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Predictivemodeling

SPY has bullish bias after a day downtrending LONGSPY on the 15 -minute chart is shown to be in a megaphone or broadening wedge pattern since March 5th. Price is now at the lower support ascending support trend line. The Gaussing regression line forecast indicator an example of predictive modeling confirms with a prediction that price will trend up inside the pattern and head toward the upper resistance trendline. The mass index appropriately has signaled a reversal with a signal line that topped 32 and then fell below the trigger. I found two long bottoming wicks in the prior two days at nearly the same bottom level. The line /ray connecting them comes to a value of 512.75 which becomes my immediate-term target. I will enter a trade of shares along with call options. The call options are for a next-day expiration striking 513 ( OTM just a little). TEXT BOX correction: The regression line forecast by Luxalgo's algorithm suggests a reversal and trend up into the ascending resistance.
AMEX:SPYLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
W Short Trade Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown Wayfair is an e-commerce platform for furniture and home goods sold online. It has had gradually decreasing volatility on the daily chart in a symmetrical triangle, W is halfway between the past earnings in early February and the upcoming in May. Price is currently also compressing inside the triangle and halfway between the mean VWAP and the first upper VWAP as the chart shows. The analysis of a short trade is also supported by the AI algo of Luxalgo using Gaussian Regression line analysis to forecast the downtrend. Targets are 47.25 which is the intersection of the forecasted trend down and the support trendline of the triangle as well as 38.65 which is the intersection of that same trendline and the pivot low of October 2023. The stop loss is 63.9 at the immediate pivot high. The trade is projected to be a 25% trade is equal partial profits are taken at both targets or 28% if the first target is a 1/3 partial closure.
NYSE:WLong
by AwesomeAvani
BBAI - a penny stock in a hot sector LONGBBAI fell on an earnings miss on Thursday March 7th. The downtrend of 30% was basically a slow flush. Penny stocks are volatile to begin with; this one is in the hottest of subsectors. Price is in the hard oversold area just above the second lower VWAP line on this 15 minute while the RSI lines are in the mid-30s showing the price weakness. A predictive forecasting algo from Luxalgo suggests a bounce from the present price. I will take a long trade targeting a return of 25% over the next week with three targets and partial closures of 25% , 50 and 25% respectively with the targets shown on the chart. The stop loss is 2.50 just below the pivot low of 2.5. This trade idea demonstrates how penny stocks have great volatility and how if entered well can result in 25% weekly which if compounded regularly can result in rapid account balance growth overall. The trade is to be managed with partial closures directed by alerts and notifications as well as a trailing stop loss of 5% once the price gain has reached 10-15%. This minmizes effort and screen time so that they can be spread across a wider variety of trades.
NYSE:BBAILong
by AwesomeAvani
1
CELH in the AI subsector flies on Earnings- SHORTCELH on the 15 minute chart broke out from a decent earnings reprto and has been part of the IA stock surge. Is it over-extended? Will it follow NVDA in a downtrend? Is this Icarus getting too close to the sun? Yes, I think so. The company name is Celcius and it fits the Greek mythological person and story well. Yes I think CELH will correct. It's in the cards for a lot of its peers. CELH has been hugging the second upper VWAP band as resistance for several days and is at the upper bounds of the high volume area for the profile. The slower RSI line is above 50 but the faster line in green is below that important level. The Luxalgo predictive model forecasting the linear regression line shows a trend down. This is a regression to the mean concept playing out. I will open a short trade targeting the evolving PCO line at 82 and then the mean anchored VWAP line at 78.5. A stop loss of 91.35 kicks in if instead price moves into a high volume area breakout which is considerably less probable.
NASDAQ:CELHShort
by AwesomeAvani
2
NCLH - Can this travel /cruise stock rise into earnings. LONGThe cruise line subsector is surging. Apparently Royal Carribean is doing better than Norweigan but both a having a busy 20214. Earnings are around the corner. On the 60 minute chart the lower anchored VWAP bands are all trending down as is price overall. Of late from underneather price has tested the mean VWAP line and than did a test of resistance at the first lower VWAP bandline where it still sits at the underside. The "Next Pivot" AI indicator suggests a hard uptrend heading into earnings. The RSI indicator shows both fast and slow lines under the 50 level. Based on everything here knowing earnings are coming ;they likely will be good with the AI indictor predicting a 7-8% jump in the run up to earnings. I am fairly smart but well aware not so much compared with the predictive modeling of an AI indicator with its lookback and pattern matching routines. I will take a long trade here confident that the risk has been somewhat mitigated by an AI indicator, industry trending and the chart itself.
