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Pressure

Super set of oscillators by Thomas DeMark!Dear friends! I continue describing oscillators developed by Thomas DeMark. In my previous articles, I have already explained such tools as TD REI and TD POQ (look here ). In this post I’ll continue describing technical tools developed by Thomas DeMark. TD DeMarker I I’d like to start with the TD DeMarker I indicator. It is similar to TD REI and aims to distinguish between trend and non-trend movements in the market, and then, having determined the trend, it searches for reversal points depending on how the indicator reacts to oversold and overbought levels. Its calculation technique is very simple. TD DeMarker I compares the current and the previous trading day’s highs according to the following algorithm: 1. Calculate the TD DeMarker I numerator • If the current bar’s high is higher or equal to the previous bar’s high, the difference is calculated and added to the numerator. • If the current bar’s high is lower than the previous day’s high, then zero value is assigned to that bar. Next values of the difference between the highs for each bar are added to the numerator over a series of 13 consecutive bars. • If the current bar’s low is equal or less than the previous price bar’s low, then the difference between the previous day’s low and the current low are the numerator. • If the low of the current bar’s is greater, a zero value is assigned to the nominator at this bar. The next values of the difference between the lows for each bar are added to the numerator over 13 consecutive bars. 2. Calculate the denominator of TD DeMarker I equation • You add the value in the denominator to the sum of the differences between the lows in the same period. 3. Calculate TD DeMarker I = divide the numerator by the denominator. • As a result, we get a value that will move in the range from zero to 100 in the form of a fluctuating 13-period line. At the same time, the overbought zone will be above 60, and the oversold zone will be below 40. Now, let’s find out how this indicator’s signals are interpreted A buy signal should satisfy the following conditions: 1. DeMarker I must not be below 40 for more than 13 bars 2. The bar’s close at the signal level should be lower than the low of one or two bars ago 3. The bar’s close at the signal level must be lower than the previous bar’s open or close. 4. The open of the next bar following the assumed reversal bar must be less than or equal to the close of any of the two previous bars. 5. The asset must be trading higher than at least one of the two previous closes. As an example, I’ll take the BTCUSD market situation that has recently occurred. It is clear from the above chart that the BTCUSD was in the overbought zone (above 60) from the start till the end of May. Afterwards, the price rolled down below 40 and the indicator entered the oversold zone. Immediately after that, we look for a point where the bar features the low before price exits the oversold zone. Finally, when the price went beyond the oversold zone on June 13, we can easily identify the low in the period when the ticker had been below 40, according to TD DeMarker I. Now, we can analyze the continuation pattern based on the above conditions. 1. The DeMarker I indicator was below the level of 40 for not more than 13 bars - in our case it was only 5 days; 2. The bar’s close under the red arrow is lower than the previous bar’s low (blue dots are above than the red dotted line). 3. The close of the bar below the arrow is lower than the previous bar’s open and close (blue dots are far lower than the previous bar). 4. The next bar’s open following the reversal bar is equal to the previous bar’s close (there are no gaps). 5. The asset is trading higher than the previous bars’ close levels. Furthermore, when the indicator exited the overbought zone, the price had been already trading above all the previous bars’ close levels. Therefore, one could have safely entered a buy trade at the current level when the new bar of June 14 opened (I marked it with a red cross in the chart). As we already know, this signal reached the target and provided the opportunity to gain on the BTCUSD movement up to the high at 14 000 USD. I should note that when a buy signal is not confirmed, that is, the five conditions above are not met, there is still a signal, but it is a sell signal. Although such a sell signal cannot be as strong, it can be a confirmation for bearish signals of other indicators. There is a good example in the chart above. It displays bitcoin’s all-time high at 20 000 USD. After the DeMarker I had been in the overbought zone for quite a long time, it moved into the oversold zone, and so, we start counting and see how long the price will be in this zone. Finally, there is the following situation: 1. DeMarker I was not below the level of 40 for more than 13 bars, in this case it was 12. So, this condition is satisfied. 