SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame for GOLD. I'm looking potentially buy trade opportunity today, by using support and resistance and price action. And we are using volume and RSI indicator. Let's see what happens and which trade opportunity market will give us. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Priceaction
GOLD FORECASTIn this analysis we are focusing on M30 time frame for XAUUSD. I'm looking potential sell trade opportunity in NY session. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper R:R ratio.
#GOLD M30 Technical Analyze Expected Move.
XAGUSD: Counter-Trend BreakoutXAGUSD (Silver) is breaking to the downside. There's a couple of key things I'm watching for this play:
Price failed to push higher in the uptrend
Price is in process of making a sharp breach, crossing below the trend line
The second floor isn't holding as price is breaching below it
ADR: 89
SL: 80
TP: 180
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66450 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a down trend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.66450 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
2024-11-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Indexes - Who wants to be long into election day? That question pondered my mind couple of times today but here we are. Surprising bull strength. I said it was too soon for the bigger second bear leg down but today was also too strong for bulls at this point. No bigger opinion on today’s price action. Most markets traded back up to the 50% retracement and near their daily 20ema and that spot is as neutral as it gets. Still leaning more bearish than bullish and I would not be surprised if the Globex session sell this hard.
dax futures
comment: Clear trading range 19100 - 19400. I expect bears to come around soon and reverse it down. If we print above 19450, I am most likely wrong about this. Friday’s high was not broken and we are right under the 20 ema and 50% retracement. Many reasons for bear to short again. Above 19450 bears will probably give up and we test 19600 or higher. Market is neutral around 19250.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 18900 - 19400
bull case: My line in the sand for bulls continues to be 19400-19450. If they break above that, bears will likely give up. Other than that I don’t have many arguments for them. We are below the 50% and daily ema, if bears come around here, bulls just have to cover because it could easily go back down to 19250 or lower.
Invalidation is below 19000.
bear case: Bears need to keep this below 19400. If they can manage, next target is test of the open price 19260 and then we could get a big second leg down. We have a decent two legged pullback now on the 4h chart and today’s high could fit a proper channel.
Invalidation is above 19400.
short term: Bearish if we stay below 19420ish (max 19450). I think the odds of a reverse are much better than more upside.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying the EU opening reversal was an amazing trade. Perfect double bottom with Monday’s low.
2024-11-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Indexes - Who wants to be long into election day? That question pondered my mind couple of times today but here we are. Surprising bull strength. I said it was too soon for the bigger second bear leg down but today was also too strong for bulls at this point. No bigger opinion on today’s price action. Most markets traded back up to the 50% retracement and near their daily 20ema and that spot is as neutral as it gets. Still leaning more bearish than bullish and I would not be surprised if the Globex session sell this hard.
sp500 e-mini futures
comment: Bulls had a good day and a buy vacuum up to the 50% retracement and daily 20ema. Bears have to come up with something big to reverse this. On the daily chart you can see the candle bodies from 2 weeks ago stayed above 5830, which is my highest target for bulls for now. If they go above that, they might as well melt to the bear trend line 5870.
current market cycle: trading range (chance that we are already in a bear trend is there)
key levels: 5730 - 5840
bull case: Bulls want to get a measured move up from today, which would lead to 5900. For now I don’t think the odds are too good for that but today’s strength was also surprising. Above 5830 I think most bears will give up.
Invalidation is below 5730.
bear case: Bears have to defend their big leg down from last week and they should keep it below 5830. They could see this as a buy vacuum to test the daily 20ema and we go down from here. My W4 target from my weekly outlook was 5800, so we are still close enough for this to be correct.
Invalidation is above 5830.
short term: Leaning bearish if we stay below 5830. Want to see this reverse completely and then some.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13 : Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Buying US open I guess.
BAYER CROPSCIENCE - Potential 40% upmove Mid Term IdeaThe stock is in strong uptrend.
Moving out of a 4 year old consolidation zone.
Coming out of a 5 week old
consolidation, Daily VCP Breakout.
Ready for Swing Targets
15% 8215, then 9579 - Short To MId Term Targets 3-6 months.
SL 5% 6576 Daily closing Basis.
Gold price analysis November 4Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices traded in positive territory on Monday. The US presidential election risks and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are likely to support the yellow metal, a traditional safe-haven asset, in the near term. However, renewed demand for the greenback and higher US bond yields could limit gold’s upside as higher yields make non-yielding assets such as bullion less attractive by comparison.
Investors will be closely watching the upcoming US presidential election on Tuesday. Attention will turn to the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Thursday. Uncertainty over the US election outcome is one reason why markets are betting on the Fed cutting interest rates by a conventional 25 basis points (bps) on Thursday, rather than repeating its excessive half-point easing.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices were trading sideways in a narrow range at the start of the week. The 2748 and 2728 borders are still guaranteed in today's Asian and European session. We still have to depend on the market volatility to choose the price border zones to trade. The support zones of interest are 2718, 2709. The upper border is noted around 2760 and 2780. When the price breaks out of the 2728 support zone, the main strategy will be to wait for SELL when the sellers have won the market. Wish you a successful trading day.
NZDUSD Is Approaching A Decent ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59950 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Support And Resistance Here we are focusing on 4h time frame for EURUSD. As we know that market local trend was bearish, but here we have fresh support zone so we are look for buy and after taking confirmation we execute trade. Let's analyze more deeply into these levels and potential outcomes.