NYSE:NCLHLong
by AwesomeAvani
SPY Cycle Patterns CRUSH Day Leads Bearish TrendingMy proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns are an advanced predictive modeling system based on Fibonacci, Gann, and price cycles. The most incredible thing about these patterns is they predict future price action/trends many days, weeks, and months in advance - very accurately. The accuracy ratio of the SPY Cycle Patterns is usually about 85 to 90%. There are times when it is wrong. My proprietary research suggests we have entered a very dangerous new crisis phase. The SPY will likely target $404 or lower (possibly $393). I'm posting this short video to help you prepare for what comes next. Follow my research.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by BradMatheny
XAUUSD AI Predictive ModelSo far this AI model has been quite impressive and the more data it is fed along with it's own learning capacity - it seems to generate more accurate results with tighter price range estimates for projected time frames. I decided to publish these ideas as a means of recording the progress . The data plotted here has been manually inserted and is not the full history of tested results, for now. Depending on the progress of this project, it might be worth spending some time on coding an indicator/strategy - time will tell.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDLong
by Y2K_B
XAGUSD Spot SilverSilver had been on a downtrend for two weeks before hitting its pivot low on 5/18/23 and reversing. The Hull suite indicator has changed from red to green while the zero lag MACD indicator bounced on the zero line and is now uptrending. Importantly, on the way down price dropped quickly through a low volume area of the volume profile marked out on the the two hour chart. This area had the highest bearish momentum meaning the most negative price action over the least time. If price can regain $ 24.25, the inverse could occur being a burst of bullish momentum propelling the price through the low volume area described. Contributing to this could be a squeeze if those who are short liquidate and buy to cover. Finally, the predictive algo Echo indicator suggests a rise in price to begin the trading week up to but bouncing down from that $24.25 target being the bottom of the volume void. I will place a long trade with the target in mind. If price can break it, I expect an explosive move perhaps equal and opposite to the 4% downward move earier this week. Also contemplated are equity trades in SLV. AGQ and ZSL depending on the price progress underway.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
USDCAD Short then LongUSDCAD in the past several sessions had a good uptrend then hitting a double top and reversal Sunday 5/15 after the open. The double top occurred at the of the second upper VWAP band above the mean and the top of the volume profile. On the descent , it has crossed under the POC line of the volume profile and is widway between the first positive VWAP bandline and the mean VWAP. Luxalgo's Echo indicator based on AI algorhythms predicts the trend down will bounce and reverse off the first lowewVWAP band at 1.337 into a consolidation sideways pattern for a day or two and then reverse. Accordingly, I will take a short position targeting 1.337 while getting a stop loss at the first upper VWAP ~ 1.35. I expect to close before swap comes into effect.
Short
by AwesomeAvani
SPY RALLY WEEK - Are you ready for it?I continue to post these SPY Cycle Patterns as a way to help educate and explore my research/results. The interesting part of this research is these patterns originate at an anchor point nearly 5 years ago and continue to produce valuable predictive results for each week going forward - all the way out to 2028 and beyond. Why are they so important? Because they can help you understand how cycles, price patterns, and psychology play a role in future price activity. Of course, they are not 100% accurate as news items, the US Fed, and other (govt) actions may disrupt the cycle pattern trends. Ultimately, these are some of the best predictive solutions I've seen related to preparing for future trends/expectations in a long while. Elliot wave is a great tool, but it adapts to future price movement. Therefore, what you see and believe is going to happen right now may not be valid in 2 to 5 days. Fibonacci is probably the most valuable solution for attempting to develop any type of predictive modeling - besides my Cycle Patterns. Well, this is all just conjecture related to what I believe. Here we go - RALLY WEEK. Let's see what happens. Most of November 2022 is looking quite bullish. So we may see a fairly strong start to a Christmas Rally setting up this week. 11-6: CRUSH - I expect this pattern to push into Monday, driving a fairly strong upward trend. 11-7: Flat-Down - this pattern may transition into early Tuesday, but quickly move towards the BreakAway trend. 11-8: BreakAway - This pattern should carry through most of Tuesday/Wednesday. 11-9: Rally - Off we go. 11-10: Rally - Continued rally (short squeeze) 11-11: Rally - possibly a stalling rally phase headed into the weekend. 11-12: Carryover - the weekend will setup as a pause, rotation, bottom for early next week. 11-13: Bottom Follow my research..
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Called it Perfectly. August 27 till now - LOVE IT. Were you following my research? On August 27, 2022, I predicted Bitcoin would fall to below $18,800 near a critical inflection point (9-6~9-8), then form a quick base and begin an incredible new rally phase up to $35k to $30k. Watching Bitcoin move downward and struggle near the $18,800 level was incredible. I posted a comment that we should see Bitcoin begin a new rally phase very quickly on Wednesday (9-7). Waking up today to see Bitcoin +$1700 and seeing the size of this rally phase confirmed my analysis was SPOT ON. All of this was done with my ADL predictive modeling system. It can be an incredible resource when interpreted accurately. Stay tuned; more to come - and keep an eye out for the $30k+ range/top for Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny