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GBPJPY FORECASTIn this analyze we are focusing on 30M time frame chart for GBP/JPY. On the basis of support and resistance along with price action and liquidity concept. So we will wait for price when price enter into our zone than after any bullish confirmation we will take our long position trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. #GBPJPY 30M Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Long
by TradeTacticsreal
3
7 Best Chart Patterns For Trading Forex and Gold If you are studying chart parts, I prepared for you the list of 7 price action patterns you should never miss. In this article, I will share with you powerful chart patterns for trading forex or any other financial market. These patters work perfectly for day trading, swing trading and scalping. We will study real market examples. I will explain the psychology and meaning of each pattern and explain to you how to trade them. The first chart pattern that we will discuss is double top. The pattern is formed on the edge of a bullish impulse. It is based on 2 equal highs and a higher low between them. A higher low composes a minor support. A strong bearish signal is a breakout of a neckline and a candle close below that. Entry is on its retest. Stop loss is above the highs. Target is the closest strong support. The bullish version of a double top pattern is called double bottom The pattern is formed on the edge of a bearish impulse. It is based on 2 equal lows and a lower high between them. A lower high composes a minor resistance. A strong bullish signal is a breakout of a neckline and a candle close above that. Entry is on its retest. Stop loss is below the lows. Target is the closest strong resistance. The second powerful pattern is a descending triangle formation. The pattern is formed on the edge of a bullish impulse. It is based on at least 2 equal lows and 3 lower highs between them. A falling trend line should respect the lower highs. A strong bearish signal is a breakout of a neckline and a candle close below that. Entry is on its retest. Stop loss is above the highest high. Target is the closest strong support. A bullish variation of a triangle pattern is called an ascending triangle. The pattern is formed on the edge of a bearish impulse. It is based on at least 2 equal highs and 3 higher lows between them. A rising trend line should respect the higher lows. A strong bullish signal is a breakout of a neckline and a candle close above that. Entry is on its retest. Stop loss is below the lowest low. Target is the closest strong resistance. Chart pattern number 5 - Cup & Handle pattern. Cup & handle pattern is the variation of a double bottom. The only difference between 2 patterns is 1 lower low and a consequent higher low, instead of 2 equal lows. Entry trigger and trade execution rules are absolutely the same as with a double bottom. Stop loss is strictly below the lower low. A bearish version of a cup & handle is called an inverted cup & handle. Inverted cup & handle pattern is the variation of a double top. The only difference between 2 patterns is 1 higher high and a consequent lower high, instead of 2 equal highs. Entry trigger and trade execution rules are absolutely the same as with a double top. Stop loss is strictly above the higher high. The last and the most powerful chart pattern is the range . Range is a strictly horizontal parallel channel where the price sets equal highs and equal lows, respecting the support and the resistance of the range. This chart pattern signifies that the market found equilibrium, a fair value. A strong bullish signal is a breakout of a resistance of the range and a candle close above that. Target will be the next strong resistance, stop loss should lie below the lows of the range. A strong bearish signal is a breakout of a support of the range and a candle close below that. Target will be the next strong support, stop loss should lie above the highs of the range. Of course, there are more patterns to study but these 7 are essential . Your ability to recognize them is the key for accurate price action trading. Learn to spot these patterns and good luck in your trading.. Let me know which patterns do you want to study in the next article. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
2
SasanSeifi| Moving Towards New Targets!Hey there, ✌ As seen in the KUCOIN:UNIUSDT chart, the price has shown a partial rise from the $6 area. After breaking structure around the $8.50 level, it climbed to $10. Currently, after a minor pullback, the price has reacted positively from the FVG zone near $8 and is trading around $9.50. The general outlook leans bullish, and it's expected that the price could see significant growth from the $9 range to targets of $12–$14 in the mid-term. The important support is between $8 and $7.50. 💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions! Happy trading!✌😎 Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
Long
by SasanSeifi
GOLD OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame for GOLD. Today I'm looking potential buy, on the basis of SMC concept and trendline strategy. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us. When price reach at our level than we look how price behave when it enter our level after confirmation we take buy trade. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis and prediction. #XAUUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
2024-11-20 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Neutral. More sideways, all given levels still valid and another disappointing day for the bulls. Also a perfect doji when US closed. If you missed my weekly and the update from yesterday, catch up on those. Otherwise move on. comment: Neutral market around 19150. No deeper meaning until we see the next big move which also closes at the lows or highs. Range and pattern is getting too tight and we will likely see the big move tomorrow or Friday. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 18800 - 19360 bull case: No side has an advantage here. Midpoint of the weekly range is 19114 and market closed us session at 19143. Above 19300 we likely go to 19359 and if we break above that, we go much much higher. Invalidation is below 18869. bear case: Bears did not dip below 19000 which was good for the bulls but still a daily doji, so no deeper meaning. Bears want a daily close below 19000 bad. If they get it, chances are high that this bull trend is over and we will see much lower prices. Until then, play the range and don’t swing for the fences. Invalidation is above 19350. short term : Neutral. Max bullish above 19360 and max bearish below 18860. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Market made only lower highs since bar 33 and selling it was ok on bar 42 or latest 55. Reasons to exit was bar 59 if bar 60 would have traded above it but it did not so bar 61 was a decent bull bar and 62 good follow through, had to get out of longs there latest. Could you also go long then? I would not. Too big of a risk that 15m 20ema is resistance and market is trying to test breakout price from bar 48, which it could not even get up to. I also think buying the double bottom 75 + 77 was ok.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
