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Russel 2000 Compared to General MarketTVC:RUT has continued to sell off since my last couple posts and I believe we could see a huge market correction this year if price doesn't look to stop selling. The next play on RUT I would like to see price pullback to the last breakout zone ($2,200) to confirm a continuation in trend This play also looks very familiar to the 2022 selloff with equal highs to our current price structure. Seeing that AMEX:SPY is at a higher high tells me there is market-wide divergence and a topping pattern could be in play. Now when we add CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $OTHER to the mix we can see bitcoin actually tops out first while Alts and SPX look to make one more leg up before crashing out. The Trend Reader at the lower tab has topped out and has a bearish crossing in the overbought zone indicating we can see a long term play to the downside.
TVC:RUT
by Nathanl19
Channel**SAND/USDT – 15-Minute Chart Analysis** The price has formed a **double bottom** near the **0.3040 - 0.3027** support zone and is showing signs of bullish reversal. A breakout from the short-term downtrend structure has occurred, and a **higher low** is forming. Entry has been taken at the breakout with a target around **0.3206**, which aligns with a previous resistance level. The stop-loss is set below the recent support zone. 🟢 **Trade Management**: Close **half of the position** at **TP1** to secure profits and let the rest run.
Long
by WhiteHouse021
1
Gold (XAUUSD) - Liquidity Grab & Potential ReversalGold has been showing interesting price action around key levels, forming a potential double top structure. The market tested the 2,930.19 resistance level, rejecting it sharply and showing signs of exhaustion. Possible Scenario: - Point A : Price is currently reacting from a key resistance level where liquidity is stacked. - Point B : A potential sweep of liquidity around 2,874.04 , where price could create a demand zone before reversing. - Point C : If buyers step in after the liquidity grab at B, we could see a rally back into the resistance zone, targeting a break of 2,930.19 . However, if the structure breaks lower without a strong buyer reaction, further downside could come into play, possibly targeting 2,820 as the next liquidity zone. Key Considerations: - Monitoring fundamental catalysts such as economic data and interest rate decisions. With NFP and Fed updates this week, volatility is expected! - Watching for confirmation of bullish intent after the liquidity grab. - Tracking volume to gauge potential momentum. 🚀 Do you think gold will hold above 2,874.04 , or will bears take over? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀 #Tradingview FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ProcessAndIntercept
EURJPY - Follow the Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉EURJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red. Since it is retesting the upper bound of the wedge, I will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes. For now, we wait!⏱️ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
2
BTCUSD – Head & Shoulders Confirmed?In my previous analysis ( ), I outlined a potential Head & Shoulders formation that could lead to a bearish move. So far, price action has followed this structure accurately. Key Developments: ✅ The right shoulder seems to be forming as expected. ✅ Price grabbed liquidity above $92,500 before reacting downward. ✅ A double top has formed, adding further bearish confluence. What’s Next? If the market respects this pattern, a break below the neckline could confirm a continuation lower, with a potential target at $59,117 , aligning with the full Head & Shoulders projection. Conclusion: So far, this setup is playing out perfectly. If bearish pressure continues, we could see a deeper decline. However, a sustained move above $95,150 would invalidate this scenario. 🔔 Do you see BTC following this path, or do you expect a bullish surprise? Drop your thoughts below!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by ProcessAndIntercept
2025-03-06 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Another ath but two rejections for 300+ points. I give bulls one more try at this and if we pull back below 23300 again, this likely sells off into the weekend. Past 3 Friday’s we chopped into the weekend after a gap down. Right now is not the time to have bigger positions over the weekend when orange face is at work. current market cycle: bull trend until trend line is broken (daily close below 22300) key levels: 22000 - 24000 bull case: Bulls want 24k now. They are high enough that they could get there but the upper bull trend line is still resistance and every time we touched it in the past days, we sold off for couple hundred points. Bulls know that and since we closed high, I doubt many want to buy above 23200 and hold those over the weekend. Weekly close above 23000 would be very good for the bulls though. Invalidation is below 22900. bear case: Bears need the week to close below 23k, no ifs or buts. A head & shoulders breakdown would be my preferred structure tomorrow, with a measured move down could get us to 22500 but we would need a news bomb I guess. Technically chop between 23000 - 23500 is most likely after a wild week. Weekly close couple ticks below 23k. Anything below 22900 tomorrow is a bear surprise and could go much lower then. Again, my bullish targets were all met with 23k and this channel can’t go on forever but until it’s broken, bulls are in control. Invalidation is above 23600. short term: Neutral around 23200/300. Bearish only below 22900 or around 23500. I’d like to see a lower high tomorrow and then some really big bear bars and a bear surprise. More likely is chop though. Next days we could get some news that the current government might not be able to get enough votes to get the gigantic special budget approved. If so, could trigger a mini-crash. This market is up here on the hopes and dreams of German stimulus. Not saying it won’t happen but front-running goes horribly wrong sometimes. medium-long term from 2024-02-26: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. Daily close below 22000 is needed to turn this neutral and end the bull trend-. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying from 23130 was insanely strong on US open but so was the rejection. Both trades were good if you are comfortable with reversing positions. You could have bought at previous support and sold at previous resistance. So both were amazing trades and not the hardest to take.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
GBP/USD - Institutional Backed Long Setup📌 Trade Execution & Technicals Pair: GBP/USD Timeframe: 15M Trade Type: Long Position Entry: 1.2816 – Price rejected key Fibonacci retracement level (0.62 Fib) after a liquidity sweep Stop Loss: Below 1.2800 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 1.2862 (-0.27 Fib extension) ✅ Target TP2: 1.2883 (-0.62 Fib extension) ✅ Target Technical Confluence: Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price bounced off the 0.62 retracement (1.2816) Market Structure: Higher low formation confirmed bullish continuation Institutional Liquidity Grab: Price swept sell-side liquidity before reversing bullish 📊 Trade Outcome ✅ High-Probability Long Setup Both TP1 & TP2 levels hit with strong bullish momentum Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 1:3 Price action confirmed bullish institutional positioning 🌍 High-Impact News That Influenced GBP/USD UK S&P Global Services PMI (Actual: 51.0 vs Forecast: 51.1) – Slightly weaker, but still expansionary US ADP National Employment (77K vs Forecast: 140K) – Weaker than expected, USD pressured BoE Treasury Select Hearing (Hawkish Bias) – Supporting GBP strength US ISM Manufacturing Prices & Business Activity Upcoming – Expected to increase USD volatility 💡 News Summary: Weaker-than-expected US jobs data pressured the USD, providing momentum for GBP/USD upside GBP remained resilient despite mixed PMI data, benefiting from USD weakness 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 🔍 Prime Market Terminal Key Data: GBP/USD Average True Range (ATR): 1-week ATR: 0.81% 1-month ATR: 0.86% Institutional Liquidity Insights: High liquidity buildup in the 1.2800-1.2820 range, acting as support Strong order flow pushing GBP/USD higher post-US employment data release 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow 📊 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data & Smart Money Insights: Dealer Positioning: GBP Net Positioning: +56,707 contracts (Bullish institutional sentiment) USD Net Positioning: -11,542 contracts (Bearish outlook on USD) Open Interest & Retail Sentiment: Retail Short Bias: 72% Short, 28% Long – Potential short squeeze Smart Money Accumulation Zone: 1.2800-1.2820 📌 Conclusion 🔹 Why This Trade Worked: ✔ Liquidity Grab Below 1.2816 Before Reversal ✔ Institutional Positioning Confirmed Bullish Momentum ✔ Weaker US Jobs Data Weighed on USD, Pushing GBP/USD Higher 🚀 Next Steps: Monitoring 1.2860 for continuation towards 1.2900 key level Watching upcoming US ISM data for potential volatility spike 🔥 What’s your outlook on GBP/USD? Comment your thoughts below!
Long
by LDForex_
Avoid Market Maker Traps: Liquidity Sweeps & FVG ExplainedUnderstanding Market Maker's Perspective: Liquidity Sweeps and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) In this educational post, I'll dive into the smart money concepts (SMC) that help traders understand market behavior from a broker or market maker's perspective. This analysis will focus on liquidity sweeps, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and how market makers use these strategies to manipulate price movements. What is a Liquidity Sweep? A liquidity sweep occurs when the market pushes through a known level of liquidity, such as stop losses or pending orders. This action often creates sharp wicks or sudden moves, typically engineered by smart money to gather liquidity for their positions. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Explained An FVG is a price gap between a consecutive bullish and bearish candle (or vice versa), leaving a void in the market. These gaps often act as magnets for price, as market makers seek to "fill" these gaps, using them as traps for retail traders. The Retail Trader's Perspective Many new traders view the FVG as a signal to enter the market, expecting price to move in their favor immediately. They often set stop losses below recent lows, providing market makers with a clear liquidity target. How Market Makers Exploit Liquidity Market makers often execute a classic trap strategy: Push the price up slightly to create a false sense of security for retail buyers. Execute a sharp move down to trigger stop losses and capture liquidity below key levels. Finally, reverse the price direction sharply to the upside, aligning with their true market intent. Practical Trading Strategy For new traders, understanding this concept can help avoid common traps: Avoid entering trades at the FVG without confirmation. Look for signs of a liquidity sweep, such as long wicks or strong rejections. Enter trades only after seeing a market structure shift (MSS) that confirms the true direction. Conclusion By thinking like a market maker, traders can align their strategies with smart money concepts, improving their chances of success. Always remain patient, seek confirmation, and avoid the traps set by market manipulation. This post aims to educate traders on avoiding common pitfalls and developing a more strategic approach to trading using smart money concepts.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDEducation
by SuvashishFx
Gold (XAUUSD) - Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Setup!Hello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, let's discuss about Gold and it is showing a strong bullish setup with an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart . This means buyers are stepping in , and a breakout above the $2,930-$2,932 neckline could push prices higher toward the next resistance at $2,954-$2,960 . A stop-loss around $2,910-$2,906 can help manage risk in case of a pullback. Watch for volume confirmation when the breakout happens—it’ll add more strength to the move! If Gold breaks out and holds above the neckline , we could see a good upside rally as buyers take charge. But if it fails to sustain, we might see some consolidation or even a drop. Best approach? Wait for a clean breakout and retest before jumping in. Stay sharp, manage risk, and trade smart! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. If you Found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
2025-03-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market made a lower high. Most important fact today. Higher low also but for bears it was more important than for the bulls. Range is contracting between 20300 and 20730, so play it. News bombs will likely determine what we will do tomorrow. Embrace the volatility. Trade small and take profits along the way. current market cycle: trading range - only daily closes below 20000 mark the end of this bull trend key levels: 20300 - 20730 (above 20730 we will likely go for 21k / below 20300 is 20000) bull case: Bulls are in reach to break the bear channel and melt higher again. They need to break above tomorrow or bears might do the unthinkable and go below 20000 into the weekend. We have corrected 10% from the ath and a bounce would be a bit more fitting than continuation. My W2 target is around 21200. Very important for bulls is to print higher lows tomorrow, means staying above 20215. Invalidation is below 20215. bear case: Bears continue to have deep intraday bear legs so bulls are not too happy in buying high, which is probably why we are contracting again. Bears want to continue this sharp sell off into the weekend, likely below the big round number 20000. They are still in control until the bear channel is broken. Invalidation is above 21740. short term: Neutral but I kinda slightly favor the bulls since we are at the 2024-11, 2025-02 and 2025-01 support. If the bear channel continues, so be it. Happily shorting this for 20k then but I’d be more surprised if we do not make new highs above 20740 tomorrow and test 21k again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-23: Neutral since we are in a 4-5 month trading range. Still leaning heavily bearish for this year but for now it’s sideways until we get consecutive daily closes below 20000. trade of the day: Range was clear and given, have to play it. Both sides made good money today.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
UK100 (FTSE)-Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 8380.25 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 8611.20 on 02/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 8854.99, 9000.00, 9100.00 and more heights is expected. Take Profits: 8664.21 8765.00 8854.99 9000.00 9100.00 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
FX:UK100
by ForecastCity
8
GBP/USD: Bulls in Control… For Now! Key Levels to Watch Hello Folks GBP/USD is holding strong above 1.2533, and I see a potential bullish move toward 1.2805 if momentum continues. But I’m staying flexible—if price breaks below 1.2450, my bias shifts, and I’ll look for downside targets instead. 📊 📍 Here’s how I see it: ✅ Bullish above: 1.2533 → 1.2627 → 1.2650 → 1.2805 🚀 ❌ Bearish shift below: 1.2450 → 1.2378 👀 💡 My Plan: As long as GBP/USD stays above 1.2533, I’m bullish and expecting a push toward 1.2805 📈 If price drops below 1.2450, I’ll reconsider and look for shorts instead 📉 ⚠️ No need to rush—let the market confirm the move!
Long
by QuantumFusion
Trading Range**XRP/USDT – 15-Minute Chart Analysis** The price is currently trading within an ascending channel, showing a gradual recovery after the previous sharp decline. A key resistance zone around **2.5240 - 2.5470** is being tested, which aligns with the upper range of a consolidation phase. If the price fails to break above this level, it could lead to a pullback towards the lower boundary of the channel, around **2.4465**. However, a breakout above resistance could indicate further bullish momentum, with the next target around **2.6430 - 2.6500**. Monitoring price reaction at these levels will be crucial in determining the next move. The trade is being executed with **25x leverage**, increasing both potential returns and risk exposure.
Short
by WhiteHouse021
1
2025-03-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Very strong selling followed by very strong buying but bears defended where they had to. Another one for the 50% retracement if you go from ath down to 22348, the 50% is around 22849 and market stopped the bounce pretty much there. Now we have a big gap up from 22357 up to 22707 but I doubt this will stay open. My bias is bearish with stop 23091 but for now we can’t expect market to drop below 22300 since the buying down there was so strong. current market cycle: bull trend until trend line is broken (daily close below 22300) key levels: 22000 - 23351 bull case: Bulls reversed 78.6% of the selling almost to the tick. I let you figure out which glorified pattern that is. I do not care about them nearly as much as others. I only care about the 50% and then maybe 30% or 60% to determine how strong the pullback is. Bulls showed strength by rallying for 500+ points and that naturally makes me think the downside is limited for now. Problem for them is, the rejection from 22351 on Monday was so strong that they likely won’t buy high again and wait for pullbacks. Since bears also showed strength, we will likely continue sideways. Bulls need something above 23091 to retest 23355 or go higher. Invalidation is below 22300. bear case: Bears had an amazing small-pullback-bear-trend but bulls bought heavily the lows on the news that the EU will do a new fund and Germany will also likely do new debt to finance defense and infrastructure stuff. Does it matter? Not really. Clear descending triangle for us to trade until we make higher highs or lower lows. We are above the 50% of it and I favor the bears to retest at least 22400 tomorrow. So shorts close to 22800 are reasonable. Bears also have going for them, that lately not-bad news got bought but then reversed to the downside, which I believe suits the sell-the-rip market we could be in. US indexes will likely have more downside over the next weeks, since this whole move down could be seen as a bigger W1 on the weekly chart for sp500 and nasdaq. Dax will follow them, just takes a bit more time I guess. Plan for this week is still to hit 22000 and then some strong moves down to 21000 over the next 1-2 weeks. Invalidation is above 23091. short term: Neutral around 22700. Bearish above 22800 and bullish below 22450. Strong moves to both sides will likely result in sideways movement and not a strong breakout to either side. My thesis is still that Monday was a higher high major trend reversal and we could have seen the highs. medium-long term from 2024-02-26: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. Daily close below 22000 is needed to turn this neutral and end the bull trend-. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Small pullback bear trend from EU open 22955 down to 22357. It was so strong, you had to be short. 5m 20ema held like a champ. 22350 was previous support and once market stopped making new lows, bears needed to reduce risk and take profits. Could you have anticipated that the bounce would be good for 500+ points? Hell no. If you took a long, good for you. To make a living from trading you don’t have to be perfect or amazing, you just have to be good and that meant, taking reasonable profits on shorts and not watching them disappear on the bounce.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
BankNifty Technical analysis - Mar 3 2025RED UMVD flashed warning sign back in Oct. I hope some of you were able to use this signal to cash out. Bars are red and we are approaching immediate support again, lets see how it handles. As long as UMVD is Red , I wouldn't buy. TrapZone has thinned now and market will most likely get volatile and sideways, unless we enter another wave of selloff. In that case we will see Red TrapZone and all hell will break. lol will post an hourly for short term players.
NSE:BANKNIFTY1!Short
by SnowflakeTrader