2. The close of the bar under the red arrow is lower than the previous bar’s low (blue dotetd line is below the red dotted line). This condition is also satisfied 3. The close of the bar under the arrow is lower than the previous bar’s open and close. This condition is also met. 4. The open of the bar following the reversal bar is equal the close of the previous bar (there are no gaps). This condition also confirms the bullish scenario. 5. The asset is trading above the previous close levels. This condition is not met. It is clear from the above chart the bar following the oversold zone (marked with a red arrow) went down lower than the close levels of the previous two bars, and, moreover, it was trading below the close level of the two bars preceding the reversal bar. Therefore, the last condition is not satisfied, and so, we have the reasons to assume that there is a real reversal of the bullish trend. Now, let us study the sell signals. The following conditions must be met: 1. A sell signal should meet the following conditions: 2. The indicator must be above level 60 for at least six bars. 3. The signal bar’s close must be above the previous bar’s open and close. 4. The open of the bar following the signal must be equal or higher than the close of any of the two previous bars. 5. The asset must be trading below one of the previous close levels. As soon as all these conditions are satisfied, it can be interpreted as a sell signal. TD DeMarker II The above chart presents an example of the Bitcoin bullish trend reversal in December 2017, after which there started a long-tern bearish trend. Let us analyze this situation as a bearish signal. When the bar marked with a red cross was forming, the DeMarker I indicator leaves the overbought zone and goes below level 60. Therefore, it is the case for looking for a sell signal within the zone, where the price was above level 60 (the zone is highlighted with green in the chart). The red arrow highlights the bar that closed higher than the highs of the previous two bars, and so, higher than the previous bar’s open and close (in the chart, it is marked by the purple dotted line on December 17 that is above the green line). The next bar, following the one with the red arrow, also meet the condition and opens above the close of the second-last bar. Finally, there is the trend reversal signal and the opportunity to take the profit on December 20 (it is the bar marked with the red cross in the chart). However, this indicator, like other technical tools, may send false signals. To filter the entry signal, it is recommended to apply TD DeMarker II as a supplementary tool. TD DeMarker II Unlike the TD REI and TD DeMarker I, which compare the price highs and lows with those of one bar ago, TD DeMarker II analyzes a number of price ratios to measure the pressure of buyers and sellers. Let us study the calculation formula of the TD DeMarker II. Calculate the numerator: 1. Calculate the difference between the current bar’s high and the previous bar’s close. 2. Add the result to the difference between the current bar’s close and its low. 3. Distract the previous value from the current bar’s high 4. Sum up all the values. If there is negative result, assign a zero value to it. Calculate the denominator: 1. Add the difference between the current bar’s low and the previous bar’s close to the numerator. 2. Add the result to the difference between the current bar’s high and its close (this value defines the selling pressure). The buy and sell signals of this indicator work under the same conditions as for the TD DeMarker I, so, I won’t enumerate them again. I have already many times mentioned that, if multiple buy or sell signals are at the same place, the signal becomes much stronger. As it is clear from the above chart, a buy signal sent by the TD DeMarker II (green cross) matches to the one sent by the TD DeMarker I (red cross), which in combination confirms the sell signal and enhances it. TD Pressure DeMark suggests that the price action is directly affected by the supply/demand ratio. As the price change is often preceded by a change in trading volume, DeMark suggests measuring the speed of changing in the trading volume along with the speed of price changes. In addition, according to DeMark, these parameters are more important for the current bar, rather than for the complete bars. In general, these values determine the buying pressure on the market, which is calculated by subtracting the current bar’s open from the its close and dividing the result by the price range of this bar. The result is multiplied by the trading volume of the current period and is