2024-11-20 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold - Bullish target was met with 2650 and now it’s big decision time. Bear trend line and daily 20ema was hit. By Friday we will know which way market wants to go. Expecting sideways to down tomorrow but everything below 2600 would surprise me. comment : Very bullish week so far to potentially big resistance. My preferred path is a two legged correction and we are in the A of it. Market has to pull back soon but if bulls get above 2660, we will see 2700 soon. Last thing I want to do this week is looking for shorts in this. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2620 - 2700 bull case: Bulls are in control again. They now only need a strong close above the daily ema to make the last bears run for the exits. Can they get it before a pullback? I doubt that. Not much more magic to it. Big bull trend is still valid but the peak euphoria is over and we will likely see more bearish legs in between since bears made big money previous 2 weeks. Invalidation is below 2600. bear case: Bears who sold late are trapped, they need a pullback to get out of their position. They are at 3 very important prices. Breakout retest is around 2650-2660, daily ema is here and the 50% retracement is at 2672. If these are not good enough for the market to pull back to 2600 or lower, nothing will. Invalidation is above 2670. short term : Neutral. Expecting a pullback and then another big rally to at least 2750. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-17: Tough call for the rest of the year. If I had to guess I’d say that we rally to 2800 again before year end, just so we can sell off beginning of 2024 but it’s pure guesswork as of now. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying 2625, which market tried for 3 hours to close a 15m bar below and could not. Buying it was good for 350 ticks.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
2024-11-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Neutral. Lower lows and lower highs but a nasty reversal from 18869. The buying was strong but still not good enough for the bulls to take control again. Bears are showing decent selling pressure but getting nowhere. I do think market wants to test higher tomorrow. 19250 is the first target, followed by 19300 and 19350. If 19200 turned resistance and bulls show weakness again, bears might do a real one and get to 18500. There is absolutely no more support until 18500 for the bulls. comment: tl;dr covered most of it. We closed in the middle of the current range, which is as neutral as it gets. I still favor the bulls but I was also wrong about the two previous sell offs and new lows, so maybe take my bias lightly. Market is in balance around 19150 and we have clear support and resistance for a week, despite the marginally lower lows. 18900 - 19330 is the range, play it until we have a 1h close above or below. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 18800 - 19700 bull case: Bulls need some follow through badly. 19250 and then 19300. If they break above 19360 tomorrow, we print 300 points higher. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Below 19100 bears take control again and I think the market can only do one thing so many times until one side gives up big time. If bears manage to print another low below 18869, we go down hard to 18500 or lower. Bears want to keep this below 19200. Invalidation is above 19350. short term: Neutral. Max bullish above 19360 and max bearish below 18860. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Shorting the open due to news was amazing. Also buying 18900. Both trades were mostly momentum based but we also had a quadruple top to sell and a double bottom to buy. Hope you took at least one of them.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
2024-11-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Bullish bias still. The reversal was nasty and we had a very strong close. We are in a nested expanding triangle and if bears are strong, market won’t get above 5950. If bulls do, we go 5980 and the bear trend line next. I lean bullish. Measured move up from today gets us close to the ath and it’s the third try bears tried to close below the 50% retracement and failed. Good chance today was bears giving up and we melt again to a new ath. If we drop below 5900 again, I am probably wrong and bears taking over again. comment : Nasty reversal and a good close by the bulls. Can expect follow through tomorrow above 5950 up tom 5980 and test the bear trend line. Above that we print a new ath. Best for bears would be to keep this below 5950 and then they have a chance of testing down to 5900 again. I have a heavy bullish bias going into tomorrow as long as market does not drop below 5900 much again current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 5900 - 6100 bull case: Bulls want to test the bear trend line around 5980 and go above 6000 again. They do need to break above 5950 first, which could be resistance due to the expanding triangle pattern but I doubt it. They kept the market 3 days in a row above the 50% retracement and I don’t think bears are strong enough to try a fourth time tomorrow. Measured move up from today’s reversal leads to around 6036. Invalidation is below 5900. bear case: Bears had an amazing sell off but bulls bought it big time. Technically this could be seen as a bear flag, but bears would have to keep the market below 5950 for that. That’s their first target and then getting below 5900 again. Since we are seeing big time buying below 5900 and the selling was mainly due to news, I don’t think bears are favored. Invalidation is above 5950. short term: Bullish. Probably more squeezing late bears tomorrow and I still do have unreasonable insane targets above 6100 that could be hit over the next days-weeks. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-16: So the top definitely qualifies as a blow-off top but the question if we continue further up, is still valid. It is possible that we are already inside the correction and if we continue below 5860, I highly doubt bulls can get above 6000 again. Given the current market structure, I won’t turn bear because the risk of another retest of the highs or even higher ones are just too big. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buying 5855. Market printed a perfect inverted head & shoulders on the 1m tf, huge bull bars on a big volume increase. 3 almost too good to by true reasons to take the trade.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
