Opening (IRA): COIN December 20th 220/230/380/390 Iron Condor... for a 2.67 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 74.1/91.5. Going low delta with the short option legs and narrower than usual with the wings.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.67
Buying Power Effect: 7.33
ROC at Max: 36.4%
50% Max: 1.34
ROC at 50% Max: 18.2%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.
Premiumselling
Opening (IRA): MSTR 180/210/410/440 Iron Condor... for a 6.03 credit.
Comments: High IV at 95.8%. Here, going delta neutral, 1/10th the price of the underlying for my wing width, and setting up my short option strikes at the 16 delta on both sides.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 6.03
Buying Power Effect: 23.97
ROC at Max: 25.16%
50% Max: 3.02
ROC at 50% Max: 12.58%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.
Opening (IRA): TAN Jan 17th 33 Short Put... for a 1.01 credit.
Comments: Adding to my TAN position at a strike/break even better than what I currently have on. Here, going Plain Jane short put, since there isn't a great advantage to going monied covered call here because the IV skew isn't between the call and put sides isn't significant.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 31.99
Max Profit: 1.01
ROC at Max: 3.16%
50% Max: .52
ROC at 50% Max: 1.58%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
Opening (IRA): MSTR Dec 20th 75/155 Short Put Vertical... for a 5.43 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 61.1/113.9. Doing something a little different here, selling the 10 delta short put and buying a put that cuts BPE in about half over doing a naked. Going low delta because, well, the underlying kind of scares the poo out of me.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 74.57
Max Profit: 5.43
ROC at Max: 7.28%
50% Max: 2.72
ROC at 50% Max: 3.64
Compare:
Dec 20th 155 Short Put (Cash Secured)
BPE: 148.30
Max Profit: 6.65
ROC at Max: 4.48%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
Grab Your XAUUSD Scalping Chance!Market Analysis Summary:
Buy Opportunity: Targeting the 2750 zone from the 2730-27 level.
Market Structure: Overall bullish trend, indicating potential upward movement.
Short-Term Caution: Formation of lower lows may lead to a sell-off down to 2690.
Upcoming Events: NFP report is on the horizon, which could introduce market volatility.
Key Points to Consider:
Monitor the 2730-27 zone for entry signals.
Watch for price action around 2690 for potential reversals.
Be prepared for fluctuations around the NFP release.
Stay informed and adjust your strategies accordingly!
Opening (IRA): NVDA Nov 15th 83/98/143/158... for a 2.70 credit.
Comments: 30-day IV remains fairly decent here at 48.9%. Going wider than I usually do from a delta standpoint, with the short option legs camped out at the 16 delta, but with the wings at standard width (1/10th the price of the underlying), knowing that I will probably adjust the setup at some point given its duration (56 DTE).
Earnings haven't been firmly announced yet, but are likely to occur right around mopex (~11/14), so will look to be out of the trade by then.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 12.30
Max Profit: 2.70
ROC at Max: 21.95%
50% Max: 1.35
ROC at 50% Max: 10.98%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in sides to delta balance.
Opening (IRA): SMH Nov 15th 190/215/280/305 Iron Condor... for a 4.13 credit.
Comments: IV remains "adequate" here at 39.1%. Selling the 16 delta short options and buying the wings 1/10th of the price of the underlying out from there ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 20.87
Max Profit: 4.13
ROC at Max: 19.79%
50% Max: 2.07
ROC at 50% Max: 9.90%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max/roll up untested side on side test.
Opening (IRA): KRE Oct 18th 49/57/57/65 Iron Fly... for a 4.14 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 67.1/39. Another small nondirectional in an underlying that I'm not currently in while I bide my time waiting on other positions .... .
Metrics:
Max Profit: 4.14
Buying Power Effect: 3.86
ROC at Max: 107.25%
25% Max: 1.04
ROC at 25% Max: 26.81%
EURGBP: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current EURGBP chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Opening (IRA): IWM Oct 18th 192/214/214/236 Iron Fly... for an 11.61 credit.
