Anchored vWAPs to Define Value Channels of Reaction ZonesIn this video I share a simple TA method I use when I've identified two significant levels.
For this example we're using the anchored vwap from both the most recent significant high and significant low.
Once we have those defined and price begins to trade Within These two levels I like to draw what is called a value Channel.
A value channel provides me with areas on the chart that are high probable reaction areas. the trade system I trade I look for reaction areas and I trade around them.
we see in this example that the rejection happened at a significant area of this value channel and if price continues down I share where the next reaction area will be where we'll look for Price support.
I also add to the chart and indicator called RD Key Levels . these are key levels that the market uses for reaction areas in just about any day one Trader should know but it's great to have them on their chart.
I bring this up because it does appear that BTC is reaching for a weekly open test. that would be my target on this trade and would be the highest probable reaction area I'd be looking for.
If anything wasn't clear please ask questions and I will provide answers or a quick update.
Predictive
SMCI IS it overextended or hunting for thin air LONGSMCI is intimate with NVDA and the couple are doing quite well. I got some more at $750 and
2 days ago. Predictive Modeling is suggesting a $1000 price by Tuesday afternoon. That would
be a 33% return in less than a week. The chart shows the bull flag after the reversal out of
the down trend where I bought upon the mass index signaling. The AI indicator suggests
a slowly rising parallel channel with the upper boundary in the $1000 range. It suggests
an interval nano-dip in the premarket on Monday for a buy at the opening bell. I am good with
that. I have high confidence here due to the overall trend strength of AI. Software also
NOW, DDOG,CRM SNOW .......
Latest GBPUSD update today (October 2)GBPUSD is currently in a phase of recovery on the 4-hour chart, bouncing back from its previous decline at 1.2109. The current price stands at 1,220. It is worth noting that there is a possibility of GBP's strong recovery extending to around 1.2250 before stabilizing. However, it is unlikely that the next level of resistance at 1.2300 will be challenged.
Despite exceeding expectations in terms of its recovery, GBP has not yet reached the critical resistance level of 1.2300 (which represents a significant drop from its previous high of 1.2271). Short-term price increases are not generating any meaningful momentum, suggesting that GBP is unlikely to make further gains.
Looking ahead, it is anticipated that GBP will continue to consolidate and potentially trade within the range of 1.2145 - 1.2255 today.
EURUSD maintains its downward slideHello dear readers, let's explore the EURUSD market in the new week's trading session!
Currently, this currency pair is still maintaining a downward trend, currently at 1.0563. It is attempting to find a strong upward direction for itself. However, it is being hindered by the prospects of further tightening from the Federal Reserve which has boosted US Treasury bond yields and strengthened the US dollar (USD).
Therefore, it appears that this currency pair will adjust downwards to lower levels around 1.0400 in the near future.
USD/JPY now faces some consolidation in the near termThe USDJPY is currently trading at its highest level in several months, reaching 149,598 USD. This currency pair continues to exhibit strong upward movement within the uptrend channel.
Looking ahead to the next 1-3 weeks, our most recent report was issued last Thursday (September 28), when the spot rate stood at 149.45. The report noted that if the USD remained above 148.55, it could potentially rise further to reach the level of 150.00. On Friday, there was a brief dip in the value of USD to a low of 148.51 before bouncing back.
While there has been some easing in upward momentum, it is still premature to anticipate a significant decline in the value of USD at this time. It is possible for USD to continue moving higher from here; however, any gains are expected within a range between 148.50 and 150.50.
In other words, surpassing and maintaining levels above 150 would be unlikely based on current indicators and trends in this market scenario.
Latest Gold update today (October 2)In late September, the global price of gold dropped to over 1,866 USD per ounce, marking a decrease of almost 100 USD or a loss of more than 5% in just one month. This decline stands as the second largest monthly drop witnessed this year.
The primary reason for this may be attributed to the current monetary policy implemented by the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which has set its reference interest rate at 5.25-5.5%, the highest it has been since 2001. Additionally, high inflation rates and a stronger US dollar compared to previous months have contributed to the decrease in gold prices.
This week will see several significant reports regarding production and services from both the United States and European Union being published. James Stanley, senior market strategist at Forex.com, predicts that gold prices could experience a sharp decline during the first week of October due to these reports. He believes that there is no immediate evidence suggesting any fluctuations in exchange rates or selling sentiment; however, he expects that further dismantling will cease following recent substantial drops in gold prices.
