GOLD 1H | Demand Zone Reaction & Breakout Plan – CelestiaPipsGOLD on the 1H timeframe is reacting from a previously tested demand zone around 3000 .
Watching for a clean break & retest above 3044 for bullish continuation toward 3065.
Trendline break could act as early confirmation.
Structure-based idea shared by CelestiaPips.
Priceaction
BTC - Let's Keep It Simple!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🏢BTC Building Blocks:
📉 Short-Term Bearish:
BTC is currently trading within a short-term bearish block between $81,200 and $87,500.
📉 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $81,200 low is broken to the downside, BTC is expected to enter the long-term bearish block.
📈 Short-Term Bullish:
If BTC breaks above the short-term bullish block at $87,500, it will enter a short-term bullosh block phase towards the $95,000 structure.
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $95,000 level is broken to the upside, a long-term bullish movement toward the all-time high would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
XAUUSD - Bearish Quasimodo Pattern Triggered Gold (XAU/USD) has formed a classic Quasimodo pattern on the 1H timeframe, signaling a potential bearish reversal after a strong uptrend.
🔍 Pattern Breakdown:
The structure resembles a Head & Shoulders, with a more complex formation known as the Quasimodo Pattern.
We see a clear Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder, followed by a breakdown below the neckline.
A successful retest of the neckline as resistance confirms the bearish momentum.
🎯 Target Zone:
Based on the height of the pattern, the projected target lies in the 2960–2970 region, aligning with a previous demand zone.
The expected drop is approximately -2.10%, matching the prior rally before the reversal pattern.
📌 Key Levels:
Breakdown Level: ~3030
Current Price: ~3024
Target: ~2960–2970
⚠️ Watch for:
Bearish follow-through after the retest.
Potential reaction in the highlighted target zone (yellow box).
This setup provides a great opportunity for short sellers if momentum continues to the downside. Risk management is key as always!
#GOLD ANALYSIS (BEARISH BIAS)🔍 XAU/USD Technical Breakdown – Bearish Setup Ahead?
Gold has been struggling against a key trendline resistance, with a strong supply zone acting as a barrier. The price is currently approaching a critical rejection area ($3,033 - $3,040), aligning with the downward trendline. A potential liquidity grab in this region could trigger a bearish reversal. Always take confirmation before executing your trade.
Expected Price Action:
A rejection from resistance, followed by a lower high formation.
A move towards the $3,010 - 3015 level, with a possible test of liquidity.
Break below could open doors for further downside.
🔴 Stop-Loss: Above the resistance zone.
🟢 Target: Key support around $2,999-$3,010.
Will the bears take control, or will bulls break through? Let’s watch how price reacts! 👀
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Bullish Reversal with Inverse Head & Shoulder + QuasimodoEthereum is currently showing strong bullish potential on the 1-hour chart, forming a powerful confluence of reversal patterns—Inverse Head & Shoulders and the Quasimodo Pattern. These patterns often indicate trend exhaustion and signal a shift in momentum.
📊 Pattern Analysis
1. Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern
This pattern is a classic bullish reversal setup.
The structure is well-defined:
Left Shoulder: Forms after a local downtrend.
Head: Makes a deeper low.
Right Shoulder: Higher low indicating reduced selling pressure.
The neckline has just been breached, suggesting the breakout has begun.
2. Quasimodo Pattern (QM)
Often forms at key reversal points.
Characterized by a head and shoulders structure with a lower low (head) and a higher low (right shoulder).
Acts as additional confirmation of a reversal with tight invalidation zones.
The Quasimodo zone also aligns with strong demand just below $1,970.
🎯 Target Projection
The projected minimum target is measured from the bottom of the head to the neckline, then added to the breakout point.
Target: ~$2,121.41
This implies a 5.38% potential move from the breakout zone.
The yellow highlighted area marks a potential supply zone, where price could face resistance.
🧠 Trade Considerations
Entry: On breakout above neckline (already triggered).
Confirmation : Look for bullish candles + volume spike.
Retest Entry: If price revisits the neckline (~$2,000 zone) and holds as support, it provides a second chance entry.
Invalidation: A break below the right shoulder (~$1,965) would invalidate the pattern setup.
Stop Loss Idea : Below the head or right shoulder depending on risk tolerance.
📌 Confluence Factors
Dual bullish reversal patterns (H&S + QM)
Breakout in progress with bullish momentum
Strong price reaction from the higher low confirms buyer interest
Room to run into previous supply zone around $2,120–2,140
EUR/USD Trading Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyChart Overview
The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a classic falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup indicating that selling momentum is weakening and a breakout to the upside is imminent. This chart provides a structured trading plan, highlighting support and resistance levels, entry points, stop-loss placement, and a target price.
Traders can use this setup to capitalize on the potential bullish move while effectively managing risk. Let’s break it down step by step.
1. Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern
A falling wedge is formed when price action moves within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge. It signals decreasing bearish pressure, as the price forms lower highs and lower lows within a narrowing range. The decreasing range indicates that sellers are losing control, and an upside breakout is likely.
In this chart, we observe the following key characteristics of a falling wedge:
✅ Two converging downward trendlines that contain price movement.
✅ Lower highs and lower lows showing seller exhaustion.
✅ Decreasing volume as the price approaches the breakout zone.
✅ Support near 1.08000, which has held price several times before.
A breakout above the wedge signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, making this a strong trade setup.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
🔹 Support Level (Demand Zone)
The horizontal blue zone at 1.07898 – 1.08000 is a critical support level.
This level has been tested multiple times, making it a strong demand zone where buyers step in.
The falling wedge bottom aligns with this area, reinforcing its importance.
If price stays above this zone, it confirms the potential for a bullish breakout.
🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone)
The resistance zone at 1.09300 - 1.09839 has acted as a barrier to upward movement.
Price previously reversed from this zone, making it a logical take-profit area.
If the breakout happens, this level will be tested again.
A break above 1.09839 would signal further bullish momentum.
3. Trading Strategy – Step-by-Step Execution
📌 Entry Confirmation
To enter this trade with confidence, traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge.
A strong bullish candle breaking above the wedge’s upper trendline signals entry.
Ideally, a pullback and retest of the breakout level would provide additional confirmation before entering long.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement
Risk management is key, and stop-loss placement should be strategic to avoid unnecessary losses.
A stop-loss is set just below 1.07898, slightly under the recent low.
This placement ensures protection against false breakouts.
📌 Take-Profit Target
The take-profit target is set at 1.09839, aligning with key resistance and the projected wedge breakout distance.
This level has historically acted as resistance, making it an ideal zone to exit profits.
Partial profit-taking can be considered near 1.09300, before the final target.
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
With a tight stop-loss and a higher profit target, this trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio (RRR).
A minimum RRR of 1:3 is recommended, meaning potential reward is three times the risk taken.
4. Expected Market Behavior & Possible Scenarios
📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀
If price breaks and closes above the wedge, we expect a rally towards 1.09300 - 1.09839.
Pullback to retest the breakout zone would further confirm bullish strength.
Strong volume would validate the breakout, leading to a high-probability move.
📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Invalidation) ❌
If price breaks below 1.07898, the bullish setup is invalidated.
A downside move could push the price lower, possibly towards 1.07500 or below.
Traders should exit long positions if this scenario unfolds.
5. Additional Technical Indicators for Confirmation
To strengthen this trade setup, traders can use:
✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Look for RSI divergence or a move above 50, confirming bullish strength.
✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – A bullish crossover on MACD would reinforce the breakout.
✅ Volume Analysis – A spike in volume at the breakout level adds confidence in the move.
6. Conclusion & Trading Plan
This falling wedge setup suggests a high-probability bullish breakout if the price confirms above the resistance zone.
🔹 Trading Plan Summary:
✅ Wait for a breakout above the wedge before entering.
✅ Confirm breakout with a retest or strong bullish candle.
✅ Set stop-loss below 1.07898 to limit downside risk.
✅ Take profit at 1.09839, securing profits at resistance.
This strategy offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, making it a well-structured trade setup. Always manage risk and avoid premature entries without confirmation.
📌 TradingView Tags for Maximum Visibility
#EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #Breakout #PriceAction #ForexSignals #SupportResistance #TradingSetup #DayTrading #SwingTrading
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📌 Overview
This 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) presents a textbook Rising Wedge pattern, which is known as a bearish reversal signal. The price was in a strong uptrend but started showing signs of buyer exhaustion, leading to a breakdown from the wedge formation.
The chart clearly identifies:
✅ A Rising Wedge formation
✅ Resistance Level where price faced multiple rejections
✅ Breakdown Confirmation and shift in trend direction
✅ Projected Target & Stop Loss Zones
This setup suggests a strong potential for further downside movement in silver prices. Now, let’s break it down step by step like a professional trader.
🔹 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown
1️⃣ Rising Wedge Pattern – The Bearish Setup
The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price action moves higher within two converging trendlines. The slope of the lower trendline is steeper than the upper trendline, meaning that buyers are getting weaker.
This pattern suggests that even though the price is rising, bullish momentum is fading.
Once the price breaks below the wedge, it confirms a bearish trend.
🔸 Characteristics of this Wedge:
📌 Multiple Higher Highs & Higher Lows – But with decreasing strength
📌 Narrowing Price Action – Indicates weaker buying power
📌 Breakdown Below Support Line – Confirms the bearish move
2️⃣ Resistance Level – Key Price Rejection Zone
The price tested the Resistance Level multiple times before breaking down. This area is where sellers overpowered buyers, preventing further upside movement.
The resistance zone was a liquidity area, meaning large institutional traders likely placed sell orders here.
The price attempted to push higher but failed, showing that demand was exhausted.
Once rejection happened, selling pressure increased, and the breakdown followed.
3️⃣ Breakdown Confirmation – Bearish Momentum Kicks In
After the wedge broke down, the price started moving in a structured downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the breakdown was valid and that the trend has shifted.
🔹 Signs of Breakdown Strength:
✅ Strong Bearish Candles – Indicating aggressive selling
✅ No Immediate Recovery – Suggests sellers are in control
✅ Lower Highs Forming – Bearish trend structure confirmed
4️⃣ Risk Management – Stop Loss & Target Zones
A well-planned trade must include a Stop Loss and a Target to manage risk effectively.
📌 Stop Loss Placement (33.95)
Placing a Stop Loss just above the resistance level protects against false breakouts.
If the price goes back above 33.95, it would invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Profit Target (31.96)
The target is based on the measured move projection, meaning the expected price drop is equal to the height of the wedge at its widest point.
If the price reaches 31.96, traders can lock in profits.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)
The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade.
5️⃣ Expected Price Movement – Bearish Outlook
From here, we can expect the following price movement:
📉 Scenario 1: Continuation of Downtrend (High Probability)
The price will likely form lower highs and lower lows on its way to 31.96.
