Predictions
Halving TheoryHere is my Halving Theory
On the facts and data of history I try to find the bitcoin code of all time highs in future
Every time and everywhere in history we see allways things happend again and again
So we see it even in Bitcoin charts there are some things they are allways coming again
alltime highs, halving, hype time, depression time, more or less interesting
If WE know THES time frames it would be much easier to trade btc in future with this knowlegde.
So - let us see if the Bitcoin Code is crackable
Stay Crypto
9.3k support has held nicely. 11.5k by Valentines Day!Nothing more to say that I haven't already noted in the last two charts. Keep holding tight traders. We're about to pop!
10 Predictions for Bitcoin, Stocks, and Commodities in 2020It's a brand-new year, and oh man, 2020 has a lot on its plate. Last year, we witnessed the benchmark S&P 500 surge almost 29%, crude oil rallied 35% and the bitcoin price nearly doubled since the beginning of the year.
The big question, of course, is will you and your money be prepared? These are my 10 predictions for the crypto and the traditional markets in 2020 that may offer some insight.
1. Bitcoin’s price will hit $20,000
Probably the biggest question on bitcoin investors’ minds is whether it will reach $20k again. While that does not look to be the case now, it may change after bitcoin will undergo its next halving event. Halving is a protocol built into bitcoin that “halves” the reward that miners receive for mining a block every few years. The reward for mining a block will halve to 6.25 bitcoin. The event will likely create a supply crunch and a bull run lifting the price to $20k.
2. There will be no recession in 2020
Research from Credit Suisse shows that the average recession doesn't happen until 22 months after the inversion occurs. Similarly, stock market returns don't turn negative until an average of 18 months after a yield curve inversion. Assuming these statistics hold true, the next recession is not expected before the first quarter of 2021.
3. S&P 500 will experience at least a 10% correction
With plenty of uncertainty still on the table, including the U.S.-China trade war, escalations in the Middle East, and the U.S. presidential elections we will see a significant drop. Over the past 70 years, the S&P 500 has undergone 37 corrections of at least 10%. A correction of at least 10% in the S&P 500 has a better chance of occurring than not occurring in 2020.
4. Libra launch will be huge
Libra is a cryptocurrency that will be integrated with the Facebook suite of products (Facebook, Messenger, WhatsApp) through a new platform called Calibra. Facebook’s user base is massive, to say the least, at 2.45 billion individuals. The launch in 2020 will likely be the largest mainstream launch and use case for cryptocurrency that the world has ever seen.
5. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC) will become a reality
There are many reasons why central bankers are intensely interested in the new world of digital currencies, but the main one lies in fear of their first preditor, Libra. China already launched a digitized version of their yuan and ECB is developing one too. According to research from The Block, 18 central banks have publicly acknowledged the development and/or launch of their own CBDC.
6. Gold will outperform stocks
Despite the phenomenal 18% gains in 2019, gold is primed for another lustrous year. There are two major catalysts. First, the very nature of gold being the safe-haven investment and the second extremely low-yield environment. Over $17 trillion of bonds are yielding negative returns and with the majority of central banks cutting rates, this trend will likely continue in 2020.
7. DeFi will continue to grow rapidly
Decentralized finance (DeFi) has undoubtedly been one of the largest areas for the growth of cryptocurrency in 2019. This trend will follow through with 2020. Services like Maker, Compound, InstaDapp, etc. will likely see more adoption as lending, taking out a mortgage and payments will be used by more and more mainstream consumers.
8. Crude oil will not drop below $50
Given the global economic expansion, OPEC production cuts and the U.S. shale production growth slowdown, the oil markets look to be pretty balanced this year on average. For the first time since 2014, I believe that oil will not drop below $50 per barrel.
9. FAANG stocks will outperform S&P 500
The FAANG stocks, that's Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google have substantially outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 over the past decade. I expect this trend to continue in 2020. While they are a far cry from being classified as value stocks, there are at reasonably attractive levels now. Amazon, for instance, has traded at an average price-to-cash-flow of 30 over the past five years, yet is valued at only 20 times Wall Street's price-to-cash-flow estimate for 2020.