Gold plunged influenced by higher inflationHello everyone!
The current trend for gold prices is downward, as it has slipped below the important psychological support level of $1,900 per ounce in the early morning trading session. It is currently trading at $1,874 per ounce. Additionally, the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve continues to push up bond yields and the US dollar, suppressing the upward momentum of metal markets.
Higher inflation rates have resulted in higher interest rates, causing a significant decline in gold. It is expected that gold will slide further to $1,840 per ounce if market conditions continue on this trend.
Gold promises to drop to the 1800 USD markHello everyone!
The price of gold at the beginning of the week is still declining and is currently trading at $1843 per ounce, a decrease of $5.2 compared to the previous session. This decline can be attributed to negative market influences, such as the continuous rise in the US dollar index, which has now surpassed 106 points. Additionally, the yield on US bonds continues to increase, causing global markets to be concerned about rising inflation. Despite supportive economic data, these current circumstances make it difficult for gold to reverse its downward trend.
It is expected that gold will experience slight profitability this week ahead of the release of non-farm payroll reports for September, scheduled for Friday morning.
GBP/USD remains vulnerable in 1.20/1.21 area - INGHello everyone!
The downtrend of GBPUSD is still ongoing, as the pair was unable to surpass the support level of 1.2110 USD/ounce. Currently, it has seen a slight increase and is now trading at 1.2193 USD/ounce despite the strengthening Dollar. It can be assumed that these positions have been closed.
Similar to EUR/USD, the vulnerability of the GBP/USD pair persists in the range of 1.20/1.21 area.
USD/JPY hit an 11-month high at 149.00As widely expected in the market, the Federal Reserve (Fed) chose to maintain interest rates in the 5.25-5.50% range during its meeting on Wednesday. This decision creates an opportunity for USD JPY to continue to shine. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, in a subsequent press conference, reiterated the Fed's commitment to achieving its 2% inflation target. Powell also mentioned that the Fed is ready to raise interest rates if necessary, posing a new challenge to USD JPY and asking for cautious movements in this currency pair.
Technically gold is in an uptrend and this pair has created a large candle at 149.08. It is expected to adjust at least to the regulatory level and then decrease to the regulatory level.
Update USD/JPY today September 28Greetings to all my friends!
The USDJPY pair is maintaining its strong position and has reached a trading threshold of approximately 149.37. However, it is currently experiencing a slight decline, trading at 139.30. This can be attributed to the US Dollar Index (DXY) reaching a 10-month high of around 106.20, thanks to the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy in order to ensure price stability. Such actions by policymakers could potentially impact the pair and lead to further declines.
Based on my personal opinion as an admin, I believe that there might be a slight adjustment in price as it searches for its bottom level before rebounding upward again with support from that level.
EURUSD- is testing the bullish trendHello dear traders! What do you think about EUR/USD. Today, EURUSD continues to maintain its decline below 1,070. And has now turned sideways, currently trading at 1.0645.
If the Euro breaks above 1.0670, it is likely that the pair will continue to rise and touch 1.0700.
EUR/USD holds near 1.0650Hello traders, what do you think about EURUSD?
Currently, the EURUSD market continues to maintain a downtrend but has gradually turned to a sideways trend and reached a trading level at 1.0645 during the European trading session on Monday. Data from Germany and the euro zone showed private sector business activity contracted at a softer pace in early August than in July. HCOB composite PMI increased to 46.2 and 47, respectively. 1 in Germany and the Eurozone. These figures failed to give a notable boost to the Euro but helped it hold its ground. If we escape this trend, the possibility of the EU moving forward is completely feasible.
EUR/USD continues to stay low below 1.0600Hello traders, what do you think about EURUSD?
The pair is currently at 1.058. The pair remains weakened by the ongoing uptrend in the US Dollar along with US Treasury yields based on the Fed's higher long-term interest rate stance.
EUR/USD fell below 1.0600 for the first time in months, breaking key support at 1.0630. With prices below that level, further losses are likely. The daily chart shows the pair heading towards the area between 1.0510 and 1.0530, which represents the February and March lows.