Each small rally should be met with selling pressure.
📈 Scenario 2: False Breakdown (Low Probability but Possible)
If the price moves back above 33.95, the wedge breakdown will be invalid.
This could lead to a bullish reversal instead.
6️⃣ Final Thoughts – How to Trade This Setup?
This Rising Wedge Breakdown provides an excellent short-selling opportunity. Here’s how a professional trader would approach it:
✅ 🔹 Entry Strategy:
Short after a retest of the broken wedge support
Confirmation of lower highs ensures trend continuation
✅ 🔹 Risk Management:
Place Stop Loss above 33.95
Take profits around 31.96
✅ 🔹 Confirmation Signals to Watch:
Lower highs forming after breakdown
Increased selling volume on bearish candles
Price respecting the downtrend structure
🔔 Conclusion – Bearish Bias Confirmed
🔻 Trend Shift: The breakdown signals a potential trend reversal in silver.
🔻 Bearish Targets: The price is expected to fall toward 31.96 in the coming sessions.
🔻 High-Probability Trade: Strong technical reasons support a bearish outlook.
🚨 Watch for further confirmations and manage risk effectively! 📊💰
BTCUSD 2H | Breakout Flow + BOS Confirmation – CelestiaPipsBTC is slowly developing a breakout structure on the 2H timeframe .
Multiple bullish BOS points and a solid NY session demand base formed.
Price is currently retesting the breakout zone after sweeping short-term liquidity.
If price holds this zone, we could see continuation toward 88,900.
I’ve mapped out the entire flow – BOS, entry zone, and final target.
Watch how price reacts from this level.
— Shared by CelestiaPip
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls are still too weak to close strongly above 84k but they kept the market above 80k. Another neutral week which is good for the bears. We are getting close to the big bear trend line, where I expect market to create another strong bear leg down to 75k or lower. Plan did not change for the past 2 weeks. Above 87k we could test 90k and maybe higher, which would damage the bear case big time. Below 80k we likely do the next leg to 75k or even 70k. Clean bear flag but remember, they can also break to the upside. I just don’t think it’s likely given the current structure.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 90k/91k to break above the bear trend line but giving this some room, even 94k could still not be enough for them to stop this bear trend. They are doing good at keeping the market above 80k and if they prevent the bears from testing the previous ath at 73.8k, that would be the third try and likely the last before many bears give up and bulls could test higher again.
Did not change much to last week since market has not invalidated anything of it.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts. If they do not create better selling pressure next week and close a daily bar below 80k, market has likely turned more neutral again and both sides have equal odds of the next impulse.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
BTC/USD UPDATESIn this forecast we're analyzing 1H time frame for finding the upcoming movement and changes in BTCUSD price. My BIAS for today was Bullish and when price come to my key level area. we'll observe the reaction of price if price give any bullish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#BTCUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
EURUSD ROUTE MAPI’m currently analyzing the EUR/USD 1-hour chart, using trendline support, combined with the SMC concept and price action. ✨
I’ll be looking for buy trade opportunities based on the key levels drawn on the chart. ⬆️
Patience is key – I’ll wait for the price to reach my levels and confirm any bullish signals, allowing me to execute the trade at the ideal point. 💡📈
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis. Once price reaches our levels further updates will posted soon.
#EURUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity.
This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup.
1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge
Formation of the Rising Wedge
The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape.
The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure.
As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control.
The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion.
The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon.
Why This Pattern is Bearish
The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off.
A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch
Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone
Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure.
If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone
This support level has held strong multiple times.
If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling.
Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management
A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts.
This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs.
Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective
The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point.
This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy
Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup
📌 Entry:
Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance.
Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation.
📌 Stop Loss:
Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance.
This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts.
📌 Take Profit:
First target: $78,000 (psychological support).
Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target).
Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade
✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown.
✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum.
✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside.
4. Risk Management & Considerations
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable.
Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action.
Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering.
5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook?
Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios:
🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies?
If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case:
✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+.
✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal.
🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades.
6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary
📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉
🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected)
🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation
🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062
🔹 Target: $75,718
Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts.
📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Breakdown in Bearish Move🔍 Overview of the Chart & Market Context
This 15-minute Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart shows the formation of a classic Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This pattern often indicates that buying momentum is weakening, and a significant price decline may follow.
Gold has been in a strong uptrend before forming this structure. However, after reaching a resistance zone at an all-time high (ATH), the market has failed to sustain its bullish momentum. The rejection from this level and the break of the neckline (support level) suggest that sellers are gaining control, leading to a potential bearish breakdown toward the downside target.
This setup provides a high-probability shorting opportunity if price action follows through with the bearish structure. Let’s analyze the different elements in detail.
📊 Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern in Detail
The Head & Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern, and in this case, it forms at the top of an uptrend, indicating a shift in market sentiment. The key components of this pattern in the chart are:
1️⃣ Left Shoulder
Price made an initial rally, then faced rejection at a resistance level.
A retracement occurred, forming a swing low, which became part of the neckline support.
2️⃣ Head
Buyers attempted another push, creating a higher high.
However, the rally was unsustainable, as sellers pushed the price back down toward the neckline.
This forms the peak of the structure, marking the highest point before the reversal.
3️⃣ Right Shoulder
Another rally followed, but this time, buyers lacked strength.
The price failed to break the previous high (head level) and reversed downward.
This indicated that selling pressure was increasing, forming the right shoulder.
4️⃣ Neckline (Support Level)
This is the most critical level in this setup.