added as a progressive total to the indicator value. Finally, we have an indicator that shows buying pressure. For example, if the bar’s open is equal to its low, and the bar’s close is equal to its high, then the trading volume will be on side of buyers, and the indicator will display a strong rise of buying pressure. And vice versa, if the bar’s open and close coincide, even a greater trading volume won’t affect the indicator, as the market will be balanced, and the bulls’ power will be roughly equal to that of bears. The indicator’s band moves from 0 to 100%, and the overbought and oversold zones, like for the indicators, described above, are the zones above 60 and below 40 respectively. The buy and sell signals sent by this indicator are interpreted in the same way as those sent by TD DeMarker I and II. Besides, this indicator is also a confirming one, and when it coincides with other signals, it confirms the indicated direction. You see in the above chart that the signal sent by the TD pressure (yellow cross) matches to the signals sent by the DeMarker I and the DeMarker II (red and green crosses respectively), which means that the sell signal is true. TD Rate of change (TD ROC) TD ROC is an integral component of TD Alignment but can also be used in isolation as an overbought/oversold indicator. It is thought to be quite simple and is determined by dividing the close of the current price bar by the close of twelve price bars earlier. Although it is pretty simple, this indicator is quite efficient. According to Thomas DeMark, the bears’ zone is below 97.5. Bulls zone is above 102.5. Therefore, when the indicator is in a narrow band between 97.5 and 102.5 the market is in balance. So, this indicator helps you identify the market sentiment at any moment. But this is not its primary advantage. You can employ this indicator in technical analysis and draw the common patterns and trend lines. The chart above shows how a triangle worked out. A strong momentum, marked with a red arrow, draws the indicator beyond the triangle, which means that the market lost balance and started moving in the bullish trend. Next, after the triangle was broken out and the bullish trend started, we build trend lines according to the common rules; in the bullish trend, the trend is outlined along the support line (red line), in the bearish trend -along the resistance lines (green line). It is clear from the chart above that the breakout of these lines and entering the bear zone send a sell signal (red cross) in early July. Afterwards, we build the trend line along the resistance levels sand expect until the price breaks it through and enter bullish zone. Finally, in the mid-July, there is such a buy signal, marked with green cross in the chart. Next, there is a strong growth in the bullish trend that is marked with the red trend line. The breakout of this line sends a signal to take profit, and entering bearish zone again signals the trend weakness. As you see from the chart above, the indicator broke through the green trendline in late July but it hasn’t entered the bullish zone, and so, there has been no buy signal so far. Another signal that really matters when using this indicator is the signal of convergence and divergence. These signals are rarely sent by this indicator, but they are usually quite accurate, especially in long-term timeframes. There is a clear divergence in the above chart. When the price is growing, the indicator is declining, which signals the trend exhaustion. In early July, the price couldn’t break through the previous high, thus confirming the direction of the indicator (marked with a circle). Finally, as I have already said, the indicator went down below the trend line, which sends a strong sell signal; however, as you know, the bearish correction didn’t work out, so, for an accurate forecast, it important to employ all the DeMark's tolls together. TD Alignment Just for this purpose, to combine all the tools together, the TD Alignment indicator was developed. TD Alignment is a composite indicator that combines the following five TD oscillators to measure buying and selling pressure: 1. TD DeMarker I 2. TD DeMarker II 3. TD Pressure 4. TD Rate of Change 5. TD Range expansion Index (this indicator is described here) Each of these indicators has its own distinct method of measuring overbought/oversold conditions. TD Alignment is based on the values of all the above indicators according to the principle, where the final result is determined of the number of indicators in an oversold condition, overbought and equilibrium. In addition, to calculate the TD Alignment, there were defined the following overbought/oversold zones: Overbought/Oversold 1. TD DeMarker I - 60/40 2. TD DeMarker II - 60/40 3. TD Pressure - 82/12 4. TD Rate of Change - 101/99 