LCID rises from falling wedge on news from its rich uncleLCID got news that its rich uncle the Saudi Arabia Wealth Fund will be assisting in the
manufacturing of large body parts moving forward (perhaps on the methodology of TSLA
to just massive molds to efficiently do so and at a far lower cost). Shares pumped today on the
news. Is it sustainable? Is there still time to buy a piece of the move?
On the 120-minute chart, LCID was in a falling wedge or narrowing regression channel and
broke out also on a day when other EV stocks made good moves. The MACD indicator as
well as the dual TF RSI indicator in confirmation both show bullish momentum. The algo echo
indicator ( by LuxAlgo) which looks back in time to find matching price action patterns and
then predicts the near future move, shows a predicted move to 4.05. This is confluent with the
POC line of the volume profile anchored back to November. From November 14 to December 6,
price was range bound in consolidation around the 4.05 level. My call options for 2/16 @ $3.5
did 140% today unrealized. I will add $4.00 for 2/9 expiration and watch for the anticipated
and predicted continuation.
Predictivealgorithms
XAUUSD reverses to bearish bias SHORTXAUUSD on a 120-minute chart is showing moving averages slowly converging into deth crosses
and the dual time frame RSI indicator of Chris Moody forecasted the move with bearish
divergence starting March 8th. I have closed my long positions in gold and silver and crossed
the aisle to take short positions . My target for XAUUSD is down to 2085 which is the middle
of the Fibonacci level from the prior uptrend. A predictive model based on Gaussian regression
lines by Luxalgo is showing a blue downtrending line for the remainder of the week with a
potential hihg pivot from which to take the short entry tomorrow.
TQQQ Tech 3X levarged ETF LONGOn this 15 minute chart, TQQQ is in an anchored VWAP band and volume profile breakout.
Near to the end of the regular market, the RSI indicator ran from deep oversold. After hours,
NVDA reported a sizable earnings beat. The AI machine learning and backtesting indicator
forecasts and uptrend continuation. I will get call options targeting $58 for Friday's expiration.
This is a risky play, price trend could reverse and there could be no time left to recover from
that reversal. The rewards for the trade going right could easily exceed 100%.
BTC to fall from a rising wedge? SHORTBTCUSD on the 15-minute chart appears to have formed a rising wedge pattern which typically
forecasts a breakdown and a fall in price. Overlaid is the LuxAlgo predictive model-based
on a gaussian regression line ( top shelf mathematics) with a lookback to the left for similar
patterns on which to found the forecast. The algo indicator validates a bias for a fall in price.
I will take a partial on my long positions here and save the profits for a re-entry when a firm
uptrend is noted.
AAP Autoparts Retailer Retraces and Reverses down SHORTAAP on a 240 minute chart has completed a Fibonacci retracement of the previous trend down
which covered April to October 2023. Support was retested for a month or so. The retracement
starting in December is now to the standard level and price is being rejected there. The faster
RSI topped out at 65 while the slower RSI line ( black ) never got over 50. As an aside,
AAP is weak compared with AZO, its peer and leader in the market sector. I am looking for
stocks to short to get synergy from and general market downturns. I have found one. This short
trade is supported by the predictive algorithm of LuxAlgp.
IND penny IT with the earnings beat no more cash drain LONGIntellicheck validates identities for financial services, fintech companies, BNPL providers, e-commerce, retail commerce businesses, and law enforcement and government agencies across North America. Intellicheck can be used through a mobile device, a browser, or a retail point-of-sale scanner.
Volume, Volatility and Price Breakout on the 60-minute chart. Relative Volume was beyond 10X
The predictive algo has a continuation for Monday with a momentum fade over 4.25 topping at
4.5
I will take an intraday trade here potentially buying in the premarket. The target is the high
pivot forecasted by the algo about 30& upside. I will set a 7.5% stop loss and risk 0.01% of
capital in the trading account. I will take off 25% upon reaching 4.0 another 50% at 4.50 and
the remaining 25% with a 5% trailing stop loss to ride the momentum fade.
This is probably not shortable. The April monthly options pumped 6x to 30x on the earnings
report. They will have continuation on Monday 3/26 after that the put options will be in play.
The small call options chain is embedded in the chart. Earnings come again in May.
I will reenter this trade until after the current pop and drop is completed.
Then in late April to look I will reenter looking for a repeat of the present price action.
PHAT Phantom Pharma to moonshot from upgrade LONGPHAT is now targeting 25-34 according to analysts. I am not surprised. It has a pipeline and
is pending approval for a medication product to treat a stomach bacteria that causes chronic
infection and symptoms are often refractory to long and elaborate treatment protocols. The
product is already in Asia and doing well in YoY reports. PHAT has partnered with another
pharma company to make regulatory and marketing inroads in the European market. My
portfolio is already heavy with medtech and pharma but this one is far to promising
with the great upside it presents. I will hit this one hard trying to get the low of day in
pieces and build a position.