2024-11-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - 19350 was my line in the sand for bulls to conquer and high of the day was 19359. Bulls doing their best to make 19150 support again and if it holds a third time tomorrow, we could see 19400 if bulls move above 19350 with some force. No interest in selling this. Play the range 19150 - 19350 until it’s broken. comment : Not a bullish close but bulls kept it above 19150 and that’s the breakout price and very important to hold. Below 19140 I expect 19000 again. Only objective for the bulls is to move with force above 19350 so we can melt higher to 19600+. No interest in selling this. Otherwise not much to write about on a sideways day, so have a look at my weekly outlook. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 18900 - 19700 bull case: 200 point range which will likely break tomorrow and I do think the upside breakout is more likely than to the downside. Bears now tried 4 times to get below 19150 and they could not do it again. Bulls are defending their spike from Thursday and that means higher prices are likely. Invalidation is below 19140. bear case: Bears failed 4 times at 19150 now. They will probably give up soon and will try again around 19500. If they break below the current range, a retest of 19000 is most likely. Can’t see this going below 19000 again for now. Invalidation is above 19350. short term: Neutral inside given range but any long below 19200 is reasonable. I lean bullish to break above 19350 and print a new ath this week. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Shorting previous resistance 19350 was good for 200 points.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024Long
by priceactiontds
2024-11-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr oil - I talked about the previous low 66.72 extensively and today bears dipped below but bulls bought it with vengeance. We are on our way to 70 and a test of the bear trend line from the October high. I do expect the lows to be in and we go higher from here. Best for bulls would be to make 68 support and keep the market above, below I am probably wrong and we chop more at the lows. comment : If bulls get follow through to 70 tomorrow, bulls are in control again until they fail at the bear trend line (breakout above is possible). I do think the low 66.27 can hold. Right now it’s unclear if bulls are as strong as today looks because it’s only an expanding triangle over the past 5 trading days and bulls could not close today above the daily 20ema which is 20 points above us. So it’s possible that the descending triangle continues for more days before we get a breakout. Not much interest in selling this though. Will continue to long against 67. current market cycle : trading range (big triangle on the daily chart) key levels: 66 - 70 bull case: Bulls need follow through and test 70 tomorrow. A close above it would turn the market always in long and bulls in full control then. The bear trend line is the next target to break but until that happens, 70 is likely resistance and we go more sideways. Invalidation is below 66.27 bear case: Bears want to keep the trading range at the lows going since they are making new lows. Selling above 69 has been profitable for the past week and until that changes and bulls trap bears, we can expect bears to keep trying. Invalidation is above 71. short term: Neutral but looking for longs when it’s clear that bulls can keep the 1h ema support. Will otherwise wait for market to come down to 67/67.5 and scale into longs. No interest in selling. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20: No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buying the liquidity grap down to 66.27. The price action there on the very low tf was really interesting. Basically bears just left. Two more quick retries but only made higher lows and then a giant give up bar by the bears for 123 ticks on the 1h tf.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
2
Punjab National Bank (PNB) Technical Outlook📌 Current Price: ₹100.53 (+1.05%) 📌 Sector: Banking 📌 Timeframe: Daily Key Observations: 1.Descending Channel: PNB has been trading in a well-defined descending channel since its peak of ₹142.40. The current trend remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows. 2.Fibonacci Retracement: Major Levels: 0.618 (₹113.59) : Key resistance. 0.5 (₹104.69): Immediate resistance. 0.382 (₹95.80): Current support. 0.236 (₹84.79): Next critical support if the stock breaches ₹95.80. 3.Support and Resistance Levels: Support: ₹95.80 (holding strong for now). Resistance: ₹104.69, followed by ₹113.59. 4.Volume Analysis: Declining volume suggests indecision among traders, indicating a potential consolidation phase. 5.RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI shows the stock is moving out of oversold territory, which could trigger a short-term bounce. Jefferies Target 🎯: Revised Target: ₹135 This aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level (₹126.26) , a crucial point where PNB would need to break out of the descending channel and confirm a trend reversal. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Case: Bounce from ₹95.80 and breakout above ₹104.69. Sustained buying could push the stock to ₹113.59 and eventually to ₹126. Bearish Case: A breakdown below ₹95.80 could lead to a retest of ₹84.79. Failure to hold ₹84.79 might push the stock to its next support zone around ₹80. Trading Strategy: 1.Short-Term Traders: Watch for a breakout above ₹104.69 for a quick target of ₹113.59. Stop-loss: ₹95. 2.Long-Term Investors: Accumulate near ₹95.80 or ₹84.79, keeping ₹80 as a long-term stop-loss. Final Thoughts: The stock's long-term prospects remain aligned with its sector growth and broader market recovery. A breakout from the descending channel could attract significant buying interest, aligning with Jefferies' bullish target of ₹135.
