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EURUSD shows strong performanceThe U.S. government is trying to ride out the inflation crisis with a combination of interest rate hikes and loose fiscal and tight monetary policy, which could be a positive factor for the dollar. With food and energy inflation much higher in Europe than in the U.S., the market is predicting that the ECB will enter a rate hike cycle. The path of future rate hikes will depend on commodity prices and economic growth in the eurozone. The price is predicted to move to the gray zone in the chart. Like and Share
Long
by Super_B_XinR
1
EURUSD is extremely vulnerable, will it fall into the abyss?The probability of recession is higher in Europe than in the United States. Europe is now facing the biggest problem is actually energy problems and food problems. And the United States' energy and food security are better than Europe. In addition, the United States is a little more resilient than Europe. Europe's economy is the most affected by this time. First, its recovery is not as resilient as the United States, and its economic growth itself is not good. Second, if the region is hit by the double blow of energy and food prices, it is likely to enter a state of recession. This shows that the euro is likely to fall to the level of parity with the dollar. If the dollar continues to rise due to interest rate hike expectations, the probability of the euro breaking down will also increase greatly.
by Super_B_XinR
EURUSD consolidating in 1.03000-1.08000 rangeAlthough the ECB's decision was widely expected, the possibility of a sharp rate hike from September has weighed on market sentiment as the eurozone economy struggles to cope with slowing growth and soaring inflation. For months, markets have been focused on the pace at which central banks are curbing inflation. Investors now expect the Fed to raise rates by 50 basis points next week, especially if Friday's U.S. CPI data confirms rising inflation figures. But central bank rate hikes also hint at trouble and leave investors in the lurch, as they could trigger an economic slowdown. The ECB said inflation will remain "undesirably high" for some time.
by Super_B_XinR
1
Will EURUSD extend its recovery?The impact of the war has disturbed the global economy for a long time and exacerbated instability in the eurozone. European countries need to face a serious situation that cannot be changed in the short term, greatly affecting economic growth and political stability in the long term. In this case I think the bearish trend can be easily resumed, but for now we see a rebound in EURUSD, with strong short-term resistance at 1.07300-1.08000. on the other hand, a stronger USD is a probable thing in the medium/long term, not in the medium/long term for EURUSD. Like and Share
by Super_B_XinR
Bottom vs BreakThe great thing about predicting market trends is that it's very easy. Review my greatest predictions and I will tell you at the bottom of this idea. One of my very first predictions was based on a 10 year S&P channel based on SPX adjusted for inflation. The chart just bounced off the median line! My first prediction that got noticed was bitcoin with this wyckoff pattern Not noticed as much, this Death Cross meme turned out to be an amazing call when QE tapering would begin and how it would ultimately be the top One of my first art/meme style charts for gamestop and the inevitable fall of markets Another update to the bitcoin wyckoff pattern, but this time marketing the top of ST This prediction was only really meant as a joke, turns out they never found a buyer As madness set in the markets with SPAC carnage coming from Trump now, this chart was simple a matter of time. The combined indexes presented an easier indicator of a bear market as they fell through the 21 week EMA and failed a retest weeks later. The meme reversion rhetoric and talk about the fed having their hands tied was a direct indication the QE ride was coming to an end. one of my fav charts is this how semiconductors and markets. zoom out to see how we really never got to bubble status of the dot com era, nor hit the lower channel of the housing crisis yet. another attempt to update the bitcoin wyckoff pattern ultimately reaching SOW (Sign of Weakness) I wasn't expecting the bond market to drop so quickly, but it did drop to 2018 levels and bounced. The market was chopping wood on a daily basis. I saw the sign and it opened up my eyes, I saw the sign. This one got me banned for a few days but nailed the death cross right at Apr/May It was only a matter of time before the weekly Ichimoku Cloud would be violated Here I almost nailed a 5% drop down to the day. Bravo if you made it down this far. You earned your reward! My secret to predicting markets is in 3 words. BUY MY BOOK Just kidding, I don't have a book.... Yet! I'm actually looking for something in fintech space so I won't be updating very often as I build my masterpiece, the Trendsetter 2022! Also, check out my website and 21D GEX Moving Average. We just broke the lowest point in negative GEX 21D moving average since after 2011 I'm looking for a Bottom here OR a complete breakdown. Only way a breakdown occurs is if prime brokers start to fall. I often wonder if the Fed and Banks are having secret meetings to bail out the banks again or did they learn their lesson.
AMEX:SPYLong
by SPYvsGME
3