It connects the swing lows between the left shoulder and right shoulder.
Once the price breaks below this trendline support, the pattern is confirmed, triggering a bearish move.
📌 Key Technical Levels Identified
🔵 Resistance Level (+ ATH – All-Time High)
The blue box represents the strong resistance zone where gold faced rejection multiple times.
This level acted as a supply zone, preventing further bullish continuation.
📉 Neckline & Support Level
This trendline support (dotted black line) connected the lows between the left and right shoulders.
A clean break and retest of this level signal further downside movement.
🚨 Stop Loss Level ($3,048.777)
The ideal stop-loss placement is above the right shoulder to prevent getting stopped out by market noise.
If the price reclaims this level, it could invalidate the bearish thesis.
🎯 Target Level ($2,989.544)
The target is based on the measured move, calculated by taking the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
If the breakdown plays out successfully, we could see a move toward $2,989.544 or even lower.
📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Trade Setup
🔴 Short Trade Entry
Sell Entry: On the break & retest of the neckline (support turning into resistance).
Confirmation: A strong bearish candlestick (e.g., engulfing pattern) below the neckline.
🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management)
SL Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048.777) to prevent false breakouts.
Reason: If price moves above this level, the pattern gets invalidated.
🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit)
Target Level: $2,989.544, based on the measured move.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 RR ratio, ensuring a profitable setup.
📌 Confirmation Signals for Stronger Conviction
For higher probability, traders should look for additional confirmations before entering the short position:
✔ Neckline Retest: After breaking below the neckline, price retests it as resistance before dropping further.
✔ Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Engulfing candles, shooting stars, or rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure.
✔ Increased Volume on Breakdown: A spike in volume on the breakdown confirms strong market participation.
✔ RSI Divergence: A bearish divergence between price and RSI may signal trend exhaustion.
📉 Expected Price Action: What’s Next?
Based on this setup, if the bearish structure plays out as expected:
1️⃣ Price will retest the neckline as new resistance.
2️⃣ Sellers will step in, pushing the price lower.
3️⃣ Gold will continue downward toward the $2,989 support level.
4️⃣ If strong selling continues, price may drop even further beyond the target zone.
However, if price closes back above the right shoulder, the bearish setup gets invalidated, and traders should exit the short position immediately.
📌 Final Thoughts & Summary
Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal)
Market Bias: Bearish
Entry Trigger: Break & retest of the neckline
Stop-Loss Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048)
Take-Profit Target: $2,989
Risk Management: Ensure a minimum 1:2 RR ratio
📉 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bearish exhaustion after forming a Head & Shoulders pattern. A confirmed break below the neckline suggests that the price may continue its downward trajectory. Traders should wait for a proper retest before entering, use strict risk management, and monitor key technical indicators for confirmation.
Would you like me to provide an alternative trading plan if the price reverses? 🚀
USDCHF: Bullish Outlook Explained 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF looks bullish after a test of the underlined blue support.
The price formed a double bottom on that and broke its neckline
on Friday.
We see a positive bullish reaction to that after its retest.
I think that the market will continue rising and reach
at least 0.885 resistance.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD – Triple Top Formation & Bearish Breakdown Potential📌 Overview of the Chart
This chart presents the XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) price action on a 15-minute timeframe, highlighting a classic Triple Top pattern. The Triple Top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It signals that buyers have attempted to push the price higher multiple times but failed, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
This pattern is crucial for traders as it often precedes a trend reversal. The breakdown below the neckline (support level) confirms that selling pressure is taking over, leading to a potential decline.
📊 Identifying the Triple Top Formation
A Triple Top pattern consists of three peaks (Top 1, Top 2, and Top 3) at nearly the same resistance level. Here’s a detailed breakdown of its formation:
🔹 Step 1: Price Uptrend Leading to Resistance
Before the pattern develops, the price follows a strong uptrend with buyers dominating.
The price reaches a key resistance level and faces rejection (Top 1), signaling initial weakness.
🔹 Step 2: Repeated Attempts to Break Resistance
After pulling back slightly, buyers make another attempt to break through resistance (Top 2), but fail again.
This signals that sellers are actively defending this price zone.
🔹 Step 3: Final Rejection & Breakdown Setup
The third attempt (Top 3) fails to break resistance once more.
This repeated rejection confirms a Triple Top formation.
The price then moves toward the neckline (support level), which is a critical area for the bearish breakdown.
📉 Trading Setup & Execution Strategy
✅ Entry Point – When to Open a Short Position?
A short position is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline with a strong bearish candlestick.
A breakdown with high volume strengthens the bearish confirmation.
Conservative traders may wait for a retest of the broken neckline before entering.
❌ Stop Loss Placement – Managing Risk
The stop loss should be placed above the highest peak ($3,039.076), ensuring protection against false breakouts.
If the price moves above this level, the Triple Top pattern fails, and the bearish setup is invalidated.
🎯 Profit Targets – Where to Exit?
After the breakdown, price action usually follows a measured move based on the height of the pattern. The following target levels are identified:
1️⃣ First Target: $3,000.962 → A key support level where price may pause.
2️⃣ Second Target: $2,991.766 → A deeper support area that aligns with the price projection from the pattern.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it an attractive opportunity for short sellers.
📈 Confirmation Signals to Strengthen the Setup
To increase the probability of a successful trade, look for additional confirmations:
🔸 Volume Analysis:
A spike in selling volume at the neckline breakdown suggests strong bearish conviction.
Low volume breakdowns may indicate a false move, requiring extra caution.