5. TD Range expansion Index - 40/-40 Therefore, when the TD DeMarker enters the oversold zone, 1 is added to the total result. If the indicator enters the equilibrium zone, between 60 -40, a zero value is assigned, if it is below 40, 1 is subtracted from the total value. Based on the same principle, all the indicators are calculated, and finally, there is the TD Alignment value that is moving between -5 and +5. -5 is reached when all the indicators are in the oversold zone, and +5 is associated with the case when all the indicators are in the overbought zone. Unfortunately, I failed to find the TD Alignment in free access, so I had to write everything on my own. I must admit there may be errors in calculations, nonetheless, it performs quite well during testing. As you see, the main benefit of this indicator is showing the cases when the market reaches the extremes of the overbought/oversold zones. In the above chart, I highlighted these levels from +4 to +5 and from -4 to -5. When the indicator reaches this zone, it is obvious that the price will start correction soon and so you should take a corresponding decision on either taking profit or entering a trade. In addition, the indicator shows the market sentiment currently dominating; if it is above zero, bullish sentiment is dominating, if it is below zero, the market is bearish. Buy or sell signal here must meet the same 5 conditions, described for TD DeMarker at the beginning of the article, the only difference is that you need to count the number if bars above or below zero. Based on my own experience, I would add one more condition, the sixth one, to be met for entering a buy or a sell trade. A buy/sell signal is confirmed when the TD Alignment indicator breaks through zero level (red dots) only provided that the indicator hit the overbought/oversold zone before. In the above chart, I tried to illustrate that, after the indicator hits green or red zone, i.e. overbought or oversold zone, the sixth condition is satisfied. So, when the indicator breaks through or rebounds from the zero level, there is a buy or a sell signal (according to the market sentiment, I marked the entry signals with green and red arrows). A red thumb down marks the levels where the market doesn’t reach the zones indicated above, and so, the condition is not met and the buy or sell signal is false; I marked false signal with the red crosses in the chart. However, not everything is that perfect, because this indicator is rather sensitive and so, it sends quite many false signals. That is why, I do not recommend employing this indicator alone, rather, it should be used together with other DeMark's tools so that it will be more efficient. I will describe other useful DeMark's indicators and explain how to apply them to BTCUSD trading in my next articles. Subscribe not to miss the continuation! I wish you good luck and good profits!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Hypov
3
EURO FUTURE TO ANALYSE EUR/USD FX- OPPORTUNITY LONG - 6E!-240MNFrom the history of the 6E! Euro Future which can be used to analyse also the EUR/USD (FX), we can see that there is a strong probability to see the market pushing up to break the lines as it is entering in a very high pressure zone. The horizontal blue line is a very strong support, very hard to break. We have seen several attempts to brake the blue line with very huge volumes. All Failed! However, there is a grey horizontal line which shows an hypothetical support under the horizontal blue line. Potential probable high profits for entry when the market will break the lines and exit this current pattern. Beware of possible pullback on the top red thick resistance line marked by the green arrow. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We see more and more people happy taking positions and decisions through our analysis.That's great! Please beware about this DISCLAIMER: this trading idea and all others published here or on any social network, editorial, media and press, can change at anytime without any notice. Trading is risky and losses or profits are the results of your own decisions and not the result of this analysis. Trading assets on financial markets is very risky and this analysis is to provide another point of view.
CME:6E1!Long
by Diallo_Charts_Ideas
USDCAD - Which Factors give Pressure to the market?Hi Traders! The market is clearly in a downtrend. It is making lower highs and breakinf structure to the downside. We here have four pressure factors: The first pressure comes from the Resistance, the second Resistance is the Trendline, the next important thing is that the market is in an overall downtrend and the last thing is the 200MA. The entry trigger is the break of the Trendline. We recommend to wait for a retest! Thanks and successful Trading :)!
