GBPJPY - Bearish Control, Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉As per our last GBPJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the upper red trendline and traded lower.
What's next?
GBPJPY is currently retesting the upper bound of the falling red channel again.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Priceaction
"SOL Market Cap Breakdown Setup| Bearish Retest Targeting 83.3B"SOL Market Cap is showing signs of a potential breakdown after a series of lower highs and a bearish retest of previous support. Price is currently retesting the breakdown level. If confirmed, the next support zone is near 83.3B.
This is a technical analysis-based observation, not financial advice. Always manage risk and confirm with your own strategy before making any decisions.
BTCUSD Breakdown from Pennant – MMC Structure Analysis + Target🧠 Introduction: Why This Chart Matters
Bitcoin recently provided a textbook example of market manipulation, where the price action formed a bullish-looking pattern (Pennant), trapped traders with a fake breakout, and then reversed strongly to the downside. By using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), we can clearly see the logic behind this move—how the market mirrored a previous pattern and fulfilled a predictable target zone.
This analysis breaks it all down, step-by-step, for both educational and practical trading purposes.
🔍 Detailed Chart Breakdown:
1️⃣ The Illusion – Bullish Pennant Formation
Initially, BTC/USD formed what looked like a bullish pennant—a common continuation pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appeared after a sharp upward move, followed by converging trendlines suggesting consolidation.
Retail traders often anticipate a breakout above the pennant as a sign of bullish continuation. This is where the trap begins.
Why It’s a Trap: The pattern looked clean and reliable—but the context told another story. This move was designed to lure breakout traders into long positions right before a reversal.
2️⃣ The Fakeout – Liquidity Grab Above the Pattern
Shortly after the pennant formed, price pushed above the upper trendline, triggering breakout entries and stop losses of short-sellers. But instead of continuing up:
The price reversed sharply.
This aggressive move confirmed the fakeout.
This is a classic example of a liquidity hunt, where the market moves briefly in one direction to gather orders before executing the real move.
📌 MMC Insight: This behavior mirrors a prior setup—price previously faked upward, then dropped to a key demand zone. The mirror pattern gives a clue that the same outcome might repeat.
3️⃣ CHoCH – Change of Character Confirmed
After the fakeout, BTC broke below a key internal support and trendline structure, signaling a CHoCH (Change of Character)—a shift from bullish to bearish market control.
This moment is crucial:
It confirms the smart money’s intention.
It signals that the previous bullish move was just a setup.
Sellers now have control.
💡 Pro Tip: CHoCH is one of the earliest and most reliable signs of a reversal when combined with liquidity patterns.
4️⃣ Trendline Break & Structural Sell-Off
The break of the trendline following CHoCH solidified the bearish direction. This was the best confirmation-based entry point, as the structure flipped and began forming lower highs and lower lows.
5️⃣ Target Fulfilled – Previous Demand Zone Hit
The price then continued down aggressively and hit the marked MMC target zone. This area coincided with:
A previous demand zone (where buyers stepped in before).
A Mirror Market reversal point, seen earlier in the chart.
This fulfillment of the MMC target validates the entire analysis—from trap to reversal to target.
🎯 Key Zones:
Fakeout High: $69,600 area (liquidity sweep)
CHoCH Break Level: Around $69,100
Trendline Break Confirmation: $69,000
Final Target Zone: $68,500–$68,700
📈 Trading Strategy Recap:
Entry Idea: Enter short after CHoCH and trendline break
Stop Loss: Above fakeout high ($69,600+)
Take Profit: MMC demand zone ($68,500–$68,700)
This trade offered excellent risk-to-reward and confluence using multiple tools (MMC, CHoCH, structure, liquidity sweep).
🧠 What You Can Learn from This Setup:
Patterns Can Lie: A pattern like a pennant isn’t enough—context is key.
Liquidity Is King: Understand where the market needs to go to collect orders.
Mirror Market Concepts Work: Historical behavior often repeats in reverse. Use MMC to forecast likely outcomes.
CHoCH is Powerful: It's your early alert system for trend changes.
🔎 Final Thoughts:
This BTC/USD chart is a powerful example of how smart money operates—with manipulation, pattern traps, and mirrored market behavior. If you’re a price action trader or use MMC, this breakdown is a must-study.
Don't just trade patterns—trade context. Look for traps. Use MMC. Watch CHoCH. And always have a mapped target based on structure.
"PEPE 1H Analysis - Breakout Incoming? 📊 *PEPE/USDT – 1H Technical Analysis*
An ascending triangle pattern is developing on the 1-hour timeframe, which often indicates potential bullish momentum.
🟢 Price is approaching a key resistance near *0.00001516*.
🟡 A clean breakout above this level with strong volume may open the door for further upside.
🔴 Watch for *confirmation* before considering any move.
🔍 This chart is purely for educational and analytical purposes.
No financial advice. Do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#PEPE #PEPEUSDT #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Altcoins
ETHUSD - Consolidation Zone Analysis | Watch $2700 Breakout📊 Ethereum (ETHUSD) is currently trading within a consolidation zone between key support at $2458 and resistance near $2720 on the 1H timeframe.
🔹 Breakout above $2700 could indicate potential bullish momentum continuation.
🔻 Breakdown below $2450 may suggest bearish sentiment gaining control.
The price has been moving sideways, showing indecision and reduced volatility. Traders often monitor such range-bound phases for potential breakout opportunities in either direction.
⚠ This chart is for educational and analytical purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and risk management.
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🔖 Key Levels:
• Resistance: $2720
• Support: $2458
• Bearish zone under: $2500
#ETHUSD #Ethereum #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction
DOGE|Bearish Triangle Formation On30-Min Chart-Breakdown Ahead?📉 DOGE Bearish Triangle Breakdown | 30-Min Chart
This chart highlights a classic *bearish triangle formation* in DOGE's market cap on the 30-minute timeframe. The pattern shows a series of lower highs with horizontal support around the 32.45B zone.
🔍 Key Observations:
- Pattern: Bearish Triangle
- Resistance: ~34.7B
- Support Zone: ~32.45B
- Target Zone (Post-Breakdown): ~31.3B
A breakdown below the support level could signal further downside movement. However, confirmation is key — traders should watch for volume and candle close below support.
🕒 Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
📆 Analysis Date: May 29, 2025
---
⚠ *Disclaimer:*
This analysis is shared purely for *educational purposes* and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and risk management before making any trading decisions.
GU-Fri-30/05/25 TDA-Strong resistance 1.35000 zone! Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I trade zone to zone, from support to resistance,
and vice versa. Once I see price entering my
zone of interest, I see how candle reacts to the
level.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Gold 1M & 15M Bearish Breaker Block Setup, Targeting 3,202 ZoneI’ve marked a bearish breaker block on the 1-minute chart (3,316–3,319), also visible on the 15M timeframe.
✅ Last bullish push before the sharp downside breakout.
✅ Price retested this zone, wicked through it, and then sold off aggressively — reinforcing bearish order flow and the potential for deeper downside.
I’m tracking this move as the final C wave of an ABC corrective pattern.
✅ The C wave started from the 3,319 high and is unfolding in a 5-wave substructure.
✅ 1-Minute breaker block around 3,316–3,319 — I’m watching for rejection here, which aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement as an estimated end of wave 2.
✅ My current expectation: wave (3) and (5) of C could extend lower to the 3,256–3,202 zone.
🧩 Key Confluences:
Bearish breaker block rejection
15M downtrend structure remains intact
#XAUUSD #gold #forex #elliottwave #bearishbreakerblock #orderflow #priceaction
BTC - Let's Do It Again!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the lower orange trendline and moved higher as expected! ✅
🔄 BTC is now retesting the lower trendline again, so we’ll be looking for new trend-following buy setups as long as the red structure at $105,000 holds!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDJPY | Smart Money Long Setup – Deep Fib + OB Reaction💴 USDJPY | Institutional Long Play with Perfect OB + Fib Confluence
Price gave us an aggressive push off the demand zone, showing clear Smart Money accumulation behavior. This setup is high probability based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
🔍 1. Technical Breakdown
Strong impulse move upward
Clean pullback into the Order Block
Confluence with 70.5%–79% Fibonacci retracement zone
Price respected the OB zone and printed higher highs
That reaction was institutional — no cap 🧢.
