Support zoneGOLD(US$/Oz) stands at a 7 month low ever since March 2023. The precious metals commodity is standing at a crucial support levels of the channel ever since April 2023.
Although the charts shows momentum bottoming but the supply constraints and Macro factors may pull it down to levels of 1833,1806 post which we can see it pulling back to channel Trendlines again. The worst case scenario is still open for 1784 but for now that looks a less probabilistic from technical point of view.
Gold - breaks support to continue going downHello everyone!
The price of gold continues to decline, currently trading at a low of $1900.
Gold prices have decreased and are not finding support at $1905. It would not be surprising if gold continues to test lower levels with the possibility of rising from a new support level. $1890 is a significant number with strong support and the potential for a price recovery from this level.
Silver: Breaking six Weeks lowSilver breaking its last 6 weeks low.
commodity broke down from its symmetrical triangle.
A pull back can be expected from 67441 levels but not to an extent to reach to triangle trendline levels
Key levels to watch :
Supports: 67441, 65222, 63453. Resistance: 72109, 74741.
Gold prices plummeted before the recovery of the USDThe current price of gold in the international market is hovering around $1,897.9 per ounce, which is a decrease of $3 per ounce compared to this morning.
The recent monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve (Fed) indicates that their stance will continue to be a catalyst for pushing bond yields and the US dollar higher, putting significant pressure on precious metals and acting as the main factor influencing gold prices.
Analyzing the 4-hour chart, Gold has declined without finding support at the $1900 level. It would not be surprising if gold continues to test lower levels below $1888 as it is a strong support level that suggests potential price recovery from this point.
Disadvantages of gold todayHello dear traders, what do you think about Gold? Looking at the technical picture on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that Gold is in an uptrend but it has broken the support zone. In the short term it is expected to increase after it was revised down to 1910 USD, and then increased to the specified level.
GDXJ (+ Gold) "Bear Trap" LongGiven USD strength and the sustained pressure of ever-increasing US interest rates, gold has been taking it on the chin. However, we’re getting into buy levels/demand where it may be poised for a near-term recovery. Keep tabs on gold (spot, futures, GLD), but if you see signs of accumulation/trend reversal (use small timeframe charts), consider climbing aboard. FYI, gold futures (GC) have a yet-to-be-filled gap @ 1872.70, so we may drift lower in the immediate-term as the precious metal seeks that level. In the Jr. Miners space, we’re eyeing the 30.57-31.85 demand zone, which formed in November of '22. Protective stops should be placed below the lower bound of the buy zone. Targeting is a bit challenging, but GC futures should be able to rally to ~1910, if not higher. As everything is uncertain in trading, use your judgement. We always take mechanical profits en route to opposing zones, which are used for our target setting, and would highly recommend doing the same given the stress currently being reflected across markets.
Just a thought/idea – take it . This is a very aggressive trade given recent price action - be careful!
JHart @ LionHart Trading
PLATINUM FUTURES, Massive BEARISH TRIANGLE-Formation, BREAKOUT!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about PLATINUM FUTURES on the global timeframe perspective. The precious metals market is moving into a decisive momentum within the recent times as developments within the financial markets point to a continuation of exceptionally high interest rates within vast majorities of economies and a continuation of hawkish interest rate approaches. An market with continued higher interest rates is pointing to an main indication of a more bearish determination for the precious metals market. If there is no change in the hawkish FED policies and a turning point into more dovish policies decreasing interest rates this is likely to setup the continuation of a bearish indication for precious metal derivatives such as PLATINUM FUTURES. This in combination with a strong DXY, U.S. Dollar Currency Index is increasing opportunity costs of holding precious metal derivatives such as PLATINUM FUTURES, especially within the currencies baskets this is likely to decrease long open interst and increase open interest in short positions to hedge against a depreciating fiat currency pointing to a bearish precious metal scenario.
From a technical perspective the signs are definitely worthwhile to consider here as PLATINUM FUTURES form this gigantic descending-channel-formation in which PLATINUM FUTURES already completed several massive bearish waves to the downside increasing bearish pressure and momentum forming several lower lows and pointing to a higher likelihood possibility of a continuation within the descending-channel-formation. Within this channel PLATINUM FUTURES also form the coherent wave-count with the waves A to C being already completed and now within the formation of the wave D PLATINUM FUTURES are forming this gigantic triangle-formation which is likely to complete within the next times. A breakout below the lower boundary of the triangle-formation will setup the origin of a continuation into the bearish direction and a substantial extension of the wave E within the whole wave-count increasing the bearish momentum till the final targets have been reached.
Taking all these factors into the consideration here the final breakout can setup faster than expected and then it will be important on how PLATINUM FUTURES setup the actual bearish momentum to develop within the wave-E of the whole wave-count because when the momentum is that strong reaching out to the initial target-zones marked in blue this can lead to a continuation just below these levels and a invalidation of the descending-channel into the lower directions. If this does not happen and PLATINUM FUTURES show up with the ability to stabilize within the final target-zones from there on the potential for a reversal increases and if this reversal setups, once it has emerged PLATINUM FUTURES also have the potential to show up with a final breakout out of the upper boundary of the descending-channel-formation. Especially with continued hawkish interest rate policy, in combination with the open interest in short-positions increasing exponentially, and the strong DXY putting bearish pressure on commodities as well as precious metals this is pointing to the final bearish acceleration and breakout developments to emerge realizing this whole bearish scenario.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
SILVER, Ascending-Wedge COMPLETED, Determinations and Targets!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about SILVER on several timeframe perspectives. As I pointed out in my previous ideas SILVER is in a more bearish condition with the bonds market being up as well as the DXY being up. These factors already point to a more bearish global term perspective for SILVER. Now a major consideration is the local term as well as there can be a major turning within the local term also and as I recently detected SILVER now completed a major formation as well as several other signs of an substantial reversal to setup and elevate important dynamics that should not be underestimated. Currently there is a massive volatility move to be considered within the upcoming dynamics.
