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GBPUSD - Liquidity Grab & BoS Signals Bearish ReversalSmart Money Concepts (SMC) Analysis 1. Liquidity Sweep & Break of Structure (BOS): Price consolidates above a trendline with multiple rejections (blue lines). A liquidity grab occurs below this trendline – classic inducement setup. After the grab, a bearish BOS (break of structure) is confirmed with a strong candle closing below the trendline and recent lows. 2. Order Block: Price retested a 4H bearish order block (grey shaded zone) before rejection. This OB aligns with the last bullish candle before the drop. Rejection from the OB confirms institutional interest (SMC). 3. Imbalance / Fair Value Gap (FVG): The drop left a minor imbalance zone, suggesting possible continuation down to fill the inefficiency. Price Action Analysis: 1. Trendline Break: Ascending trendline has been broken with strong bearish momentum. Indicates a shift from higher lows to lower lows → possible trend reversal. 2. Supply Zone Respect: The price failed to make a new high and was firmly rejected at resistance. Double top or lower high formation adds bearish confluence. 3. Target & Risk-Reward: The trade setup indicates a short entry just below trendline break. Target around 1.29393, likely based on previous demand zone or liquidity pocket. Stop above 1.33664, likely above the OB or structural high. Solid RRR (>3:1) visible. Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias: Break of internal structure (Price Action) Liquidity sweep below trendline (SMC) Bearish Order Block rejection (SMC) Strong bearish engulfing candle Favourable RR trade plan Conclusion: This is a high-probability bearish setup combining a trendline liquidity sweep (inducement), break of structure, order block rejection, and efficient risk-reward positioning. The price is expected to target 1.29393, aligning with a previous demand or liquidity zone. Thanks for your time..
Short
by Naren_2410
2
EURAUD - Long-Term Correction in the Making!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURAUD has been bullish trading within the rising channel in blue. Currently, EURAUD is retesting the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, the $1.84 - $1.87 is a strong weekly resistance zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green resistance zone. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURAUD is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
9
EURAUD - Overall Bearish Medium-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURAUD has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red. Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURAUD retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
3
XAUUSDHello traders! There's a buy opportunity on the XAUUSD pair, and I wanted to share this trade with you. The trade is currently active on my end, and I’ve set the Risk-to-Reward Ratio to 1:1.50. 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 3320.74 ✔️ Take Profit: 3335.20 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3311.13 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Nurlan_PT
“+$25K Profit & Still Long – Don’t Chase, Trade Smart”Since the drop to 74K, we've seen an incredibly fast and powerful rally over the past month—and I’m currently sitting on a realized profit of over $25,000 during this move. One of the most bullish signals in this entire structure is that since the reversal in April, we’ve never seen a proper correction or trend-reversing retracement. As I mentioned in previous updates, this shows exceptional strength and suggests the uptrend remains firmly intact. In fact, we’re climbing without breaking any key lows—what I like to call a “step-by-step” grind upward. On higher time frames, these look like strong bullish candles, meaning more buyers than sellers, and aggressive market orders pushing price higher. That’s a characteristic of strong trends—remember that. Now, with the historical ATH at $109,000 getting closer, I do not expect an immediate breakout to new highs. Instead, we might see a healthy consolidation—either price-wise or time-wise—around this major supply zone. This is not the time to FOMO in. The recent surge was fueled by comments from President Trump, and that breakout candle was significant. But sharp moves often bring sharp corrections. If price pulls back to the 96–95K zone and finds support, that could be the base for a new push toward all-time highs. If you’re not in a position right now: 🚫 Do NOT rush into the market. We are at a spot where both a breakout and a reversal are possible. Whether you’re using the lower or higher time frame, wait for clear confirmation—a pullback, a base, a proper setup. Look to long only after strong support is confirmed, or short if price keeps failing to break highs. Either way, keep a tight stop and let your winners run—there’s still opportunity here, but only with proper risk-reward. I’ll say it again because it’s important: If you missed this long, it’s okay. The market will correct—whether sharply or slowly—and your edge is not in chasing, but in being ready. Don’t let impulsive trades erase your capital or your confidence. Oh, and by the way—I’m still holding my long position.
