Weekly Volatility ReadGood Evening --🌗 🌕🌓
I hope everyone is having a relaxing weekend with friends and family alike because soon we will be in the thick of the price action again -- and it may get spicy! Let't us dive in as we review what happened last week and we look towards the next to trade range or observe.
The CBOE:SPX opened the week fairly slow at $6,193.18 and increased throughout the week wicking up to a new ATH of $6,315.61 only to close the week off at $6,267.28 -- This leaves the IM on the week +$83.10. This closest respects the quarterly implied range that was a 'strength of IV' of 129.30%.
Now looking towards this next week we have extremely low HV across the board in the broader markets. CBOE:SPX IV (13.14%) is trending 32% IV percentile on the year -- premium is seemingly cheap. HV10 (6.97%) is coiled within 97.67% of it's sliding yearly lows, showing a need for short-term volatility to consolidate. HV21 (7.78%) is even more coiled to it's yearly low at 98.76% respectively. Both are roughly mid 50% 'strength to IV' as IV predicts twice the potential move next week.
Lastly, HV63 our quarterly trending values is showing a 'strength of IV' at only 108% but, could be supporting the thesis IV is projecting, as we do need a TVC:VIX pop OR time-wise consolidation. 📈📉
I hope everyone has a great week trading ranges and I will see you next weekend!
Cheers! 🍻🍻🍻
Prediction
NZDUSD: Free Trading Signal
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.6013
Stop Loss - 0.6004
Take Profit - 0.6028
Our Risk - 1%
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EURGBP: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURGBP pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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GBPCAD: Growth & Bullish Continuation
The price of GBPCAD will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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EURUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURUSD
Entry - 1.1724
Stop - 1.1714
Take - 1.1743
Our Risk - 1%
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GBPAUD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Balance of buyers and sellers on the GBPAUD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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SPY: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
SPY
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SPY
Entry Point - 637.01
Stop Loss - 638.57
Take Profit - 633.58
Our Risk - 1%
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SILVER: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the SILVER pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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USDCHF: Long Signal Explained
USDCHF
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long USDCHF
Entry - 0.7943
Sl - 0.7934
Tp - 0.7958
Our Risk - 1%
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EURCAD: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURCAD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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USDJPY: Short Trading Opportunity
USDJPY
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USDJPY
Entry - 146.78
Stop - 146.96
Take - 146.43
Our Risk - 1%
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EURAUD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy EURAUD.
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GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3364.8
Sl - 3359.2
Tp - 3376.2
Our Risk - 1%
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USDCAD: Long Trading Opportunity
USDCAD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USDCAD
Entry - 1.3618
Stop - 1.3586
Take - 1.3685
Our Risk - 1%
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EURUSD: Short Trade Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1727
Stop Loss - 1.1759
Take Profit - 1.1661
Our Risk - 1%
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EURNZD: Bulls Will Push Higher
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy EURNZD.
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GRAB 1W: Two Years of Silence — One Loud BreakoutGRAB 1W: When stocks go quiet for two years just to slap bears across both cheeks
The weekly chart of GRAB shows a textbook long-term accumulation. After spending nearly two years in a range between $2.88 and $4.64, the price is finally compressing into a symmetrical triangle. We’ve already seen a breakout of the descending trendline, a bullish retest, and the golden cross between MA50 and MA200. Volume is rising, and the visible profile shows clear demand with little resistance overhead.
The $4.31–$4.64 zone is key. Holding this level opens the path to $5.73 (1.0 Fibo), $6.51 (1.272), and $7.50 (1.618). The structure is clean, momentum is building, and this accumulation doesn’t smell like retail — it smells institutional.
Fundamentally, GRAB is a leading Southeast Asian tech platform combining ride-hailing, delivery, fintech, and financial services. Yes, it’s still unprofitable (–$485M net loss in 2024), but revenue is growing fast, recently crossing $2.3B. Adjusted EBITDA has been improving steadily, and the company holds $5.5B in cash equivalents with minimal debt — giving it excellent liquidity and expansion flexibility.
Valued at ~$18B, GRAB operates in the world’s fastest-growing digital market, with increasing institutional exposure from players like SoftBank and BlackRock. The 2-year base hints at smart money preparing for the next big move.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: by market
— Targets: $5.73 → $6.51 → $7.50
— Stop: below $4.00 or trendline
If a stock sleeps for 2 years and forms a golden cross — it’s not snoring, it’s preparing for liftoff. The only thing left? Don’t blink when it moves.
Gold 4H - channel breakout, looking for 3518 nextGold has formed a clean ascending channel on the 4H chart, broke out above resistance, and is now pulling back into the 3385–3390 zone. This area aligns with volume clusters - a perfect entry zone for bulls waiting on the sidelines.
If price holds this zone and prints a reversal candle with volume, the upside target remains at 3518 - the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and historical resistance. Volume increased during the breakout move, confirming interest. RSI still has room to go higher, supporting the bullish continuation.
Fundamentally, gold remains a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical tension, USD weakness, and potential Fed easing. Central bank accumulation further supports the bullish case.
Tactical setup:
— Entry zone: 3385–3390
— Trigger: candle confirmation + volume
— Target: 3518
— Invalidation: break below 3360 without buyer volume
If the plan plays out — gold might shine bright while bears squint in disbelief.
NZDJPY: Long Trade Explained
NZDJPY
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDJPY
Entry Point - 87.616
Stop Loss - 87.361
Take Profit - 88.064
Our Risk - 1%
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GBPJPY: Swing Trading & Technical Analysis
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPJPY chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level -3422.5
Sl - 3428.1
Tp - 3408.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURNZD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURNZD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURNZD
Entry - 1.9581
Sl - 1.9622
Tp - 1.9498
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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