EURUSD Technical OutlookFrom a technical point of view, the outlook for EURUSD shifted from bearish to oscillating in the demand zone. Prior to this, the sharp price decline was not met with resistance, the emergence of lower highs and lower lows patterns, as well as the price trading below key moving averages, were unfavorable signals for the common currency.
On the other hand, ECB President Holtzmann said that the ECB is planning to raise interest rates and that they will discuss and possibly do so at their June meeting. Currency markets are betting on the ECB to raise rates three times later this year. If buyers return and trigger a bullish reversal, the upside target appears at 1.06361, near this week's peak. If there is further strength, the focus would shift to 1.07070 and then 1.08060. If EURUSD still accelerates its retracement in the coming weeks, support could be seen around the May low at 1.04700, but if sellers manage to break this floor, we cannot rule out a move to lower lows at 1.02800-1.03600.
Predictions
EURUSD Bullish or Bearish ?I think I would be bullish if the price is above the 1.09962-1.10943 level, otherwise the price will test the green zone support level downwards. The market needs more money to actively buy in order to push the price back up, and the price levels I mentioned above are especially critical.
Pick and like, PM
Technical analysis: Will the ETH/USD price reverse its retreat?The ETHUSD technical analysis of the price chart on 1-hour timeframe shows ETHUSD: H1 has breached below the 200-period moving average MA(200) following a breach below the support line after multiple tests of. We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below 3250.15. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 3370.40. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal high indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
BTC battleBitcoin is going to be battling some intense scrutiny, legislation, FUD, and general nonsense for a while.
As you can see, 3 simple predictions -- based on previous trend, EMA, Fib Retracement, and Ext Fib Trend, and a well placed Pitchfan to account for variability -- that leave you with an optimistic, realistic, and pessimistic prediction.
I don't count myself as an expert or anything more than a meat-popsicle. I do appreciate any support and discourse in the comments! Please do!
Not advice. Never advice.
Smoke up, meaty-men.
Daily chart.
BTCUSD Trading Analysis
It is safe to say that the cryptocurrency market was indirectly affected by Russia's special military operation against Ukraine. Since the start of the Russian-Ukrainian war, BTCUSD price has soared over $11,000 to approach the $45,000 resistance level again. Other cryptocurrencies have also made considerable gains, with ETHUSD price also rallying $700 and currently testing the market reaction around $3,000.
Two things worth noting: first, according to reports Ukraine is currently raising funds from the world via social media to resist the invasion, with cryptocurrency donations to the government exceeding $28 million so far; second, Russia is under economic sanctions and the country's financial institutions are banned from using the SWIFT international settlement system, that means it is difficult for the country's financial institutions to make cross-border fund transfers greatly affects the country's global money movement and trade conduct. We suspect that this is the reason for the recent resurgence of popularity in the cryptocurrency market.
Short-term resistance at $45,000-48,000, once this price level is broken, bearish people should be careful. If the price is blocked, I believe the consolidation zone will be at $39000-41000.
EU Passes Historic Crypto Regulation, Seeks To Protect ConsumersOn Monday, the much-anticipated Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA) bill was enacted. It will concentrate on a coordinated strategy to crypto by all EU members. Because of its significant power consumption, the law originally included an indirect provision to prohibit proof-of-work mining. Many crypto watchdog critics dubbed it a “proposed Bitcoin mining ban in the EU.”