Short
by swissmoneymakers
6
What are the forces that drive down the price of Bitcoin?Bitcoin lost ground and falls and falls… Here is a list of the reasons for the current pressure on the price of Bitcoin: • Plans of South Korea about banning cryptocurrencies in the future. • China ordered the exit of cryptocurrency mining and transaction verifying. This is due to heavy power consumption. • Currently, China hosts 80% of the computer capacity of the Bitcoin blockchain. Can this huge computer power be replaced fast enough? Or will Bitcoin come to temporarily halt? • Because of the newly implemented high transaction fees, will Bitcoin -2.87% -8.57% survive as a payment coin? • Currently, Bitcoin payment transactions are very slow and are no more applicable on checkouts of big retail stores. • Bitcoin can no more be used for micro-donations and micro-payments because of the high transaction fees. • Will a coin that can no more keep its promises remain the number one coin in the world? • Sheikh Shawki Allam, the Grand Mufti of Egypt, issued a formal fatwa on Monday January 8, 2018, stating that trading in the digital currency is “forbidden in Sharia”. • Since Bitcoin futures exist, there is more pressure on the price of the Bitcoin. • USA and Bulgaria are selling seized Bitcoins worth 3.5 billion USD. The pressure on the price of Bitcoin in combination with a shrinking community are causing the current problems of Bitcoin. It is uncertain if Bitcoin will ever recover from the actual massacre of its price. This crisis is because of the discovered fundamental weaknesses of Bitcoin. Unlike earlier price drops, this time it is not just a normal correction. Users are leaving Bitcoin. They prefer new, more efficient high performance coins. Technical analysis. The bearish scenario develops exactly in the way I have described it in previous ideas. As long as the price of Bitcoin remains below the level of 12230, the bearish scenario remains intact. Right now, the price of the Bitcoin is approaching the 9005 level of the low from December 17, 2017. On the chart, it is moving down inside the yellow channel. At the 9005 level, there will another showdown between Bulls and Bears happen. Who will win? The price of the Bitcoin, will it drop to 5568? Will the ongoing sell-off continue?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by luckyhelper
8
Which occurrences determine the price of Bitcoin? Why is that pressure on the price of Bitcoin? What is the reason for the huge drop in the price of Bitcoin? Why is the correction such excessive? Let’s have a look on the two main influencing variables. Criminal activities in the milieu of Bitcoin. Governments worldwide seized Bitcoins worth more than 3.8 billion USD . They started to sell this huge quantity of coins, which makes a huge pressure on the Bitcoin’s market value. The calm before the storm. Like on any other cryptocurrency with a fixed number of coins, there exists a relation between the number of Bitcoin users and the price of the Bitcoin. As the price of a coin increases with a growing number of users, a cryptocurrency has no inflation on the long term. With a fast growing community, the price of the Bitcoin knew only one way: up, up and up like a rocket. However, things are changing to the bad right now. For several reasons, the number of Bitcoin users will rapidly shrink on the short and middle term. Because of the relation between the number of users and the price of the coin, we will see a fast drop in the price of the Bitcoin and it will not recover from the low price on the short term. Please read the full, very detailed story here: achieve-your-goal.com Technical analysis After a sharp drop from 17174 down to 9005, the price is consolidating right now. The consolidation range may go up to the red dashed line at 12787. Above that line, a lovely bullish scenario of riches and wealth is waiting. However, will the price of Bitcoin achieve to regain the bull-trend and go towards 22500 and 24000? It is more likely that Bitcoin fails to break that red dashed line and remains in the bear-trend. If this is the case, after testing the level of 12787, a sharp drop in the price down to 5568 will follow. I personally think that it is a good idea to sell Bitcoins during this current consolidation phase and avoiding a huge loss. Disclaimer I sold all my Bitcoins and I will rebuy them once the price of the Bitcoin will be below 6000. I publish my personal opinion and not a trading recommendation. It may be that I change my mind without an announcement. Everybody has to take his own decisions and is responsible himself for his trades.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by luckyhelper
1
Vert Coin Pressuer Building!!! New Year's PopPressure is building Up for VertCoin! Very Bullish, as we appear to be entering a FLAG/PENNAT that may not burst to the upside until late 2017/early 2018 New Year's?! Elliot Wave prediction can clearly be seen on my Chart, with an A,B,C retracement pattern. This is my best Educated Guess as to where this market is headed. Looking at the sine wave in the (FLAG/PENNAT) suggests that we could ping pong up and down and potential dip to another low of $7.00 No Worries, it looks very solid and will burst forth; around or shortly after BTC and LTC hit their Merry Christmas Highs'!!! (Lets keep an eye on this Crypto to see how accurate I am on sticking my neck out there)?! Don't be afraid to critique my judgement; especially after the fact, which should be all too easy to do! I don't mind being the Whipping Boy from time to time. Merry Christmas!!! ; )
VLong
by iknoxred2012
1