🔸 Retest of the Neckline:
Sometimes, after breaking below the neckline, the price retests the level before continuing downward.
This provides a secondary entry opportunity for traders who missed the initial breakdown.
🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators:
If RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows bearish divergence, it adds confidence to the downside move.
Momentum indicators like MACD crossing bearish further confirm selling pressure.
📍 Key Considerations & Risk Management
🔹 False Breakout Risk: If price bounces back above the neckline after the breakdown, it could be a false move. Waiting for confirmation reduces this risk.
🔹 Macro Fundamentals: Gold prices are sensitive to economic news, interest rates, and geopolitical events. Unexpected fundamental shifts can impact the pattern’s reliability.
🔹 Trailing Stop Strategy: To protect profits, traders can use a trailing stop-loss, adjusting as the price moves toward targets.
🔍 Summary & Trading Plan
📊 Pattern: Triple Top (Bearish Reversal)
📉 Bias: Bearish (Short Setup)
🛠️ Entry: Sell below neckline confirmation
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $3,000.96
Target 2: $2,991.76
🚨 Stop Loss: Above $3,039
💡 Final Thoughts
The Triple Top pattern on XAU/USD suggests a high-probability bearish setup. A confirmed neckline breakdown signals selling pressure, with price targets well-aligned with historical support zones. Patience and confirmation are key—watch for a clean breakdown or a potential retest before entering.
Would you like any modifications or additional insights? 🚀
GBPUSD Week 13 Swing Zone/LevelsYour next trade could be the beginning of your success in Forex.
We’ve been performing exceptionally well so far, identifying key swing levels as always.
- Stop Loss (SL): Set between 10-15 pips from the 5-minute candle entry.
- Dynamic Take Profit (DTP): Adjusted based on price reaction to swing levels.
Let’s capitalize on the momentum!
Levels in LINK: Breakdown or Breakout?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
### **Technical Overview**
- **Current Price**: $14.35 (approx.)
- **Trend Structure**: Elliott Wave count suggests Wave 3 has wrapped up. Wave 4 and 5 are likely next.
---
### **Key Observations**
- **Impulse Invalidation Level**: $19.190
→ A break above this invalidates the current bearish impulse.
- **Bullish Barriers**:
- *Minor Resistance*: $15.002
- *Major Resistance*: $17.677
These are the key spots bulls need to reclaim to regain control.
- **Crucial Support**: $12.426
→ If this breaks, expect more downside—likely toward the final Wave 5 zone.
- **Bearish Target**: $9.283
→ Probable landing spot for Wave 5 (of C). Could shape up as a longer-term accumulation zone.
---
### **Elliott Wave Context**
- A possible running or expanded flat scenario is in play, with Wave (B) topping around the 1.382 extension.
- Wave 3 appears to have completed near the 1.618 extension, a textbook zone for this kind of move.
---
### **Potential Scenarios**
1. **Bullish Reversal Case**:
- Price reclaims $15.00 and ideally $17.677.
- The bearish count falls apart.
2. **Bearish Continuation Case**:
- Price stalls under resistance.
- A break of $12.426 sets the stage for continuation down to $9.283.
3. **Neutral Scenario**:
- Choppy consolidation between $12.5–$15 while the market sorts itself out.
---
### **Strategic Considerations**
- **Short-term Bulls**: Watch $15–$17.6. Any strong reclaim could offer clean long setups.
- **Bears & Shorts**: Prime fade zone if price gets rejected near resistance.
- **Long-term Investors**: If we hit $9.283, that’s a potential loading zone for the next cycle.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral week. Bulls retested the ath and could not print a new one and bears failed at 23k. Do not make these range bound markets harder than they are. You have no edge on predicting where the breakout will happen. So trade the range and if the breakout happens, wait for confirmation and join along.
current market cycle: Bull trend until consecutive daily closes below 23000 (changed upwards to 23k since we are staying above it now too long)
key levels: 22000 - 24000
bull case: As long as bulls keep it above the bull trend line and inside the channel, they are fine. 23k is the big support to hold for them. If it fails, we test 22500. Only question right now is, how high are the odds of another bull leg up to 24k or higher? I have no idea and every time I feel that way, I am neutral. The bull channel is still the dominant feature so bulls remain in control but they have to close green on Monday or the channel is most likely broken. Targets above are 24k and maybe 24500.
Invalidation is below 23000.
bear case: Double top is their only legit argument for now until we see consecutive daily closes below 23k. The Thu/Fr bear bars do not look all that bearish, so selling below 23200 is bad no matter how you look at it. If anything I’d look for longs 23126 for 23400+. I won’t make stuff up for bears. Once we close below 23k. Bears next target is previous support at 22500 and below that would be the gap close to 22270ish.
