Priceaction
GJ-Mon-16/06/25 TDA-A lot of uncertainty this week, watch out!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
A lot of uncertainty ahead this week:
-BoJ interest rate decision
-GBP CPI
-Fed interest rate decision
-BoE interest rate decision
-Middle east tension between Israel-Iran
Stay up to date to latest global news, check
economic calendar.
Know when to increase your risks and when
to lower your risks (protect and preserve your
capital).
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Gold Analysis (Bullish Bias)Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside.
I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup:
Demand Zone / Support Level:
Entry key level: 3426 - 3420
As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up.
Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised.
#GOLD, #FOREX , # @VeloraFXReal
Forex Weekly Portfolio Selection – Top Trade SetupsWeekly Forex Portfolio Selection – H1 Chart Analysis
Using the Weekly & Daily Currency Strength Index, we’ve identified the strongest and weakest currencies to build a focused trading portfolio for the week.
📊 Currency Strength Ranking (1 = Weakest, 8 = Strongest):
EUR: 8
CHF: 7
CAD: 6
GBP: 5
AUD: 4
NZD: 3
USD: 2
JPY: 1
➡️ The Euro (EUR) is currently the strongest, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) is the weakest.
🔍 Analysed Pairs (H1 Timeframe):
EURJPY
EURUSD
CADJPY
GBPUSD
This selection focuses on high-probability setups aligned with trend and strength analysis.
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Last week I printed another potential two-legged correction where the C would print a new ath. Bulls were to weak to even retest 112k and 110k was all they got. Now I do think there are many more reasons that this will be the mother of all doubles tops than any arguments for the bulls exist, how they could print a new ath. Structure is decent and market has spent many days at the top trying to continuing the trend. Confirmation is a daily close below 100k.
current market cycle: Broad bull channel on the weekly tf. Market is about to re-test the ath and will likely transition into a trading range afterwards or we are already in one.
key levels: 100k - 115k
bull case: Bulls are still hopeful, that’s why we are still above 110k but the next touch could break it and I doubt many will hold long or scale into new ones there. Best bulls can get right now is to go sideways for longer and stay above 100k. I mean… Staying above 100k is as bullish as it get’s if you be honest.
Invalidation is a daily close below 100k
bear case: Can we also get a new bear trend from 110k? We would need 4-5 consecutive daily bear closes for that. Right now bears are only getting 4 but prices is not moving much during those 4 and the bars are overlapping too much. Bulls are still hopeful. Bears need to do more if they want lower prices again. As of now bulls are favored to continue inside the given range.
Invalidation is above 113k
short term: Bearish with stop 113k. Will scale into shorts and take some profits around 100k until we see a big breakout below.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08:
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08: “Need to see a clear sign that bulls can not push it beyond 112k and once we turn again from closer to the ath, I will comment on bear targets for the next months.”
This was from last week and market provided this clear sign with the amazing double top but only a daily close below 100k is confirmation. First target below 100k is 97k the breakout retest and after that is the 50% retracement around 93000.
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Good week for oil bulls but still a lower high below the April high 78.1. Now what? If this buying is the real thing and market is expecting higher prices for longer, the pullback will stay above 70. If bulls do that, we can expect at least a second leg up to retest 75+ or even 80+. We are seeing a full on war between Israel and Iran but you should not trade based on that. There are bulls who bought above 73 on Friday and lost Money so far.
current market cycle: trading range 54 - 78 on the weekly tf. Decent chance we are in a bull trend that could lead to 80/84 or higher.
key levels: 70 - 77
bull case: Bulls have all the arguments on their side. They now need to leave a big open gap to 69.3 and then we can do a measured move up. My lowest target for that is 80. Structure on the 1h chart is a textbook two-legged pullback and above 74.5 it’s a clear buy signal.
Invalidation is below 70.8 but can likely also be 70
bear case: Bears do not have much. They trapped late bulls on Friday and that’s a likely reason we sold off 677 ticks from the high. They need lower lows below 70.8 and close the gap to the Thursday high before the news-bomb hit. For that to happen they have to break 2 bull trend lines. I will not look for shorts on this tbh.
Invalidation is above 74.5
short term: Bullish. Maybe a bit more sideways but I have given two invalidation prices for bulls and couple of targets above. I don’t think looking for shorts makes any sense unless you are really good at scalping.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-15: Maybe we have seen the 2-year trading range coming to an end on Friday and we are in a new bull trend that could lead oil to 80 or higher. Right now it’s pure guesswork until we print higher highs above Friday’s 77.62. Oil above 80 is not something we have seen since end of 2023 so expect some ripples.