🧱 2. Bullish Confluences
🔥 Order Block (OB): Purple demand zone = unmitigated
📐 Fib Sweet Spot: 70.5%–79% = institutional re-entry levels
✅ Strong Wick Rejection: Shows absorption of sell-side liquidity
📈 Market Structure Shift: Break of structure to the upside
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: 142.89 (within OB + 70.5%)
Stop Loss: 142.00
Take Profit: 145.49 zone
This setup targets the -27% fib extension — a classic institutional TP level.
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
💰 Entry: 142.89
🔒 SL: 142.00
📍 TP: 145.49
✅ RRR ≈ 1:2.9
Solid intraday-to-swing play with clean structure.
🧠 5. Key Confirmation Points
Break and close above 144.36 = confirmed bullish intent
Price respecting 143.44 OB = bulls still in control
SL below OB = protected by demand block
💬 Comment “SMC Long Sniper 💹” if you caught this move!
🔄 Share this if you love OB + fib sniper entries
📌 Save this setup for your next demand zone playbook
JPYUSD Technical Analysis | (MMC) in Play + Target🟦 1. Structure & Price Action Overview
The chart is of JPY/USD on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a clear picture of price movement over several weeks.
We see three major market phases:
Range/Resistance Phase (Left side of chart)
Uptrend Phase (Middle – rising channel)
Reversal Setup (Right side – potential bearish move forming)
📈 2. Uptrend Channel (Accumulation to Expansion Phase)
From around May 13th, price started forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting a bullish channel (light blue shaded area).
This is a classic ascending channel, often seen during a controlled uptrend where buyers are still in control but momentum is slowing.
The channel took price directly into the resistance zone (marked in purple at the top).
🚫 3. Resistance Zone Rejection (Key Supply Zone)
Once price hit the resistance zone (~0.00705), it failed to break higher.
This level had previously caused sharp drops, so it's a well-established supply zone.
Price was rejected and dropped sharply, breaking out of the ascending channel – a strong bearish signal.
🔄 4. Mirror Market Concept (MMC) – Curve Bending Pattern
After the initial drop, price attempted a bounce, but couldn't even reach previous highs.
The curved arrow labeled "Curve Bending" shows how the market is “bending” its momentum – not pushing upward anymore but turning into a reversal.
This forms the mirror of the previous rise – indicating the market is ready to “mirror” that previous bullish leg, but to the downside.
🔄 5. SR Interchange (Support Flipped Resistance)
The previous demand zone (around 0.006950–0.007000), where buyers pushed price higher during the uptrend, is now acting as resistance.
This is called an SR Flip (Support becomes Resistance) – a very reliable technical sign of trend reversal.
🎯 6. Bearish Target Projection
Based on MMC and symmetry of past movements, the chart is projecting a strong drop toward the 0.006800 support zone.
This zone is also historically significant and acted as a demand area earlier.
The black arrow and target box show this expected move, which aligns with the mirror structure.
🧩 Conclusion & Trade Plan
Bias: Strong Bearish
Confirmation : Channel break + rejection at resistance + curve bending
Trigger: Price fails to reclaim 0.00700 and breaks below 0.006930
Target: 0.006800
Invalidation : Clean break & hold above 0.007050
🛡️ Pro Tips:
Don’t just jump in — wait for bearish confirmation (like a bearish engulfing candle, or a failed retest).
Always set your SL (Stop Loss) above the resistance zone (~0.007050).
Let the setup come to you — don’t force trades.
XAGUSD Analysis with MMC | Trendline + CHoCH Insight + Target🔍 Overview
This XAGUSD chart presents a classic Mirror Market Concept (MMC) pattern – a fractal, symmetrical market behavior often observed at key inflection points. The structure is currently forming a tight triangle pattern within two converging trendlines, signaling a compression phase before a significant breakout.
Mirror Market Concept relies on the idea that historical emotional market structures tend to repeat or reflect, especially in psychologically sensitive zones such as trendline tests, liquidity pools, and BOS/CHoCH areas.
📐 Technical Structure Breakdown
🔷 1. Trendline Resistance & Support (Triangle Compression)
Upper trendline connects successive lower highs, reflecting consistent seller pressure.
Lower trendline aligns with higher lows, showing bullish defense and accumulation pressure.
The result is a symmetrical triangle, often preceding explosive directional moves.
🔹 2. Blue Ray Zone
The "Blue Ray" acts as a historical liquidity pivot — a region where large wicks and rejections happened in both directions.
Price has respected this zone repeatedly, making it a likely impulse trigger area if revisited.
🔄 3. BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character)
Major BOS near the $33.60 area indicates a shift in market structure to bullish. The break above previous swing highs suggests buyers gained control temporarily.
Major CHoCH at the base of the triangle reflects where market sentiment shifted, initiating the current series of higher lows.
📍 4. SR Interchange Zone
Previous resistance around $32.80–$33.00 is now acting as support (interchange level), creating a confluence zone with the lower trendline and CHoCH point.
🎯 Forecast & Targets
✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary):
A breakout above the upper triangle trendline and confirmation above $33.60 will validate the bullish breakout setup.
Price Target: $34.40 – $34.60 (based on triangle height + measured move theory)
Expect impulsive follow-through as trapped shorts exit and fresh longs enter.
🚫 Bearish Alternative:
A breakdown below $33.00 with strong volume and bearish retest may invalidate the bullish setup.
In such case, a fall toward $32.20–32.40 is possible — completing a deeper retracement before any resumption of the upward move.
🔍 Market Psychology Behind the Pattern
This triangle represents market indecision, a "coil" where both bulls and bears are losing volatility while absorbing liquidity. The MMC concept teaches us that price often mirrors previous patterns — and the compressed energy inside triangles typically resolves in sharp momentum moves, mirroring the prior impulse.
Expect a strong breakout that "mirrors" the breakout leg from May 22 to May 23. This type of reflection-based logic is a cornerstone of MMC.
🔔 Trading Plan & Strategy
Entry: Wait for breakout and retest of the triangle boundary (ideally on 1H/2H close).
Stop Loss: Below the most recent swing low inside the triangle.
TP1: $34.10
TP2: $34.40
TP3: $34.60 (psychological level and measured move)
⚠️ Risk & News Considerations
Upcoming U.S. economic data events (highlighted on the chart) could act as catalysts. Be prepared for volatility spikes and fakeouts. Always use solid risk management.
XAUUSD Bearish Breakdown| Trend Reversal Bearish Setup Price has broken below the rising channel, showing early signs of a potential bearish reversal.
Key Resistance: 3364
Current Price: 3334
Support Levels to Watch:
3282 (first support)
3250 (major target)
If price fails to reclaim the channel and retests 3364 without strength, we could see a deeper drop below 3282. A bounce from 3282 might offer short-term buy setups, but momentum favors bears for now.
Trade Plan:
Short below 3325 with SL above 3364
Target: 3282, extended to 3250
Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish here?
#technicalanalysis #priceaction #tradingview #USD #bearishsetup
GU-Thu-29/05/25 TDA-Zone of conflict of interest, Bull and Bear!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Predicting the market is impossible, you react
to how price is forming and telling you the volume
strength, potential push/consolidation/pullback.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GJ-Thu-29/05/25 TDA-Possible buy above 4hR 196.283Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Asian session gave a good push, if you feel
missing out (FOMO). Don't worry, opportunities
will always be there.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Gold isn't breaking out — it’s breaking down.What we're seeing in gold right now is not a temporary pause — it's a calculated, smart money-driven transition from impulsive expansion into controlled redistribution. The rally from 3120 to 3357 wasn’t organic or trend-based — it was mechanical, steep, and uncorrected. And that’s the first red flag. When price travels that far without building any real base or demand, it’s often not aiming for continuation, but to reach a liquidity target. This was a liquidity run, not a sustainable breakout.
Then comes May 24 — a pivotal moment. Price breaks above 3357, spikes volume +19% over average — but delivers a weak candle body. The next bar doesn’t confirm, doesn’t expand, doesn’t even push the high. Instead, we get a failed breakout followed by retreat. That’s textbook deviation — a classic trap where market makers dump inventory while retail rushes to chase the breakout.
This happens inside the derivation area — that thin, deceptive range between 3357 and 3370. It’s where distribution is masked as strength. But price behavior reveals the truth: after tapping that zone, it didn’t hold. Price fell back inside the range. No retest. No follow-through. And most importantly — price has now closed beneath the anchored VWAP from May 13, shifting the control of the tape.