SPY has bullish bias after a day downtrending LONGSPY on the 15 -minute chart is shown to be in a megaphone or broadening wedge pattern since
March 5th. Price is now at the lower support ascending support trend line. The Gaussing
regression line forecast indicator an example of predictive modeling confirms with a prediction
that price will trend up inside the pattern and head toward the upper resistance trendline.
The mass index appropriately has signaled a reversal with a signal line that topped 32 and then
fell below the trigger. I found two long bottoming wicks in the prior two days at nearly the
same bottom level. The line /ray connecting them comes to a value of 512.75 which becomes
my immediate-term target. I will enter a trade of shares along with call options. The call
options are for a next-day expiration striking 513 ( OTM just a little). TEXT BOX correction:
The regression line forecast by Luxalgo's algorithm suggests a reversal and trend up into the ascending resistance.
CELH in the AI subsector flies on Earnings- SHORTCELH on the 15 minute chart broke out from a decent earnings reprto and has been part of the
IA stock surge. Is it over-extended? Will it follow NVDA in a downtrend? Is this Icarus getting
too close to the sun? Yes, I think so. The company name is Celcius and it fits the Greek
mythological person and story well.
Yes I think CELH will correct. It's in the cards for a lot of its peers. CELH has been hugging
the second upper VWAP band as resistance for several days and is at the upper bounds of the
high volume area for the profile. The slower RSI line is above 50 but the faster line in green is
below that important level. The Luxalgo predictive model forecasting the linear regression
line shows a trend down. This is a regression to the mean concept playing out.
I will open a short trade targeting the evolving PCO line at 82 and then the mean anchored
VWAP line at 78.5. A stop loss of 91.35 kicks in if instead price moves into a high volume
area breakout which is considerably less probable.
NCLH - Can this travel /cruise stock rise into earnings. LONGThe cruise line subsector is surging. Apparently Royal Carribean is doing better than Norweigan
but both a having a busy 20214. Earnings are around the corner. On the 60 minute chart
the lower anchored VWAP bands are all trending down as is price overall. Of late from
underneather price has tested the mean VWAP line and than did a test of resistance at
the first lower VWAP bandline where it still sits at the underside. The "Next Pivot" AI indicator
suggests a hard uptrend heading into earnings. The RSI indicator shows both fast and slow
lines under the 50 level. Based on everything here knowing earnings are coming ;they likely
will be good with the AI indictor predicting a 7-8% jump in the run up to earnings.
I am fairly smart but well aware not so much compared with the predictive modeling of
an AI indicator with its lookback and pattern matching routines. I will take a long trade
here confident that the risk has been somewhat mitigated by an AI indicator, industry trending
and the chart itself.
PLUG 's momentum continuation LONGPLUG's momentum had a good move today. PLUG is moving in a descending channel. Today
other EV stocks including TSLA, LCID, NKLA, FSR had big moves. TSLA's was the smallest in
percentage but the biggest in market cap regain. PLUG is now at the 0.5 Fib
retracement level. The zero-lag MACD and dual TF RSI indicators are about to cross the zero
and 50 levels respectively. The predictive tool ( Echo by LuxAgo) predicts a move to
5.95 by mid-February. This is about 50%. With the 11% move today, PLUG could be getting
overextended but the algo does not suggest that. As with other penny stocks risks are high but
a return of 50% in three weeks would offset the risk. I will trade PLUG here using a stop-loss
of 3.55 below that black horizontal Fib level. My $3.5 options for 2/2 did 300% unrealized
today. In the next 2 days I will roll them forward into the 2/16 expiration $4.5 strikes.
Can AMC continue after a good trading day ? LONGAMC on a 30-minute chart is putting in a double bottom. In mid-December, a symmetrical
head and shoulders is formed. The right shoulder being higher than the left makes for a
diagonal neckline which yields a target in the area of 5 confluent with the level of a high
pivot on January 10th. A standard Fibonacci retracement of the Janaury trend down would
put a target at about 4.55. The AI predictive tool looking back for similar patterns has printed
a buy signal. On this instrument at this time frame, the indicator has a 98% accuracy
for win rate. The ADX indicator shows a line cross and a "green" bull trend beginning.
Overall, I find AMC to be set for a long trade targeting 4.5 and 4.95 for one-third each with
the remaining to run in case a short squeeze gets underway.