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: I do think we will continue to print lower highs from 22094. Very clear invalidation price for that thesis is a print above 21855. 21000 is my target for the next days/weeks. A strong daily bear close below the daily 20ema around 21450 would be my confirmation. Above 21855 we continue to chop sideways and could retest 22094.
current market cycle: trading range most likely for now until we have a daily close below 20ema
key levels for next week: 21450 - 21855 (below 21450 - next target is 21000 and above 21855 next target is 22000)
bull case: Bulls outdid themselves by almost completely reversing the strong sell-off on Friday. That certainly was unexpected but now is decision time. Can they keep the market above 21500 a second time? If so, most bears will likely be quick to give up again and we can continue sideways 21500 - 22100 or even higher. Since we did not close below the daily ema, bulls remain in control.
Invalidation is below 21450
bear case: Bears see the bull wedge as broken and want to trade down from here. The top we have formed is a credible double top with ath 22656 and good for swing shorts. Bulls have been given two amazing macro numbers last week, especially the cpi print and we could not break strongly above. Instead we got a spike and it crumbled afterwards. Those are the type of things that don’t happen in bull trends.
Invalidation is above 21855
short term: Neutral for now and I wait for the breakout to either side. I want to favor the bears but they were so weak after the Globex sell spike on Friday, it’s not wise to hope they suddenly become strong.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-15: Daily close below 21450 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher.
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears leaving no doubt who is in control of the market now. Volume is picking up on the move down and bear bars are getting bigger. I expect a bit more fighting around 23500 but once we break below, 23000 is the next target and also likely a gap close down to 22600. I have drawn my least bearish wave thesis on the chart where the 50% retracement gets hit over the next weeks. Much more bearish would be the 20000 target. If this selling continues without a pullback, I will adjust the legs.
current market cycle: trading range until we close below 23200 - then we are in the new bear trend. As of now the continuation inside the range is more likely.
key levels for next week: 22600 - 24000
bull case: Got nothing for the bulls but in case we trade back above 23580, we have to assume sideways for longer. I don’t think we can try another new ath after this selling. Bulls found support at the sell-spike from the 50% tariff announcement. If overall markets won’t sell off early on Monday, we can expect some sideways movement before market gets the next impulse up or down. Anything above 24100 would surprise me big time.
Invalidation is below 23280
bear case: 23280 is the price to break for more downside and 23580 is the most important price for bears to prevent the bulls from getting. If 23580 holds, we can do another strong leg down to close the gap 22600. If we go above, the next bear trend line would be around 23950ish and if we get there we will likely test 24000 again. After 5 consecutive bear bars, bulls can not hold longs in hope for another run at the highs. The bear bars are getting bigger and market tested above 24000 enough to know there are not enough buyers. Bulls tried 4 times to 3 times to continue the trend. Selling this top with long term shorts is as good as it gets. On lower time frames I expect a bit more sideways before another leg down.
Invalidation is above 23280
short term: Neutral but only on time frames lower than 4h. W1 has likely concluded but I expect at least a big second leg down to 22600ish. Bears have to keep it below 23580 or we could test back up to 24000.
medium-long term from 2025-06-15: Bull trend has most likely concluded. Long term shorts are fine. Stop has to be at least 24508. I see it 70% or more that we will see 22000 before end of August.
Brent Crude Hits Key Supply Zone After BreakoutPrice has aggressively broken out from the descending wedge and reached a strong 4H & 1D resistance zone between 74.50–76.00.
• 1D Chart: Sharp breakout from long-term descending trendline. Approaching resistance from Feb-April supply area.
• 4H Chart: Bullish structure confirmed by higher lows and breakout of ascending channel.
• 1H & 23m Chart: Consolidating beneath resistance, forming a triangle structure.
Key Zones:
• Support: 71.50–72.00
• Resistance: 74.50–76.00
Bias: Neutral short-term (range). Bullish if 76 is broken and held.
Gold Testing Daily Resistance – Will the Breakout Hold?Gold is currently testing a major 1D resistance zone at 3432–3450 after a strong bullish move.
• 1D Chart: Price has rallied back into the resistance zone after bouncing from ascending trendline support.
• 4H Chart: Strong momentum candle broke through the prior 4H resistance zone at ~3360, confirming bullish pressure.
• 1H & 23m Chart: Price is holding within a bullish channel, but showing signs of consolidation under key resistance.