As when looking at my chart, SILVER recently showed up with this determining bearish momentum, this momentum broke out below the lower boundary of the ascending triangle-formation and printed an determining bearish spike towards the downside from where SILVER is now approaching the initial target-zones and is likely to continue with the bearish continuations as there are still several resistances within the area especially determined by the descending-resistance-line. The fact that SILVER now completed the major ascending-wedge-formation and already increased the bearish momentum activated the target-zones at 23.65, 23.25, and 22.85 as they are marked in my chart.
Currently the DXY is setting up a major breakout into higher spheres as I mentioned in recent ideas, this means that such a breakout within the DXY is validating the bearish cause for SILVER. Also net short-positions held by institutionals increased further within the recent times which is also supporting a major drop in the price-action. Within the whole dynamics SILVER now continued with the origins of the ABC-wave-count with the wave A already completed as SILVER broke out below the lower boundary, the wave B is likely to pullback off the upper resistance if they are reached otherwise the wave B could also have a contracted amplitude.
Once the target have been reached further considerations about the price-action need to be made and therefore we are putting SILVER on the watchlist for the upcoming price-action considerations. On the global term there is still a major formational structure developing which could point to an even larger breakout dynamic and volatility momentum once it has been validated.
Thank you for watching my analysis. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
XAUUSD- Precious metals wait for new signals from the FedHello everyone, World gold prices are stable, spot gold decreased by 1.7 USD/ounce to 1,931.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $1,953.40 per ounce, down $0.30 from the bright spot.
The precious metals market was quiet at the beginning of the week while waiting for information related to the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting. The debate will end on September 20 (USA) according to the Fed's decision and the report meeting of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Both bulls and bears expressed caution before considering the Fed's monetary policy in the near future.
Technical chart on the H4 time frame, we can see that gold has peaked at 1936 and has declined slightly. It is likely that gold will return to 1924 and find a new milestone in the uptrend at 1950.
Price prospects of XauGold price is still around $ 1,930 in the first trading hours of the European trading session on Thursday. Investors seem to be shifting their attention to the upcoming US data after deciding the recent policy interest rate of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
From the technical perspective:
Gold is still in the main trend of increasing with strong support. Therefore, I predict a price recovery to increase towards resistance to 1950 USD.
Gold's next developmentsHello traders. What do you think about Gold? Currently gold is trading at 1927 USD. After receiving strong support at 1914 USD. Gold prices fell for the third straight day on Thursday. The drop comes as interest rates fall suggesting a significant decline may not be on the horizon at this point. However, in the short term, when gold reached the resistance level and quickly retreated to 1905 USD before any new developments appeared from positive information from the Fed in the near future. And it may return to the original target of the weekly high of 1947 USD/Troy Ounce (September 20).
Gold continues to find a bottom below 1910 USDHello dear traders, what do you think about Gold?
Currently, the gold market continues to decline after breaking the upward trend line at $1920 and trading at $1911, a decrease of about $5 compared to this morning's trading session.
It can be seen that the recovery of the US dollar is an important factor affecting this precious metal, causing its price to drop. On the 4-hour chart, gold is still searching for a new low price. We still maintain the view that the important support level to watch is $1910 per ounce.
SILVER FUTURES, Pullback-Developments, BEARISH Indication!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about SILVER FUTURES on several timeframe perspectives. The SILVER FUTURES recently showed up with important pullbacks which moved on to test further remaining levels within the whole structure. From a market perspective the bonds market recently showed massive strength with T-bills emerging to form several higher highs and a continued upside movement. This upside movement is also given within the DXY, U.S.-Dollar Currency Index as the DXY continued to form strong movements to the upside putting pressure on the SILVER FUTURES asset.
Within the chart SILVER FUTURES are forming this gigantic bear-flag-formation in which the price action is now testing the lower boundary a next consecutive time, as the boundary has been tested already over four times this increases the possibility for massive bearish pressure to show up once the price action actually formed a breakout below the lower boundary. Within this whole structure as the price action formed several consecutive lower highs and several lower lows a major pullback and continuation with an increase of bearish momentum and bearish pressure to the downside is not uncommon.
With these terms in the perspective there are several important analysis factors to consider within the next times. Especially an further increase within the bonds, t-bills and the DXY will support the bearish scenario for Silver and then it will be necessary to determine the actual momentum setting up. Once the SILVER FUTURES completed the major gigantic bear-flag-formation the target-zones will be firstly within the 20.5 area, after that the 18.5 area, and when the price action reaches such a momentum that a reversal in this area is not possible in any case the next important determining target-zone will be within the 15.5 area. We keep an eye on the dynamics.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
What does the gold price at the beginning of the week promise?The world gold price is trading at 1,924 USD/ounce, down slightly by 1 USD/ounce compared to last week's closing session. Gold price is currently still trying to stay above 1,920 USD. After being surrounded by a lot of pressure, the precious metal price still maintains a stable price, helping to strengthen investors' confidence in a safe haven asset.
Gold prices remain confined below key support-resistance at $1,926. However, in the long term, it is believed that gold prices may increase due to “market overreaction to the Fed; Inflation has not ended and the economy is on the brink of recession, which will be a favorable environment for gold."