Invalidation is above 23500.
short term: Neutral/leaning very slightly bullish since we are near big support. If bulls come around, I want to be long for 23400+. Shorts only closer to 23746 (keep in mind we had contract switch) or on a strong move below 23k.
medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Germany takes on huge amount of new debt. Dax is rallying hard and broke above multi-year bull trends. This buying is as real as it gets, as unlikely as it is. Market is as expensive as it was during the .com bubble but here we are and marking is pointing up. Clear bull channel and until it’s broken, I can not pound my chest and scream for lower prices. Price is truth. Is the selling around 23000 strong enough that we could form a top? Yes. We have wild 1000 point swings in both directions. Look at the weekly chart. Last time we had this volatility was 2024-07 and volume then was still much lower. We are seeing a shift from US equities to European ones and until market closes consecutive daily bars below 22000, we can’t expecting anything but sideways to up movement.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing big, just new targets
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls were not strong enough to trap late bears and every bear selling below 19700 had multiple chances of exiting break-even or even with a profit. I still think we need to see a bigger bounce but for now market is in balance at 19800, which is bad for the bulls. We need to form a proper channel down and going sideways to do so would be amazing for the bears and a show of big strength by them. 23 days earlier we were trading couple points below ath. Volume last week was low but I can’t see this breaking down again this early after that much selling. I still expect 20400/20700 to be hit next week. Anything above would be bad for bears.
current market cycle: strong bear trend but pullback expected
key levels: 19300 - 20700
bull case: Bulls stopped the selling and printed a green week, which was only due to a 100 point rally in the final 10min of Friday. They are expect to bounce this higher but for now it’s not happening. Their first target is a daily close above 20k and next would be the daily 20ema around 20300. Market has now touched the bull trend line from 2023-01, 3 times and it also touched the monthly 20ema 3 times with it. I can not see this just breaking down below it, without a bigger bounce.
Invalidation is below 19100.
bear case: Bears showing incredible strength by keeping the market mostly below 20k. They even printed a couple ticks below the previous low on Friday, which means lower lows and higher highs and that’s always something that happens in trading ranges, not in trends. Bears are fine with going sideways because they can hold on to longer term positions comfortably. As long as any bounce stays below the 50% retracement to 20700, bears are good and expect more selling after we have formed a proper channel. You can never expect a -14% move to just get more follow-through selling after a couple of days. If any market does it, it’s a parabolic climax which can go on for long but are unsustainable. My best guess on how the next weeks could play out is in my chart since last week and is valid until market does something very different.
Invalidation is above 21100.
short term: Still… Heavy bullish bias for 20000 and likely 20400. Above 20500 air would get real thin again, if this was the start of a bear market. For now I think the pattern from 2024-07 is more likely to repeat than the bear trend as drawn on the chart. No updates since we moved sideways. Important to note, again, is that the longer the market stays at these lows, the more accepted the prices are and the higher the odds of another strong leg down.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Updated the possible bear trend and added a bullish alternative to show what we did in 2024. For now the bullish path is more likely.
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: 4h chart tells the story the best. No acceptance below 66.5 and above 68. Bulls managed to get the second weekly bull bar but they have gained almost nothing. It could continue up and keep the multi-year contraction alive, since the double bottom at 65 looks good.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 65 - 70
bull case: Bulls need to print 70. That’s about it. The double bottom at 65 is decent enough to buy pull-backs with that stop. Bulls also managed to close above the daily 20ema on Friday and above 68. They now need to break above the last bear trend line around 68.5 and are then free to test 70. They do need to prevent another lower low below 65 if they want to have a major trend reversal.
Invalidation is below 65.
bear case: Bears look like they are exhausted and not pushing for new lows. If we close green next week and above 70, clear major trend reversal. Bears could surprise again and push below 65, which would open up targets below 64 and 63. Issue for bears is that below are so many support prices, that it’s hard to argue for more selling but since this is a commodity, could surprise to the downside as well. Technically, bears do not have much below 68. They need to keep the bear trend line around 68.5 alive or give up until market hits 70 again.
Invalidation is above 71.
short term: Neutral but if bulls continue above 68.5, leaning bullish for 70. Odds favor continuation of sideways movement 65-68.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: Bear trend is getting weaker but I still see this going sideways around 70 instead of a range expansion.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed bear trend lines that were broken or likely not relevant anymore.
EUR/JPY Chart Analysis - Falling Wedge Target with Bullish SetupThis EUR/JPY 1-hour chart reveals a well-defined falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal formation. Additionally, we see key support and resistance levels, a double bottom, and a breakout potential that traders can use to plan an entry. Let’s dissect this chart in a professional and detailed manner to understand the trade setup and market psychology.
🔹 Market Trend & Structure Analysis
The market was previously in an uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows, until it faced strong resistance at the 163.500 level. Upon reaching this zone, the price reversed downward, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, which resulted in a falling wedge pattern.
This downward movement was accompanied by a trendline break, signaling a shift in momentum. The price has since reached a strong support level and is showing signs of potential bullish reversal.
🔹 Key Technical Patterns & Indicators
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal)
A falling wedge is a pattern characterized by two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, indicating that selling pressure is weakening. This pattern is considered a bullish signal because:
✔️ The declining price movement shows exhaustion of sellers.
✔️ Volume typically decreases as the wedge forms, indicating a breakout is coming.
✔️ Once price breaks out of the wedge, a strong bullish move often follows.
The key here is to wait for a breakout above the upper trendline, which will confirm the bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Double Bottom Formation at Support (Reversal Confirmation)
The price tested the 160.500 support level twice, forming a double bottom pattern. This is another bullish sign, as it indicates:
✔️ Buyers are actively defending this level.
✔️ There’s strong demand around this price zone.
✔️ If price breaks above the wedge resistance, it could trigger a significant rally.
🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Identifying support and resistance is crucial for defining entry and exit points.
✅ Support Levels:
160.500 – Strong horizontal support (Price tested this twice).
158.982 – Stop-loss level (Below this, the bullish setup is invalid).
✅ Resistance Levels:
163.500 – Major resistance (Previous high and supply zone).
165.090 – Final target (Key breakout level).
If the price successfully breaks out of the wedge, it has room to rise significantly, with 163.500 as the first target and 165.090 as the ultimate goal.