On the 4-hour chart, support around 1.0560 could trigger a recovery. The 1.0600 and 1.0630 levels have now emerged as suitable resistance levels. A fall below 1.0550 could result in increased volatility and possible downside acceleration
EURUSD Analysis: Decline extendedGreetings, beloved acquaintances.
There have been minimal alterations in the European Union (EU) today, as the pair continues to adhere to a downward trend. This can be attributed to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance and indications that the European Central Bank (ECB) may abstain from implementing any future interest rate hikes. Presently, the major currency pair is being traded at approximately 1.0563, experiencing a 0.09% decline throughout the day.
In my personal viewpoint, this particular currency pair has room for growth in the short term. Nevertheless, a slight decrease is anticipated subsequent to reaching its designated level.
Gold - breaks support to continue going downHello everyone!
The price of gold continues to decline, currently trading at a low of $1900.
Gold prices have decreased and are not finding support at $1905. It would not be surprising if gold continues to test lower levels with the possibility of rising from a new support level. $1890 is a significant number with strong support and the potential for a price recovery from this level.
Is GBPUSD expected to decrease in the near future?The British Pound (GBP) maintained its downward trajectory today, influenced by the UK's economic deceleration and the surging yields of US Treasury bonds. These factors have bolstered the strength of the US Dollar (USD) and consequently caused further depreciation in GBP/USD exchange rates. Anticipated additional declines are expected for this currency pair due to the Bank of England's decision to temporarily halt its interest rate tightening efforts, which has subsequently led to an increase in consumer expectations for inflation.
Gold prices plummeted before the recovery of the USDThe current price of gold in the international market is hovering around $1,897.9 per ounce, which is a decrease of $3 per ounce compared to this morning.
The recent monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve (Fed) indicates that their stance will continue to be a catalyst for pushing bond yields and the US dollar higher, putting significant pressure on precious metals and acting as the main factor influencing gold prices.
Analyzing the 4-hour chart, Gold has declined without finding support at the $1900 level. It would not be surprising if gold continues to test lower levels below $1888 as it is a strong support level that suggests potential price recovery from this point.
Disadvantages of gold todayHello dear traders, what do you think about Gold? Looking at the technical picture on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that Gold is in an uptrend but it has broken the support zone. In the short term it is expected to increase after it was revised down to 1910 USD, and then increased to the specified level.
EURUSD cannot yet resist the downtrendGreetings to all.
At present, the EURUSD pair is persisting in its downward movement and is presently being traded at 1.0506. It appears that there is a consensus among us that the prevailing trend favors a robust Dollar.
As of now, no compelling reason has surfaced to oppose this bearish trend in EUR/USD. However, it would be wise to closely monitor inflation rates in Germany and Spain today, as any significant developments may influence the European Central Bank's final interest rate adjustment decision. Barring such unforeseen circumstances, it is anticipated that EUR/USD will continue its decline towards the 1.0400/1.0410 range.
USD/JPY continues to shine at 148.86Currently, UJ continues to shine as it continuously maintains its upward momentum, reaching record highs in the past few months. The pair is currently trading at 148.79 and remains in an uptrend, continuously receiving support.
In particular, the Japanese government's intervention in the foreign exchange market to support the domestic currency along with lower risk levels will partly support the further appreciation of the Japanese Yen (JPY).
If it breaks through 149.00, it is likely to increase with the next level being 149.55.
USDJPY-news today decisiveLooking at the technical picture of USD/JPY we can see that the main trend of the current pair is up. And the recently recorded peak of 148.15 provides strong resistance against the price, waiting for a break of 148.80 to confirm the opening of the way for further upward movement towards the target. Our next major is 148.76.
The ascending channel is currently supporting the price below, enhancing the chances of an expected uptrend.
XAUUSD- Precious metals wait for new signals from the FedHello everyone, World gold prices are stable, spot gold decreased by 1.7 USD/ounce to 1,931.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $1,953.40 per ounce, down $0.30 from the bright spot.
The precious metals market was quiet at the beginning of the week while waiting for information related to the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting. The debate will end on September 20 (USA) according to the Fed's decision and the report meeting of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Both bulls and bears expressed caution before considering the Fed's monetary policy in the near future.
Technical chart on the H4 time frame, we can see that gold has peaked at 1936 and has declined slightly. It is likely that gold will return to 1924 and find a new milestone in the uptrend at 1950.