10. Trump will win again
Why is that? Nostradamus, the most famous prophet, predicted it. In his predictions for 2020, he refers to a man leading a powerful state to political intrigues, conflicts, and a “king” in danger. Although attacked from all sides, he concludes that Trump will be reelected as president of the USA.
Those are my predictions for 2020. Chances are that some of them may come true. I learned the hard way that in investing we should always be ready to expect the unexpected. That’s what makes markets so fascinating.
Here’s to a great 2020!
Ras Vasilisin is the founder and CEO at Virtuse Exchange, Singapore-based multi-asset platform with a significant presence in the EU, that allows investors in more than 100 countries to trade crypto and traditional assets.
Had To Dig Deep For Technical Levels - PRTSPRTS has been on a great run. They just added Icahn Auto SVP to the team too. I think the move toward automotive lately is a good sign for companies like PRTS. But given that fact, the momentum has to slow sometime, doesn't it? It's been on a great run since April. I just hope the company doesn't get carried away with raising new money, etc. like so many other penny stocks have in the last few months.
" Craig-Hallum also set a target price of $4 for the stock. Soon enough, there was a rally in the stock. However, this isn’t just an overnight penny stock to watch. Shares of U.S. Auto have been on the rise since mid-October. Around that time, the penny stock traded under $1.50 a share but has since jumped to highs of $2.78 this week...U.S. Auto has begun building its leadership team stronger. Most recently it appointed Icahn Automotive SVP David Morris as Chief Merchandising Officer. What will this mean for the future of U.S. Automotive moving forward?" <- I agree with this question.
SOURCE: 5 Penny Stocks To Watch Before Next Week; 1 Up 720 % Since December
Can SNCA Manage To Break Above Previous ResistanceGreat news and all but can SNCA pull from a technical perspective ?
"The patent is for the “Transplantation of human neural cells for treatment of neurodegenerative conditions.” Could this be the next step in developing its NSI-566 treatment? Why I say this is because the treatment is specifically designed around neural stem cells. This is developing as things just began to unfold later in the afternoon. However, it could become one of the penny stocks to watch this month."
Source: Are Penny Stocks Profitable? 4 Names To Know Now
Bear Stampede to the bottom until the Christmas week. Just another pointless prediction, but I am often close to reality. Just experience, or perhaps logical thinking.
I took a beating this season. I gave back anything I made in the spring. Why, because I am human, and my bias' clouded my normal logical thinking. I too fell into that death trap. I got out months ago, and bought real estate. I negotiated very well and pretty much made back my losses in that deal. Well I guess that remains to be seen when and if I resell.
As for the markets, its still a hold. I expect to see a similar year-end pull back, mini-crash until Christmas week. Investors step in after Christmas pushing markets up until Spring.
The key point is, you should be in cash right now, or other investments, hopefully, ETF's. If you are buying and holding anything in the POT sector, all I can say is, ouch! I bet you won't do that again. Following the bear stampede over a cliff has never been a good strategy.
In my opinion investing with your bias is a sure way to lose money. Invest with the trend, the path of least resistance, and is a much much better method. Read all you can find about trend trading. I have a great reading list on www.wealthandgrowth.com to get you started.
-Randal
Outrageous Prediction 1: UK nominal growth doubles to 8%A massive MMT-inspired fiscal blast boosts the FTSE 15% better than its continental peers in 2020.
Life has not been a long quiet river for the United Kingdom since the 2016 referendum. At the snap elections of December 12, Prime Minister Boris Johnson wins an overwhelming victory against a divided Labour party over the Brexit issue.
The economy is also penalised by five consecutive quarters of contraction in private investment, a low UK household saving rate, slowing domestic demand and very weak construction and manufacturing sectors. On top of that, there is a growing discontent among the population, particularly among Brexiters, regarding the rise in gross inequalities in the country. In an unprecedented turnaround for the Conservative Party, the government decides to embark on a MMT-based economic policy aimed to restore confidence, stimulate GDP growth and attract investment.