Anchored VWAP matters — it's the average weighted cost of the dominant positioning from smart money. And once price falls below it and stays there, we know demand has dried up. Add to that: shrinking candle ranges, decreasing volume, soft closes — all signs of exhaustion. RSI has already pulled off from overbought levels, Stochastic is turning down, and ADX shows trend strength fading.
But those indicators are just the shadow of what price already told us. We’ve lost structure. A lower high is forming. Price was rejected from the same zone that was previously supposed to be the breakout. It’s not consolidation anymore — it’s redistribution.
The path forward is tactical and logical. Price is likely headed first toward 3275 — that’s the shallow liquidity pocket. From there, we might get a pullback to 3305–3315 — not a rally, but a retest of the old sell zone. That’s where another leg of short interest can build. Then comes 3250 — the bottom of the last structural block. If that fails to hold, gold opens the door to 3205–3215 — a historical volume shelf and the next real support.
There’s no guessing here. The breakout failed. VWAP is broken. Momentum is gone. This isn’t the start of something higher — this is the start of the unwind. And while retail waits for 3400, smart money is already loading their next leg short.
AUDJPY Short Setup – Fair Value Gap + 61.8% Precision Tap📊 AUDJPY | 1H Bearish Setup Breakdown (SMC Perspective)
This is a clean setup for sniper traders 🧠 — a perfect blend of FVG, Fib retracement, and a reaction from Smart Money zones. Let’s dig in:
🔻 1. Macro Context: Bearish Bias
Market structure is still bearish, with lower highs and lows
Price just completed a correction phase
We're seeing price react at a high probability distribution zone
🟪 2. Confluence Zones: FVG + Fib
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) – Price has just tapped into the FVG between 92.92 and 93.12
📌 61.8% Fib Level – Price perfectly aligns with golden pocket zone
📌 OB Above – Strong bearish order block lies around 93.60, with a Strong High marking retail’s target stop area
This stack of confluences makes this zone ripe for a short entry.
💣 3. Entry Logic
Entry was triggered after a clean tap into the FVG zone
Price shows signs of rejection with long upper wicks and slowing momentum
Ideal Smart Money scenario: Price mitigates FVG, avoids OB sweep (for now), and targets internal liquidity
🎯 4. Target Zone
TP = 91.651
Clean equal lows and imbalance just above
Channel midpoint & liquidity resting below
Matches 0% Fib level on the move
⚖️ 5. Trade Setup
📍 Entry: 92.926
🔐 Stop Loss: ~93.390 (above FVG + structural high)
🎯 Target: 91.651
🧮 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:4.5+
🧠 Smart Money Flow
Retail longs are eyeing a break above that “Strong High” — but Smart Money will likely:
Tap into FVG
Drive price down for a liquidity grab
Possibly retest or sweep OB after internal liquidity is cleared
💬 Drop “FVG ZONE SNIPED 🧨” if you took the entry
🧠 Save this post to study FVG + Fib reactions
👀 Tag your trading buddy who needs to level up their confluence game
XAUUSD | Institutional Sell Setup – OB + 79% Fib Confluence🪙 XAUUSD | Gold Sell Setup Based on Smart Money Concepts
This is a classic example of how institutions lure in retail traders — tap the golden zone, reject hard, and leave a trail of liquidated longs.
🔍 1. Technical Breakdown
Price aggressively climbed into a strong Order Block zone
Rejection from the 70.5%–79% Fibonacci retracement area
Broken ascending channel confirms shift in momentum
Bearish BOS already occurred = Smart Money in control
This zone (3332–3357) is a magnet for institutional sells.
🧱 2. Bearish Confluences
💀 OB Rejection: Previous up candle before the sharp drop
📐 Fib Overlap: 70.5–79% = premium zone for shorts
📉 Structure Shift: Channel break + bearish order flow
⚠️ No Candle Close Above OB: = market respecting supply
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: 3332–3357 (executed)
Stop Loss: 3360 (above OB)
Take Profit: 3120 zone
This is a deep sell-side liquidity hunt.
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
📥 Entry: ~3345
🔒 SL: 3360
💰 TP: 3120
✅ RRR ≈ 1:15
This is a "swing short with conviction" kind of setup, where patience = profit.