Comments: Highest IV of broad market ETF's at 27.6%. More small stuff (relatively speaking) while I twiddle my thumbs waiting on other October setups ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Max Loss: 10.39
Max Profit: 11.61
ROC at Max: 111.74%
25% Max: 2.90
ROC at 25% Max: 24.98%
Will generally look to take profit at 25% max.
Opening (IRA): COIN Oct 18th 130/140/200/210 Iron Condor... for a 3.66 credit.
Comments: High IV at 73.4%. More small stuff while I twiddle my thumbs. Skewing this just a smidge long, with resulting delta at 2.35.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Max Loss: 6.34
Max Profit: 3.66
ROC at Max: 57.72%
50% Max: 1.83
ROC at 50% Max: 28.86%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.
Investors Brace for Key CPI Data That Could Impact MarketsGold is currently trading in a sideways range between $2,470 and $2,532, as it consolidates after reaching its yearly highs. The market is awaiting key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to determine the future price movement of gold. If the data indicates lower inflation, it could strengthen gold and push prices beyond $2,532. Conversely, higher inflation might lead to a stronger dollar, putting pressure on gold and potentially driving it below $2,470
Opening (IRA): TLT January 17th 83 Short Put... for a 1.55 credit.
Comments: Probably the last addition to my TLT short put ladder for now. Selling the 83's, targeting a break even that is coincident with the 52-week low.
A basic bet that the Fed cuts rates ... at some point ... with the additional notion being that I won't have to hang out in it nearly as long as the DTE suggests when they do. Unfortunately, when I started laddering out, a March cut was on the table, but that has been pushed back to at least June and possibly September, so I probably got a little bigger in the position than I originally anticipated. That will resolve itself somewhat as shorter duration rungs fall off via take profit or roll-out (probably the former).
Opening (IRA): BITO August 16th 20 Short Put... for a 1.13 credit.
Comments: Adding a rung out in August at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the 25 delta strike.
Metrics:
BPE/Break Even: 18.87
Max Profit: 1.13 ($113)
ROC at Max: 5.99%
50% Max: .57 ($57)
ROC at 50% Max: 3.00%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max/roll out at 21 DTE if it hasn't hit the TP by then.
Opening (IRA): BITO July 19th 22 Short Put... for an .81 credit.
Comments: Adding a rung at the 22 strike, which is better than either my covered call break even or the July 19th 24 short put I've got on.
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, but am fine with taking on additional shares and selling call against.
Rolling (IRA): TLT June 21st 86 Short Put to Nov 15th 83... for a .55 credit.
Comments: With the June 86 at greater than 50% max, rolled it down and out to the November 15th 83 for a .55 credit (where I currently don't have a "rung" on). I collected .93 for the June 86; with the .55 here, I've collected a total of 1.18.
Primarily looking to reduce a smidge of risk in this position, since my highest strike is at the 86.
Opening (IRA): TAN August 16th 37 Short Put... for a .93 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 51/44. Adding a short put in the vicinity of the 25 delta strike on weakness to my covered call, which has a 37.86 break even. (See Post Below).
Metrics:
Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 36.03
Max Profit: .93 ($93)
ROC at Max: 2.44%
ROC at 50% Max: 1.22%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll for credit and duration if the TP doesn't hit.
Opening (IRA): EWZ Sept 20th 25 Short Put... for a .53 credit.
Comments: In for a penny ... . In for a pound. With the July 19th 28 short put looking ripe for assignment (it's still got time, so you never know), adding a rung here out in Sept (there is no August monthly yet).
The current position is a Dec 20th 29 Covered Call with a 28.44 break even, a July 19th 28 short put, and a Sept 20th 25 short put. I'll look to add a rung in August once it becomes available, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on ... .
Opening (IRA): TLT October 18th 84 Short Put... for a .98 credit.
Comments: Laddering out at intervals at strikes between 85 and 82, assuming they're paying.
This is naturally longer-dated than most will want to go, but is part of a TLT position made up of covered calls (stock + short call) and short puts, so that I'm getting paid for (a) short call premium; (b) dividends; and (c) short put premium over time.
Alternatively, it's a "hmm, I really need to get more BP deployed here because I don't really have shit on at the moment" sort of thing ... .