by GoldenCloud_Jude
Bitcoin Short Setup | 30m SMC OB Rejection + Clean RR💣 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 30-Min SMC Short | May 9, 2025 We just caught BTC’s premium tap into a 30m bearish Order Block, followed by a strong rejection candle. This is a classic Smart Money play, where price fills inefficiency and instantly rejects the institutional footprint. 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES: 📦 Bearish Order Block tapped at $101,752 📈 Strong bullish impulse followed by hard rejection 🎯 Short from premium into discount zone (~$99,114 target) 🔺 Clean Risk-to-Reward: ~1:5+ 💰 High-probability Smart Money setup 📊 Setup Specs: Timeframe: 30min Direction: Short Entry Zone: $101,752 TP: $99,114 SL: ~$102,000 RR: Approx. 1:5+ 💡 Trade Logic: Price made a liquidity grab + FVG fill before tapping a 30min Order Block. The sharp red engulfing candle at the top confirms SMC presence and intention to sell-off. This zone represents premium pricing, ideal for institutional distribution. 🎯 Chart Ninja Note: “Smart Money never chases price… they wait for the retest where the fear begins.”
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
2025-05-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market closed where it opened, after the early rally from Globex to mid EU session and then another one after the US open bear trap. I could not believe that bulls would do another strong move up after such a rejection above 20250 but meh. Can they really do another tomorrow after yet another strong rejection? Until bears print lower lows, the answer is "probably”. Clear bull wedge and bears need to break below 19970 for more downside. If we stay above 20100 we can do higher highs until we ultimately hit 20536 or higher. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 19700 - 20600 bull case: Bulls printed two amazing rallies and they we not enough to make meaningful higher highs and accelerate upwards. Usually that price action would have been enough for more bears to give up but once market began to stall on new highs, bulls vanished and bears overwhelmed them. I don’t have much for the bulls tbh. 5 tries and they are still failing. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Bears need to break the bull wedge and print below 19970. That’s about it. The rejections from new highs are good but the follow-through is trash. Going below 19600 into the weekend is me next wet dream. Invalidation is above 20400. short term: Neutral. Bulls grinding but for how many more tries? If that is bad English, you can do you. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year. trade of the day: Shorting new highs continues to print money.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
BTCUSD – 1H Long Setup | Discount Entry With RR 1:5+🧩 BTCUSD – 1H Reversal Play | May 5, 2025 We’re deep in Discount Territory, and the market just showed signs of strength with a bullish reaction from the OB. The Risk-to-Reward on this one is chef’s kiss 👨‍🍳💋 🧠 Smart Money Breakdown: 📉 Market Context: Prolonged bearish leg forming equal lows — liquidity engineered ✅ 📍 Entry Point: EQ/OB level @ ~$93,736 🟢 SL: Below OB at ~$92,730 🚀 TP: Previous structure high ~97,912 🧮 RRR: Around 1:5+ (massive potential) 🔎 Narrative & Confluence: 🔄 Price reacting to OB zone after taking liquidity 🧲 Potential inducement below = liquidity swept ⚠️ Engulfing bullish candle = signs of LTF accumulation 📈 Expectation: Push back into premium zone above 97K 🧠 Execution Tips: Set and forget, or trail aggressively above 94,800 Watch M15-M5 for CHoCH + order flow confirmation Add to position on micro pullbacks with tight risk Partial TP around 96,000 zone, full exit at 97,912 📣 Chart Ninja Tip: “Discount isn't just a price zone — it's where patience meets precision. Let price hunt liquidity, then strike!” 💬 Drop a 💎 if you caught this sniper long. 📊 Save this setup and tag a fellow price action beast. 🔁 Share if your RR game strong today!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
USD/JPY: Ready for a Rally or a False Recovery?USD/JPY is at a crucial stage, with the price hovering around 143.900. After a bearish move, the market is attempting to recover, aiming for the resistance zone between 149.000 and 151.000. COT Insight: COT data shows a slight increase in long positions among speculative traders (+397), while commercials are increasing their short coverage (+539), indicating caution. Seasonality: Historically, May has been a slightly bullish month for USD/JPY (+0.42% over the last 10 years), but the trend has been negative in the last 5 years (-0.57%), indicating uncertainty. Retail Sentiment: 65% of retail traders are long, which could indicate potential bearish pressure in case of opposite moves, given the risk of position liquidation. Conclusion: Carefully monitor the price reaction around 144.000. A breakout towards 149.000 could signal a significant move, but the long retail pressure might represent an obstacle.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