This is the largest fiscal stimulus program in the UK since the end of World War II. It leads to a massive increase in public spending in infrastructure, the health system, education and the implementation of ambitious programs
to support the housing market and provide financial assistance to the most disadvantaged populations. As a result, the public deficit yawns wider to over 6% of GDP
www.home.saxo
Dancing like its 1983.LETS "B" Real with B 52
www.youtube.com
I need a refueling
I need your kiss
Come on now and
Plant it on my lips
Whammy kiss me
Whammy hug
Revitalize me
Give me whammy love
Yeah!
On Planet X-oh it
Won't be long now
I got a light year to
Get to the phone now
I'm gonna contact you
When I get home
Give it all you got
Give it all to me
Come on mammy and
Throw me that whammy
I said give it all you got
Give it all to me
Come on mammy, throw
Me that whammy
And I know I need
That whammy kiss
Whatever you do
I'm just passing the
Time to get to you
To pass the time with you
He cannot stand to
Go into work when he
Needs some whammy love
Whammy
You gotta use it right
Use it right now
I ain't foolin'
Give me a refuelin'
Yeah, whammy kiss me
Whammy hug
Come on mammy throw
Me that whammy
;)
Watch me or learn from me. Either way you will learn something.
www.youtube.com
Small Correction, then Bounce then Up Up and awaySPY is showing a ridiculous amount of bullish strength.
I'm expecting a "small" pull back at some point probably next week. However, the short sellers will get nailed as the pull back will be short lived and then UP UP and AWAY we GO.
Bullish and Bearish Scenerios For Bitcoin After Re-Testing ~9.2k*This should not be seen as an accurate depiction for Bitcoins future*
This is just me playing around with the charts/ what trends i could see as a possibility in either scenario.
Downward/ upward spikes could be more or less intense given the amount of volume that will be happening during said moves on the market.
Bitcoin "Should" be testing the downwards trend line around Mid October and deciding its direction from there.
(Trend line stretching from ATHs to our last move up)
Zone it should be testing?
9.38k-9.1k
The bullish scenario in this depiction is dependent on an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern.
(None of my Head and Shoulders patterns ever pan out, so i give this call a 5% chance of panning out)
If we aren't able to achieve my targets by ~Oct 15th i see my bearish trend panning out.
~6.6k-6.8k is my target, with more downwards pressure.
in the bearish scenario the market will bottom at ~4k-4.5k mid February.
From the bottom i see a short term pump up to 10.2k by the halving event in ~June 2020,
followed by more downwards pressure bottoming at ~2-1.5k
One again this is only my predictions Media/ the human equation can completely steer this market in unforeseeable directions.
If no global
Fractal for Ripple (XRP) Refer to this as a ~"one year" cycle XRP TA and target Idea, will be continually updating, In related ideas below:
Comparatively to Ripples "ATH's" of May 2017 And "End of cycle" December 2017
Correlate very closely to "ATH's" of January 2018 and "End of cycle" July 2019
If you follow Ripple "Daily, Hourly, 15Minute" on a regular basis you will find continuous repeating patterns almost every day
Cycles work in tandem with each other Idea based from from Highs and relative lows of 2017 "Full cycle" ~(1 year), see how we are seeing the same growth/ consolidation periods, for the past two years or so?
Cycles as follows:
Start,
We started At "The end of a Bearish cycle In may 2017" (start of graph)
Then "End our Bullish cycle end of December 2017" (End of graph)
Which brings us to ATH's of 2018 (the start to our bearish cycle)
And the relative End to our bullish cycle July 2019
(This cycle lasted twice as long as the last one "Having two cycles (bearish and bullish respectively" to form one complete Bearish cycle)
While also,"Charging up in volume and slow increases in value".
This Asset is massively oversold at this point and is following a fractal, whats left to say?
My charts are unconventional, but very effective.
XRP could drop below ~28 cents to mimic my Fractal exactly.
Worthy to mention this is just the build up to a Possible 4 year Bull market for XRP if the pattern repeats itself.
