BITx - Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Afternoon,
Here is my weekly perspective for CBOE:BITX
IV (96.75%) entering this week is holding in the 18th percent range for the year and has been climbing weekly from putting in new lows at the beginning of the year. We essentially have been seeing rising IV with rising price action, the best of the best. Premium increases from price action climbing and IV rising affects Vega positively increasing premium too.
Bi-weekly trends (56.07%) show a cooling off entering the week and contraction under IV, but it might not last long as there could be major macro news in the crypto world at any moment. This could be a big week on continued regression towards quarterly means (104.06%).
If this happens the range will continue to expand in my option and hold a +7.31% value per move on premium over stated IV, but weekly trends would be expanding 47.99% -- A huge move.
As always --
For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
Prediction
S&P 500 Index -- Weekly Volatility Potential Good Afternoon!
This week, I want to talk about the CBOE:SPX and its weekly potential for how I read historical volatility to weight it then to implied volatility -- this creates my custom trading ranges.
Implied ranges for this week are calculated at 4 DTE using my strength of IV method. You can find out more how I do this over at my highlights page on 'X' - Find me @askHVtobidIV
We are entering a short week, with IV currently in the 89th percentile for the year ( 18.31% ) and resonating between bi-weekly ( 19.36% ) and monthly ( 15.13% ) historical values. Quarterly volatility trends ( 31.79% ) have risen more than 10% this year alone due to macro concerns and increased news from tariff uncertainties. This is creating a volatile environment that, in turn, only increases our trading ranges. Something I personally like.
Near-term trends are above the currently high IV environment, suggesting further expansion. This provides premium value on what is happening to what is projected to happen and a “strength of IV” of >100% indicating rising volatility, slowly towards quarterly means, while resonating around monthly trends.
If price action drives downwards, our gap from May 16th could fill around $5,692.56 with confluence of HV21 trends at $5,710.91.
Conversely, I can see HV10 ranges with rising pricing action and good macro news with EU tariffs breaking $5,971.33—Expanding to the price of $5,995.95 with continuing expansion and regression towards means.
Come back next weekend as I will review the chart to see how we developed!
For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
BTCUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long BTCUSD
Entry Point - 10465
Stop Loss - 10321
Take Profit - 10794
Our Risk - 1%
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USDCAD: Long Signal Explained
USDCAD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USDCAD
Entry Level - 1.3742
Sl - 1.3706
Tp - 1.3809
Our Risk - 1%
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SILVER: Will Start Growing! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy SILVER.
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NATGAS: Forecast & Technical Analysis
The recent price action on the NATGAS pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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Altseason Isn’t Over – It’s Just Getting Started !!It’s not the end of #Altcoins this is just a small dip before the big move. 🚀
Right now, all EMAs (50, 100, 200) are sitting at the same level. This is acting as very strong support around the $1.12T zone.
Price has bounced from this area before, and if it holds again, we could see a big breakout toward $1.28T+.
Altseason isn’t over. It’s loading.
Be ready. 👀
#TOTAL2 #Altseason2025
GBPAUD: Short Trading Opportunity
GBPAUD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GBPAUD
Entry - 2.1007
Stop - 2.1088
Take - 2.0850
Our Risk - 1%
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AUDNZD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
AUDNZD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDNZD
Entry - 1.0769
Sl - 1.0744
Tp - 1.0819
Our Risk - 1%
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GBPCHF: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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EURUSD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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CHFJPY: Short Trade Explained
CHFJPY
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short CHFJPY
Entry Point - 175.08
Stop Loss - 175.56
Take Profit - 174.16
Our Risk - 1%
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NZDCHF: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current NZDCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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AUDCAD: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
The analysis of the AUDCAD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GOLD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry - 3282.5
Stop - 3274.1
Take - 3298.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
EURUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURUSD
Entry Level - 1.1312
Sl - 1.1356
Tp - 1.1223
Our Risk - 1%
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GBPJPY: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPJPY
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPJPY
Entry - 194.65
Sl - 195.26
Tp - 193.50
Our Risk - 1%
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GBPCAD: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of GBPCAD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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EURGBP: Bears Will Push
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURGBP pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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AUDNZD: Long Trading Opportunity
AUDNZD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDNZD
Entry Point - 1.0821
Stop Loss - 1.0797
Take Profit - 1.0866
Our Risk - 1%
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EURJPY: Bearish Continuation
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURJPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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AUDJPY: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDJPY pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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GOLD: Long Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3295.4
Sl - 3287.5
Tp - 3311.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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