2025-05-07 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Triangle as in other markets, will likely do a strong move tomorrow or Friday. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21000 - 24000 bull case: Bulls see this as a shallow/sideways pullback at the highs and want continuation for a new ath. They are trading far above the daily 20ema and the volume is picking up again. Yesterday bulls bought a big pullback but failed to make higher highs today, so they are likely disappointed. I don’t think many bulls want to stay long when we fail to make higher highs but rather wait for another pullback. So either they get the new ath tomorrow, or risk of running stops below 22979 increases. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: Bears tried two times now to push the market lower and failed. If we make higher highs again, they will most likely give up and wait to see how high this can go before they short again. Only below 22979 will bears do some damage to the bull case and we could maybe see an acceleration down. For now bears are to weak to print lower lows but bulls are also weak, which is the reason why we printed a triangle. Probably best to do nothing and wait for the strong next move. Invalidation is above 23550. short term: Neutral. Below 23000 I favor the bears and above 23400 we are likly going for 23550 and if that won’t hold, we could do 24000. Markets keep ignoring bad news, so the path of least resistance is likely still up but it’s a guess and nothing you should trade on. Trade whats in front of you and not what you think the market should do. Right now it’s in a tight range waiting for the next impulse. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Bear trend is over. My rough guess for now is that we will stay inside this trading range 19000 - 24000 for much longer or until economic data becomes the excrementshow I expect it to become over the next months. trade of the day: Shorting EU open and holding for 23200, which was around prior support.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
GBPNZD: Support Rebound! Target 2.26 on the Horizon? The weekly chart of GBPNZD shows a consolidation phase following a strong bearish impulse. The price has reacted positively from the support area around 2.2200, forming a significant bullish candle that could indicate a rebound towards the resistance area at 2.2600. The positive momentum suggests a possible test of the intermediate resistance at 2.2500, with the RSI gradually rising from an oversold zone. Fundamental Analysis According to the COT data updated as of April 29, 2025, we observe an increase in long positions on GBP by institutional traders, with an increment of +10,665 contracts. On the other hand, commercial traders (hedgers) continue to maintain a significant short exposure on GBP. This imbalance may suggest a potential short-term speculative interest in a bullish GBP move. Regarding NZD, the latest COT report shows a significant increase in commercial long positions (+3,884 contracts), indicating a strengthening of the New Zealand dollar. However, the overall market sentiment shows a prevalence of short positions on GBPNZD (59% short vs. 41% long), suggesting that retail traders might be on the wrong side of the market. Seasonal Analysis Historically, in May, GBP tends to show weakness (-0.0076 over the last 20 years), while NZD does not show a clear seasonal pattern. This could reduce the likelihood of a decisive GBP movement during this month. Operational Strategy The rebound from 2.2200 could favor the opening of long positions with the first target at 2.2500 and the second target at 2.2600. The stop loss could be placed below the key support at 2.2100. In case of a resistance breakout, an extension towards the 2.2700 area would be plausible.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Ultimate Guide to Master CISDCISD stands for Consolidation, Inducement, Stop Hunt, Displacement. It’s a simple, repeatable structure that shows how smart money sets up traps in the market to grab liquidity and then make a clean move in the opposite direction. If you’re serious about trading the ICT style, this is one of the most useful frameworks to learn. It helps you avoid chasing bad breakouts and teaches you to wait for real setups that come after stop hunts and proper market structure shifts. But there’s one rule that’s non-negotiable — a CISD setup is only valid after a liquidity sweep. If the market hasn’t taken out a clear high or low where stops are sitting, then the rest of the model doesn’t mean anything. No sweep, no trade. 1. Start With the Liquidity Sweep Everything begins with the liquidity grab. If price hasn’t taken out a high or low where stops are stacked, you should walk away from the setup. Don’t try to front-run a move before smart money has done its job. The liquidity sweep is what gives the rest of the move power. That’s when price runs through obvious levels, swing highs, swing lows, the Asian range, New York session highs or lows and hits stop losses. Those stops give smart money fuel to enter in the opposite direction. When you’re watching the market, ask yourself this: "Who just got stopped out?" If you can’t answer that, then it’s not a sweep. And if it’s not a sweep, it’s not a CISD. 2. Consolidation — Where Liquidity Builds This is the first part of the structure. Price starts to move sideways in a tight range, usually during Asian session or during parts of London where volume is low. It can last for hours or even across sessions. The key here is to understand what’s happening. Traders are placing buys above the highs and sells below the lows. Liquidity is building on both sides. It’s a trap being set. Retail traders are expecting a breakout, but smart