Did someone say Pitchfork? Just an idea showing PF channels Was playing around on the BTC charts and projected Pitchforks from the Early 2015, 2016 and 2017.
Honestly the still seems to be playing a major role.
Overall Long-Term Outlook:
First off testing the ~11.8k resistance line. (unless it breaks into the upper channels)
Finding support around the ~6.5k support line, which correlates to the 2016 and 2017 Pitchforks. (could break lower to the ~3.5k support,but not likely IMO).
From there returning to the ~9.8k- 11.5k Retest/ break current channel:
(~17.3K July 2020 If the channel is broken upward. (Bounce or break up into new channels after 17K target is reached))
(If the ~12k Resistance level isnt broken here we are going into the biggest bearish recession BTC has ever seen.)
(If it plays out as displayed above BTC will find life again ~4k mark around November 2022)
NOT AN EXPERT DISCLAIMER.
Honestly the biggest factor in the playbook has and always will be Global Adoption.
The crypto community will continue to be held back by governments laws and regulation, until final word is spoken on the matter, in turn governments have only been integrating into the Crypto space for ~3 years which span over investigations in multiple different assets on top of multiple exchange bans.
(Not to say following government regulations is a bad thing, but it also makes you think of what is left to come, and how far we are from an equal medium)
Will update if this turns out to be a functioning chart,
as always DYOR and Good Luck.
BTC Prediction to 16143I predicted last nights trades. Just realized it was set to private & locked. This is my prediction for BTC based off the weekly charts. Anyone disagree?
Possible Bearish Scenario to take us to 2KIn a few days BTC will fall to the top of the white schiff pitchfork which will be a 40% correction from the top. People will believe this is "just a correction" and will buy more. From there I expect the median of the blue pitchfork to become strong resistance around 10K. That will complete the head and shoulders pattern which will initate a dump to the .25 of the blue pitchfork just like in late 2018. That will be in a no trade zone for me as until we fall to the .5 (2019 "Bottom"). I believe price will eventually gain support at the bottom of the white schiff pitchfork, whenever the price touches it will be the bottom. The longer the lower the price. The market makers know this so they want to make this move take as long as possible for smart money to get BTC as cheap as possible.
*First Chart link in description* My Tin Foil Hat Prediction*First Chart link in description* My Tin Foil Hat Prediction that actual played out decent.
**The only thing to pay attention to is the fib retrace and harmonic patterns*
First chart are around 7k before the drop to 3k -
Mind you this is not my trading chart was only a tinfoil chart i half ass drew a prediction on that became quite accurate.
BTC - Coming a correction to $6790Analyzing the chart, I see 2 important points:
1 - Coming a correction to $6790. I believe that is the best price to buy in this cycle.
2 - Important persons is saying Bitcoin$25K in 2019. I believe that will can reach this price in midle of 2020.
Possible Future Scenario for BitcoinWe’re approaching a weekly resistance (ichimoku red cloud) Bitcoin could drop significantly or move sideways for the next 6 month. I see us going back to around $5000 test it and make it an ultimate support and move up from there. I think we need a good drop for a good and solid bounce back.
I have also notcied what it looked like an Inverted Head and Shoulders in the making on the monthly BTC chart
If you agree with my analysis/prediction please like it. If you disagree please share your thoughts in the comment section. Thanks and good luck in your trading.
My previous Scenarios:
May 8th
May 7th
March 29th
EUR/USD overview ,predictionsFX:EURUSD
EUR/USD is currently on it's major support and failed to break it after multiple attempts
support level is repelling the market up but it is facing some minor resistances that are pushing it down as bullish move has not gained momentum yet
Pair has formed double bottom and is now expected to go up and show large bullish move
USD/DKK predictions based on Price ActionAs you can clearly see in the chart that the pair is on it's major and it is losing it's bullish power and momentum. Price action and technical indicators indicate it's bearish move.
Weekly Predictions (Apr 8 - 12)- Stochastic Oscillator indicating that pair is oversold
- Price currently at strong support
