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Opening (IRA): TAN Jan 17th 33 Short Put... for a 1.01 credit. Comments: Adding to my TAN position at a strike/break even better than what I currently have on. Here, going Plain Jane short put, since there isn't a great advantage to going monied covered call here because the IV skew isn't between the call and put sides isn't significant. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 31.99 Max Profit: 1.01 ROC at Max: 3.16% 50% Max: .52 ROC at 50% Max: 1.58% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
AMEX:TANLong
by NaughtyPines
NAS100USD: Is Bearish Control Taking Over?Greetings Traders! While NAS100USD remains bullish, I see signs of a potential bearish shift for several reasons identified on the chart. Most notably, price has been rejecting a Rejection Block, a significant institutional resistance zone. This rejection has resulted in strong downside displacement, signaling that institutional interest may now lean bearish. Retail vs. Institutional Resistance Institutional Resistance: Price has retraced into heavy premium levels, ideal for selling opportunities (sell in premium, buy in discount). A key difference with institutional resistance lies in its foundation on Rejection Blocks. These order blocks, formed at market turning points, are characterized by large wicks relative to candle closures. They indicate that institutions or smart money entered substantial sell orders, giving confidence to anticipate bearish price action. Retail Resistance: In contrast, retail resistance often serves as engineered liquidity. Here, banks and institutions create the illusion of a resistance zone to entice retail traders into taking trades. These zones, strategically placed at premium levels, enable institutions to sell against retail positions. Understanding this manipulation is critical for aligning with institutional order flow. Trading Plan Confirmation Zone: Monitor price action at the Rejection Block and premium levels for bearish confirmation. Targets: Fair Value: The 50% retracement of the leg. Liquidity Pool: The downside liquidity resting below current levels. Discussion and Insights If you have questions, analysis, or insights, feel free to share them in the comment section. Let’s collaborate, learn, and grow as traders! Kind regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2
Opening (IRA): MSTR Dec 20th 75/155 Short Put Vertical... for a 5.43 credit. Comments: High IVR/IV at 61.1/113.9. Doing something a little different here, selling the 10 delta short put and buying a put that cuts BPE in about half over doing a naked. Going low delta because, well, the underlying kind of scares the poo out of me. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 74.57 Max Profit: 5.43 ROC at Max: 7.28% 50% Max: 2.72 ROC at 50% Max: 3.64 Compare: Dec 20th 155 Short Put (Cash Secured) BPE: 148.30 Max Profit: 6.65 ROC at Max: 4.48% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by NaughtyPines
Grab Your XAUUSD Scalping Chance!Market Analysis Summary: Buy Opportunity: Targeting the 2750 zone from the 2730-27 level. Market Structure: Overall bullish trend, indicating potential upward movement. Short-Term Caution: Formation of lower lows may lead to a sell-off down to 2690. Upcoming Events: NFP report is on the horizon, which could introduce market volatility. Key Points to Consider: Monitor the 2730-27 zone for entry signals. Watch for price action around 2690 for potential reversals. Be prepared for fluctuations around the NFP release. Stay informed and adjust your strategies accordingly!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by bluechipfx
1
Opening (IRA): NVDA Nov 15th 83/98/143/158... for a 2.70 credit. Comments: 30-day IV remains fairly decent here at 48.9%. Going wider than I usually do from a delta standpoint, with the short option legs camped out at the 16 delta, but with the wings at standard width (1/10th the price of the underlying), knowing that I will probably adjust the setup at some point given its duration (56 DTE). Earnings haven't been firmly announced yet, but are likely to occur right around mopex (~11/14), so will look to be out of the trade by then. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 12.30 Max Profit: 2.70 ROC at Max: 21.95% 50% Max: 1.35 ROC at 50% Max: 10.98% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in sides to delta balance.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by NaughtyPines
Investors Brace for Key CPI Data That Could Impact MarketsGold is currently trading in a sideways range between $2,470 and $2,532, as it consolidates after reaching its yearly highs. The market is awaiting key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to determine the future price movement of gold. If the data indicates lower inflation, it could strengthen gold and push prices beyond $2,532. Conversely, higher inflation might lead to a stronger dollar, putting pressure on gold and potentially driving it below $2,470
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BELLATRIXFX
Opening (IRA): TLT January 17th 83 Short Put... for a 1.55 credit. Comments: Probably the last addition to my TLT short put ladder for now. Selling the 83's, targeting a break even that is coincident with the 52-week low. A basic bet that the Fed cuts rates ... at some point ... with the additional notion being that I won't have to hang out in it nearly as long as the DTE suggests when they do. Unfortunately, when I started laddering out, a March cut was on the table, but that has been pushed back to at least June and possibly September, so I probably got a little bigger in the position than I originally anticipated. That will resolve itself somewhat as shorter duration rungs fall off via take profit or roll-out (probably the former).
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): EWZ Sept 20th 25 Short Put... for a .53 credit. Comments: In for a penny ... . In for a pound. With the July 19th 28 short put looking ripe for assignment (it's still got time, so you never know), adding a rung here out in Sept (there is no August monthly yet). The current position is a Dec 20th 29 Covered Call with a 28.44 break even, a July 19th 28 short put, and a Sept 20th 25 short put. I'll look to add a rung in August once it becomes available, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on ... .
AMEX:EWZLong
by NaughtyPines