money is waiting to use that breakout to their advantage. Your job in this phase is to identify the range and mark out the highs and lows. That’s where stops will be sitting. You’re not looking to trade during this phase. You’re watching and planning 3. Inducement (sweep)— Fake Break to Trap Traders After the range is set, price gives a small push out of the range just enough to get people to commit. This is the inducement. It’s the bait. Let’s say the range high is being tested. Price breaks just above it, traders think it’s a breakout, and they go long. Maybe it holds for a couple of minutes, even gives a small push in their favor. But then it rolls over. That’s the trap. Now those traders are caught, and their stops are sitting below. Sometimes the inducement comes before the real sweep. Other times, the inducement is the sweep. What matters is that traders have been lured into bad positions and their stops are exposed. As a trader, your job is not to take the bait. Watch how price reacts to these fake moves. Often, they come with weak volume or are followed by an immediate sharp reversal. 4. Stop Hunt — The Sweep That Validates the Setup This is where the real move starts to form. Price aggressively runs through the level that holds liquidity, usually below the low or above the high you marked earlier. This is when smart money takes out the traders who were induced during the fake move. Their stops get hit, and that gives institutions the volume they need to get into the opposite side. You should be actively watching for a reaction here. Do you see rejection? Does the candle close with a strong wick? Are there signs of absorption or order flow flipping? This is your validation point. Once price sweeps liquidity and starts to reject the level, that’s your cue to get ready for the next part, the actual shift. 5. Displacement — The Real Move Begins Once the sweep happens, price doesn’t just drift, it snaps back hard. This is called displacement. Displacement is a sharp, clean move in the opposite direction of the stop hunt. This is when market structure breaks, momentum shifts, and a fair value gap usually forms. This is your confirmation that the setup is live. The sweep happened, smart money entered, and now the market is moving with intent. You don’t want to chase the displacement candle itself. Instead, wait for the retrace. Look for price to come back into the fair value gap or an order block left behind by the impulse. That’s your entry point. Make sure: Structure is broken in your direction The move away is impulsive, not choppy You’re not forcing an entry on a weak pullback This is the only part of CISD where you actually take the trade. Everything else is just setup. How to Manage Risk and Entries Once you’ve got a valid setup, here’s how to manage it: Entry: Enter on the CISD or wait for the pullback into the fair value gap or order block. Enter on the reaction or confirmation. Stop Loss: Place it just past the low or high that got swept. If you’re long, your stop goes below the stop hunt candle. If you’re short, it goes above. Take Profit: Target the next liquidity level. That could be the other side of the range, a swing high or low, or an inefficiency in price. You can scale out if price approaches a session high or low, or hold for a full range expansion depending on the session. Final Thoughts The CISD model works because it’s built on how the market actually moves, not indicators, not random patterns, but liquidity. Don’t jump in early. Don’t guess. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the displacement. That’s where the edge is. Once you get used to watching this play out in real time, you’ll start to see it everywhere. It’s in Forex, crypto, indices, any market that runs on liquidity. Stick to the rules. Let the model do its job. And remember: no sweep, no setup! ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Education
by TehThomas
58
GBP/USD: Is the Bullish Impulse Over?The daily chart shows a significant bullish impulse that encountered strong resistance in the 1.3350 - 1.3400 area, where multiple supply levels and an important institutional selling zone are located. The bearish structure remains intact below this level, suggesting a potential decline towards the key support at 1.3100 - 1.3150. The short bias strengthens with the confirmation of resistance and the formation of a potential reversal. COT Report (USD Index and GBP/USD) USD Index: Non-commercial traders are slightly increasing long positions (+397) while reducing short positions (-128). This suggests a potential recovery of dollar strength, supporting a bearish move on GBP/USD. GBP/USD: Non-commercials have significantly increased short positions (+6,426) and reduced long positions (-2,957), indicating a bearish sentiment. Commercials also show a slight increase in short positions (+5,070), confirming potential weakness in the pound. Retail Sentiment 57% of retail traders are short on GBP/USD, with an average price of 1.2916, while 43% are long at 1.3343. This imbalance could indicate a market attempt to capture stops above recent highs before a reversal. Seasonality Historically, the month of May shows a negative performance for GBP/USD. The 5, 10, and 15-year seasonal data indicate a consistent decline during this period, supporting the hypothesis of bearish pressure.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1