Key Zones:
• Support: 3380 / 3360
• Resistance: 3432–3450
Bias: Bullish above 3360. Needs daily close above 3450 for continuation.
NASDAQ Pullback or Reversal? Watching 4H Support ZonePrice is reacting from the 1D resistance zone around 21,950 and now hovering near a 4H support zone at ~21,520.
• 1D Chart: Long wick rejection from resistance.
• 4H Chart: Break of rising wedge and rejection from 1H trendline.
• 1H & 23m Chart: Clear bearish order block formed. Price consolidating under broken structure.
Key Zones:
• Support: 21,500 / 21,325
• Resistance: 21,900 / 22,000
Bias: Bearish below 21,750. Retest of support expected.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — 16 June 2025👋 Hello team, here’s where we stand before the upcoming key week:
🔎 The Narrative
Gold remains in bullish control after weeks of controlled expansion.
The clean breakout above previous major highs triggered liquidity resets that cleared significant weak-handed positions.
Last week’s sweep into 3447 activated premium liquidity, trapping late buyers at the edge of impulsive highs. But the game is far from over — smart money continues to rotate liquidity at these extreme levels, using premium expansion to build further trap pockets both above and below.
Behind this technical expansion, macro tensions continue to fuel underlying gold demand. Geopolitical uncertainties remain elevated with the Middle East escalation risk growing, while recent Fed positioning keeps rate path expectations flexible.
The upcoming FOMC decision later this week will likely act as the true liquidity catalyst — until then, gold remains positioned for further inducement cycles as both buyers and sellers continue to get baited into traps.
🔼 Premium Supply Zones
Price Zone Description
3447 – 3470 Weak high sweep — premium liquidity trap fully active
3500 – 3525 Main extension liquidity pocket — Fibonacci cluster (1.272 & 1.414 extensions)
3550 – 3570 Exhaustion inducement — full 1.618 premium extension stack
🔽 Demand Defense Zones
Price Zone Description
3415 – 3395 Minor imbalance recalibration — short-term liquidity refill zone
3365 – 3345 Core breakout OB + FVG overlap — main recalibration zone if pullbacks extend
3285 – 3265 HTF bullish structure base — BOS origin + deep recalibration defense level
🎯 Where We Stand Right Now
✅ Smart money holds full control inside premium expansion.
✅ Inducement layers remain open both above and below current price.
✅ We expect short-term liquidity sweeps before any major expansion unfolds.
✅ No change in bias — bullish structure remains valid while 3285 holds.
🔐 The Mindset
👉 This is not the place for aggressive chasing.
👉 Liquidity will continue to hunt both sides into key events ahead.
👉 Our job is not to predict, but to position with discipline once liquidity confirms displacement inside the calibrated zones.
🚀 If this breakdown helps you stay locked:
💬 Drop a 🚀, leave your thoughts & follow for full sniper-level updates as we approach a volatile week ahead.
Stay sharp — the trap is already in play.
— GoldFxMinds
USDJPY Trading RangeUSDJPY saw some corrections late on Friday. Overall, the pair remains sideways in a wide range of 143,000-145,100 and has yet to establish a clear continuation trend.
The wider band in the sideways trend is extended at 146,000 and 142,000.
The trading strategy will be based on the band that is touched.
Pay attention to the breakout as it may continue the strong trend and avoid trading against the trend when breaking.
Support: 143,000, 142,000
Resistance: 145,000, 146,000
Gold: silence on the charts—because the real money already movedThe gold market isn't reacting — it's confirming. The Israeli strikes on Iran? That’s the trigger. But the move started earlier. Price was already coiled, already positioned. All the market needed was a headline. And it got it.
Price broke out of the accumulation channel and cleared $3,400 — a key structural level that’s acted as a battleground in past rotations. The move from $3,314 was no fluke — it was a textbook build: sweep the lows, reclaim structure, flip the highs. Volume spiked exactly where it needed to — this wasn’t emotional buying. This was smart money pulling the pin.
Technicals are loaded:
— Holding above $3,396–3,398 (0.618 Fibo + demand re-entry zone)
— All major EMAs (including MA200) are now below price
— RSI strong, no sign of exhaustion
— Candles? Clean control bars — breakout, retest, drive
— Volume profile above price = air pocket — resistance is thin to nonexistent up to $3,450+
Targets:
— $3,447 — prior high
— $3,484 — 1.272 extension
— $3,530 — full 1.618 expansion — key upside target
Fundamentals:
Middle East is boiling. Iran is ready to retaliate. Israel is already escalating. In moments like these, gold isn't just a commodity — it's capital preservation. The dollar is rising — and gold still rallies. That means this isn’t about inflation, or rates. It’s about risk-off. Pure, institutional-level flight to safety.
Tactical view:
The breakout is done. Holding above $3,396 confirms the thesis. Pullbacks to that zone? Reloading points. While gold remains in the channel and momentum is clean, the only side that matters right now — is long.
When price moves before the news — that’s not reaction. That’s preparation. Stay sharp.
USDCHF - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in orange. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper orange trendline and structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ETH - Medium-Term Bulls Confirmed Control!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per our previous ETH analysis (shown on the chart), ETH rejected the green support zone and pushed higher, reaching our target near $2,750.
What’s next?
After breaking above the $2,750 structure marked in red, the bulls have confirmed medium-term control.
🏹 As long as the last major low at $2,700 holds, ETH is expected to remain bullish, with a potential move toward the $3,500 resistance zone.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Breakdown : Structure Shifting + Target📍 Overview:
Gold (XAUUSD) has been displaying a classic technical development that traders need to pay close attention to. What initially looked like a smooth parabolic rally has now transitioned into a clear structure shift, as evidenced by the breakdown of a rounded support curve and rejection from a major resistance zone. The market is signaling a bearish retracement or even a deeper correction, and this setup offers potential trading opportunities both for short-term scalpers and swing traders.
📊 Chart Breakdown:
🔸 1. The Rounded Support Curve (Black Mind Curve):
The curve outlines a strong upward acceleration phase starting from the June 9 low.
This curve often acts like a dynamic support — similar to a parabolic trendline.
As long as price stays above it, the momentum remains intact.
In this case, Gold broke below the curve, which is a sign of exhaustion and potential bearish control.
🔸 2. Major Resistance Zone (~$3,417 – $3,427):
This level has acted as a ceiling multiple times in the past, visible in earlier highs from June 5 and 6.
Upon re-approaching this zone, price showed aggressive wicks to the upside followed by strong bearish candles — signaling institutional selling and profit-taking.
This triple rejection reinforced the resistance’s significance.
🔸 3. Structure Mapping and Transition:
After the breakdown, we observed a clean market structure shift: the formation of lower highs and lower lows, a key sign of bearish trend development.
The current price action is flowing downward in an organized pattern, suggesting further downside unless a strong reversal or bullish engulfing setup occurs.
🔸 4. Next Reversal Zone (~$3,360):
This area is identified as a high-probability support zone based on:
Past price reaction.
Previous accumulation zone from June 10–11.
Psychological round number proximity (e.g., $3,350 – $3,360).
Traders should monitor this level for potential reversal setups such as bullish engulfing candles, pin bars, or RSI divergence.
🧠 Market Psychology:
This pattern reflects a classic distribution phase at resistance after an emotionally driven uptrend:
Retail traders jump in late as the price approaches highs.
Institutions begin distributing (selling into strength).
Support breaks down as retail stops get triggered.
Price drops into a demand zone where accumulation may begin again.
Understanding this psychological cycle helps traders align with the smart money rather than chasing price action blindly.
🛠️ Potential Trading Plans:
✅ Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation
Wait for a retest of the broken structure (~$3,390 – $3,400).
Look for rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star).
Entry: ~$3,395–$3,400 | Target: ~$3,360 | SL: Above $3,420.
✅ Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal from Support
Monitor price action around $3,360 zone.
Look for bullish structure forming: higher lows, reversal candles, divergence.
Entry: On confirmation (e.g., bullish pin bar on 1H or 4H).
Target: Back to structure at ~$3,400–$3,410.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
Avoid entering in the middle of the range.
Use proper stop-loss positioning to manage volatility.
Keep an eye on macro catalysts like:
US inflation reports
Fed commentary or interest rate decisions
Geopolitical tensions that can spike gold
🧭 Summary:
The market is unfolding a textbook technical setup:
Resistance rejection
Rounded support breakdown
Bearish structure
Approaching a high-probability support zone
Patience is key — let price come to your level. Watch the $3,360 zone for potential reversal, and use structure to guide entries and exits.
📌 Final Note:
This analysis is part of the MMC Methodology (Market Mapping Cycle), which focuses on identifying macro structure, confirming micro structure, and mapping turning points with precision.
Let the market reveal itself. Don't chase — plan and execute with clarity.
GU-Fri-13/06/25 TDA-Difficult zone, prioritize risk management!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
June definitely showing slower price action,
tighter range movement (average daily movement).
This is how markets work! Some months it gives
good push, wide average daily movement. Some others,
it gives less average daily movement and slower pushes.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GJ-Thu-12/06/25 TDA-GJ breaking 195.000 support levelAnalysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
No strategy has 100% win rate, this is when
risk management comes in handy.
We are humans, we all make humans errors
if you are manual trading and executing the
trades.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
NZDJPY Breakdown Setup Alert | Technical AnalysisThe NZDJPY pair has broken the bullish trendline, signaling a possible shift in momentum.
Key Observations:
Price rejected the 87.720 resistance level
Clear break and close below the trendline
Pullback expected before continuation down
Targets:
📉 First support: 84.232
📉 Final support: 80.039
🔄 A retest of the broken trendline or horizontal resistance could offer a clean short entry opportunity.
Bearish Bias remains valid unless price reclaims and closes above 87.720.
💬 What do you think? Is this the start of a deeper correction for NZDJPY?
📈 Drop your thoughts and let’s discuss!
#NZDJPY #Forex #PriceAction #TrendlineBreak #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
XAU/USD 4H Technical Analysis 13 June 2025Market Structure & Bias:
On the 4H chart, gold has broken out of a recent sideways range and formed a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This “break of structure” (BOS) through the old swing high confirms a bullish bias.
Price action respects key support zones (demand areas) on retracements, suggesting underlying buying interest. The overall bias is bullish, driven by risk‐off sentiment. Support and resistance act as natural pause/reversal zones
For example, a demand zone/order block around ~3390–3400 (from the prior swing low) has been tested and held, fueling the recent rally.
Likewise, an imbalance (fair value gap) left below 3400 could attract buyers if price returns. We also note that a change of character (CHOCH) would occur only if price breaks below a higher-low; so far that has not happened.
In short, gold’s 4H market structure is bullish (higher highs/lows) and the trend looks set to continue upward unless a strong reversal forms. Key Levels (4H): We use classic pivot points to mark critical levels (using the last 4H high, low, close). Pivot points can project future support and resistance.
Based on recent swings, key levels are:
Pivot: 3424 (calculated from last bar’s H/L/C)
Support 1: 3413
Support 2: 3399
Support 3: 3374
Resistance 1: 3438
Resistance 2: 3449
Resistance 3: 3474
Price currently hovers just below R1. These levels align with congestion zones and Fib retracements (50–61.8% of the last $3290–3427 upswing), so expect active bidding near S1–S2 and selling around R1–R2.
Intraday 1H Trade Setups
Buy Zone ~3395–3405 (Bullish OB/Demand):
Entry: Long on dips into the order-block/demand area near 3395–3405 (just above S1).
Stop: ~3385 (≈$10 below entry zone).
Targets: TP1 ≈ 3438 (Resistance 1), TP2 ≈ 3450 (near R2).
Reason: This zone aligns with a prior institutional order block/demand and a 61.8% Fib retrace of the recent rally. Price has shown bounce here before, so a bullish reaction is likely.
Trigger: Look for a bullish reversal candle (e.g. bullish engulfing or pin bar) on 1H in this zone, or a market structure low (MSL) turning point. A break back above the high of that candle can serve as confirmation to enter.
Sell Zone ~3435–3445 (Bearish Retrace):
Entry: Short near resistance around 3435–3445 (just below R1–R2).
Stop: ~3455 (≈$10 above entry zone).
Targets: TP1 ≈ 3413 (Support 1), TP2 ≈ 3399 (Support 2).
Reason: This area is the upper end of the recent range. It contains a minor supply zone and the R1–R2 pivots. A liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) may occur above recent highs.
If price loses momentum here, expect a pullback.
Trigger: Watch for a bearish price action signal (e.g. a bearish engulfing candle or a double-top swing) on 1H. A break of the immediate lower low (lower than the last minor swing) would confirm a short-term change of character and signal entry.
Breakout Long ~3449+:
Entry: Long on a sustained break above R2 (≈3450). Confirm entry when price closes above 3449 on 1H.
Stop: ~3424 (just under the Pivot).
Targets: TP1 ≈ 3474 (Resistance 3), TP2 ≈ 3495+ (new highs).
Reason: A clean breakout of 3450 would indicate strong bullish order flow and trigger stop-run triggers. This would be a continuation trade in line with the 4H uptrend.
Trigger: A bullish candle closing above 3449 (ideally with above-average size) or a 1H break of structure (higher high over 3449) would signal entry.
Takeaway: Gold remains in a bullish 4H trend; focus on buying dips into demand zones and watch for clear candlestick triggers at support/resistance.