Opening (IRA): QQQ July 21st 380 Short Put... for a 3.90 credit.
Comments: Starting to tip-toe into Q3 (July/August/September) contracts in broad market (IWM, SPY, QQQ). Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
As usual, will look to sell in shorter duration on weakness, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Premiumselling
Opening (IRA): SMH June 21st 180 Short Put... for a 2.01 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 75.1/35.1. Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor ETF.
I may look to ladder out at intervals if premium remains decent.
Opening (IRA): SMH July 19th 165 Short Put... for a 1.69 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 78.9/34.5. Adding a rung out in July to my SMH position, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor ETF.
Generally, will look to take profit on the short put at 50% max.
Opened (IRA): BITO May 17th 24 Short Put... for a 1.74 credit.
Comments: Adding a rung at strikes better than what I currently have on. Will generally look to take profit at 50% max or take assignment of shares should that occur and proceed to sell call against.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even/Cost Basis in Shares (If Assigned): 22.26
Max Profit: 1.74 ($174)
ROC %-age at Max: 7.82%
ROC %-age at 50% Max: 3.91%
Opening (IRA): IWM June 21st 180 Short Put... for a 1.82 credit.
Comments: Targeting the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. There is no July contract yet, but June is still paying at <16 delta ... .
Opening (IRA): BITO April 19th 26 Short Put... for a 1.23 credit.
Comments: Adding to my covered call position (See Post Below) on weakness, converting the covered call into a covered strangle (i.e., short put + stock + short call). I went with April, since May appeared to be shit illiquid at where I'd want to pitch my tent.
I'm fine with being assigned additional stock here at the 26 strike, since my cost basis in my shares is currently 27.54, with the cost basis in any shares assigned via the 26 at 24.77, although my preference would be just to take profit on the covered call aspect at 50% max and the short put at 50% max and move on.
Naturally, if I also manage to grab the April dividend, that would be additionally bueno.
As a standalone trade:
Break Even/Buying Power Effect/Cost Basis in Any Assigned Shares: 24.77
Max Profit: 1.23 ($123)
ROC at Max: 4.97%
ROC at 50% Max: 2.48%
Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 19th 52 Short Put... for a 1.54 credit.
Comments: Adding a short put component to my TQQQ covered call (See Post Below) here on weakness.
Metrics:
Break Even/Buying Power Effect/Resulting Cost Basis In Stock: 50.46
Max Profit: 1.53/$153
ROC at Max: 3.03%
ROC at 50% Max: 1.52%
Will generally look to take profit on the covered call component at 50% max and the short put component at 50% max.
GBPUSD: Exploring a High Reward Sell OpportunityCurrently, the Institutional Order Flow on GBPUSD remains bearish , indicating a continued pursuit of premium trading points such as the H1 Bearish Order Block . Smart Money is likely to engage in selling at these levels to capitalize on price movement towards discount prices.
My anticipation revolves around the mitigation of the H1 Bearish Order Block, representing Smart Money's final institutional buying within the market . Upon confirmation, I'll seek an entry to target the Daily Bullish Order Block, serving as my Draw On Liquidity. Additionally, there's a H1 Liquidity Void that I expect the market to fill before considering any selling actions.
I remain adaptive to market dynamics and will adjust my approach accordingly.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Opening (IRA): IWM June 21st 169 Short Put... for a 1.63 credit.
Comments: Laddering out at intervals, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
Will start looking at adding in shorter duration if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Opened: SMH March 15th 169/175/199/205 Iron Condor... for a 2.07 credit.
Comments: 30-day IV at 27.8%. (Higher would be better, but you can't have everything).
Collecting 1/3rd of the width of the wings in credit. 2.07 credit on BPE of 3.93; 52.7% ROC at max; 26.3% at 50% max.
As usual, will generally look to take profit at 50% max; adjust sides on side test. This is probably my last trade in the March monthly, since 45 DTE is kind of the wheelhouse for this stuff, and the March monthly is at 43 DTE.
I'll mostly hand sit from here until month end, with most of the trades being adjustments.
Opening: NFLX 435/445/545/555 Iron Condor... for a 3.45 credit.
Comments: Earnings play with the announcement today after close.
3.45 credit on buying power of 6.55; 52.6% ROC at max; 26.3% at 50% max.
I'm basically looking for two things here: (1) IV contraction post-earnings; and (2) price to stay within the expected move, which the options market is pricing in to be about +/- 43 handles from current price (i.e., 448 to the downside, 534 to the up).
And ... we'll see how that goes.
Opening (IRA): TLT April 19th 90 Short Put... for a 1.10 credit.
Comments: Although I have a long-dated covered call on in TLT, starting to ladder out some short put at intervals that would result in an improvement of my cost basis in the covered call were I to be assigned shares.
Targeting the strike that's paying around 1% of the strike price in credit.
Opening: TSLA March 15th 165/175/215/225 Iron Condor... for a 3.52 credit.
Comments: Somewhat of a "revenge trade" here after exiting my earnings trade for a small loser.
3.52 credit on BPE of 6.48; 54.3% ROC at max; 27.2% at 50% max.
Generally, will look to take profit at 50% max/adjust untested side on side test.
Opening (IRA): XBI March 15th 84 Monied Covered Call... for an 81.63 debit.
Comments: 32.1% 30-Day IV.
My general preference for ETF IV is >35%, but there isn't much currently there in my ETF screener, and I'm already in a GDX position: TQQQ (52.3%); USO (38.1%); GDXJ (35.0%).
Buying a one lot and selling the -75 delta call against to emulate a 25 delta short put with "built-in" defense of the position via the short call.
2.37 max on BPE of 81.63; 2.90% ROC at max; 1.45% at 50% max.
Opening (IRA): SPY June 21st 432 Short Put... for a 4.40 credit.
Comments: Laddering out at intervals, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
Will start looking at adding in shorter duration if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Opening (IRA): QQQ June 21st 355 Short Put... for a 3.60 credit.
Comments: Laddering out at intervals, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. I've already got March, April, and May rungs on, so going out to June here.
Opening (IRA): TSLA April 19th 155 Monied Covered Call... for a 148.83 debit.
Comments: Buying a one lot and selling a -78 delta call against to emulate a +22 delta short put, while taking some advantage of IV skew to the call side (54.32% at the 155 call versus 46.24% at the same put strike).
Max profit of 6.17 on BPE of 148.83; 4.15% ROC at max; 2.07% at 50% max.
It is entirely possible that I will regret this later ... .
Opened: KRE March 15th 39/44/50/55 Iron Condor... for a 1.68 credit.
Comments: ETF IV > 35% with 30-day IV at 37.9%.
Collecting 1/3rd the width of the wings of a 5-wide; 1.68 credit on BPE of 3.32; 50.6% ROC at max; 25.3% at 50% max.
It was kind of a toss-up between doing this as an iron fly or as an iron condor due to the size of the underlying, so compromised, going in somewhat aggressively with the short option legs (they're camped out at the 30 delta). This will allow me to adjust the setup somewhat before having to go inverted with the short strangle aspect (now I've jinxed it).
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; adjust sides on side test.
Opening (IRA): SPY May 17th 448 Short Put... for a 4.75 credit.
Comments: Targeting the May option paying around 1% of the strike price in credit. This ends up being a little more aggressive from a delta standpoint than I usually go (~20 delta), but that's okay as I start to build up a position over time ... .
Naturally, weakness/higher IV would be better, but you can't have everything.