NSE:PNBLong
by AngshumanSaikia
#202446 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr bitcoin: Max bullishness continues. Every dip is bought. My gigantic bull gap stayed open and until bears can get a daily close below 85000, this screams nothing but 100k. Do I think that we will see the biggest reversal this market has ever seen once we hit 100k? Bet. Quote from last week: comment: What a rally this is. On Thursday I wrote that we broke high enough to make 80000 a possibility and it happened on Sunday. I absolutely can’t this see going any higher as of now but I can also be totally wrong about that. I have no interest in buying this, whatsoever. I have also drawn my preferred path forward with a two legged correction where the B would reach 80000 and we got that part already. My next target is 72000/73000. comment: 1 00k. That’s it. That’s my outlook. The open gap goes down to 73805. Good luck to bears closing this before market prints 100k. The absolut lowest bulls can let this pull back is 80k (50% retracement), everything below is probably the end of the bull trend and we will likely reverse further. current market cycle: Bull trend - blow off top to 100k key levels: 80000 - 100000 bull case: Bulls only objective is to keep this market above 80k and print 100k. That’s it. Invalidation is below 80000. bear case: Bears could not print 1 daily close below 87000. If that does not scream max bullishness, nothing is good enough for you. Absolut most insane melt up and market pulls back mostly sideways. That is as strong as it gets. Invalidation is above 110000. outlook last week: short term: Neutral but if we stay below 85000, we could see the two legged move down as drawn. Could still just be a bull trap and we sell down hard again. That does not mean shorting this right now is a good idea. Bears need to show strength with consecutive bear bars before I think about joining them. Right now it is max bullishness. → Last Sunday we traded around 79329 and now we are at 89922. Invalidation target was pretty fine. Market went above and never went back below it. short term: Max bullish until we print 100k and if we stay above 80k. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: 100k and then on the second sign of weakness, will short it to 50k. Remember, there will be people, just like in 2021 who bought all the way down and there positions were -50% or more and those legends told you to buy more all the way down. Will happen exactly like that in 2025 again. If you don’t book big profits on it’s way to 100k, don’t you fucking cry when your position is underwater again. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed all bs.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by priceactiontds
#202446 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil futures: Neutral until bulls do more. 66.72 is still the low to be broken if bears want more downside, otherwise it’s a descending triangle with clear support around 67. It does look like bulls need an event to help them. Every small rip is sold and it’s a matter of time until one side gives up and we see another breakout. Last thing I want to be is bullish on this but until we have a daily close below 67, it’s huge support. Quote from last week: comment: Market is now trying for 4 weeks to get below 73 and still failing. Friday’s bar is decent enough that bears could have given up and market has to drop down to 68 or lower to 67 to find more buyers. The trading range 68 - 73 is still not broken and until it is, that is the range to play. I just expecting bears to be stronger next week than the bulls. comment: Huge support around 67 and bears need a daily close below for lower prices. Bulls a daily close above 69 for 70 and potentially 70.4. No more magic to it and I won’t make stuff up for the fun of it. Market has no direction for weeks and the range is tighter than my food exit. As long as market does not drop below 66.72, bulls are ok but it’s really tough to make money as a bull in this. If bears break that price, we go 65 next, followed by 63.5. current market cycle: trading range (descending triangle) key levels: 67 - 71 bull case: At this point I am too lazy to come up with something for either side. I follow the range and past pattern. Last week was bearish and support held. Next week I expect trading above 69-71. I stop being lazy once the given range breaks. Maybe long range missiles onto Russian Oil depots will help this break out. Invalidation is below 66.7. bear case: Either break below 66.7 or give up again. Below 66.7 we see 65.74 and then 65 next. Invalidation is above 69. outlook last week: short term : Neutral again. Range is unbroken, play it until it breaks. → Last Sunday we traded 70.38 and now we are at 67.02. Bad outlook but will probably touch 70 tomorrow or Tuesday again. Probably was just off due to Sunday-Sunday. short term: Neutral. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing worth mentioning.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds