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Is This the Bottom? MELANIAUSDT at a Critical Turning PointThe Market is at a Crossroads – What Comes Next? Twelve days ago, MELANIAUSDT.P stood at its absolute high of $14.496, but since then, it has collapsed an astonishing 87.1%, currently trading near its absolute low of $1.865, which was just set today​. The sell-off has been relentless, but is the market about to reverse? Technical indicators are signaling extreme oversold conditions—RSI(14) at 25.23, deep into the danger zone where price often finds a local bottom​. The MFI(60) also hovers at 30.98, confirming weak buying pressure, but with a potential for reversal. Despite this, the asset remains below its key moving averages (MA50 at 2.115, MA100 at 2.252), meaning bulls have significant resistance ahead​. Short-term price action is dominated by volume spread analysis (VSA) patterns, showing alternating waves of aggressive buying and selling​. Is this the moment for buyers to step in, or will we see another leg down before any real recovery? With resistance sitting at $1.988 and $2.086, a breakout above these levels could ignite a rapid short squeeze​. Time is ticking—will the market hold this level, or is another flush-out incoming? Stay tuned. MELANIAUSDT Roadmap: Tracing the Market's Footsteps Tracking the Market Moves: Key Confirmed Patterns The price action of MELANIAUSDT has been a rollercoaster, with alternating surges of buy and sell volume dictating the flow. Let’s break down the confirmed patterns that shaped the recent market landscape. Phase 1: The Build-Up – Buy Side Takes Control January 27, 08:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 2.358 | Close: 2.446 | High: 2.55 Buyers stepped in hard, pushing MELANIAUSDT to $2.55, signaling bullish momentum. This pattern held strong as price action followed through. January 29, 19:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" Direction: Buy Open: 2.3 | Close: 2.309 | High: 2.349 The price maintained upward movement, proving the prior bullish pattern was valid. Phase 2: The Reversal – Sellers Take Charge January 29, 18:00 UTC – "Increased Sell Volumes" Direction: Sell Open: 2.317 | Close: 2.3 | Low: 2.224 Despite an earlier bullish run, sellers regained momentum, pushing prices lower. January 31, 15:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 4th" Direction: Sell Open: 2.086 | Close: 2.105 | Low: 2.086 The sell-off gained further traction as the price failed to recover above key resistance levels. Phase 3: The Last Stand – Bullish Bounce Attempts February 1, 00:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 1.935 | Close: 1.936 | High: 2.021 Price briefly bounced, testing $2.021, but lacked follow-through strength. February 1, 01:00 UTC – "Buy Volumes Takeover" Direction: Sell Open: 1.936 | Close: 1.921 | Low: 1.916 Buyers lost the battle, confirming further downside pressure. What’s Next? The current technicals suggest we are at a make-or-break point. MELANIAUSDT is hugging its absolute low at $1.865, with resistance lurking at $1.988 and $2.086. The market’s next move will likely depend on whether buyers can reclaim lost ground or if sellers continue to apply pressure. Stay sharp, watch for volume confirmation, and manage risk accordingly! Tracking the Market Moves: Key Confirmed Patterns The price action of MELANIAUSDT has been a rollercoaster, with alternating surges of buy and sell volume dictating the flow. Let’s break down the confirmed patterns that shaped the recent market landscape. Phase 1: The Build-Up – Buy Side Takes Control January 27, 08:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 2.358 | Close: 2.446 | High: 2.55 Buyers stepped in hard, pushing MELANIAUSDT to $2.55, signaling bullish momentum. This pattern held strong as price action followed through. January 29, 19:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" Direction: Buy Open: 2.3 | Close: 2.309 | High: 2.349 The price maintained upward movement, proving the prior bullish pattern was valid. Phase 2: The Reversal – Sellers Take Charge January 29, 18:00 UTC – "Increased Sell Volumes" Direction: Sell Open: 2.317 | Close: 2.3 | Low: 2.224 Despite an earlier bullish run, sellers regained momentum, pushing prices lower. January 31, 15:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 4th" Direction: Sell Open: 2.086 | Close: 2.105 | Low: 2.086 The sell-off gained further traction as the price failed to recover above key resistance levels. Phase 3: The Last Stand – Bullish Bounce Attempts February 1, 00:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 1.935 | Close: 1.936 | High: 2.021 Price briefly bounced, testing $2.021, but lacked follow-through strength. February 1, 01:00 UTC – "Buy Volumes Takeover" Direction: Sell Open: 1.936 | Close: 1.921 | Low: 1.916 Buyers lost the battle, confirming further downside pressure. Technical & Price Action Analysis Key support and resistance levels define the battlefield for MELANIAUSDT. If these levels fail to hold, expect them to flip into resistance zones, making upside moves harder. Support Levels: 1.863 (Critical last low, any break could mean fresh downside) Resistance Levels: 1.988 (Immediate overhead resistance, must break for