🔹 Trade Setup & Execution Plan
🎯 Bullish Breakout Trade Strategy
Since this setup signals a potential reversal, here’s how traders can execute a high-probability trade:
🔹 Entry Points:
✅ Aggressive Entry: Enter as soon as price breaks above the wedge resistance.
✅ Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout and a retest of the resistance-turned-support before entering.
🔹 Target Levels:
🎯 First target: 163.500 (Previous resistance level).
🎯 Final target: 165.090 (Major resistance zone).
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement:
❌ Place the stop loss below 158.982, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Justification
📈 Why This Trade Has a High Potential Reward?
Low-risk, high-reward: The stop loss is tight, while the upside potential is large.
Confluence of bullish signals: Falling wedge + Double bottom + Strong support.
Institutional interest likely: Buyers are stepping in at key levels.
A proper risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this trade would be at least 1:3, meaning for every 1% risk, there’s a 3% profit potential. This makes it a great swing trading setup.
🔹 Market Psychology Behind the Setup
The falling wedge represents a market correction after a strong bullish trend.
The double bottom shows that sellers are exhausted and buyers are gaining control.
If price breaks out, many traders will enter, triggering a strong upward rally.
This bullish breakout setup aligns with the smart money concept, where institutions accumulate positions before a big move.
🔹 Final Thoughts & Trade Outlook
This EUR/JPY setup presents a high-probability trade opportunity with a bullish breakout scenario. The combination of:
✅ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish reversal)
✅ Double Bottom at Support (Buyers stepping in)
✅ Key Resistance Targets (Clear trade exit points)
…creates a great trading setup.
📌 Trading Plan Summary:
✔️ Buy on breakout above the falling wedge.
✔️ Target 163.500 & 165.090 for profits.
✔️ Stop-loss below 158.982 for risk management.
🚀 If executed correctly, this trade has the potential for strong bullish momentum. Would you like a real-time update once the price confirms the breakout? Let’s keep an eye on this trade! 📊🔥
CHF/USD Trading Setup – Triple Bottom Reversal & Breakout Setup🔍 Overview of the Chart Setup
The CHF/USD (Swiss Franc vs. U.S. Dollar) 1-hour timeframe chart reveals a classic Triple Bottom pattern, which is a well-known bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that sellers have attempted to break the support level three times but failed, suggesting a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Traders closely watch this structure as it often leads to a strong upward breakout once key resistance levels are breached. The current setup provides an excellent risk-to-reward trading opportunity, especially for those looking to capitalize on the breakout.
📊 Key Levels in the CHF/USD Chart
1️⃣ Support and Resistance Zones
🟢 Support Level (~1.1300 - 1.1280 Zone)
This zone has been tested three times, confirming strong buying interest at this price level.
The formation of long wicks on candlesticks signals strong demand and buyer dominance.
A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend.
🔴 Resistance Level (~1.1415 - 1.1430 Zone)
This level acts as a price ceiling, where previous bullish attempts were rejected.
A break and retest above this zone would confirm the Triple Bottom breakout.
🎯 Target Level (~1.1457 Zone)
The projected target is based on the height of the pattern, which is measured and added to the breakout point.
This level aligns with previous price action zones and acts as a natural take-profit area for traders.
🚨 Stop-Loss Level (~1.1243 Zone)
A stop-loss is placed below the support zone to protect against false breakouts or an invalidation of the pattern.
📉 Understanding the Triple Bottom Pattern
The Triple Bottom is a strong bullish reversal formation that occurs at the end of a downtrend. It signals that sellers are exhausted, and buyers are gradually taking control.
🔹 Breakdown of the Triple Bottom Formation
✅ Bottom 1 (First Low)
The first bottom forms when the price hits the support level and bounces back.
Sellers are still active, so price declines again to test the same support zone.
✅ Bottom 2 (Second Low - Confirmation of Support)
The second test of the support zone validates the demand area.
Buyers step in again, pushing the price upward.
The market still lacks enough momentum for a breakout, leading to a third retest.
✅ Bottom 3 (Final Low and Strong Rejection)
The third bottom is crucial because it signals the last test of support before a breakout.
The failure to break lower creates a higher probability of an upside move.
📌 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action Signals
🔵 The breakout is confirmed when:
The price closes above the resistance zone (1.1415 - 1.1430) with strong momentum.
Volume spikes during the breakout, indicating institutional buying interest.
A successful retest of the resistance zone as new support further validates the trend reversal.
If the breakout lacks volume or gets rejected, traders should be cautious of a fakeout or potential retracement.
📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
🔹 Conservative Entry (Safe Approach)
Enter after a confirmed breakout above 1.1415, ensuring a strong candle close above resistance.
Look for a retest of the breakout level before entering the trade.
🔹 Aggressive Entry (Early Positioning)
Enter near the third bottom (~1.1300 - 1.1320) with a tight stop-loss.
Higher risk but better reward if the price moves upward without retesting.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement
Conservative traders: Place the stop-loss below the support zone (~1.1243).
Aggressive traders: Place a tight stop below the recent swing low for better risk management.
📌 Profit Target Projection
Take Profit Target: 1.1457, based on the height of the pattern.
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Risk: ~60 pips (from entry to stop-loss).
Reward: ~150 pips (from entry to target).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3, making it a high-probability trade.
📡 Additional Confirmation Indicators for Stronger Trade Setup
📊 1. Volume Analysis
A spike in volume at the breakout level suggests strong buyer interest.