🔁 5. Key Confirmation Points
Watch for lower lows and lower highs to continue
Price closing below 3290 = full confirmation
If Gold reclaims 3360 = setup invalidated
💬 Comment “Sniped Gold 🥷💰” if you took this short!
📌 Save this chart for OB + Fib zone study
🎯 Post your entry/exit levels — let’s compare setups
EURAUD - Bullish... but not for long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURAUD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURAUD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURGBP Bullish Structure Analysis – Channel Breakout + Target🧱 1. Market Structure Breakdown
EURGBP has been trading within a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a short-term bearish trend. However, price action recently broke out above the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential bullish reversal or trend correction.
This breakout marks a significant structural shift in market behavior.
🔵 Old Structure: Bearish, confined within the channel
🟢 New Structure: Bullish breakout above trendline + key resistance zone
🧩 Implication: Change in directional bias; potential for long opportunities
📍 2. Breakout Confirmation
The breakout was confirmed by:
A strong bullish impulse candle that closed above the descending trendline
Price sustaining above previous resistance (~0.8405)
Increase in bullish volume at the breakout point (if volume indicator is used)
This suggests that the breakout is genuine, not a false spike or liquidity grab.
🌀 3. Retest Phase – The Critical Zone
After breaking out, the market is now pulling back to retest the previous structure. This is a textbook price action move:
🔄 What’s Being Retested?
✅ Upper boundary of the descending channel
✅ Major horizontal support/resistance zone (~0.8405–0.8415)
✅ Broken trendline from previous lower highs
✅ QFL base (Quasimodo level that was swept)
✅ 50% Fibonacci retracement of the breakout move
This zone forms a multi-level confluence area, making it a strong support for potential long entries.
🔍 4. Key Technical Observations
Element Description
📐 Descending Channel Defined the prior bearish structure. Breakout invalidates this bias.
🧱 Trendline Retest Acts as dynamic support; price currently sitting on it.
🔃 SR Flip Zone Old resistance (~0.8405) turned into support—critical level.
📊 Fib 50% Retracement Provides technical alignment with potential buying interest.
📌 QFL/Order Block Zone Historical demand was swept and now being respected again.
🎯 5. Target Levels & Trade Plan
If the structure holds and the price responds bullishly from the current zone, the next levels of interest are:
✅ Primary Target – 0.8460
A clear supply/liquidity zone from previous structure highs
Also aligns with psychological round number and Fib extension
⚠️ Interim Target – 0.8430
Previous intra-channel resistance level
May serve as a short-term reaction point
❌ Invalidation Level
A clean break and close below 0.8390 would invalidate the breakout structure
This would reintroduce bearish pressure and signal a potential fakeout
🧠 6. Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
Entry: Around 0.8405–0.8415 on bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar, break of minor downtrend)
Stop-Loss: Below 0.8390 (beneath structure & invalidation point)
Take-Profit 1: 0.8430
Take-Profit 2: 0.8460
This offers a high R:R opportunity if managed with proper confirmation.
🧭 7. Risk Management & Considerations
Avoid entering prematurely without a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, engulfing, RSI divergence).
Monitor macroeconomic news—especially from BoE or ECB—as they can disrupt technical setups.
Scaling into the position or using a split TP strategy can help protect profits.
✅ Conclusion
This EURGBP setup is a textbook case of market structure trading:
A well-defined channel breakout
Followed by a clean pullback to structure
With confluence across horizontal, diagonal, and Fibonacci levels
If price respects this zone, bulls could drive toward 0.8460, offering a solid opportunity for traders who understand structure-based setups.
📌 Always wait for confirmation—structure gives us context, but entries need price action signals to minimize risk.
WTI Crude Oil – Bearish Elliott Wave SetupOn the 15-minute chart, I’m tracking a corrective rally in wave (ii) heading toward the 0.618 Fib zone (around 62.2–62.3) before the next major leg lower.
🔻 Bearish target: 52.00
📈 Looking for the final push up before confirming downside continuation.
💬 What are your thoughts on this Elliott Wave count?
For more updates and ideas, check my profile bio!
#WTI #CrudeOil #elliottwave #priceaction #technicalanalysis