bullish momentum) 2.086 (Key level, reclaiming it opens more upside room) 3.306 (Far target, but if bulls wake up, it’s the next big hurdle) Stay sharp, watch for volume confirmation, and manage risk accordingly! The price action of MELANIAUSDT has been a rollercoaster, with alternating surges of buy and sell volume dictating the flow. Let’s break down the confirmed patterns that shaped the recent market landscape. Phase 1: The Build-Up – Buy Side Takes Control January 27, 08:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 2.358 | Close: 2.446 | High: 2.55 Buyers stepped in hard, pushing MELANIAUSDT to $2.55, signaling bullish momentum. This pattern held strong as price action followed through. January 29, 19:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" Direction: Buy Open: 2.3 | Close: 2.309 | High: 2.349 The price maintained upward movement, proving the prior bullish pattern was valid. Phase 2: The Reversal – Sellers Take Charge January 29, 18:00 UTC – "Increased Sell Volumes" Direction: Sell Open: 2.317 | Close: 2.3 | Low: 2.224 Despite an earlier bullish run, sellers regained momentum, pushing prices lower. January 31, 15:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 4th" Direction: Sell Open: 2.086 | Close: 2.105 | Low: 2.086 The sell-off gained further traction as the price failed to recover above key resistance levels. Phase 3: The Last Stand – Bullish Bounce Attempts February 1, 00:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 1.935 | Close: 1.936 | High: 2.021 Price briefly bounced, testing $2.021, but lacked follow-through strength. February 1, 01:00 UTC – "Buy Volumes Takeover" Direction: Sell Open: 1.936 | Close: 1.921 | Low: 1.916 Buyers lost the battle, confirming further downside pressure. Technical & Price Action Analysis Key support and resistance levels define the battlefield for MELANIAUSDT. If these levels fail to hold, expect them to flip into resistance zones, making upside moves harder. Support Levels: 1.863 (Critical last low, any break could mean fresh downside) Resistance Levels: 1.988 (Immediate overhead resistance, must break for bullish momentum) 2.086 (Key level, reclaiming it opens more upside room) 3.306 (Far target, but if bulls wake up, it’s the next big hurdle) Trading Strategies Based on Rays The concept of Rays from the Beginning of Movement offers a unique perspective in technical analysis. These rays, built on Fibonacci and geometric principles, help define dynamic levels that guide price movement. Instead of static levels, rays adjust dynamically, ensuring a more adaptive trading approach. Optimistic Scenario: If the price interacts with 1.863 and holds, the first target would be 1.988, the second 2.086, and the third 3.306. Moving Averages confirmation above these levels can signal a continued bullish push. Pessimistic Scenario: A breakdown below 1.863 flips it into resistance, opening the path to new lows. Bearish confirmation via VSA rays and moving averages crossovers would solidify this outlook. Potential Trades: Long Entry at 1.863: Targeting 1.988 with a stop below 1.850. Breakout Trade above 2.086: Aiming for 3.306, stop-loss near 2.000. Short at Resistance Rejection (1.988-2.086): Stop above the level, targeting previous support. Watch for interaction with rays before entering trades—these levels define the battleground where market players decide the next big move! If you have any questions, drop them in the comments! Let’s discuss potential setups, share insights, and improve our trading decisions together. 🚀 Don’t forget to Boost this idea, save it, and check back later to see how price respects the levels I’ve marked—because understanding reaction zones is everything in trading! My proprietary indicator automatically maps out all rays and levels, but it’s available only in Private Access. If you’re interested in using it, send me a message. I also provide custom technical analysis on any asset you need. Some analyses I share for free, while others can be private if you don’t want your setup made public. Let’s discuss your request! Rays work on all assets, and price moves accordingly. If you want a markup for a specific asset, make sure to Boost this post and write in the comments—I’ll do my best to cover it! Make sure to follow me on TradingView so you never miss a new analysis. All updates and ideas are posted here first! 📈🔥
Short
by brandlabelden
2
TRUMPUSDT – Ready for a Rebound or Further Decline?Key Moment for TRUMPUSDT: Buy Signal or Last Warning? The market is at a crossroads, and TRUMPUSDT is no exception. Currently trading at $24.179, this asset has plummeted over 70% from its all-time high of $83.041, recorded just 13 days ago. Such a steep decline begs the question: is this the moment of capitulation, or the perfect time to buy the dip? Technicals indicate oversold conditions. RSI(14) at 30.9 signals that sellers may be exhausting their momentum, while MFI(60) at 38.1 suggests a potential inflow of smart money. However, the price remains below key moving averages (MA50 at $26.29, MA100 at $27.26, and MA200 at $28.47), meaning a breakout is needed to confirm a trend reversal. Recent patterns show a battle between bulls and bears. Yesterday's heavy selling pressure pushed the price near its key support at $21.08, but today’s increased buy volume hints at possible accumulation. Resistance stands firm at $26.09—a level that, if broken, could trigger a short squeeze toward higher targets. The market is offering a challenge: is this the bottom, or will we test lower levels before a major recovery? Will you seize the opportunity, or wait for confirmation? Roadmap: TRUMPUSDT – A Pattern-Based Guide to Market Moves 1. The Beginning of a Trend – The Sell-Off Cascade 2025-01-27 15:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd Main Direction: Sell The market signaled a significant downward shift as sellers took control. A confirmation of this bearish movement came shortly after, when price failed to hold support and started a cascade of lower highs. 