Low volume on the breakout may indicate a potential fakeout.
📈 2. RSI (Relative Strength Index) Confirmation
RSI should be above 50 and trending upward to confirm bullish momentum.
If RSI is overbought (>70), watch for a pullback before entering the trade.
📉 3. Moving Averages Support
If the 50-period or 200-period moving average supports the breakout level, it adds extra confirmation.
A moving average crossover may further validate the trend reversal.
🔍 4. Beware of Fake Breakouts
If the price briefly moves above resistance but fails to hold, it may be a bull trap.
Always wait for a candle close above resistance and a potential retest before confirming the entry.
🛠️ Alternative Scenarios & Market Risks
🔺 Bullish Scenario (Breakout & Rally to Target)
Price breaks above 1.1415, confirming a trend reversal.
A retest of resistance as support gives additional buying confidence.
Price reaches 1.1457 target before facing new resistance.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Fakeout & Breakdown Below Support)
Price fails to hold above resistance and falls back below support.
A breakdown below 1.1243 invalidates the pattern, triggering a bearish continuation.
Traders should cut losses quickly if the setup is invalidated.
⚠️ Fundamental Risks to Watch
U.S. Dollar news events (FOMC, NFP, CPI reports) can increase volatility.
Swiss economic data may impact CHF strength.
Unexpected geopolitical events can influence currency movements.
🔎 Summary of the Trading Plan
📌 Trading Strategy Checklist
✅ Pattern: Triple Bottom (Bullish Reversal).
✅ Entry Strategy: Buy after breakout confirmation above 1.1415.
✅ Take Profit Target: 1.1457.
✅ Stop-Loss Level: Below 1.1243.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (High-Profit Potential with Proper Risk Management).
💡 Final Thought:
This setup provides a high-probability bullish trade with strong technical confluence. However, always remain cautious of market news, economic reports, and sudden volatility that could influence price action.
🚀 Patience & discipline are key—wait for confirmation before entering! 📊
EUR/GBP - Double Bottom Reversal Setup | Trendline BreakoutThis EUR/GBP (Euro to British Pound) daily chart presents a textbook double bottom reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Additionally, a trendline breakout further strengthens the bullish outlook.
The market structure suggests that buyers are regaining control, and a breakout above the neckline resistance zone (0.84500 - 0.85000) could trigger a significant upward move. Let's break down this setup in detail.
📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Strong Reversal Signal
🔹 The double bottom is a powerful bullish reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend, indicating that selling pressure is fading and buyers are stepping in.
🔹 First Bottom: Established in December 2024, where the price reached a key support level (~0.82453) before bouncing back.
🔹 Second Bottom: Formed in March 2025, confirming the validity of the support level and creating a solid demand zone.
🔹 The neckline resistance (0.84500 - 0.85000) is the key level that price must break to confirm the reversal.
2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Sentiment
🔹 The market has been in a downtrend, as shown by the descending trendline acting as resistance for several months.
🔹 Recently, the price broke above this trendline, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening and a potential trend reversal is underway.
🔹 This breakout adds confluence to the double bottom pattern, reinforcing the bullish bias.
3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels to Watch
📌 Support Zone (Bottom Area) – 0.82453:
✅ This level has been tested twice (December & March), confirming it as a strong demand zone.
✅ Price consistently rebounded from this level, showing buyers’ dominance.
✅ This is the ideal stop-loss level to protect against downside risks.
📌 Resistance Zone (Neckline) – 0.84500 - 0.85000:
✅ A breakout above this neckline resistance is necessary for a bullish continuation.
✅ If price breaks and retests this level as support, it will confirm a high-probability buy setup.
📌 Target Level – 0.87394 (Projected Move)
✅ This is calculated using the measured move technique, where the distance from the bottom to the neckline is projected upwards.
✅ This level coincides with a previous resistance zone, making it a realistic target.
📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup
🎯 Entry Plan for Long Position (Buy Setup)
1️⃣ Breakout Entry:
Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above 0.85000.
Watch for strong bullish candles with volume confirmation.
2️⃣ Retest Entry (Safer Option):
If price breaks above resistance, wait for a pullback and retest of the 0.84500 - 0.85000 level.
If price holds this zone as new support, it strengthens the bullish confirmation.
📉 Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management)
✅ Place a stop-loss just below the support zone (0.82453) to protect capital.
✅ This level is strong because price has bounced off it twice, confirming buyer strength.
🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit)
✅ The projected target is 0.87394, aligning with previous resistance.
✅ This offers a high reward-to-risk ratio (RRR), making the trade worth taking.
⚠️ Risk Management & Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Bias – Price action suggests uptrend continuation after breaking out of the trendline.
✅ Confirmation is Crucial! – Enter only after a clear breakout and retest.
✅ Watch for Fakeouts – If price fails to hold above the neckline, it could be a false breakout.
✅ Fundamental Factors – Keep an eye on economic data and central bank policies (ECB & BoE) that may impact the GBP & EUR.
📢 Final Thoughts – Why This Trade is High-Probability
🚀 Double Bottom + Trendline Breakout = Strong Bullish Signal
🚀 Neckline Breakout Above 0.85000 = Confirmation of Trend Reversal
🚀 Targeting 0.87394 with a Favorable Risk-Reward Setup
If price successfully breaks and holds above resistance, we could see a strong rally toward 0.87394 in the coming weeks.
📌 Monitor price action carefully and wait for confirmation before entering the trade.
🔔 Like & Follow for More Trading Setups! 🚀📈