Use proper risk to reward ratio.
2024-11-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Indexes - Most went sideways today and we got some marginally lower lows. That was decent enough to disappoint bulls who were used to BTFD for a long long time now. I do think some expansion of the current range is possible but I doubt we get a bigger breakout tomorrow due to US elections. Will the election effect the market big time? No idea but my guess is less than many expect. Can either side end the party for the 0.1% and make them sell their overvalued stonkz? Probably not but I am open to surprises. My guess is we will chop wildy back and forth, like today’s US open. Bears will likely get their second leg down, but it’s too soon.
dax xetra
comment: 50% pullback of the current range from Thursday’s low to Friday’s high is around 19260 and we closed 19260. Market is in balance at that price and I expect more sideways before we get another impulse down. To guess if we hit 19000 before 19350, is impossible and you should not trade based on those questions. Middle of the range is the worst place for trades, so wait.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 18900 - 19400
bull case: My line in the sand for bulls continues to be 19400 and until they break that price, bears are in full control. For tomorrow I expect more buyers around 19000-19100 and I will continue to look for longs in that area, until it’s clearly broken.
Invalidation is below 19000.
bear case: Bears prevented bulls from printing 19400, which showed strength and bulls finally gave up around 2 p.m. cet where we broke below 19300. The selling was much weaker than Friday’s rally and already had 3 legs down. Maybe bears can push this down to 19000-19090 but I don’t think the odds are good to take that trade. Shorts above 19300 can work. Most important for now is to not get trapped into bad trades like shorting below 19200 or buying above 19350.
Invalidation is above 19400.
short term : Neutral. Market needs to move more sideways before we get another impulse, which will probably be down for a second leg. Will look for shorts above 19300.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Shorting 19350 since it was bigger resistance and market tried 3 times to get above and failed.
2024-11-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Bitcoin - Neutral. Bears did good but I do think a pullback is imminent and could easily retest 70000-71500. This whole move is W1 of the next bear trend and any short with stop above 75000 is good. We will likely see 60000 in the next 1-2 weeks.
comment: Bulls could spike this up tomorrow due to news but otherwise, they are done. This move down is W1 of the new bear trend down below 50000 (which is also still inside the big trading range). A pullback is around the corner and I would not sell below 67000 for now. There is still an open bull gap to 65800, which will likely be closed tomorrow. My two legged correction down (drawn on the weekly update) to 65000 is still valid.
current market cycle: trading range on the weekly chart - new bear trend on the daily chart
key levels: 65000 - 70000
bull case: Bulls need to stop this above 65000 or we could see some panic selling. I do think a retest of 73000+ is already out of the question. Best they can hope for is some short squeeze to 70000/71000 before we get another leg down. If they close Wednesday above 72000 I am wrong.
Invalidation is below 65000.
bear case: Bears doing really good, much better than expected and that can only mean that bulls are running for the exits and want their profits secured. A measured move down from here brings us exactly to 60000. There. Are. No. Coincidences.
Invalidation is above 72000.
short term: Neutral. Want to see a pullback higher to short this into oblivion over the next months.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-03 : Mother of all double tops is what I expect to hold. So highs are likely in and we go down hard from here. 40000 is my target for the next 3-5 months.
current swing trade: Soon
trade of the day: Shorting 69000. Clear resistance and market tried 3 times and failed. Perfect head & shoulders pattern, measured move target down was 67000 and market reached it afterhours.
XAUUSD Analysis | Upcoming Election...GOLD recently bounced off the key resistance zone whilst creating all time highs for the last 2 weeks before slowing down before the next quarter phase of $2,800 where we saw a pivot correction into what could be a inner descending channel of the overall long term bull trend.
As price approaches a key support level which is met by several confirmations such as the EMA, Dynamic Trend, Lower BB + Latter half of this quarter phase we could see a short term pullback to test that newly created resistance and create a lower high inside the inner channel before descending to fulfil price at these confirmation levels of $2,700 and a suitable long entry point for the long term trend following the correct validations.
In previous times following elections the precious metal has had corrections from its price which would increase the probability of this idea but it is still important to be patient and make sure to wait for suitable confirmations to unfold before looking at entries due to the volatility that will occur primarily watching price action to gain better insight into the market movements.
If you like this analysis feel free to drop a like and comment your ideas about the upcoming direction of gold below :)
Solana (SOL) Bullish Setup Gaining MomentumTechnical Overview:
Ascending support trendline: Solana (SOL) has maintained a consistent upward trajectory since September, forming higher lows that reinforce the bullish trend.
Resistance Zone: SOL is now testing the critical $180-$190 resistance area, which forms part of a saucer formation, a pattern that often precedes strong upward moves.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $190 (critical breakout point)
Targets: $220 (previous high), $275-$280 (extended bullish target)
Support: Ascending trendline, below $180.
Outlook:
A break and close above the $190 level could ignite a major rally, with the next significant targets around $220 and potentially $275-$280 if momentum continues.
With the current technical setup favoring bulls, the risk-reward is attractive for those looking to ride the next leg up.
#Solana #SOL #PriceAction #Bullish #CryptoMarket
Gold Is Approaching Higher Timeframes TrendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 2700 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.