2025-01-27 16:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st Main Direction: Sell Confirmed the earlier trend as price continued declining, closing below its open and reinforcing downward pressure. This movement set the stage for an even sharper fall. 2025-01-28 00:00 UTC – Increased Buy Volumes Main Direction: Buy Despite a temporary buy-in, price action in the following pattern suggested that this was a weak bounce. The asset managed to push upwards but failed to break out significantly, signaling an overall bearish trend remained dominant. 2025-01-28 03:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd Main Direction: Sell This sell-off confirmed the weakness of the previous buy attempt. The price declined further, aligning with the broader trend, proving that the sell signals were valid. 2. Bullish Recovery: The Market Fights Back 2025-01-29 14:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 1st Main Direction: Buy This marked the first major attempt at a bullish reversal. The price started to climb, breaking through short-term resistance zones and attracting momentum traders looking for long positions. 2025-01-29 19:00 UTC – Increased Sell Volumes Main Direction: Sell Despite bullish attempts, sellers made a strong comeback, leading to another test of support. However, this time, price action suggested exhaustion among sellers. 2025-01-29 20:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Takeover Main Direction: Buy Contrary to its name, this pattern actually set up a bullish movement as buyers absorbed sell pressure and pushed prices higher, leading to a confirmation of a bullish trend. 3. The Confirmation Rally 2025-01-30 05:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 3rd Main Direction: Sell A minor pullback tested the bullish momentum. However, the next sequence revealed that this sell pattern failed to hold, invalidating its significance in the broader market trend. 2025-01-30 13:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th Main Direction: Buy The bulls took full control. A steady price increase confirmed the direction, marking this as a key turning point in the market. 2025-01-30 20:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Main Direction: Buy An explosive breakout followed, pushing price action toward a critical resistance level. This confirmed the accumulation phase was over, and a potential bullish continuation was on the horizon. 4. The Final Surge and Market Indecision 2025-01-31 00:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 5th Main Direction: Buy This was the strongest bullish confirmation yet, as price rallied past key resistance levels and settled in an uptrend. 2025-01-31 07:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st Main Direction: Sell This pattern hinted at a potential reversal, but the market held its ground, suggesting that bullish strength was still dominant. 2025-01-31 09:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd Main Direction: Buy Final confirmation of an ongoing rally. The price established a higher low, creating a structure that traders could use as a base for further upside moves. Conclusion: Where Does TRUMPUSDT Go Next? The roadmap reveals a key transition from a strong bearish phase to a confirmed bullish reversal. With increased buy volumes and multiple successful bullish confirmations, the asset is now poised to challenge resistance levels. However, traders must remain cautious, as future sell signals could indicate exhaustion and another retracement phase. Keep an eye on volume and price structure for further confirmation of the next move! Technical & Price Action Analysis Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: 21.081 – If bulls can hold this zone, expect a bounce. If broken, it flips to resistance. Resistance Levels: 26.095 – Major test level for bulls. A breakout here can fuel a rally. 54.034 – Long-term resistance. If price reaches this zone, expect a reaction. What Happens If Levels Fail? If support zones don’t hold, they become resistance on the next rally attempt. Likewise, failed resistance levels can act as support if buyers step in. Stay sharp, trade smart, and respect the key levels! Technical & Price Action Analysis Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: 21.081 – This is the key support zone where buyers need to step in. If the price holds, expect a bounce and a potential reversal. If this level fails, it flips into resistance, making future upward moves more challenging. Resistance Levels: 26.095 – The first major hurdle for bulls. A confirmed breakout above this level could ignite a rally. However, if sellers defend this zone aggressively, expect a pullback. 