XAUUSD AI Predictive ModelSo far this AI model has been quite impressive and the more data it is fed along with it's own learning capacity - it seems to generate more accurate results with tighter price range estimates for projected time frames.
I decided to publish these ideas as a means of recording the progress .
The data plotted here has been manually inserted and is not the full history of tested results, for now. Depending on the progress of this project, it might be worth spending some time on coding an indicator/strategy - time will tell.
BOIL Natural Gas Price Recover and ReverseBOIL on the 2H chart has bottomed and begun the reversal as this leveraged natural gas fund
sees a red to green in the HA candles as well as the volume. Price has crossedover the POC line
of the long-term volume profile and exploded from a Doji candle below the mean anchored
VWAP with consecutive engulfing bullish candles.
The Luxalgo AI predictive indicator suggests a parabolic move higher and
a correction in the first part of next week. I have already profited 700% on this trade that I
have been in since my earlier idea on BOIL. I will add to the position now but be watchful
for a reversal of the reversal while watching a volatility indicator to set the exit.
XAGUSD Spot SilverSilver had been on a downtrend for two weeks before hitting its pivot low on 5/18/23 and
reversing. The Hull suite indicator has changed from red to green while the zero lag MACD
indicator bounced on the zero line and is now uptrending. Importantly, on the way down
price dropped quickly through a low volume area of the volume profile marked out on the
the two hour chart. This area had the highest bearish momentum meaning the most negative
price action over the least time. If price can regain $ 24.25, the inverse could occur being
a burst of bullish momentum propelling the price through the low volume area described.
Contributing to this could be a squeeze if those who are short liquidate and buy to cover.
Finally, the predictive algo Echo indicator suggests a rise in price to begin the trading week
up to but bouncing down from that $24.25 target being the bottom of the volume void.
I will place a long trade with the target in mind. If price can break it, I expect an explosive
move perhaps equal and opposite to the 4% downward move earier this week. Also
contemplated are equity trades in SLV. AGQ and ZSL depending on the price progress underway.
FULC Biotech Fib Level BouncdFULC on the 15 minute chart had a good response to favorable earnings and then retraced.
It is now bounding off the Fib 0.5 level and also confluent with the POC line of the volume
profile and the mean of the anchored VWAP. Buying volume appropriately overtook selling
volume on the reversal Luxalgo's Echo indicator, an AI predictive tool, suggests a 10% price
rise in the after-hours which is typically a busy trading period for biotechnology penny stocks.
I will take a long trade on FULC in after hours and take off a part of the position in the next
trading day and hold the rest through the weekend.
PG on downtrend continuanceOn the 2 hr chart, PG was fighting heavy resistance for month. The supply /resistance zone is
on the chart from the Luxalgo indicator. Multiple touches but the zone was not broken.
Price has retraced down beyond the 0.5 Fib level. PG is tracking well with XLP the consumer
staples ETF shown as a thin black line on the chart.
The Luxaglo Echo indicator, a predictive AI tool suggests that price will retest the 0.5 Fib level
and then descend to the support /demand zone with a volume mean of 149.5.
I will take a short position with put contracts with a strike of $ 154 above the Fib 0.5 level
with DTE of 6 = 5/26.
For the stock position, I will set a sell limit of $153 also with a stop loss of $ 154 with the
the target for 2/3 of the position at $ 150 and the remaining third is to watch to see if the
zone brakes. I believe that this is a safe trade in a low-volatility stock set to capture
profit advantaging the prevailing trend running in concert with the subsector ETF.
USDCAD Short then LongUSDCAD in the past several sessions had a good uptrend then hitting a double top and reversal
Sunday 5/15 after the open. The double top occurred at the of the second upper VWAP band
above the mean and the top of the volume profile. On the descent , it has crossed under the
POC line of the volume profile and is widway between the first positive VWAP bandline and
the mean VWAP. Luxalgo's Echo indicator based on AI algorhythms predicts the trend down
will bounce and reverse off the first lowewVWAP band at 1.337 into a consolidation sideways
pattern for a day or two and then reverse. Accordingly, I will take a short position targeting
1.337 while getting a stop loss at the first upper VWAP ~ 1.35. I expect to close before swap
comes into effect.
$SPY Prediction Update, technical's are on-point. Good Afternoon Traders,
Looking back to previous technical analysis (from January), yet again, proved to be on-point. This is good news for technical traders.
The Ukraine-Russia conflict is still trading on solid technical foundations.
If you're a beginner in this realm, or would like to improve, try out the UPRIGHT Suite for assistance.
See below (then).
(Now)
Next analysis, coming soon.
Follow, like, share, look at my pro, etc.
Cheers,
Mike
(UPRIGHT Trading)