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EURUSD Assessing great risk and great potentialOn the interest rate front: Market investors believe this conflict, the largest war Europe has faced since World War II, will prevent the ECB from taking any strong tightening moves in the near term. Also, the Fed is expected to have a 95% chance of raising rates by 25 basis points at its March meeting, and the invasion ended market investors' speculation that the Fed would raise rates by 50 basis points. Economic: As the war is escalating and has not yet eased, there will be a certain degree of impact on the economies of various countries, especially the European economies will inevitably be dragged down by it. The euro against the U.S. dollar has seen the bottom put up some time ago, when the war had not yet broken out. Conflicts are also stimulated because of the accumulation of long-term disagreements, Russia through the impact of the war to try to change the current unfavorable pattern, perhaps Europe will pay a heavy price of economic losses. In the short to medium term, I am bearish on EURUSD.
Short
by Super_B_XinR
2
Facebook stock is still not cheapI got a lot of messages last week from people asking if they could buy at $300-330 when I didn't have a clear plan to trade. They were chattering on social media that Facebook shouldn't be so cheap. On the other hand I could get word from many sources that numerous trading houses, banks, etc. thought that tech stocks were still not cheap and that institutions were moving away from highly valued stocks that were on an erratic growth trajectory. The reality is that the price of Facebook NASDAQ:FB has fallen quickly below multiple support levels, especially below the uptrend line and EMA 200, and there is still a predictable opportunity to short the stock if there is an upward rebound correction.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by Super_B_XinR
8
ETHUSD Analysis of the reasons for the price increase.It is safe to say that the cryptocurrency market was indirectly affected by Russia's special military operation against Ukraine. Since the start of the Russian-Ukrainian war, BTCUSD price has soared over $11,000 to approach the $45,000 resistance level again. Other cryptocurrencies have also made considerable gains, with ETHUSD price also rallying $700 and currently testing the market reaction around $3,000. Two things worth noting: first, according to reports Ukraine is currently raising funds from the world via social media to resist the invasion, with cryptocurrency donations to the government exceeding $28 million so far; second, Russia is under economic sanctions and the country's financial institutions are banned from using the SWIFT international settlement system, that means it is difficult for the country's financial institutions to make cross-border fund transfers greatly affects the country's global money movement and trade conduct. We suspect that this is the reason for the recent resurgence of popularity in the cryptocurrency market.
BITFINEX:ETHUSD
by Super_B_XinR
4
Gold - Three Specific Predictions (1915, then 1956, then down)LMK your thoughts in the comments. My three predictions... 1. Down to 1915 2. Back to 1956 approximately 3. Then a slapper down... And the question that will be answered by the market and the market only... is the trend still intact? Will we get one more C wave down or will it complete a full impulse and subsequently head for Valueville? Money flowing out of metals to move into bonds + hedging could be a powerful force near 2000. But so is war in Ukraine and a robust money supply. Your guess is as good as mine!
COMEX:GC1!
by FuturesIntelTM