54.034 – Long-term resistance, and a psychological level where significant selling pressure is expected. If price reaches this area, expect strong reactions from both bulls and bears. Powerful Support Levels: Currently, there are no confirmed powerful support zones. Bulls must establish strong buying interest to create a reliable foundation for future upside moves. Powerful Resistance Levels: No powerful resistance levels have been validated yet. However, if price action struggles at key resistance zones, these areas could become strong walls of sell pressure. What Happens If Levels Fail? If a support level fails to hold, it flips into resistance, meaning any bounce attempt is likely to face selling pressure at that same level. Similarly, if resistance is breached but price fails to hold above, it can act as a trap for breakout traders, leading to a fakeout and a strong rejection. Price action will dictate the next moves—watch these levels closely and be ready to react accordingly. Stay sharp, trade smart, and respect the key levels! Concept of Rays: Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Rays Core Idea My proprietary method is built on Fibonacci-based rays that define dynamic support and resistance levels. These rays predict key zones where price action is most likely to react, either reversing or continuing its movement. The key is to wait for confirmation via interaction with these rays before making a trade decision. Why Specific Levels Can't Be Predicted Financial markets are nonlinear and driven by multiple factors—liquidity, market sentiment, and macroeconomic events. Instead of attempting to predict exact price points, this method identifies **high-probability reaction zones** where price action provides clues for trade entries. How the Rays Work **Fibonacci Rays:** Each ray is mathematically aligned with the market’s natural rhythm, originating from the beginning of a move rather than extreme points. **Adaptability:** When new price structures emerge, rays adjust dynamically, setting new interaction zones. **Directional Guidance:** Ascending rays act as **support** in uptrends, while descending rays form **resistance** in downtrends. **Moving Averages as Confirmation:** The intersection of Fibonacci rays with **MA50, MA100, and MA200** adds extra confluence for price reaction. Trading Scenarios Optimistic Scenario (Bullish Move): If price interacts with an ascending ray near **21.081 (support)** and bounces with strong volume, this signals an entry for a long trade. The **first target** is the next ray level near **26.095**, where partial profit can be taken. If momentum continues, the **second target** is at **54.034**, a major resistance level. Pessimistic Scenario (Bearish Move): If price fails to hold **21.081** and breaks below it, this level flips into resistance. A short trade can be initiated with a **first target** at the next ray intersection. If bearish momentum accelerates, **the next target would be determined by the descending ray channel.** Potential Trades Based on These Levels **Long from 21.081 to 26.095** – Only after interaction with support and confirmation of strength. **Short below 21.081** – If this level fails, look for a rejection and retest before entering. **Momentum trade from 26.095 to 54.034** – If price clears 26.095 with volume, this becomes a strong continuation setup. All these setups work **in conjunction with the VSA rays**, which users can see on their charts. **Entries should only be considered after interaction with the rays and confirmation of the movement’s direction.** Price is expected to move from one ray to the next, making each level a structured target for trade execution. Let's Trade Smarter Together! Got questions? Drop them in the comments! I always read them and try to respond to as many as possible. Let’s discuss market movements, key levels, and strategies together—your insights and thoughts are just as valuable as mine. If you found this analysis useful, don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea. Check back later to see how the price moves according to my markup—because understanding key reaction points is the real edge in trading. All my Fibonacci Rays and dynamic levels are automatically plotted using my private indicator. If you're interested in using it, feel free to message me directly for details. It’s available only in Private Access. Want an analysis of your favorite asset? I can do that! Some charts I publish for everyone, and some traders prefer a personal breakdown. Message me if you need something tailored—there’s always a way to work things out. Remember, these rays work across all assets, and price consistently respects them. If you want a custom markup for your asset, just Boost this post and drop a comment—I’ll do my best to include it in my next analysis. And finally, make sure to follow me on TradingView—this is where I post my best setups and ideas. Stay tuned for more insights, and let’s trade smart together!
Long
by brandlabelden
1