Price_action
The Weekend Market: An Analysis of Bitcoin Price MovementsOver the weekend, the bitcoin price experienced another $1000 rise. The bullish sentiment among weekend traders caused the price to break through the monthly level of $23,301 and reach new heights. Currently, the price ranges below the weekly level of $24,297.5 after front-running the weekly naked point of control at $23,970 with a $3 margin.
The direction of today's price action will be heavily influenced by the performance of the stock market and the US Dollar Index (DXY). From previous price movements, we can observe that the DXY is showing signs of weakness, while both the S&P 500 Index (SPX) and bitcoin are demonstrating strength. This suggests that we see a continuation of these trends.
Based on this analysis, there are three potential scenarios for the future of the bitcoin price.
Scenario 1: Bitcoin may experience a dip down to test the monthly and new daily levels at $23,021. At this level, there is a confluence of factors, including the point of control for the entire range, a 0.618 Fibonacci level, and a new daily level. This dip may give the market a sense of acceptance within the current range, trap late shorts, and prompt a continuation of the upward trend.
Scenario 2: The price may hover above the monthly level and continue upward, eventually reaching the weekly level of $24,297.5. This would signify a continuation of the current bull trend.
Scenario 3: Alternatively, the price may continue to fall because of a failed auction, punishing late longs. The price may also fall back within the current range and continue to range.
As a first sign of weakness, we will observe the price spending more time between the point of control and the Value area low of the current range, and if it falls below the 4-hour order block level of $22,287. In this case, we may expect the price to dip and test the daily level of $20,673. If this level does not hold, further downward price action may be expected.
XAUUSD 1h Price Action AnalysisAs you see in the chart, There is a downtrend resisting the price and near it there is one major horizeotal resistance and another minor one.
As the trend has been downward since many days before, I strongly suggest only open short positions for swing trading. And for Long positions, Wait until the price breaks the downtrend and enter in it's correction (Which creates an MTR pattern).
EURJPY running at profits of 272 pips currentlyOANDA:EURJPY AMD Liquidity Concept
HTF Bias :
Price range broken below and then retracement above 50% of TR - Strong Bearish trend
Setup Patterns :
potential HTF's POI.
Imbalance/FVG @ 0.62 - 70.5 OTE level.
Buy Side Liquidity
taken out with Liquidity Void.
A-B-C Bearish Reversal
Setup & Entry Pattern (AMD Trading Plan) : SH + BMS + RTO firmly established
with RTO on FVG & Supply Zone/OTE Level
Measured move up for BTC and ZILPlease mind that this analysis is mostly technical and might get invalidated by fundamental or news events.
This is a suggestion to go long on BTC and Zilliqa(ZIL) native coin.
Inside the green circle:
Just as in the text book ... how much confirmation do you need to go long?
On 7th September we saw a stop hunt to take out weak bulls who entered
around or before 7th of August and had already moved their stops up to the low of a
double bottom that formed between 12th - 18th August(purple line), to secure their position.
In general, as the effort to wipe out the bulls so aggressively is so obvious, I regard this as
a psychological attempt to scare small investors(= weak bulls in this case) out of the market.
Another indicator for price to go further up North.
Following the stop hunt we again saw a double bottom where the second low could not quite reach down to the
first one. This was then terminated by a strong bullish momentum engulfing pattern with follow-up candle
and a rather weak pullback retest a the time of writing.
The red lines indicate a measured move up and I'm assuming we will even be seeing a third leg up.
The grey lines indicate a more realistic behaviour of the price movement.
As ZIL is following BTC so nicely we cannot only expect a second leg of the same length as the first one
but at least a movement up to the top of the resistance zone that formed around April and May.
Decentralized Finance has only just begun, so I have no clue what price levels we eventually will be seeing
for ZIL and similars, but there sure is a huge upwards potential within the near and further future.
Falling Wedge- BullishBig falling wedge on RUN that it's been holding for quite some time now. The solar sector tends to be cyclical with respect to price action, which in turn leads to big breakouts and vice versa (See charts of ICLN & TAN). With all of the intraday choppiness and the broader markets seemingly starting to pull back a bit as big tech takes a breather, the solar sector had surprisingly good relative strength on Friday with FSLR, NOVA, and RUN managing to close green on the day.
- Bollinger bands squeezing, closed Friday sitting right on its 20-day SMA (Not Pictured), and some slight bullish divergence on the RSI. Will be looking for a breakout from this falling wedge (broader market conditions permitting)- Just some support and resistance levels along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on
PT1- $48.99
PT2- $50.27
PT3- $53.33+ Breakout
ICLN
TAN